COVID-19 'Pandemic'

JLM

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 27, 2008
75,301
548
113
Vernon, B.C.
Why is 5% high? The three or four things you do are not to stop you from getting COVID19. None of it will. Your only out is a vaccine.


No they are not guaranteed to stop it, but they sure as hell reduce the chances. The chances of contracting it from a distance of TEN feet are pretty close to NIL.
 

Ocean Breeze

Hall of Fame Member
Jun 5, 2005
18,397
94
48
Trump is doing to the CDC what he accomplished with the USPS. Destroy it from within. The CDC has been a reputable organization for over a century. Now trump wants the American public to believe they are incompetent, just like he views the WHO, NATO, the UN, the USPS, and others. Pretty soon he will make a speech about COVID cases being down by 98%, considering all the misinformation he has spread, and he will convince his followers that any mysterious illness that they come down with, is either in their head, or God is punishing them for not doing his bidding.
Amazing how much destruction the trump virus has created ,both in the US and the world. He truly has a Messiah complex and it is getting out of control. Apparently his father used to tell him that he had Aryan divine powers. His dysfunctional family dynamics do play into his behavior. He has been dying his hair blond (from brown) to look more Aryan. It is questionable that there is enough SANITY left in the USA to deal with this psychopath.,,, who has only a few objectives: more power, more control, and shift the republic into an authoritarian state. There is no republic part anymore. It is some perversion of Trump's ideology. One could say that the virus is ding his cleansing for him.......... as it affects the impoverished, the pigmented , the vulnerable. It is all about genetics with him too.......(as he believes he has great genes)Power in the hands of someone like him is a dangerous powder keg.
 

bill barilko

Senate Member
Mar 4, 2009
6,033
577
113
Vancouver-by-the-Sea
JLM...
Try this. Answer honestly and you'll find your risk odds.
https://www.covid19survivalcalculator.com/en/calculator


nfection Risk
We estimate you have a 75% chance
of catching COVID-19.
The average is 11.36%
You are in the highest risk band for catching COVID-19
75% is the equivalent of 1 in 1.33 people
or betting odds of 0.33/1.
Mortality Risk
If infected we estimate you have a 1.588% chance
of dying COVID-19.
The average is 0.407%
You are in the highest risk band for dying from COVID-19
1.588% is the equivalent of 1 in 62.97 people
or betting odds of 61.97/1.
Common Infection Risk Questions
How do the risk bands work?
The risk bands are a representation of where your risk sits in our dataset. If you are in the "highest" risk band, then you are in the highest 7.5% of our dataset. For more information, please refer to the research section of the website.

How do the risk bands work?
The spread of the virus is exponential. Self-isolation will slow the exponential growth but not stop it. Viruses reach a natural barrier when a high enough percentage of the population has immunity. Assuming no vaccine is discovered, immunity will be achieved through individuals surviving an infection. This is called herd immunity. The exact number is unknown, but the British Government believes this figure to be around 60%.

What can I do to reduce my risk?
The current advice is reducing social contact and washing your hands. Please follow your government's directions as this may change.

Common Mortality Risk Questions
Why is the average so high?
We are using the "mean" average which is approximately six times higher than the "median" average. This is because the mortality risk figures fit a Pearson distribution. A Pearson distribution differs from a standard distribution in that one side of the curve will be larger than the other.

What can I do to reduce my risk?
Healthy lifestyle changes may make a small difference, but at this stage, there is no proven way to decrease your mortality risk once infected. The only advice we can give you is to focus on reducing your risk of being infected in the first place.

Data saves lives
Please share on social media
We Need Your Help
We are using Artificial Intelligence to unpack the factors that affect COVID-19. This is expensive in both human and IT resources. Please support this project by donating and sharing on social media. Your support will save lives.


Survival Probability
Infection Risk 75%
Mortality Risk If Infected 1.588%
Survival Probability 98.809%
Research Dataset
We have made the raw data available for download. The more people analyzing and working with this dataset, the more likely we are to discover something that will save lives.

The issue of course is that I've already survived a mild case
 

JLM

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 27, 2008
75,301
548
113
Vernon, B.C.
nfection Risk
We estimate you have a 75% chance
of catching COVID-19.
The average is 11.36%
You are in the highest risk band for catching COVID-19
75% is the equivalent of 1 in 1.33 people
or betting odds of 0.33/1.
Mortality Risk
If infected we estimate you have a 1.588% chance
of dying COVID-19.
The average is 0.407%
You are in the highest risk band for dying from COVID-19
1.588% is the equivalent of 1 in 62.97 people
or betting odds of 61.97/1.
Common Infection Risk Questions
How do the risk bands work?
The risk bands are a representation of where your risk sits in our dataset. If you are in the "highest" risk band, then you are in the highest 7.5% of our dataset. For more information, please refer to the research section of the website.

How do the risk bands work?
The spread of the virus is exponential. Self-isolation will slow the exponential growth but not stop it. Viruses reach a natural barrier when a high enough percentage of the population has immunity. Assuming no vaccine is discovered, immunity will be achieved through individuals surviving an infection. This is called herd immunity. The exact number is unknown, but the British Government believes this figure to be around 60%.

What can I do to reduce my risk?
The current advice is reducing social contact and washing your hands. Please follow your government's directions as this may change.

Common Mortality Risk Questions
Why is the average so high?
We are using the "mean" average which is approximately six times higher than the "median" average. This is because the mortality risk figures fit a Pearson distribution. A Pearson distribution differs from a standard distribution in that one side of the curve will be larger than the other.

What can I do to reduce my risk?
Healthy lifestyle changes may make a small difference, but at this stage, there is no proven way to decrease your mortality risk once infected. The only advice we can give you is to focus on reducing your risk of being infected in the first place.

Data saves lives
Please share on social media
We Need Your Help
We are using Artificial Intelligence to unpack the factors that affect COVID-19. This is expensive in both human and IT resources. Please support this project by donating and sharing on social media. Your support will save lives.


Survival Probability
Infection Risk 75%
Mortality Risk If Infected 1.588%
Survival Probability 98.809%
Research Dataset
We have made the raw data available for download. The more people analyzing and working with this dataset, the more likely we are to discover something that will save lives.

The issue of course is that I've already survived a mild case


It all boils down to 50/50- either you'll get it or you won't. :)
 

taxslave

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 25, 2008
36,362
4,340
113
Vancouver Island
is there another explantion??? ;-)
*******
and the WINNER is:
U.S. surpasses 200,000 coronavirus deaths
https://www.washingtonpost.com/nati...9.WS7X1ezbNp_HhX2I9Jum-jJWVxa4fFyyWMgsJLEozXM
smart folks say that the number is under the REAL toll. Too bad there is no instant fix for trump to gloat about.
The real number is much lower due to the way deaths are classified. Many deaths attributes to COVID already had one foot in the grave and this was just the final straw. Not something I have been able to verify but a relative in the US claims that there is/was a financial incentive for hospitals to make COVID-19 the cause of death regardless of real cause.
 

Ocean Breeze

Hall of Fame Member
Jun 5, 2005
18,397
94
48
The real number is much lower due to the way deaths are classified. Many deaths attributes to COVID already had one foot in the grave and this was just the final straw. Not something I have been able to verify but a relative in the US claims that there is/was a financial incentive for hospitals to make COVID-19 the cause of death regardless of real cause.
What it all seems to boil down to is that there is NO integrity anywhere........and the power of money determines almost everything. One has to be skeptical of just about everything now. How very sad.