The regulations are designed to push Canada toward a net-zero electricity grid — with a stick instead of a carrot. In 2035, they would
ban carbon dioxide emissions over a certain level in electricity generation (with some flexibility
permitted: carbon capture and storage could be used to mitigate net emissions, and the new standards would be phased in for older plants).
Rules would apply to any plant running on fossil fuels with 25MW of generation capacity or more, capturing most plants — for context,
TransAlta’s smallest Canadian fossil fuel plant has 70MW of capacity, with most being over 200MW.
New regulations wouldn’t apply to remote and northern communities immediately as they work on eliminating their 'dependencies' on fossil fuels, said Steven Guilbeault
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The cost of speeding up this process is a whopping $54 billion,
according to the environment department. The
cost-benefit analysis only begins to see positive returns in 2036 — and it’s important to remember that Liberals are
notorious for over-estimating savings and under-estimating costs.
As far as who will bear the brunt of the changes, Nunavut would feel the
impact the most — the entirety of its electricity generation comes from burning fuel. Alberta would also take a significant hit (85 per cent of the grid is electrified by hydrocarbon combustion), followed closely by Nova Scotia and Saskatchewan (79 and 78 per cent respectively).
While it’s laudable that these premiers (of these most affected provinces) are ready to defend their jurisdictions against encroachment, it’s not a safe bet that they would win. The provinces will argue that electrical energy is their responsibility under the Constitution, but the feds will counter that the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions is a matter of national concern and is therefore a federal responsibility.
It’s
estimated that by 2025, 14.3 per cent of Canada’s electricity generation will be causing emissions. But even with no regulatory changes, the government expects this to halve to 7.1 per cent by 2035 due to existing reduction targets and infrastructure upgrades. With the regulatory changes, that figure would fall more steeply to 3.8 per cent.
Canada is already on a path to a low-emissions future. Speeding that up will come at a severe cost.
Proposed $54B plan could pose a trap for the Conservatives if they win the next election
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University of Calgary law professor Martin Olszynski said the federal government’s regulations, which set up a specific prohibition on greenhouse gases from power production, appear to take advantage of Ottawa’s criminal enforcement powers. He said those powers go beyond what people typically associate with criminality and allow the government to prohibit certain things, such as tobacco advertising or toxic substances, when it can demonstrate a clear purpose for doing so.
He said there is a lot of precedent going back decades that allows the government to use these powers on a national scale to regulate the environment and he sees an uphill battle for any constitutional challenge.
“The reality I think is that the horses left the barn a long time ago, 20 to 30 years ago,” he said. “On the basis of precedent, I think the feds have a pretty good argument.”
The fact the carbon-tax case was not settled with a unanimous decision is proof that there is room for debate on what the government’s powers are in this area, says one professor
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No matter how high the Trudeau government raises carbon taxes, carbon prices and imposes new federal regulations adding to the costs of liquid fossil fuels and electricity, none of it matters in terms of global climate change and certainly won’t impact the amount of severe weather in Canada.
Our current Government are asking Canadians to pay higher prices for energy not in order to have any practical effect on the amount of severe weather we experience in Canada or globally, because nothing we do in Canada will reduce severe weather, even if we could magically lower our emissions to net zero tomorrow.
Rather, the federal government wants us to pay more for energy – whether for driving our cars or heating our homes – so that they have the
“moral authority” to urge other nations, particularly in the developing world where emissions are rising the fastest, to lower their emissions.
Every time the Trudeau government levies a new charge on Canadians to pay for greenhouse gas emissions, it’s useful to keep in mind that global energy-related emissions rose to their highest level in human history last year. As reported by the International Energy Agency, at 36.8 billion tonnes...
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