Colpy said:pastafarian said:Hey Colpy, can you back up those stats outside of NRA publications?
I agree they offer food for thought.
Actually, most of the above stats are from an article in Guns and Ammo, so I imagine you aren't going to accept that as a source.![]()
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That's fine. Here is some reading from people not directly associated with the "gun lobby".
John Lott, who is a economics professor at the University of Chicago School of law, has done extensive research, written many articles, and two books on gun control.
http://www.tsra.com/Lott5.htm
Answer - excellent response Colpy. Good material.
In pastafarian's prompt though, an implication was made that validity lies in the source of the material.
That is absolutely true and bares reflection on both sides of the argument.
Unfortunately there are many ways in which statistics can be skewed by a group wishing to justify their position. The application of a specific set of analytical tools over others, the decision of the level of acceptable reliability scaling, the form of the question, the method of data collection, the population (number and type) being sampled, and the scariest part, which of the statistics are going to be choosen for inclusion in the report.
Have you ever pondered how many reports, once submitted to those who financed the report, have been BURIED by the sponsor. Drug companies, government agencies, anybody with a vested interest in a specific finding. I would not trust a statistic unless I had full disclosure of its genesis; from funding, through raw data tables, to the final conclusions.
pastafarian said:My experience of the hunting community has been impressive in terms of the level of responsibility and respect for the safe storage and handling of firearms and the swift and merciless censure that falls on anyone exhibitng a cavalier attitude around weapons. (After all, the more time you spend around guns and ammo, the more likely it is that you'll get shot by an idiot).
Jay said:From the gun banners themselves....
Lott Co-Author Admits to Gaping Flaws in Study
Professor David Mustard, the co-author of Lott's study, has conceded that there were serious flaws in their study - flaws that seriously undermine the conclusions. Mustard was deposed under oath in the Ohio concealed handgun case Klein v. Leis. Mustard admitted that: 1) the study "omitted variables" which could explain that changes in the crime rate are due to reasons other than changes in CCW laws, and 2) the study did not account for many of the major factors that Mustard believes affect crime including crack cocaine, wealth, drugs and alcohol use, and police practices such as community policing. These serious flaws completely undermine Lott's findings.
Lott Claims Computer Ate His Controversial CCW Survey
In his published research analysis, John Lott has claimed that a 1997 survey he conducted found that concealed handguns deterred crime without being fired an astoundingly high 98% of the time. That claim allowed Lott to explain away the fact that extremely few self-defense uses of handguns are ever reported. But when scholars began questioning his survey results, Lott began a series of evasions that culminated in the claim that his computer had crashed and he had "lost" all the data. The University of Chicago, where Lott claims he conducted the study, has no record of it being conducted so Lott began claiming that he funded it himself (and kept no records) and that he used students to make the survey calls (though no students have been identified who participated). Indeed, no records of the survey exist at all. Lott is now facing serious questions about whether he fabricated the entire survey - raising serious questions about his ethics and credibility.
pastafarian said:On the other hand, these dreamers who think that they're going to forestall government repression with a gaggle of yahoos waving handguns in the face of a professional, State-equipped army are just the type I don't want to find myself downrange of when I'm sighting in my new rifle...
pastafarian said:Are you in Ontario Pasta?
Yup.
Reverend Blair said:
In the ten years following the passage of Florida's concealed carry law in 1987, FBI reports show that the homicide rate fell 39%. -FBI, "Crime in the United States," Uniform Crime Reports, (1988).
Each year, firearms are used over 60 times more often to protect honest citizens than to take lives. Citizens shoot and kill at least twice as many criminals as police do. - Accident Facts, National Safety Council.
In 1982, Kennesaw, Georgia, passed a law requiring heads of households to keep at least one firearm in the house. The residential burglary rate dropped 89% In 1991, the residential burglary rate in Kennesaw was still 72% lower than in 1981. - Dr. Gary Kleck, Crime Control Through the Private Use of Armed Force.
In 1966-67, a highly publicized safety course taught Orlando, Florida women how to use guns. The result? Orlando's rape rate dropped 88% in 1967, whereas the rape rate remained constant in the rest of Florida and the nation. - Dr. G. Kleck, Crime Control.
Jo Canadian said:The proclamation of the Hangun ban does baffle me though. There are probably many liberal supporters who collect, and legally use handguns. Martin is taking a very big risk of alienating these people. :lol: It's a risky move considering what's going on right now, do you think Martins is shooting himself in the foot with this one?
You don't accept the NRA or Guns and Ammo magazine as a source, I don't accept the Brady Campaign as a source.
Professor David Mustard, the co-author of Lott's study, has conceded that there were serious flaws in their study - flaws that seriously undermine the conclusions. Mustard was deposed under oath in the Ohio concealed handgun case Klein v. Leis. Mustard admitted that: 1) the study "omitted variables" which could explain that changes in the crime rate are due to reasons other than changes in CCW laws, and 2) the study did not account for many of the major factors that Mustard believes affect crime including crack cocaine, wealth, drugs and alcohol use, and police practices such as community policing. These serious flaws completely undermine Lott's findings.
Reverend Blair said:There is nothing in any of those stories showing a direct correllation between gun ownership and a drop in crime, iamcanadian. To do so, you would have to show that there were no other factors, like increases/decreases in drug use; rises/drops in employment; cuts/rises in the availability of social programs etc. Even slight changes in demographics will skew statistics because most crimes are committed by people under thirty, so a drop in crime naturally accompanies and aging population.
Reverend Blair said:There is an onus on you not present data that is crap though, Jay. Presenting op-ed columns as proof is silly.
I put up a link in which the co-author of one of your experts testified under oath that the study being quoted to justify your position was fixed. Pertinent data was ignored and not included because it didn't fit the conclusion your "expert" wanted to reach.
You ignored, or more likely didn't bother to read, the information in the link. Instead you tried to denigrate the source without presenting any information whatsoever. When I C&Ped the pertinent passages from the link, you ignored them, Jay.
Now when I question the op-ed crap that iamcanadian puts up because it looks only at gun ownership without taking other factors into consideration...basically doing the same thing that discredited John Lott...your response is that you don't have to prove anything.
Bullshit. You have to prove that your data is accurate and pertinent and that it can be used to prove what you claim it proves.