Polls

#juan

Hall of Fame Member
Aug 30, 2005
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http://tinyurl.com/dmhr6

Tories falter in crucial battleground, but gain throughout West, poll finds

By TU THANH HA AND JANE TABER

Monday, December 5, 2005 Posted at 1:26 AM EST

From Monday's Globe and Mail

Montreal and St. John's — A week after the election writ was dropped, Conservative support in Ontario has sagged markedly, giving the Liberals a firm lead in the key battleground of the federal campaign, polling results indicate.

Nightly tracking numbers compiled by the Strategic Counsel for The Globe and Mail and CTV show that Paul Martin's Liberals have widened the five-point lead they enjoyed before the election was called to a 12-point gap.

The week before the election was called, the Liberals had 40-per-cent support in Ontario. It has remained stable and now stands at 42 per cent.
 

#juan

Hall of Fame Member
Aug 30, 2005
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What impressed me no1

was where the Liberals were in Ontario. If they can build on 42 pecent in Ontario percent and pick up a few seats in Quebec and a few in the west, they might make Harper wish he hadn't pushed so hard for an early election. The Libs seem to have support in the Maritimes.
 

no1important

Time Out
Jan 9, 2003
4,125
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Vancouver
members.shaw.ca
December 4th poll. (SES-CPAC)

From Here

Libs-37%
Cons-30%
NDP-16%
Bloc-13%
Greeen-5%

SES - Liberals lead by 9 Points

A teaser:

The Liberal up-tick was concentrated mostly in Ontario. Our daily Leadership Index which scores the leaders each day shows Martin fared better yesterday than both Harper and Layton. On the best PM front, unsure has mathematically surpassed Stephen Harper (Unsure Best PM 20, Harper Best PM 19) although still a statistical tie. [/teaser]

Decided Voters
LIB - 38% (+4)
CP - 29% (+1)
NDP - 15% (-5)
BQ - 14% (NC)
GP - 5% (+1)
*17% of Canadians were undecided (+3)

In Quebec:
BQ - 52% (-2)
LIB - 30% (+6)
CP - 9% (NC)
NDP - 6% (-2)
GP - 3% (-1)

Best PM
Martin - 30% (+1)
Unsure - 20% (+7)
Harper - 19% (-3)
None - 13% (+2)
Layton - 10% (-6)
Duceppe - 6% (-1)
Harris - 2% (-2)

Leadership Index (Daily composite of the Leaders' Trust, Competence and Vision)*
Martin - 82 (+6)
Harper - 49 (-11)
Duceppe - 30 (-13)
Layton - 25 (-5)
Harris - 8 (0)
* Change for this measure is from yesterday's composite score.

Click link above for the rest. Amazing How far Martin is ahead of Harper for Leadership and best PM.

Things do not look too good at the moment for the Harperites, I wonder why?
 

#juan

Hall of Fame Member
Aug 30, 2005
18,326
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Good spread of info no1

I listened to Harper today, talking about his twenty five dollar a week daycare plan and I think he is drawing a bead on his other foot.
 

Breakthrough2006

Electoral Member
Dec 2, 2005
172
0
16
Martin promises tax cuts that would put $600 into familes pockets and he is the second coming.

Harper promises $1,200 and everyone has to break it down to $25 per week.

Martins promise saves us $12/wk.

Not to mention that Martin has really done nothing during this campaign other than complain about other parties platforms, not just the Conservatives.
 

#juan

Hall of Fame Member
Aug 30, 2005
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Breakthrough2006

I think I would rather believe the guy who got us out of deficit financing and who is responsible for the great shape our economy is in.

The guy who ran up the bulk of our debt is Mulroney, one of Harper's buddies.
 

Breakthrough2006

Electoral Member
Dec 2, 2005
172
0
16
I think I would rather believe the guy who got us out of deficit financing and who is responsible for the great shape our economy is in.

He balanced the budget by crippling health care and other social programs. He downloaded Billions in transfer payments down to the provinces. Any teenager with a bachelors degree in economics could drastically cut spending, increase taxes and balance the budget. If he did all that without destroying health care, then I would consider voting for him.

As far as believing the guy. This is the same guy that "promised" to clean up government.
This is the same guy that "promised" to "Axe the Tax" (GST)
This is the same guy that "promised" to reduce waiting times.

There are too many lies to count. I would believe a chronic liar before I would believe Martin on any issue. Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me. I voted for him the last time. I would rather die than vote for Martin.
 

Reverend Blair

Council Member
Apr 3, 2004
1,238
1
38
Winnipeg
Martin promises tax cuts that would put $600 into familes pockets and he is the second coming.

That's true, and like Harper's plan it is inherently biased towards the wealthy. The breakdown on Harper's GST cut, assuming he ever got it through, would give rich people $600...$50 a week; working and lower middle class people about $400...$30 a week; and poor people about $200...less than $17 a week. Dropping the GST from specific items and keeping the overall rate the same would do more to help the poor and working class.

Martin's immediate cuts look better for the working and middle class, but his longer range plans again pander to the wealthy.

Harper promises $1,200 and everyone has to break it down to $25 per week.

That's because people tend to pay for child care on a weekly or monthly basis. If he was offering $25 a day, it would have roughly the same impact as the NDP plan, but at an incredibly high cost. Harper wants to pay June Cleaver's babysitting bill so she can go to her knitting club once a week. He's out of touch with Canadians.
 

Breakthrough2006

Electoral Member
Dec 2, 2005
172
0
16
That's because people tend to pay for child care on a weekly or monthly basis. If he was offering $25 a day, it would have roughly the same impact as the NDP plan, but at an incredibly high cost. Harper wants to pay June Cleaver's babysitting bill so she can go to her knitting club once a week. He's out of touch with Canadians.

Harper wants to give Canadians a choice. Whether it's mothers staying at home, paying Aunt Unice or going to a day care centre, every child gets the same amount of funding. The cookie cutter process of jamming every kid into an institutionalized day care centre may be the answer for some, but certainly not all.

That's true, and like Harper's plan it is inherently biased towards the wealthy. The breakdown on Harper's GST cut, assuming he ever got it through, would give rich people $600...$50 a week; working and lower middle class people about $400...$30 a week; and poor people about $200...less than $17 a week. Dropping the GST from specific items and keeping the overall rate the same would do more to help the poor and working class.

Martin's immediate cuts look better for the working and middle class, but his longer range plans again pander to the wealthy.

The point of the GST is that ALL Canadians pay GST no matter how rich or poor they are. Martins tax cuts do absolutely nothing for those on welfare or those that make little or no income. Everyone has to purchase something at some point and wil have to pay GST. If this was an NDP plank, you would say it was a brilliant plan.

And what would Harper do? The same thing, but quicker and meaner. Nice choices you guys are making.

These are not even answers. Quicker and meaner? :roll:
 

Reverend Blair

Council Member
Apr 3, 2004
1,238
1
38
Winnipeg
Harper wants to give Canadians a choice. Whether it's mothers staying at home, paying Aunt Unice or going to a day care centre, every child gets the same amount of funding.

Harper wants to return to the 1950s. Proper child care costs money and the most efficient way of providing it is through not-for-profit daycares. Those facilities also employ professionals so your kid can actually learn something while they're there.

Canadians still do have a choice, btw. Nobody is talking about kids being forced into daycare. If you want to stay home or leave your kid with drunken old Aunt Unice, that's up to you.



The point of the GST is that ALL Canadians pay GST no matter how rich or poor they are. Martins tax cuts do absolutely nothing for those on welfare or those that make little or no income.

Those people qualify for the GST rebate and don't buy luxuries. While the GST in its present form inequitable and regressive, Harper's plan does nothing to correct that. Removing the GST from some basic items would address those concerns though.

These are not even answers. Quicker and meaner?

Just going on Harper's record. He would have cut social programs more deeply. He would have scrapped the Canada Health Act and brought in private care.

Those are things that he said he would do while opposing things that you are complaining about Martin doing, so we're comparing apples with apples.
 

MMMike

Council Member
Mar 21, 2005
1,410
1
38
Toronto
Reverend Blair said:
Harper wants to return to the 1950s. Proper child care costs money and the most efficient way of providing it is through not-for-profit daycares. Those facilities also employ professionals so your kid can actually learn something while they're there.

Yes, god forbid uneducated parents actually raise children. Who knows what would happen? :roll: Just typical of you lefties: government always knows better.

Canadians still do have a choice, btw. Nobody is talking about kids being forced into daycare. If you want to stay home or leave your kid with drunken old Aunt Unice, that's up to you.

Sure they have a choice: choose our taxpayer funded, state-approved specialists or you are on your own. And if you can still fund the rich kids in the state run system while your at it. :roll:

Just going on Harper's record. He would have cut social programs more deeply. He would have scrapped the Canada Health Act and brought in private care.

So would Layton if you listen to him these days. Or would he? Its hard to tell with his flip flopping. What does he stand for anyway?
 

Reverend Blair

Council Member
Apr 3, 2004
1,238
1
38
Winnipeg
Yes, god forbid uneducated parents actually raise children. Who knows what would happen? Rolling Eyes Just typical of you lefties: government always knows better.

MMMikey, you are free to keep your kids locked in the basement if you want. The reality for most people is that most parents work and most grandparents, or even drunken Aunt Unice, really don't want to look after kids every day. That leaves daycare.

Expecting proper, professionally run daycare to be available to everybody isn't unreasonable at all. Harper's plan still leaves such daycare out of the hands of the working poor and much of the middle class. It's a substandard plan by a substandard man who lives in a fantasy world.





So would Layton if you listen to him these days. Or would he? Its hard to tell with his flip flopping. What does he stand for anyway?

Thought you'd try another run at that, did ya? Why were Conservatives phoning Manitobans from the US Senate?
 

#juan

Hall of Fame Member
Aug 30, 2005
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Back to Polls

At the current rate, Harper and the CPCs should sink below the Green party by next thursday.
 

no1important

Time Out
Jan 9, 2003
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Vancouver
members.shaw.ca
Martin, Harper both have strong negatives: poll

A teaser:

Prime Minister Paul Martin may be seen as dishonest and hypocritical, but people perceive Conservative Leader Stephen Harper as a charmless extremist, a new poll suggests.

"Both leaders are viewed as flawed individuals," pollster Tim Woolstencroft of The Strategic Counsel told CTV.ca on Monday.

[/teaser]

Some interesting numbers there and a link to all results.