POLL: Who Is Going To Lose In The US Election Today?

Who is going to lose today?

  • Obama

    Votes: 7 25.9%
  • Romney

    Votes: 20 74.1%

  • Total voters
    27
  • Poll closed .

coldstream

on dbl secret probation
Oct 19, 2005
5,160
27
48
Chillliwack, BC
The payouts on the UK betting sites have a $100 paying $33 for Obama and $225 for Romney. That doesn't mean Obama is 7 more times likely to win.. it just means the odds makers have to pay 7X to equal out the bets.

I think there is a chance that Romney will win.. it's no more than about 20%.. but i think i know what could tilt things his way. But i'll only post that reason if he does win. :)
 
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damngrumpy

Executive Branch Member
Mar 16, 2005
9,949
21
38
kelowna bc
Some say it will take a long time to sort this out as to who wins. I don't agree.
Women will vote Obama in large numbers
Immigrants, Hispanic especially will vote Obama
People in the middle class who want to keep medicare and build on the plan Obama
Seniors will tip slightly in favour of Obama.

The religious Right Romney
The wealthy mostly Romney but not all
Those who want free trade and movement of imported goods Obama
Those with stock market investments it will depend on the sector they are investing in.

What makes it a closer race is where these various groups live and much they cancel
each others vote.

Personally by midnight on the west coast we will see a clear winner emerge and by the
sights sounds and I admit a gut hunch, not scientific but sometimes one just feels it in the air
I would think Obama will win. There is one other factor to consider here. When America is
faced with a serious crisis they tend to gravitate to positive change even in the midst of misery
knowing it will be a long tough road. During the Great Depression they did what needed to be
done and that was to take the difficult road to progress and Obama is the difficult road to
progress, Romney is the road to self interest for the few. Mainstream conservatives like Colin
Powell have already demonstrated they are voting Obama to save their own party
 

PoliticalNick

The Troll Bashing Troll
Mar 8, 2011
7,940
0
36
Edson, AB
Ron Paul just gave a phone interview on CNN.

Says he doesn't endorse either candidate because they are both the same. Nothing will change. Both will continue with flawed policies and violating rights.

Interesting clip during the interview of Sen. Tom Coburn...
'best thing would be for us all to lose and they send some people up here that care about the citizens'
 

Just the Facts

House Member
Oct 15, 2004
4,162
43
48
SW Ontario
Black Panthers vs. Navy Seals. The BP's were at it again this year, first in Philly but apparently now it's coming out that they're all over the place, manning the polling stations and intimating voters like they did last year.

But wait, here come the former Navy Seals to counter. Bet the BP's didn't see that coming. This could get interesting (if true, of course).

New Black Panthers also in Ohio; Unconfirmed reports of former Navy SEALs heading to Ohio, Pa. to guard against voter intimidation | Twitchy
 

PoliticalNick

The Troll Bashing Troll
Mar 8, 2011
7,940
0
36
Edson, AB
Black Panthers vs. Navy Seals. The BP's were at it again this year, first in Philly but apparently now it's coming out that they're all over the place, manning the polling stations and intimating voters like they did last year.

But wait, here come the former Navy Seals to counter. Bet the BP's didn't see that coming. This could get interesting (if true, of course).

New Black Panthers also in Ohio; Unconfirmed reports of former Navy SEALs heading to Ohio, Pa. to guard against voter intimidation | Twitchy

Panthers to stop democratic voters being intimidated....Seals to prevent republican voters from being intimidated....what a clusterf*ck.:roll:
 

JLM

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 27, 2008
75,301
548
113
Vernon, B.C.
The burning question now is how many upsets are we going to see in the "safe states"? I'll stick my neck out and say two. (Remember Cap't, I told you to keep your eye on Massatchusetts)
 

Goober

Hall of Fame Member
Jan 23, 2009
24,691
116
63
Moving
After this election which Pollsters will get the Stepping on your own Richard Award.
Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

Is U.S. polling guru Nate Silver going to have egg on his face? - The Globe and Mail

Amid frantic last-ditch campaign stops, celebrity endorsements and get-out-the-vote efforts, the final moments of the U.S. election campaign have also been marked by confident predictions by political watchers.

At the forefront of forecasts for a win by President Barack Obama is Nate Silver, the political polling guru and blogger for The New York Times. Mr. Silver’s latest poll ****ysis gives Mr. Obama an audacious 91.6 per cent chance of securing a second term.

Mr. Obama was leading by an average of 1.6 percentage points in 12 national polls released on Monday, as Mr. Silver outlined on his blog. RealClearPolitics, a political news and polling data aggregator, has Mr. Obama ahead by 0.7 percentage points in its poll averages.

Mr. Silver’s aggressive forecast for Mr. Obama’s chance of winning – which has steadily edged upward from a recent low of 61.1 per cent on Oct. 12 – has made him a lightning rod for controversy.

A Politico article last week suggested Mr. Silver “could be a one-term celebrity” if he is wrong and Mr. Romney wins. Mr. Silver, a statistician, correctly predicted the winner of 49 out of the 50 states in the 2008 election.

MSNBC’s Joe Scarborough also attacked Mr. Silver’s forecast for an Obama victory, calling him “a joke”.

“Anybody that thinks that this race is anything but a tossup right now is such an ideologue [that] they should be kept away from typewriters, computers, laptops, and microphones for the next 10 days, because they’re jokes," Mr. Scarborough said last week.
 

captain morgan

Hall of Fame Member
Mar 28, 2009
28,429
148
63
A Mouse Once Bit My Sister
The burning question now is how many upsets are we going to see in the "safe states"? I'll stick my neck out and say two. (Remember Cap't, I told you to keep your eye on Massatchusetts)


What does Mass even matter for?.. In all fairness, you have also been keeping an eye on what the CBC has to say about the international community's preference.
 

Praxius

Mass'Debater
Dec 18, 2007
10,677
161
63
Halifax, NS & Melbourne, VIC
- Praxius ... While I really can't be bothered to undertake the hopeless task of educating you as to why US presidents do matter not only to Americans but to Canadians who, among other things, depend on a healthy US economy for some 35% of their jobs, let me ask you a question. I presume I am one of the two jokers you cite as having spammed this board over the US election (although I have no clue who number two spammer is unless it is locutus) so please tell me how the two aforementioned villians are "spamming" the forum? Surely forum members and lurkers are free to read and/or respond and/or ignore the posts of these alleged spammers. Probably, these posts are actually generating more reads and responses than any of your tedious twaddle and you are simply jealous. In any case, kindly enlighten me as to the identity of these dasterdly spammers, the nature of their spamming and why you don't simply ignore said spamming until they give up and go away.

If the US economy tanks again, it's not that big of a deal for Canada. Do you think the US is the only country Canada can trade with?

The US has that % of trade with Canada simply out of convenience due to proximity. There's the rest of the entire world Canada can trade with, but some in the government over the years decided to put most of their eggs in one basket which was and still is a big mistake as proven by the whole global recession not too long ago, which basically started in your favorite nation.

And no it doesn't matter who wins the election as it won't affect Canada much, unless you think one of the two candidates is planning to cut trade or improve trade to Canada, which they won't & will keep the status quo.

If they increase trade, good I suppose, but I won't hold my breath. If they cut trade, big whoop, there's many other countries to trade with.

And I'm also aware that while this election is pretty well over, there will still be a month following of one side or the other in here moaning and complaining that their guy lost.... But the sooner it's over the better.
 

PoliticalNick

The Troll Bashing Troll
Mar 8, 2011
7,940
0
36
Edson, AB

captain morgan

Hall of Fame Member
Mar 28, 2009
28,429
148
63
A Mouse Once Bit My Sister
Oh c'mon Eagle....nowhere does it say the person(s) who would not let her in were democrats. Could have easily been a republican or an independent.

Someone made an error, the mistake was recognized, and she was allowed to vote. No problem here other than partisan spin on the situation.


FYI: It's kinda the practice at CC that you post sarcastic comments in purple... Just a heads-up for ya
 

JLM

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 27, 2008
75,301
548
113
Vernon, B.C.
What does Mass even matter for?.. In all fairness, you have also been keeping an eye on what the CBC has to say about the international community's preference.

You watch...............if Romney wins Mass, then it will be Romney, if Obama wins Mass then he will be the Man. So How many upsets Cap't? :)
 

Goober

Hall of Fame Member
Jan 23, 2009
24,691
116
63
Moving
If the US economy tanks again, it's not that big of a deal for Canada. Do you think the US is the only country Canada can trade with?

The US has that % of trade with Canada simply out of convenience due to proximity. There's the rest of the entire world Canada can trade with, but some in the government over the years decided to put most of their eggs in one basket which was and still is a big mistake as proven by the whole global recession not too long ago, which basically started in your favorite nation.

And no it doesn't matter who wins the election as it won't affect Canada much, unless you think one of the two candidates is planning to cut trade or improve trade to Canada, which they won't & will keep the status quo.

If they increase trade, good I suppose, but I won't hold my breath. If they cut trade, big whoop, there's many other countries to trade with.

And I'm also aware that while this election is pretty well over, there will still be a month following of one side or the other in here moaning and complaining that their guy lost.... But the sooner it's over the better.

If the US economy tanks it affect Canada big time - Every economist has stated that if the US goes off the fiscal cliff the impacts will be felt around the world. And the US is our best customer.