Hamas attacks Israel
- Thread starter Serryah
- Start date
Lebanese armed group Hezbollah has spent three months preparing for a possible resumption of hostilities with Israel, after receiving an infusion of cash from Iran, according to Lebanese security personnel briefed on its activities. The group, founded by Iran's Revolutionary Guards in 1982, has been dealt severe blows in two wars with Israel since 2024, with thousands of fighters and many of its leaders killed, and much of its arsenal destroyed.
Invading Israeli forces now occupy its heartland of villages in southern Lebanon, and political pressure has built up in Beirut for its disarmament. Following Hezbollah's cross-border rocket attacks—which triggered a massive Israeli offensive and large-scale displacement—the Lebanese government officially banned Hezbollah from all security and military functions, ordering it to act solely as a political party.
Hezbollah nevertheless remains committed to fighting Israel and has used a lull in hostilities since June to rearm, with a focus on procuring explosives and producing drones that can be flown into Israeli positions, two Lebanese security sources told Reuters. Lebanese leadership (including President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam) has publicly criticized Hezbollah for dragging the country into foreign wars unrelated to Lebanese interests, and has pushed for state control of the south and direct talks with Israel.
One of the sources, and another close to Hezbollah, said the group had received tens of millions of dollars from Iran to help boost its military capabilities. That is in addition to around $200 million that the group received from Tehran to aid displaced families in its Shi'ite heartlands, which Reuters reported earlier this month. Many Lebanese citizens across the country blame Hezbollah for the widespread destruction, casualties, and displacement caused by retaliatory Israeli strikes.
Hezbollah is still restocking, acknowledging this month that explosives seized by Lebanese authorities belonged to it and were intended for use against Israel. A Hezbollah official and a Lebanese security source told Reuters they were specifically for its explosive drones. Public sentiment heavily splits by religious sect. According to polling analysis from The Washington Institute, roughly 75% of Christians and 56% of Sunnis favor political negotiations over military solutions, whereas only about 25% of Shia respondents share that view, reflecting Hezbollah's core constituency and its alliance with Iran.
apple.news
Israel holds a parliamentary election today, its first since the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023 that shook the country and plunged the Middle East into turmoil, and Hezbollah’s attacks on Israel the very next day. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's hold on power is at stake, with centrist rivals promising to usher in a new era, but it might take time before clear results are known.
Voting starts at 7 a.m. (0500 GMT) and ends at 10 p.m. (2000 GMT), when Israeli TV channels will air exit polls giving the first indications of the outcome. The election results will then start coming in. A clear picture may emerge quickly but if no party or group of parties has a clear parliamentary majority, it could take much longer.
The final tally is expected by October 30 and official election results are formally published a week after the election, on November 4, the day after the U.S. midterm election.
apple.news
After the final tally is in, President Isaac Herzog will consult party leaders on whom they want as prime minister and then tap the candidate he believes has the best chance of forming a government. That nominee has up to 42 days to form a government.
Invading Israeli forces now occupy its heartland of villages in southern Lebanon, and political pressure has built up in Beirut for its disarmament. Following Hezbollah's cross-border rocket attacks—which triggered a massive Israeli offensive and large-scale displacement—the Lebanese government officially banned Hezbollah from all security and military functions, ordering it to act solely as a political party.
Hezbollah nevertheless remains committed to fighting Israel and has used a lull in hostilities since June to rearm, with a focus on procuring explosives and producing drones that can be flown into Israeli positions, two Lebanese security sources told Reuters. Lebanese leadership (including President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam) has publicly criticized Hezbollah for dragging the country into foreign wars unrelated to Lebanese interests, and has pushed for state control of the south and direct talks with Israel.
One of the sources, and another close to Hezbollah, said the group had received tens of millions of dollars from Iran to help boost its military capabilities. That is in addition to around $200 million that the group received from Tehran to aid displaced families in its Shi'ite heartlands, which Reuters reported earlier this month. Many Lebanese citizens across the country blame Hezbollah for the widespread destruction, casualties, and displacement caused by retaliatory Israeli strikes.
Hezbollah is still restocking, acknowledging this month that explosives seized by Lebanese authorities belonged to it and were intended for use against Israel. A Hezbollah official and a Lebanese security source told Reuters they were specifically for its explosive drones. Public sentiment heavily splits by religious sect. According to polling analysis from The Washington Institute, roughly 75% of Christians and 56% of Sunnis favor political negotiations over military solutions, whereas only about 25% of Shia respondents share that view, reflecting Hezbollah's core constituency and its alliance with Iran.
Hezbollah readies for new regional war with funds from Iran, sources say — Reuters
Lebanese armed group Hezbollah has spent three months preparing for a possible resumption of hostilities with Israel, after receiving an infusion of cash from Iran, according to Lebanese security personnel briefed on its activities.
Voting starts at 7 a.m. (0500 GMT) and ends at 10 p.m. (2000 GMT), when Israeli TV channels will air exit polls giving the first indications of the outcome. The election results will then start coming in. A clear picture may emerge quickly but if no party or group of parties has a clear parliamentary majority, it could take much longer.
The final tally is expected by October 30 and official election results are formally published a week after the election, on November 4, the day after the U.S. midterm election.
Explainer: Israel election: What happens after polls close? — Reuters
Israel holds a parliamentary election on Tuesday, its first since the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023 that shook the country and plunged the Middle East into turmoil.
Why does Hezbollah exist?
**Hezbollah (“Party of God”) exists primarily as a Lebanese Shia Islamist militant group and political party created in the early 1980s to resist Israeli forces in Lebanon, with strong Iranian backing to export the Islamic Revolution’s ideology and counter Israel and Western influence.**
It emerged amid the Lebanese Civil War (1975–1990) and the 1982 Israeli invasion of Lebanon (Operation Peace for Galilee). Israel invaded to expel the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO), which had been using southern Lebanon as a base for attacks on Israel. The invasion and subsequent occupation of parts of southern Lebanon radicalized many Lebanese Shia, who were traditionally the country’s poorest and most marginalized community under the confessional power-sharing system (dominated by Maronite Christians and Sunnis). Earlier groups like the more moderate Amal Movement existed, but a more radical Islamist current developed.
Key catalysts included:
- The 1979 Iranian Revolution, which inspired Shia Islamist activism and the doctrine of *wilayat al-faqih* (guardianship of the Islamic jurist), placing ultimate authority with Iran’s Supreme Leader.
- Israeli operations in 1978 and especially 1982, which caused widespread displacement and destruction in Shia areas.
- Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) support: Iran sent trainers, funds, weapons, and ideological guidance (including to the Bekaa Valley) to organize disparate Shia militants, often defectors from Amal or smaller Islamist cells, into a cohesive force. Syria also provided facilitation.
Hezbollah coalesced around 1982–1985. It formally announced itself with the 1985 “Open Letter” (manifesto) addressed to the “oppressed” in Lebanon and the world. This document pledged allegiance to Iran’s Ayatollah Khomeini, called for expelling Israeli, American, French, and other “colonialist” forces from Lebanon, destroying Israel (“the Zionist entity”), establishing an Islamic order (initially aiming toward an Islamic republic modeled on Iran), and fighting Western influence. Early activities included guerrilla warfare against Israeli forces and their Lebanese allies, as well as high-profile attacks such as the 1983 bombings of the U.S. Marine barracks and French forces in Beirut.
It survived and grew by combining military “resistance” (especially against the Israeli security zone in southern Lebanon until Israel’s 2000 withdrawal), extensive social welfare networks (schools, clinics, aid that built loyalty among Shia communities), and eventual entry into Lebanese politics. While its 2009 manifesto softened some explicit calls for an Islamic state in favor of “consensual democracy” and more nationalist language, core elements—opposition to Israel’s existence, loyalty to Iran’s leadership, and maintenance of an independent armed capability outside Lebanese state control—have persisted. It has functioned as Iran’s most capable proxy in the “Axis of Resistance,” involved in regional conflicts (e.g., supporting the Assad regime in Syria) while operating as a “state within a state” in Lebanon.
In short, Hezbollah was born from local Shia grievances and resistance to occupation during wartime chaos, deliberately shaped and sustained by Iran as a tool of revolutionary ideology, anti-Israel confrontation, and regional influence projection. Its continued existence rests on that dual local-political and Iranian-strategic foundation, even as Lebanon’s internal dynamics and external pressures have evolved.
**Hezbollah (“Party of God”) exists primarily as a Lebanese Shia Islamist militant group and political party created in the early 1980s to resist Israeli forces in Lebanon, with strong Iranian backing to export the Islamic Revolution’s ideology and counter Israel and Western influence.**
It emerged amid the Lebanese Civil War (1975–1990) and the 1982 Israeli invasion of Lebanon (Operation Peace for Galilee). Israel invaded to expel the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO), which had been using southern Lebanon as a base for attacks on Israel. The invasion and subsequent occupation of parts of southern Lebanon radicalized many Lebanese Shia, who were traditionally the country’s poorest and most marginalized community under the confessional power-sharing system (dominated by Maronite Christians and Sunnis). Earlier groups like the more moderate Amal Movement existed, but a more radical Islamist current developed.
Key catalysts included:
- The 1979 Iranian Revolution, which inspired Shia Islamist activism and the doctrine of *wilayat al-faqih* (guardianship of the Islamic jurist), placing ultimate authority with Iran’s Supreme Leader.
- Israeli operations in 1978 and especially 1982, which caused widespread displacement and destruction in Shia areas.
- Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) support: Iran sent trainers, funds, weapons, and ideological guidance (including to the Bekaa Valley) to organize disparate Shia militants, often defectors from Amal or smaller Islamist cells, into a cohesive force. Syria also provided facilitation.
Hezbollah coalesced around 1982–1985. It formally announced itself with the 1985 “Open Letter” (manifesto) addressed to the “oppressed” in Lebanon and the world. This document pledged allegiance to Iran’s Ayatollah Khomeini, called for expelling Israeli, American, French, and other “colonialist” forces from Lebanon, destroying Israel (“the Zionist entity”), establishing an Islamic order (initially aiming toward an Islamic republic modeled on Iran), and fighting Western influence. Early activities included guerrilla warfare against Israeli forces and their Lebanese allies, as well as high-profile attacks such as the 1983 bombings of the U.S. Marine barracks and French forces in Beirut.
It survived and grew by combining military “resistance” (especially against the Israeli security zone in southern Lebanon until Israel’s 2000 withdrawal), extensive social welfare networks (schools, clinics, aid that built loyalty among Shia communities), and eventual entry into Lebanese politics. While its 2009 manifesto softened some explicit calls for an Islamic state in favor of “consensual democracy” and more nationalist language, core elements—opposition to Israel’s existence, loyalty to Iran’s leadership, and maintenance of an independent armed capability outside Lebanese state control—have persisted. It has functioned as Iran’s most capable proxy in the “Axis of Resistance,” involved in regional conflicts (e.g., supporting the Assad regime in Syria) while operating as a “state within a state” in Lebanon.
In short, Hezbollah was born from local Shia grievances and resistance to occupation during wartime chaos, deliberately shaped and sustained by Iran as a tool of revolutionary ideology, anti-Israel confrontation, and regional influence projection. Its continued existence rests on that dual local-political and Iranian-strategic foundation, even as Lebanon’s internal dynamics and external pressures have evolved.
Summed up in a single picture.
Israeli exit polls show election deadlock, no clear path to power — Reuters
Israel's election appeared deadlocked on Tuesday with neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu nor rival Gadi Eisenkot showing a clear path to power, exit polls showed, after record turnout in a wartime vote that raised the prospect of prolonged coalition bargaining or another election.
You wish!! Nothing will change, more lives will be lost from both sides - meh, nothing to see here.
Israeli exit polls show election deadlock, no clear path to power — Reuters
Israel's election appeared deadlocked on Tuesday with neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu nor rival Gadi Eisenkot showing a clear path to power, exit polls showed, after record turnout in a wartime vote that raised the prospect of prolonged coalition bargaining or another election.
The major networks showed the Eisenkot-led bloc winning between 52 and 53 seats, and the Netanyahu-led bloc winning around 50 seats. The remaining 17 to 18 seats were allocated to unaligned Arab parties in the exit polls.
The vote drew record turnout as Israelis passed wartime judgment on Netanyahu in the first election since the Hamas-led attacks of October 7, 2023, and the ensuing wars in Gaza, Lebanon and Iran.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and rival Gadi Eisenkot offered competing claims to lead Israel after Tuesday's election, with Netanyahu calling for a right-wing government and Eisenkot saying voters had rejected the longtime Israeli leader, even as exit polls left their blocs deadlocked.
While the projected results would represent a setback for Netanyahu and his nationalist-religious coalition, the deadlock could work in his favour, leaving the 77-year-old in office as a caretaker prime minister during what are likely to be prolonged coalition negotiations or even until another election can be held.
With vote counts trickling in, Kan 11 and Channel 13 exit polls had the blocs tied at 51 seats each, while Channel 12 gave Netanyahu's Likud-led bloc a narrow 52-49 edge. That left both sides short of the 61 seats needed for a majority in the 120-seat Knesset, and neither Netanyahu nor Eisenkot claimed victory.
Arab parties outside the two main blocs could hold the balance of power. But Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar party and a former military chief, has all but ruled out forming a government with them, complicating his path to power.
Netanyahu, Eisenkot stake rival claims to lead Israel after deadlocked vote — Reuters
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and rival Gadi Eisenkot offered competing claims to lead Israel after Tuesday's election, with Netanyahu calling for a right-wing government and Eisenkot saying voters had rejected the longtime Israeli leader, even as exit polls left their blocs deadlocked.
Final results are expected on Thursday or Friday, and Israel's fragmented political system leaves smaller parties potential kingmakers in coalition negotiations that have run to weeks or months after past elections. If neither bloc can form a government, another vote may need to be held, something Eisenkot opposed given the high voter turnout.
Eisenkot offers a break with Netanyahu's leadership and far-right allies, but not with the hawkish approach to security that has become more entrenched since the 2023 Hamas attack. He opposes Palestinian statehood and says Hamas' military wing must be destroyed or dismantled. Eisenkot says Israel's response — a war that has killed more than 74,000 Palestinians, according to Gaza health authorities — was a failure because Hamas remains in charge.
Official results will start to be published overnight, but an estimated 600,000 absentee ballots cast mostly by military personnel - around 10% of the total number of votes - will not be fully counted until Thursday.
Israeli exit polls suggest no clear winner in pivotal general election — BBC News
Two polls project that veteran PM Benjamin Netanyahu and former military chief Gadi Eisenkot are tied, with neither winning a majority.
The Palestinian parties are projected to dramatically increase their representation in the Knesset, with predictions they could win as many as 18 seats, up from 10. Experts have said that if Eisenkot falls short of a majority, as the exit polls suggest, he would be obliged to sit down to talk to the Palestinian groupings, the Joint List and Ra’am, to try to form a government – which could take weeks.
Israel election results live: vote count underway as exit polls point to tie between Netanyahu and Eisenkot blocs — Guardian US
Both blocs fall short of the 61 seats needed to form a government in initial forecasts as support for Palestinian parties surges
The question of how Eisenkot might assemble a coalition remains unanswered. Few of the parties have declared a willingness to sit with the Arab parties, who are projected to receive a record-high 18 mandates, except for Yair Golan’s Democrats with their maybe nine seats. We should remember these are only exit polls, and the final results may still change, particularly with several smaller parties hovering around the electoral threshold.
Netanyahu or Eisenkot? Israel's election leaves Herzog with an impossible choice - comment — The Jerusalem Post
With Likud emerging as the largest party but Gadi Eisenkot's opposition bloc ahead in the initial exit polls, the president faces a difficult decision over who should be given the first opportunity.
If they don't you'd better ensure that you're well armed because they're coming for you & me after they get Israel. You know that right??
Anywho, back to Israel and its election. With 85% of ballots counted, Netanyahu's Likud party and its far-right and ultra-Orthodox Jewish allies were on track to win 53 seats in the 120-seat Knesset. Eisenkot's Yashar party and three other Jewish opposition parties in his bloc were set for 48. Both leaders have said they will try to form a governing coalition….with someone or another, right?
Arab-led parties, who are on course to win an unprecedented 19 seats, could emerge as kingmakers, but all but one of the Jewish parties have pledged not to work with them.
Once they are confirmed, President Isaac Herzog will hold consultations with all the political factions and invite the leader whom he believes has the best chance of success to form a government - a process that could take weeks…or longer…
Eisenkot offers a break with Netanyahu's leadership and far-right allies, but not with the hawkish approach to security that has become more entrenched since the 2023 Hamas attack. He opposes Palestinian statehood and says Hamas' military wing must be destroyed or dismantled…& this is the Centerist Moderate Party guy for perspective.
Eisenkot, 66, who lost a son and two nephews in the Gaza war entered politics only four years ago and joined Netanyahu's war cabinet after the 2023 Hamas attack, but quit eight months later, criticising the prime minister's leadership…’cuz Netanyahu didn’t go far enough with Gaza. Careful what you wish for.
If neither Netanyahu’s and then Eisenkot’s party’s are willing to form a coalition with the Arab parties, that leaves a coalition with…
…with each other
, the Israeli president, deciding which one of these two Yahoo’s is going to be the Prime Minister, and currently Netanyahu has the most seats. Whomever gets to sit in the big chair would have 53 + 48 =101/120 seats in the Knesset. Just food for thought, & if these two coalition groups can’t play well with each other, then they go back to another election, and this one was record turn out.
apple.news
It’ll be interesting to see where this still uncounted 10% of the population’s votes fall. Assuming 10% is about 12 seats, even if the Arab parties got all of those plus the Jewish conservative group with their 9 seats would still be in third place as far as a coalition goes. I’m oversimplifying the math here, but just throwing it out there for perspective, as this 10% can swing what’s considered counted seats all over the place.
apple.news
Arab-led parties, who are on course to win an unprecedented 19 seats, could emerge as kingmakers, but all but one of the Jewish parties have pledged not to work with them.
Well, that could complicate things.
With between 430,000 and 480,000 absentee ballots from groups including soldiers, diplomats and hospital patients yet to be counted, it could still take a day or two for the final election results to emerge.
Once they are confirmed, President Isaac Herzog will hold consultations with all the political factions and invite the leader whom he believes has the best chance of success to form a government - a process that could take weeks…or longer…
If they fail, then ultimately there would have to be another election. By the way, the Arab-led parties, who are on course to win an unprecedented 19 seats…plus Yair Golan’s Democrats with their maybe nine seats…puts that coalition solidly way back in third place behind Netanyahu’s and then Eisenkot’s groups.
Eisenkot offers a break with Netanyahu's leadership and far-right allies, but not with the hawkish approach to security that has become more entrenched since the 2023 Hamas attack. He opposes Palestinian statehood and says Hamas' military wing must be destroyed or dismantled…& this is the Centerist Moderate Party guy for perspective.
Eisenkot, 66, who lost a son and two nephews in the Gaza war entered politics only four years ago and joined Netanyahu's war cabinet after the 2023 Hamas attack, but quit eight months later, criticising the prime minister's leadership…’cuz Netanyahu didn’t go far enough with Gaza. Careful what you wish for.
If neither Netanyahu’s and then Eisenkot’s party’s are willing to form a coalition with the Arab parties, that leaves a coalition with…
…with each other
, the Israeli president, deciding which one of these two Yahoo’s is going to be the Prime Minister, and currently Netanyahu has the most seats. Whomever gets to sit in the big chair would have 53 + 48 =101/120 seats in the Knesset. Just food for thought, & if these two coalition groups can’t play well with each other, then they go back to another election, and this one was record turn out.Netanyahu's bloc leading Israel election but short of majority, partial results show — BBC News
With 85% of ballots counted, Netanyahu's Likud party and its allies are set to win 53 seats in the 120-seat Knesset.
Caretaker role could limit Netanyahu but not rule out war with Iran — Reuters
Benjamin Netanyahu is expected to face more constraints as Israel's caretaker prime minister after Tuesday's election, but experts say his government could still retain significant powers including when it comes to waging war on Iran.
Well, the unofficial tally continues to highlight Israel’s deep divides. Preliminary results have Netanyahu’s Likud party in the lead, with a projected 27 seats, compared to 21 for the opposition Yashar party. The pro-Netanyahu bloc appears to have eked out the anti-Netanyahu faction by a margin of 53-48, with the two Arab parties, Joint List and Ra’am, commanding a historic 19 seats in the 120-seat Knesset.
Neither side is close to the 61-seat threshold needed for a majority, which could lead to weeks, or even months, of political instability, and possibly another election in the new year. This is a scenario that would not be in Israel’s interests, which is why President Isaac Herzog, whose role is functionally equivalent to our governor general, is calling on party leaders to do everything they can to avoid another round of elections.
Next week, after the results are certified, Herzog will meet with party leaders and decide which one has the best chance of forming a stable coalition. The candidate will then have 28 days to attempt to forge an alliance that can command the confidence of the legislature, with an optional 14-day extension. If that fails, the president will have the option of repeating the process with someone else.
According to the Israel Democracy Institute, past coalition-building exercises have taken between 20 and 100 days, with none producing a stable government in less than 50 days over the past two decades.
Meanwhile, Hamas has vowed to launch another October 7-style attack, the U.S. is said to be considering renewed strikes on Iran, Hezbollah is reportedly preparing for another round of conflict, the IDF is stretched to its limits and violence, perpetrated by both Palestinian and Israeli extremists, is roiling the West Bank.
During a period of deep political instability between 2019 and 2022, Israelis went to the polls five times. But that was before Hamas terrorists slaughtered 1,200 people in southern Israel, sparking a multi-front war that now includes Hezbollah, the Houthis and Iran, and putting immense strain on Israel’s military, economy and alliances.
Israelis were fully aware of the stakes of this election, the first to take place since Hamas’s October 7 massacre: turnout was the highest it’s been in a quarter century, with 77.7 per cent of eligible voters casting a ballot, and the airport was full of expats returning home to have a say in their country’s future.
Jesse Kline: Election could not have turned out worse for Israel — National Post
We are entering a period of political instability at a time when decisive leadership and fresh ideas are sorely needed
Maybe they will get lucky and trump will declare israel the 51st state. Then he could rename Jerusalem Donnyton.