Canadian Federal Election Outcome October 20th (or 27th?), 2025.
- Thread starter Ron in Regina
- Start date
Well…what an interesting day. I’m looking forward to this coming Sundays updated poll numbers on the coming federal election.
Last Sundays show the Conservatives holding steady at between 215-230 seats, like they have pretty consistently for the last year plus….
With the Liberals potentially falling enough that they may not even be the official opposition to the Conservatives.
Quite some time back, predating this thread I predicted the following…
I’m sticking with my above prediction, but in hindsight I think I may have overestimated the Liberals, & underestimated the Conservatives.
I hate to say it but Trudeau might last another couple months, until at least February 25th 2025 when Jagmeet’s pension comes to fruition.
Currently there’s ONE Day left to Parliament sitting in 2024:
And it doesn’t sit again until the last week of January 2025:
So February isn’t so far fetched…& this last Sunday (to compare to this coming Sunday) the poll aggregate looked like this:
Add another 2 months for a lightning election campaign period and we’d be looking at maybe End of April for an election at the soonest???
***This below video must date back all the way to sometime pre-this-morning:
***Then is below video would date to sometime post-this-morning I guess:
Only eight years ago, the vast majority of Canadians lived under a Liberal premier, and a Liberal majority government reigned in Ottawa.
In another two, Canada will likely be a place in which Liberals aren’t just banished from power – but where they will be lucky to form the official opposition.
If current poll numbers are any indication, the Canada of 2026 will count just two provinces with a Liberal premier: New Brunswick and Newfoundland and Labrador, comprising about 1.3 million people total.
Two more provinces – P.E.I. and Quebec – are likely to see Liberals in opposition, albeit weak ones.
Everywhere else, Liberals will either be at the political fringe, or they’ll have been exiled from elected office altogether. Three provinces (B.C., Alberta and Saskatchewan) now have legislatures without a single Liberal seat – and Manitoba is down to just one. Cindy Lamoureux, MLA for the Winnipeg-area riding of Tyndall Park, is now the only Liberal MLA in the Western provinces.
The fate that potentially lies in wait for the Liberal brand is not collapse, but it could be closer to something that’s already happened to Liberals in the West: The parties continue to exist, but they’re consigned to a kind of political purgatory, permanently occupying fringe corners of legislatures that they used to dominate.
Last Sundays show the Conservatives holding steady at between 215-230 seats, like they have pretty consistently for the last year plus….
With the Liberals potentially falling enough that they may not even be the official opposition to the Conservatives.
Quite some time back, predating this thread I predicted the following…
I’m sticking with my above prediction, but in hindsight I think I may have overestimated the Liberals, & underestimated the Conservatives.
I hate to say it but Trudeau might last another couple months, until at least February 25th 2025 when Jagmeet’s pension comes to fruition.
Currently there’s ONE Day left to Parliament sitting in 2024:And it doesn’t sit again until the last week of January 2025:
So February isn’t so far fetched…& this last Sunday (to compare to this coming Sunday) the poll aggregate looked like this:
Add another 2 months for a lightning election campaign period and we’d be looking at maybe End of April for an election at the soonest???
***This below video must date back all the way to sometime pre-this-morning:
In another two, Canada will likely be a place in which Liberals aren’t just banished from power – but where they will be lucky to form the official opposition.
If current poll numbers are any indication, the Canada of 2026 will count just two provinces with a Liberal premier: New Brunswick and Newfoundland and Labrador, comprising about 1.3 million people total.
Two more provinces – P.E.I. and Quebec – are likely to see Liberals in opposition, albeit weak ones.
Everywhere else, Liberals will either be at the political fringe, or they’ll have been exiled from elected office altogether. Three provinces (B.C., Alberta and Saskatchewan) now have legislatures without a single Liberal seat – and Manitoba is down to just one. Cindy Lamoureux, MLA for the Winnipeg-area riding of Tyndall Park, is now the only Liberal MLA in the Western provinces.
The fate that potentially lies in wait for the Liberal brand is not collapse, but it could be closer to something that’s already happened to Liberals in the West: The parties continue to exist, but they’re consigned to a kind of political purgatory, permanently occupying fringe corners of legislatures that they used to dominate.