Kelly McParland: How decades of Liberal indifference created Danielle Smith

Ron in Regina

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The short answer is no. It is not so much the port itself, it is all the other marine traffic, including whales. All ships for Vancouver, Tacoma, and Seattle use Juan de Fuca Strait. From a security point of view, that is putting all your eggs in one basket. Alberta oil producers would probably be better off contracting out ship loading to Louisiana or Alaska than deal with the BC government and coastal native bands that are opposed because they are not on the pipeline route and don't get any free money for a pipe that doesn't cross their land.
Now, if only there was somewhere on that coast in Canadian waters that happened to have or be naturally a deep water port, & way less traffic, and didn’t have existing bridges that would either have to be redesigned or limit the height of tanker traffic…an already existing rail line, etc…like…
Apparently the port of Prince Rupert just happens to be the third deepest in the world.
 
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pgs

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Now, if only there was somewhere on that coast in Canadian waters that happened to have or be naturally a deep water port, & way less traffic, and didn’t have existing bridges that would either have to be redesigned or limit the height of tanker traffic…an already existing rail line, etc…like…
Apparently the port of Prince Rupert just happens to be the third deepest in the world.
They have been loading ocean freight since Rupert was born . Nothing new .
 
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Dixie Cup

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The federal government is eyeing a new oil pipeline route in southern British Columbia that some in Ottawa believe would face fewer environmental hurdles and less resistance from Indigenous groups than the northern route Alberta is proposing, two federal sources say.

Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith signed an memorandum of understanding in November, with the goals of unlocking Alberta’s energy sector and diversifying export markets in the face of U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade war. The agreement laid the conditions for construction of a new oil conduit to the Pacific.

The MOU doesn’t say what path the pipeline will take. Ms. Smith has talked up a northern route that would carry Alberta oil to the Port of Prince Rupert, B.C. Her government is expected to propose such a route to Ottawa’s Major Projects Office this summer. An Alberta government source said the province expects that the federal government will designate the pipeline a project of national importance in the fall. We’ll have to wait and see.

(http://www.theglobeandmail.com/busi...ustry-new-pipeline-national-security-federal/)

Alberta prefers a northern route for two main reasons. First, Prince Rupert is North America’s closest port to Asia by up to three days sailing – around 36 hours closer to Shanghai than Vancouver.

It’s also the continent’s deepest port, which would enable access for the large crude carriers that are favoured for transporting oil to Asia. The massive tankers can transport about two million barrels of the dense, heavy crude that comes from Alberta’s oil sands.

But the two federal sources say Ottawa leans instead toward a route that would run through the province’s south to the port of Vancouver. That pipeline could either run alongside the Trans Mountain pipeline or follow another path. In either case, the sources said, it would require a new terminal for loading oil onto tankers.

The Vancouver Fraser Port Authority is planning to dredge the waters to deepen the channel in the Second Narrows waterway at Burrard Inlet. This will allow Aframax-class oil tankers at the Westridge Marine Terminal to operate at full capacity. The Vancouver Fraser Port Authority is planning to dredge the waters to deepen the channel in the Second Narrows waterway at Burrard Inlet. This will allow Aframax-class oil tankers at the Westridge Marine Terminal to operate at full capacity.
Except where the Feds want the pipeline to (if it ever actually happens) ends up in Vancouver, a port that is extremely busy already & cannot have the large oil tankers in port whereas Prince Rupert is the better choice as it can accommodate the larger tankers. Besides, most First Nations approved of the route initially so there would likely not be the resistance that the Feds are talking about. It was already an approved route with everyone concerned involved & Trudy nixed it!!
 

Taxslave2

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Except where the Feds want the pipeline to (if it ever actually happens) ends up in Vancouver, a port that is extremely busy already & cannot have the large oil tankers in port whereas Prince Rupert is the better choice as it can accommodate the larger tankers. Besides, most First Nations approved of the route initially so there would likely not be the resistance that the Feds are talking about. It was already an approved route with everyone concerned involved & Trudy nixed it!!
The only bands not in agreement are the ones not on the money route.
 
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Taxslave2

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Lumber in seacans .
Not usually, but some products are. loading and unloading is challenging. There is also a fair amount of biofuel being exported in seacans rather than bulk. WE looked into this on the island about 12 years ago, but so far it hasn't really happened. The idea is to make pellets or bricks for power generation in Asia.There is some small production happening. I think the lack of pulpmills may make this more viable. I burned some of the bricks in the woodstove and it worked OK. They are much like prestologs, only it is pure compressed fiber, no additives. There is(was?) a portable unit made in a seacan, but it only produces about 4 tons a day.
 

pgs

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Not usually, but some products are. loading and unloading is challenging. There is also a fair amount of biofuel being exported in seacans rather than bulk. WE looked into this on the island about 12 years ago, but so far it hasn't really happened. The idea is to make pellets or bricks for power generation in Asia.There is some small production happening. I think the lack of pulpmills may make this more viable. I burned some of the bricks in the woodstove and it worked OK. They are much like prestologs, only it is pure compressed fiber, no additives. There is(was?) a portable unit made in a seacan, but it only produces about 4 tons a day.
We used to load lumber into sea cans for export to Asia . It is not rare .
 

Ron in Regina

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Speaking to reporters, Smith noted that some opposition to the Trans Mountain expansion (TMX) project last decade focused on the increased tanker traffic tied to more crude shipments leaving the Westridge Marine Terminal in Burnaby, B.C.

Developing a new oil pipeline to the lower B.C. mainland, as some have suggested, would only increase the traffic at the Port of Vancouver, she noted.

“In a very congested port like that, is there an appetite for a doubling, once again, of that amount of traffic? So that’s why I am a bit skeptical that that would be the appropriate route,” Smith said in Edmonton.

On Thursday, Smith indicated Alberta still prefers a new oil export pipeline that goes to a deepwater port in northern British Columbia — not one to southern B.C.
 
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Dixie Cup

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Speaking to reporters, Smith noted that some opposition to the Trans Mountain expansion (TMX) project last decade focused on the increased tanker traffic tied to more crude shipments leaving the Westridge Marine Terminal in Burnaby, B.C.

Developing a new oil pipeline to the lower B.C. mainland, as some have suggested, would only increase the traffic at the Port of Vancouver, she noted.

“In a very congested port like that, is there an appetite for a doubling, once again, of that amount of traffic? So that’s why I am a bit skeptical that that would be the appropriate route,” Smith said in Edmonton.

On Thursday, Smith indicated Alberta still prefers a new oil export pipeline that goes to a deepwater port in northern British Columbia — not one to southern B.C.
She's absolutely correct! It should go the northern route!!
 
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Taxslave2

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I'm pretty sure Eby is pushing the Southern route because he knows it is a non starter. Juan de fuca Strait is simply too busy to take much more traffic. There is also the location of a terminal to consider. Above Second Narrows bridge has limitations on depth and forshore. Anywhere towards Squamish will have professional protesters from around the wirld camped on our beaches and does nothing to address the overcrowded strait. The only protest against the Northern route comes from foreign funded coastal native group that will not get to milk the cash cow. But, a port in the Alaska panhandle, which is just a good cast with a fly rod from Pr. Rupert is not covered by the tanker ban.
Or, we could push a pipeline to the west side of Vancouver Island and miss all the marine traffic.
 

Ron in Regina

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The Trans Mountain pipeline is currently operating with a total capacity of 890,000 barrels per day (bpd), with utilization rates reported around 80% to 90% as of late 2025 and early 2026. While capacity utilization has varied, the system generally operates near full capacity for contracted shippers, though the overall system has not always run at 100% capacity.
Canada's Trans Mountain pipeline is running at full capacity for the first time since the completion of a major expansion two years ago, but an executive ‌said Wednesday that ongoing global turmoil makes predicting future capacity rates difficult.
Asian refineries, particularly in China, are well-suited for Canada's heavy, high-sulphur crude, which helps fill a supply gap from declining production in Venezuela and Mexico. While China is the largest buyer, other notable destinations include South Korea, Singapore, and Japan.
Canadian crude often offers a cost-effective alternative for Asian refiners, despite logistical challenges. The heavy nature of the oil is desirable for specialized, complex Asian refineries, but elbows something sometimes.
 

Ron in Regina

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“Alberta’s proposal for building a new million-barrel-a-day pipeline to the West Coast will be unveiled on Thursday, a spokesman for the premier confirmed.
Alberta Premier Danielle Smith and Prime Minister Mark Carney agreed in May that the province’s United Conservative Party government would submit its application for a new pipeline to the federal Major Projects Office “by July 1.”

“We will have a major announcement on July 2 to share new details about the Government of Alberta’s submission to the Major Projects Office for a new one-million-barrel-per-day oil pipeline to Canada’s West Coast,” spokesman Sam Blackett wrote in a statement on Monday, citing that July 1 was Canada Day.

Alberta’s push to build a new pipeline to the West Coast has been the centrepiece of a memorandum of understanding Smith and Carney agreed to last fall, as the pair looked to reset the Ottawa-Alberta relationship after years of acrimony over federal energy policies under former prime minister Justin Trudeau.”

(Acrimony is a noun that refers to bitter, angry, or ill-tempered feelings, speech, or behavior. It describes a state of harshness and resentment, usually surfacing during a heated disagreement or dispute)

“Since taking office, Carney has pledged to transform Canada into an “energy superpower,” with Smith advocating that a new pipeline to the West Coast would advance the federal goal of diversifying the country’s export capacity to Asian markets in the face of tariffs from U.S. President Donald Trump. Her province is also facing a push to separate from Canada, with Smith looking at the pipeline deal as a way to demonstrate improved relations with Ottawa.”
(Smith has signalled that a northern route would be the most advantageous in terms of port access and proximity to Asian markets)
B.C. Premier David Eby has said he is opposed to lifting the oil tanker ban and has panned Alberta’s pipeline proponent as so far lacking any private sector backer. Under the deal with Alberta, Carney’s government has said it is open to amending parts of the oil tanker ban that only applies to the west coast (part of it anyway that aligns with Eby’s ideals) & thus the to the only two landlocked provinces in Canada, being Alberta and Saskatchewan.
Under the deal with Alberta, Carney’s government has committed to working towards designating Smith’s pipeline proposal as a project in the “national interest” by October 2026, with the stated goal of providing it with the conditions necessary to begin construction by September 2027, assuming it’s not all just hot air, smoke & mirrors, and lip service.
“China—TMX’s biggest buyer—continues to invest in refining capacity for heavy sour crudes, and India expects massive oil demand in the coming decade, accounting for as much as half of global incremental growth, followed closely by growth out of Southeast Asia.

For its part, South Korea is tripling its oil imports from Canada to reduce dependence on the Middle East, and Japan is looking to diversify as well. It will not be hard for Asian energy markets to absorb a million barrels of Canadian crude.”

Keep in mind America’s whatever it’s doing with Venezuela, and if you don’t think that’s not going to be used as a club up against Canada’s head in the upcoming NAFTA/CUSMA/USMCA/LMNOP/EIEIO negotiations then you’re naïve to be worded kindly.
 

Ron in Regina

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Under the deal with Alberta, Carney’s government has committed to working towards designating Smith’s pipeline proposal as a project in thenational interest” by October 2026, with the stated goal of providing it with the conditions necessary to begin construction by September 2027, assuming it’s not all just hot air, smoke & mirrors, and lip service.
Keep in mind America’s whatever it’s doing with Venezuela, and if you don’t think that’s not going to be used as a club up against Canada’s head in the upcoming NAFTA/CUSMA/USMCA/LMNOP/EIEIO negotiations then you’re naïve to be worded kindly.
British Columbia and the federal government have unveiled a multibillion-dollar agreement that will maintain the northern oil tanker ban, eliminating the possibility of an oil pipeline from Alberta to B.C.'s northern coast.😉
Developing a new oil pipeline to the lower B.C. mainland, as some have suggested, would only increase the traffic at the Port of Vancouver, she noted.
But the memorandum of understanding unveiled by Prime Minister Mark Carney and Premier David Eby in Vancouver on Thursday also acknowledges Canada’s agreement with Alberta on a trans-provincial oil pipeline, saying B.C. will be compensated for environmental risks if Ottawa imposes an oil pipeline on B.C.
“In a very congested port like that, is there an appetite for a doubling, once again, of that amount of traffic? So that’s why I am a bit skeptical that that would be the appropriate route,” Smith said in Edmonton.
“The prime minister was scheduled to head to Alberta later Thursday for a news conference with Premier Danielle Smith, where they are expected to make an announcement about plans for the pipeline to B.C.'s coast that Eby has long criticized.
1783029661979.jpeg
Eby said during the news conference with Carney that there was "no way" under the deal that a northern bitumen pipeline would be built.
He said the MOU doesn’t require B.C. to support any pipeline proposal from Alberta. (In the National best interests?)
On Thursday, Smith indicated Alberta still prefers a new oil export pipeline that goes to a deepwater port in northern British Columbia — not one to southern B.C.
“The MOU says B.C. "must share meaningfully" in the economic benefits of a new pipeline, with mechanisms to be discussed, including an annual royalty payment and an environmental response fund.

The MOU also says B.C. recognizes Canada's interests in "optimizing" the existing southern Trans Mountain Pipeline, increasing throughput to 1.2 million barrels a day, up from 890,000.
Canada's Trans Mountain pipeline is running at full capacity for the first time since the completion of a major expansion two years ago, but an executive ‌said Wednesday that ongoing global turmoil makes predicting future capacity rates difficult.
“Alberta’s proposal for building a new million-barrel-a-day pipeline to the West Coast will be unveiled on Thursday, a spokesman for the premier confirmed.
I’m understanding the above in that Alberta is looking for a new million barrel a day pipeline to the West Coast, not expansion of the already at capacity Trans Mountain by 320,000 barrels per day…to a port that’s already congested. The Carney/Smith announcement today will be interesting.
 
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Ron in Regina

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The Alberta government will propose a southern route for its new oil pipeline to the West Coast, relenting on its insistence that a conduit to the Pacific be routed to B.C.’s northern coast, three government and industry sources say.
1783032459416.jpeg
“Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has said from the start of the planning that the new, one-million-barrel-a-day pipeline should run to a marine terminal in northwestern B.C. However, several First Nations in the area have voiced strong opposition to a pipeline in the region. A northern route would have also required changes to the federal (2019 Trudeau gift) tanker ban along that part of B.C.’s coast, which is considered a non-starter by that province’s government.

Aside from the northern British Columbia coast under the Oil Tanker Moratorium Act, Canada does not have legal, geographically bound oil tanker bans on any of its other coastlines, including the rest of the Pacific Coast, Atlantic Canada, the St. Lawrence River, and the Arctic.

The deepest natural harbour in North America is located at the Port of Prince Rupert in British Columbia, Canada. It is the third deepest natural harbour in the world, with depths that allow it to safely accommodate the largest shipping vessels in the world year-round.

“Current federal rules prohibit tankers from loading and unloading oil along the northern B.C. coast. The Alberta-Ottawa memorandum of understanding that laid the groundwork for the pipeline plan to be unveiled Thursday said Ottawa may consider adjusting the ban, but that piece of the deal appeared to be superseded in a new B.C.-Ottawa MOU announced by the Carney government in Vancouver…the same day but a few hours before the Alberta announcement was to happen…
Except where the Feds want the pipeline to (if it ever actually happens) ends up in Vancouver, a port that is extremely busy already & cannot have the large oil tankers in port whereas Prince Rupert is the better choice as it can accommodate the larger tankers. Besides, most First Nations approved of the route initially so there would likely not be the resistance that the Feds are talking about. It was already an approved route with everyone concerned involved & Trudy nixed it!!
It is almost like Daniel Smith was pre-planning around some kind of backstabbing maneuver.
The Port of Prince Rupert is Canada’s third-busiest seaport, behind Vancouver and Montreal.🤫
 
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Ron in Regina

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A submission package shared by Alberta says the project will follow closely along the path of the current Trans Mountain pipeline.
“The MOU says B.C. "must share meaningfully" in the economic benefits of a new pipeline, with mechanisms to be discussed, including an annual royalty payment and an environmental response fund.
Alberta Premier Danielle Smith announced Thursday that her government has a route – and builders – for a new pipeline to the B.C. coast, just hours after Prime Minister Mark Carney announced a deal with B.C. to “make it possible.”
He (Eby) said the MOU doesn’t require B.C. to support any pipeline proposal from Alberta. (In the National best interests?)
Carney said the route makes the most sense given the line already exists and serves as the "gateway to the world's fastest growing markets."
Except where the Feds want the pipeline to (if it ever actually happens) ends up in Vancouver, a port that is extremely busy already & cannot have the large oil tankers in port whereas Prince Rupert is the better choice as it can accommodate the larger tankers. Besides, most First Nations approved of the route initially so there would likely not be the resistance that the Feds are talking about. It was already an approved route with everyone concerned involved & Trudy nixed it!!
Smith said the Alberta government is partnering with the federally owned Trans Mountain Corp. and Calgary-based Pembina Pipeline to build and operate what has officially been labelled the West Coast Pipeline.
The Port of Prince Rupert is Canada’s third-busiest seaport, behind Vancouver and Montreal.🤫
Eby said during the news conference with Carney that there was "no way" under the deal that a northern bitumen pipeline would be built.
The Eby/Carney MOU included a commitment that Ottawa would uphold a tanker ban on B.C.’s northern coast and promises that Ottawa would take on financial risks for any potential environmental issues and spills should the pipeline be approved. It also promises that B.C. receive financial compensation for having the pipeline run through it.
I'm pretty sure Eby is pushing the Southern route because he knows it is a non starter. Juan de fuca Strait is simply too busy to take much more traffic. There is also the location of a terminal to consider. Above Second Narrows bridge has limitations on depth and forshore. Anywhere towards Squamish will have professional protesters from around the wirld camped on our beaches and does nothing to address the overcrowded strait.
Alberta's submission package says the terminal will need to be designed to accommodate large oil tankers and feature two new loading berths.
I’m understanding the above in that Alberta is looking for a new million barrel a day pipeline to the West Coast, not expansion of the already at capacity Trans Mountain by 320,000 barrels per day…to a port that’s already congested. The Carney/Smith announcement today will be interesting.
Eby’s understanding of the Eby/Carney MOU:
The MOU also says B.C. recognizes Canada's interests in "optimizing" the existing southern Trans Mountain Pipeline, increasing throughput to 1.2 million barrels a day, up from 890,000.
It would run from Bruderheim, northeast of Edmonton, to a terminal in Delta, B.C., just south of Vancouver. It would deliver more than one million barrels per day and see tankers ship it to Asian markets.

Is this including what’s already at capacity in the transmountain pipeline (?) or a separate standalone pipeline that in itself would deliver 1000,000 barrels a day?
1783049512638.jpeg
It sounds like British Columbia is going to be rewarded quite handsomely several times over for this project.
 

Ron in Regina

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(YouTube & ‘It would devastate a two-billion-dollar coastal economy’: Premier Eby on rerouting pipeline plans)
1783080052582.jpegThe main channel of the Prince Rupert channel is approximately 45 metres deep (with inner harbour drafts measuring 35 metres), making it the deepest natural harbour in North America. The Delta (Deltaport) channel to the existing container terminals dredged alongside depth is roughly 16 metres.
1783080083574.jpegThe proposed Alberta announced plan yesterday core routing and environmental terms are largely built around Premier David Eby's demands, marking a major compromise by Alberta. Eby successfully blocked a northern route and a repeal of the federal tanker ban, forcing Alberta to accept a southern route aligned with the existing Trans Mountain corridor.
1783080619168.jpeg
“Alberta also considered several shorter pipeline routes that would have terminated near Prince Rupert in the far northwest reaches of B.C. But that alternative export route collided with an existing ban on oil tankers along B.C.’s northern coast, which British Columbia Premier David Eby was insistent on keeping in place.”
(YouTube & Alberta proposing route through southern B.C. for new West Coast oil pipeline)
“Among its economic benefits, the province says the project could narrow the price gap between Canadian heavy crude oil and benchmark U.S. oil by $3 US a barrel.
1783081532569.jpeg
Energy analyst and economist Peter Tertzakian said diversifying to the West Coast and into global markets would lessen the impact of the differential, referring to the price gap between WTI and the Canadian price of oil, Western Canada Select.
1783081581494.jpeg
The reason that Canada has experienced periods of wider differentials over the past 10 to 15 years, Tertzakian said, is because production exceeded shipping capacity, leaving the country “hostage” to a handful of American refineries.

Various U.S. funders have contributed in the neighbourhood of $40-million in recent years to hundreds of Canadian environmental and Indigenous groups. The goal is to help them spread a message about the need to land-lock Alberta crude through protests against the construction of new pipelines.

“By diversifying … we are much less susceptible to potential — either artificial or otherwise —backups in our oil production, and therefore shield ourselves from these debilitating differentials,” he said.
Keep in mind America’s whatever it’s doing with Venezuela, and if you don’t think that’s not going to be used as a club up against Canada’s head in the upcoming NAFTA/CUSMA/USMCA/LMNOP/EIEIO negotiations then you’re naïve to be worded kindly.
Aside from the northern British Columbia coast under the Oil Tanker Moratorium Act, Canada does not have legal, geographically bound oil tanker bans on any of its other coastlines, including the rest of the Pacific Coast, Atlantic Canada, the St. Lawrence River, and the Arctic, and specifically the southern third of the B.C. coastline, or the northern third of the province of B.C. with that coastline owned by Alaska.
 

Dixie Cup

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A submission package shared by Alberta says the project will follow closely along the path of the current Trans Mountain pipeline.

Alberta Premier Danielle Smith announced Thursday that her government has a route – and builders – for a new pipeline to the B.C. coast, just hours after Prime Minister Mark Carney announced a deal with B.C. to “make it possible.”

Carney said the route makes the most sense given the line already exists and serves as the "gateway to the world's fastest growing markets."

Smith said the Alberta government is partnering with the federally owned Trans Mountain Corp. and Calgary-based Pembina Pipeline to build and operate what has officially been labelled the West Coast Pipeline.


The Eby/Carney MOU included a commitment that Ottawa would uphold a tanker ban on B.C.’s northern coast and promises that Ottawa would take on financial risks for any potential environmental issues and spills should the pipeline be approved. It also promises that B.C. receive financial compensation for having the pipeline run through it.

Alberta's submission package says the terminal will need to be designed to accommodate large oil tankers and feature two new loading berths.

Eby’s understanding of the Eby/Carney MOU:

It would run from Bruderheim, northeast of Edmonton, to a terminal in Delta, B.C., just south of Vancouver. It would deliver more than one million barrels per day and see tankers ship it to Asian markets.

Is this including what’s already at capacity in the transmountain pipeline (?) or a separate standalone pipeline that in itself would deliver 1000,000 barrels a day?
View attachment 34971
It sounds like British Columbia is going to be rewarded quite handsomely several times over for this project.
Apparently, they're going to "dredge" the strait (I forget the name of it) so that it can accommodate larger tankers. How much is THAT going to cost?