So Pete hs inside information the news media isn't privy to.
Yeah. Doesnt look good for Likud.Isn't the election tomorrow?
Polls that have Likud losing?So Pete hs inside information the news media isn't privy to.
**Hezbollah (“Party of God”) exists primarily as a Lebanese Shia Islamist militant group and political party created in the early 1980s to resist Israeli forces in Lebanon, with strong Iranian backing to export the Islamic Revolution’s ideology and counter Israel and Western influence.**
It emerged amid the Lebanese Civil War (1975–1990) and the 1982 Israeli invasion of Lebanon (Operation Peace for Galilee). Israel invaded to expel the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO), which had been using southern Lebanon as a base for attacks on Israel. The invasion and subsequent occupation of parts of southern Lebanon radicalized many Lebanese Shia, who were traditionally the country’s poorest and most marginalized community under the confessional power-sharing system (dominated by Maronite Christians and Sunnis). Earlier groups like the more moderate Amal Movement existed, but a more radical Islamist current developed.
Key catalysts included:
- The 1979 Iranian Revolution, which inspired Shia Islamist activism and the doctrine of *wilayat al-faqih* (guardianship of the Islamic jurist), placing ultimate authority with Iran’s Supreme Leader.
- Israeli operations in 1978 and especially 1982, which caused widespread displacement and destruction in Shia areas.
- Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) support: Iran sent trainers, funds, weapons, and ideological guidance (including to the Bekaa Valley) to organize disparate Shia militants, often defectors from Amal or smaller Islamist cells, into a cohesive force. Syria also provided facilitation.
Hezbollah coalesced around 1982–1985. It formally announced itself with the 1985 “Open Letter” (manifesto) addressed to the “oppressed” in Lebanon and the world. This document pledged allegiance to Iran’s Ayatollah Khomeini, called for expelling Israeli, American, French, and other “colonialist” forces from Lebanon, destroying Israel (“the Zionist entity”), establishing an Islamic order (initially aiming toward an Islamic republic modeled on Iran), and fighting Western influence. Early activities included guerrilla warfare against Israeli forces and their Lebanese allies, as well as high-profile attacks such as the 1983 bombings of the U.S. Marine barracks and French forces in Beirut.
It survived and grew by combining military “resistance” (especially against the Israeli security zone in southern Lebanon until Israel’s 2000 withdrawal), extensive social welfare networks (schools, clinics, aid that built loyalty among Shia communities), and eventual entry into Lebanese politics. While its 2009 manifesto softened some explicit calls for an Islamic state in favor of “consensual democracy” and more nationalist language, core elements—opposition to Israel’s existence, loyalty to Iran’s leadership, and maintenance of an independent armed capability outside Lebanese state control—have persisted. It has functioned as Iran’s most capable proxy in the “Axis of Resistance,” involved in regional conflicts (e.g., supporting the Assad regime in Syria) while operating as a “state within a state” in Lebanon.
In short, Hezbollah was born from local Shia grievances and resistance to occupation during wartime chaos, deliberately shaped and sustained by Iran as a tool of revolutionary ideology, anti-Israel confrontation, and regional influence projection. Its continued existence rests on that dual local-political and Iranian-strategic foundation, even as Lebanon’s internal dynamics and external pressures have evolved.

You wish!! Nothing will change, more lives will be lost from both sides - meh, nothing to see here.Bibi is gone. Now things can change for the better.
If Israel survives itself.You wish!! Nothing will change, more lives will be lost from both sides - meh, nothing to see here.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and rival Gadi Eisenkot offered competing claims to lead Israel after Tuesday's election, with Netanyahu calling for a right-wing government and Eisenkot saying voters had rejected the longtime Israeli leader, even as exit polls left their blocs deadlocked.If Israel survives itself.
While the projected results would represent a setback for Netanyahu and his nationalist-religious coalition, the deadlock could work in his favour, leaving the 77-year-old in office as a caretaker prime minister during what are likely to be prolonged coalition negotiations or even until another election can be held.The vote drew record turnout as Israelis passed wartime judgment on Netanyahu in the first election since the Hamas-led attacks of October 7, 2023, and the ensuing wars in Gaza, Lebanon and Iran.
With vote counts trickling in, Kan 11 and Channel 13 exit polls had the blocs tied at 51 seats each, while Channel 12 gave Netanyahu's Likud-led bloc a narrow 52-49 edge. That left both sides short of the 61 seats needed for a majority in the 120-seat Knesset, and neither Netanyahu nor Eisenkot claimed victory.After the final tally is in, President Isaac Herzog will consult party leaders on whom they want as prime minister and then tap the candidate he believes has the best chance of forming a government. That nominee has up to 42 days to form a government.
Arab parties outside the two main blocs could hold the balance of power. But Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar party and a former military chief, has all but ruled out forming a government with them, complicating his path to power.Bibi is gone. Now things can change for the better.
Official results will start to be published overnight, but an estimated 600,000 absentee ballots cast mostly by military personnel - around 10% of the total number of votes - will not be fully counted until Thursday.The final tally is expected by October 30 and official election results are formally published a week after the election, on November 4, the day after the U.S. midterm election.
If they don't you'd better ensure that you're well armed because they're coming for you & me after they get Israel. You know that right??If Israel survives itself.
Well, that could complicate things.Arab parties outside the two main blocs could hold the balance of power. But Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar party and a former military chief, has all but ruled out forming a government with them, complicating his path to power.
With between 430,000 and 480,000 absentee ballots from groups including soldiers, diplomats and hospital patients yet to be counted, it could still take a day or two for the final election results to emerge.Few of the parties have declared a willingness to sit with the Arab parties, who are projected to receive a record-high 18 mandates, except for Yair Golan’s Democrats with their maybe nine seats.
If they fail, then ultimately there would have to be another election. By the way, the Arab-led parties, who are on course to win an unprecedented 19 seats…plus Yair Golan’s Democrats with their maybe nine seats…puts that coalition solidly way back in third place behind Netanyahu’s and then Eisenkot’s groups.Hurry up & wait. President Isaac Herzog will soon have to decide which of the two men gets the first chance to form Israel's next government, a decision that could prove particularly complicated given the apparent divisions emerging from the ballot box. Under Israeli law, the president must consult the Knesset factions before deciding who gets the task of forming a government.
Well, the unofficial tally continues to highlight Israel’s deep divides. Preliminary results have Netanyahu’s Likud party in the lead, with a projected 27 seats, compared to 21 for the opposition Yashar party. The pro-Netanyahu bloc appears to have eked out the anti-Netanyahu faction by a margin of 53-48, with the two Arab parties, Joint List and Ra’am, commanding a historic 19 seats in the 120-seat Knesset.Arab-led parties, who are on course to win an unprecedented 19 seats, could emerge as kingmakers, but all but one of the Jewish parties have pledged not to work with them.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and rival Gadi Eisenkot offered competing claims to lead Israel after Tuesday's election, with Netanyahu calling for a right-wing government and Eisenkot saying voters had rejected the longtime Israeli leader, even as exit polls left their blocs deadlocked.
While the projected results would represent a setback for Netanyahu and his nationalist-religious coalition, the deadlock could work in his favour, leaving the 77-year-old in office as a caretaker prime minister during what are likely to be prolonged coalition negotiations or even until another election can be held.
With vote counts trickling in, Kan 11 and Channel 13 exit polls had the blocs tied at 51 seats each, while Channel 12 gave Netanyahu's Likud-led bloc a narrow 52-49 edge. That left both sides short of the 61 seats needed for a majority in the 120-seat Knesset, and neither Netanyahu nor Eisenkot claimed victory.
Arab parties outside the two main blocs could hold the balance of power. But Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar party and a former military chief, has all but ruled out forming a government with them, complicating his path to power.
Voter turnout was 77.7%, Israel's Central Elections Committee said, the highest in more than two decades and around 7 percentage points higher than in 2022.![]()
Netanyahu, Eisenkot stake rival claims to lead Israel after deadlocked vote — Reuters
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and rival Gadi Eisenkot offered competing claims to lead Israel after Tuesday's election, with Netanyahu calling for a right-wing government and Eisenkot saying voters had rejected the longtime Israeli leader, even as exit polls left their blocs deadlocked.apple.news
Final results are expected on Thursday or Friday, and Israel's fragmented political system leaves smaller parties potential kingmakers in coalition negotiations that have run to weeks or months after past elections. If neither bloc can form a government, another vote may need to be held, something Eisenkot opposed given the high voter turnout.
Eisenkot offers a break with Netanyahu's leadership and far-right allies, but not with the hawkish approach to security that has become more entrenched since the 2023 Hamas attack. He opposes Palestinian statehood and says Hamas' military wing must be destroyed or dismantled. Eisenkot says Israel's response — a war that has killed more than 74,000 Palestinians, according to Gaza health authorities — was a failure because Hamas remains in charge.
Official results will start to be published overnight, but an estimated 600,000 absentee ballots cast mostly by military personnel - around 10% of the total number of votes - will not be fully counted until Thursday.
It’s just after 6am in Tel Aviv where Israelis are waking up to exit polls that show no clear victor in yesterday’s elections, with uncertainty guaranteed at this point. The polls published by Israel’s major TV networks show Benjamin Netanyahu’s governing bloc tied with the opposition grouping led by Gadi Eisenkot on 51 seats each, short of the 61 seats needed to form a majority coalition government.![]()
Israeli exit polls suggest no clear winner in pivotal general election — BBC News
Two polls project that veteran PM Benjamin Netanyahu and former military chief Gadi Eisenkot are tied, with neither winning a majority.apple.news
The Palestinian parties are projected to dramatically increase their representation in the Knesset, with predictions they could win as many as 18 seats, up from 10. Experts have said that if Eisenkot falls short of a majority, as the exit polls suggest, he would be obliged to sit down to talk to the Palestinian groupings, the Joint List and Ra’am, to try to form a government – which could take weeks.
Hurry up & wait. President Isaac Herzog will soon have to decide which of the two men gets the first chance to form Israel's next government, a decision that could prove particularly complicated given the apparent divisions emerging from the ballot box. Under Israeli law, the president must consult the Knesset factions before deciding who gets the task of forming a government.![]()
Israel election results live: vote count underway as exit polls point to tie between Netanyahu and Eisenkot blocs — Guardian US
Both blocs fall short of the 61 seats needed to form a government in initial forecasts as support for Palestinian parties surgesapple.news
The question of how Eisenkot might assemble a coalition remains unanswered. Few of the parties have declared a willingness to sit with the Arab parties, who are projected to receive a record-high 18 mandates, except for Yair Golan’s Democrats with their maybe nine seats. We should remember these are only exit polls, and the final results may still change, particularly with several smaller parties hovering around the electoral threshold.
View attachment 36062![]()
Netanyahu or Eisenkot? Israel's election leaves Herzog with an impossible choice - comment — The Jerusalem Post
With Likud emerging as the largest party but Gadi Eisenkot's opposition bloc ahead in the initial exit polls, the president faces a difficult decision over who should be given the first opportunity.apple.news
to bibi or not to bibi that is the question![]()
Lets rewind to weeks before Oct 7 2023Maybe they will get lucky and trump will declare israel the 51st state. Then he could rename Jerusalem Donnyton.
They already have you hook, line and sphincter.If they don't you'd better ensure that you're well armed because they're coming for you & me after they get Israel. You know that right??
Lets review the facts shall we.Lets rewind to weeks before Oct 7 2023
From July 2023
Israel on the Brink
An extremist government’s assault on the courts has inflamed the country and invigorated its liberal camp.
By Ruth Margalit
July 30, 2023
![]()
Illustration by João Fazenda
In Israel, the saying goes, there are four seasons: election, war, strike, and summer. These bleak, blazing days in the country are a result of the first. Last year, elections brought to power the most extremist government in its history. Israel has no written constitution, but until last week the authority of the government and the Prime Minister was limited by the Supreme Court’s ability to overturn decisions and appointments that it deemed “extremely unreasonable.” Now the Knesset, with its right-wing majority, has passed a law eliminating this power, and legal experts warn that a rise in cronyism and corruption is likely. As Mordechai Kremnitzer, a scholar of constitutional law, wrote in the liberal newspaper Haaretz, “Limiting the judicial review will encourage the government to make unacceptable decisions, both in Israel proper and in the occupied territories.”
The new law can hardly be seen in isolation. It is just the first fissure in an already fragile edifice. The measure is part of a planned legislative package aimed at transforming Israel from a liberal democracy—for its citizens, but not, crucially, for the roughly 2.5 million Palestinians under military occupation in the West Bank—into a hollow democracy, with only the veneer of competitive elections, a free press, and independent courts. Right-wing legislators seek to change the makeup of the committee that selects judges, diminish the role of Israel’s Attorney General, and allow government ministers to act against the advice of legal counsels. They also intend to enshrine the exemption of the ultra-Orthodox from serving in the military.
The divisions in Israeli society have never been more distinct or alarming. The ultra-Orthodox, settlers in the West Bank, and other hard-right factions represent between fifteen and thirty per cent of the public, but in the current political battle their interests have so far taken precedence over those of every other sector of society. Leaders of industry and of the security establishment are among the protesters in the streets. So are many religious citizens and people who hardly consider themselves left-wing. Last week, a hundred and fifty of the country’s biggest firms, along with almost all the country’s doctors, went on strike. For the first time in Israel’s history, there is even a risk to its military preparedness: thousands of reservists, including hundreds of pilots, have signed letters saying that they may suspend their volunteer duty.
Knesset’s vote, the few relatively moderate voices remaining in Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition tried to assure the public—and the troubled markets—that the legislative effort would end after the elimination of the “unreasonableness” standard. Their assurances were belied by Itamar Ben-Gvir, the extremist minister of national security, who tweeted, “The salad bar is open.” In other words, his faction is just beginning to reveal its appetites. Netanyahu himself attempted to frame the passage of the law as a technical matter, describing it, in an interview with ABC News, as a “minor correction.” But, if it is indeed trivial, why bring Israel to the brink of civil war? The fact is that the Prime Minister is on trial for corruption, facing charges of bribery, fraud, and breach of trust, all of which he denies. Critics argue that there is a direct line between his legal woes and the package of bills, particularly those which would curb the powers of Israel’s already beleaguered Attorney General.
Seven months of unrelenting protests failed to quash the judicial overhaul. But they have awakened Israel’s liberal camp, giving it a sense of purpose. Tens of thousands of Israelis marched on Jerusalem last week, and slept in tents outside parliament. In Tel Aviv, protesters faced off against an increasingly violent police force that charged at them on horseback. The leaders of the protest movement have announced that they are expanding their fight to include “financial strikes” and the provision of security for the gatekeepers of civil society.