There are five major polls out there and you have to look at them all to see the trends
which I have followed all along. Nanos is always about three days behind the rest.
ECOS is usually closet to the averaging of the polls. In between is Angus Reid and so
on. Today the Tories are in the mid to high 30;s the NDP is about 3 to 3.5 points behind.
The Liberals are falling off the radar at about 22% give or take.
Conservatives will not have a majority, the NDP will be the official opposition and the Liberals
will be searching for a new identity. This is something new but not static. If you remember
the NDP fell apart about fifteen years ago and had to search for a new identity amid the surge
of the Reform Party. The problem for Reform is a similar one to New Democrats. They had
a hard core base and little room to grow. The Reform Party made a major mistake, they joined
forces with the Conservatives. I say that because the two parties look like one big one but they
are not and people know it, that is why they don't trust the, to give them a majority.
Harper is a social conservative, one of those Christian for Zion types and it is their downfall.
The reason is they are exclusionary. The New Democrats have combined a Social Democrat
mentality with a watered down third way Tony Blair mentality which makes them a little more
on the right than the old left of center position they once had. In other words they are now more
socially progressive and fiscally conservative. The Liberals want to be the steady hand or the
Grandfatherly types who have sound advice and low key. The Greens are a movement and as
such have little to offer in the mainstream spectrum. It is the only way to keep their members
together believing they are a family, but they are exclusionary and far worse than Harper would
ever be.
How does this relate to gas prices? All of these parties are painting a picture of each other and
none of the parties is telling the entire truth about their neighbours and the Conservatives are the
worst offenders. Gas prices are market driven, and if the cap and trade issue become reality
business will act accordingly and maximize profit. If war, short supply , and speculation is the
major issue, business will maximize their profit, and government will continue to make money
because they will tax it all. It matters not who comes to power You and I are going to pay.