My understanding is that Bloc won’t be part of the coalition, but will support the Lib-NDP government on an issue by issue bases. Bloc will certainly support the stimulus package; all the opposition parties seem to want that.
Then Bloc will support the government as and if it sees fit, basically Bloc is a party of the left and is expected to agree with the government on many issues. Besides, any bill except an economic bill is not a confidence vote, so even if the government is defeated, that won’t trigger an election.
If the coalition is formed, the first big test will be the budget. No doubt the coalition will pass some sort of stimulus package. Then can it form a common ground with the Bloc on the budget? If it can, it will stay in power for at least one year, until the 2010 budget.
It will also depend upon who leads the coalition. Somebody like Paul Martin, who has the national stature and a proven record of fixing the economic mess left by Mulroney, will probably last longer than somebody else.
Sir Joe: I would vote Liberal next week if Martin came back as leader. I don't see a Lib/NDP coalition working for more than a few weeks, possibly long enough to create a hugh deficit as both currently seem bent on buying votes with our own money. The Libs are broke and rudderless and the Dippers being Dippers will max out the government credit card on frivolous social tinkering without ever addressing the problem.