POLL: Only 25% think Trudeau should get a second term
Brian Lilley
Published:
October 6, 2019
Updated:
October 6, 2019 4:06 PM EDT
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, Leader of the Liberal Party of Canada, arrives at the French debate for the 2019 federal election, the "Face-a-Face 2019" presented in the TVA studios, in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, on October 2, 2019. (Sebastien ST-JEAN / AFP) (Photo by SEBASTIEN ST-JEAN/AFP via Getty Images)
It’s not good news for Justin Trudeau and the Liberals as they head into the English language leaders debate on Monday night: Just 25% of the country believes he deserves to be re-elected.
That is one of the findings of a poll conducted for the Toronto Sun as part of the DART & Maru/Blue Voice Canada Poll.
When asked if it is time for a change in government or if the government deserved to be re-elected, 55% said it was time for a change compared to 25% who indicated Trudeau and the Liberals had done a good job. That number sits well below the percentage of the voting public that says they are likely to cast a ballot for the Liberals in two weeks time.
That’s a worrying figure for the Liberals, say polling experts, because it speaks to a less motivated voter base.
“This measurement is important because it oftentimes portends momentum for either supporters or those who oppose the incumbent government in getting to the ballot box,” said pollster John Wright, a partner at DART.
“This can be a critical dimension in a close race, as is the case right now, between the two major parties.”
Wright has been tracking this question for more than a year now with the Trudeau government and so far, they have yet to crack 30% saying they deserve to be re-elected.
The weak numbers on the deserve to be re-elected question also stretch across the country, although there are a few bright spots for the Liberals.
Among men, 59% say it’s time for a change while 24% say Trudeau deserves to be re-elected. Among women, just 51% say it’s time for a change and 26% says he deserves another term.
Across the country, the time of the change sentiment is at 50% or above in every province with Alberta being the highest at 74% and Ontario and Atlantic Canada sitting at 50%.
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In Ontario, just 29% said that Trudeau deserves another term.
Trudeau’s main bright spot is Toronto where 42% say he has done a good job and deserves to be re-elected; that number sits at 32% in the Greater Toronto Area.
Conducted Oct. 1, 2019, the survey of 1,520 randomly-selected Canadian adults– all members of Maru/Blue’s online panel — is considered accurate to within 2.9%, 19 times out of 20.
http://torontosun.com/news/national...nly-25-think-trudeau-should-get-a-second-term