Turns out pipelines don't do much for the economy

Danbones

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Sep 23, 2015
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Yeah guess who must be taking those dentists' advice about fluoride.

Look what pipelines, or the lack of them, have done for Afghanistan and Iraqi economies.
(LOL sad joke!)

But in reality Europe's and Russia's economies depend on their piplines too.
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
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A shitty one that apparently no nation is paying attention to

Is that why your jimmies are so rustled..

 

Danbones

Hall of Fame Member
Sep 23, 2015
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Hmm, You spending time in Cliffie's mushroom field again?

Canadian oil selling at a deep discount — and it hurts
Most Canadian oil selling far below North American prices

North American oil prices are marching toward $65 US a barrel this month, giving the industry a boost after the market collapsed three years ago. The oil sector hasn't seen these prices since late 2014, but most companies in Alberta are receiving significantly less, just above $40 US a barrel.

The Alberta oilpatch continues to increase oil production, but as pipelines fill up, companies are receiving less money for their oil compared to the rest of the continent.

While there is always a gap between the North American benchmark, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), and Alberta's Western Canada Select (WCS), the divide widened significantly in December and opinions vary about how long it will persist.



Last summer, the WTI-WCS differential began to spread as Alberta production increased, filling up any spare capacity in export pipelines. When TransCanada's Keystone pipeline was shut down in November because of a spill in South Dakota, suddenly a backlog was created and storage facilities began filling up in Alberta. As a result, the oil price differential widened even further.

(WELL WELL WELL! There is the effect your pipe lines have on the economy, not enough capacity the PRICE GOES DOWN!!! Is that good or bad for the economy? )

"That basically pushed the market to where it was going anyway. We were looking at an oversupply situation of total supply versus the ability to get those barrels to market on pipelines. Railing was going to have to fill the role here at some point. The Keystone outage essentially pushed things right to the extreme quite very quickly. A bit sooner than people thought," said Martin King, a commodities analyst with GMP FirstEnergy.

"The blowout is the worst since 2014 in terms of the price spreads."
http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/wti-wcs-gmp-dwarkin-rseg-oil-1.4491527

yup Nuthin like good old CBC, infowars for scuttling an MF thread, eh Petros?
 
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mentalfloss

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Jun 28, 2010
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It makes less and less sense as pipeline debates continue to delay projects.


Kinder morgan should just pull out.
 

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
Nov 21, 2008
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Low Earth Orbit
So pull out the existing line too after 65 years of running?

Flossy is in finance so he'll understand that graph.

Sunny Ways

Money Mart

Once upon a time, Vancouver was home to 4 refineries. But early in the 1990s, Canada's largest oil companies decided to expand their Edmonton operations and pipeline final product to BC's Lower Mainland.

Fast forward 25 years. The population growth of BC and Alberta has outpaced much of North America's, leaving a shortage of refined product in southern BC. And the problem is only getting worse. Neighbouring Alberta now produces oodles of crude, desperately seeking a friendly buyer in close proximity.

Two groups have come forward with plans to build oil refineries in Kitimat, but these projects are up against some serious headwinds. Politics aside, we think Vancouver is the best place in Canada to build a new refinery. And here's why:

Vancouver has a shortage of gasoline
Believe it or not, Vancouver was once a major refining hub. Imperial Oil's IOCO refinery was built in the Vancouver suburb of Port Moody in 1914. Shell’s original Shellburn Refinery was constructed in North Burnaby in 1932 and expanded in 1945. Petro-Canada built an oil refinery in neighbouring Port Coquitlam in 1957.

Construction of Kinder Morgan's Trans Mountain Pipeline (TMPL) in 1953 changed the dynamics of the refining market in Western Canada. Trans Mountain is the only pipeline in North America that carries both refined product and crude oil in batches. Refineries along the TMPL route were obliterated. The Royalite Refinery in Kamloops shutdown in 1983 after almost 30 years of operations. Shell, Petro-Canada and Imperial decided it would be better to expand their Edmonton refineries closer to the oil sands and converted their Vancouver facilities into storage and distribution terminals, employing far fewer people.

There are now almost 2.5 million people living in BC's Lower Mainland, representing 60% of the province's population. But only one small refinery remains in the area - a 55,000 bbl/day facility on the edge of Burnaby Mountain operated by Chevron. The Chevron refinery only supplies 30% of the area's gasoline needs. In the past, Edmonton was able to satisfy the balance. But pipeline constraints and a growing population in Alberta and BC result in periodic shortfalls. And that shortfall is made up by importing gasoline from Washington State refineries located just across the BC/US border.

Vancouver has an even bigger shortage of jet fuel
Vancouver's YVR International Airport is the second-busiest in Canada. The number of long-haul flights to Asia grows every day, and with it grows the need for jet fuel. The Chevron plant only supplies 40% of the airport's jet fuel requirements, forcing them to truck in 1,000 loads of fuel per month from BP's Cherry Point Refinery in Washington State. Every additional flight to Asia adds another 800 truckloads per year. The airport's growth is becoming unsustainable under current circumstances. Even a minor supply disruption of jet fuel would threaten their existing operations.

But YVR Airport isn't waiting for Canadian refineries to make more jet fuel. The city is building a marine terminal on the South Arm of the Fraser River. The plan is to import jet fuel from Washington State by tanker and run a 13 km underground pipeline through the city of Richmond to the YVR airport.

Interestingly, the plan has received no opposition from local mayors, politicians and environmental groups. Importing foreign oil rarely receives the negative press and backlash that comes from any attempt to export Canadian oil to foreign markets.

West Coast refineries are some of the most profitable in the world
West coast refining margins are some of the best in the world, none better than those located in Washington State, just a stone's throw from BC's Lower Mainland. The northwestern corner of Washington State is home to 5 refineries with a combined capacity of over 630,000 bbl/day. These refineries have a major competitive advantage - they can source discounted heavy oil from the oil sands (via the Trans Mountain Pipeline) and discounted light oil from the Bakkens (delivered by rail). The state produces premium low-sulphur gasoline and diesel shipped out to lucrative markets such Oregon, California, Hawaii, Asia and yes, even Vancouver. Washington State exports a whopping 14% of its final products to BC's Lower Mainland.

CANADA EXPORTS 145,000 BBL/DAY OF ALBERTA CRUDE TO WASHINGTON STATE REFINERIES THEN IMPORTS GASOLINE AND JET FUEL FROM THOSE SAME REFINERIES BACK INTO THE VANCOUVER MARKET.
The state isn't relenting in its quest to become an energy superpower, despite little reserves of its own. Washington State refineries have already booked extra capacity on the soon-to-be expanded Trans Mountain Pipeline, potentially increasing their Canadian oil supply to over 200,000 bbl/day. Additional crude-by-rail capacity coming online in the next few years will enable the state to bring in over 700,000 bbl/day of cheap light oil from the Bakkens, allowing them to back off from more expensive Alaskan crude, whose production has been in decline over the years.

Vancouver is already well connected by rail, pipeline and marine transport
Vancouver is ideally located for almost any industry, including oil refineries. Should the Trans Mountain line be expanded, it will have access to as much as 800,000 bbl/day of crude from Western Canada. It is also well connected by rail to bring in lighter oil from North Dakota if so desired. And the Port of Metro Vancouver is the largest in Canada, making it an ideal location for refineries to bring in equipment or feedstock from anywhere in the world.

DID YOU KNOW?
Should the Trans Mountain Expansion (TMEP) be approved, up to 600,000 bbl/day could be exported. So far, about 710,000 bbl/day of capacity is already booked on TMEP for the following customers:
BP
CNRL
Suncor Energy
Cenovus Energy
Devon
Husky Energy
Imperial Oil
Nexen (CNOOC)
Statoil
Tesoro
Total
Vancouver doesn't have a crude oil tanker moratorium and never will
There's no pipeline to Kitimat. The Liberal government's impending oil tanker moratorium on the northern coast of BC will effectively kill Enbridge's Northern Gateway project. A refinery located in Kitimat would have a single supply line - heavy crude shipped in by rail from Alberta. Any problem with the rail line or a supply disruption from the oil sands would effectively shutdown the refinery since it would be unable to import foreign oil. Building a refinery in such a location would be a huge risk.

The Trans Mountain pipeline currently exports about 80,000 bbl/day by tanker through Vancouver's Westridge Marine Terminal. Shipments are split almost evenly between California and China. An expansion of the Trans Mountain pipeline could bring that number to 600,000 bbl/day. A crude oil tanker ban in the Lower Mainland could never happen.

Vancouver has a very large labour pool of qualified workers
Kitimat is a small remote town in northern BC. Multi-billion dollar projects such as refineries or LNG terminals will quickly translate into housing shortages and long line-ups at the local Tim Horton's.

In contrast, Vancouver has a large pool of employees, eager for good-paying jobs. There's no shortage of workers, including managers, engineers, tradespeople and maintenance staff. No camps, no per diems, no chartered flights, no LOAs required. And that translates into lower operating costs and far less risk of cost inflation for the project and neighbouring communities.

Vancouver is one of the world's most unaffordable cities and being a Starbucks barista doesn't pay the bills
The ridiculous cost of housing and lack of affordability in Vancouver is a poorly kept secret.

But housing is also expensive in cities like London, New York, San Francisco and even Seattle. However, those cities have a distinct advantage - a strong economy, a highly-skilled labour force and an abundance of good paying jobs. Vancouver doesn't have a major industry. No banking sector, no auto assembly plants, no aerospace and very few large head offices.

Although Vancouver has the labour force and intellectual capital, governments have shunned traditional industries such as mining, energy or manufacturing in favour of low paying jobs in tourism and the film industry. Vancouver's "green" mayor paints a romantic picture of a city filled with organic juice bars, yoga studios and people riding their bicycles to the local farmer's market. But these are low-skill jobs that don't come close to covering the cost of living.

The city desperately needs value-added work, more than anywhere else in Canada. Lack of good paying employers is the real driver of Vancouver's un-affordability. Vancouverites would much prefer to stay close to home and raise their families, and not be forced to move out to Calgary or Toronto just to cover the mortgage payments.

It's not surprising all levels of government in BC, including Chevron's unionized employees, have come out against the Trans Mountain Expansion. After all, the original Trans Mountain line pretty much wiped out BC's oil refining sector.

The new line will be designed to carry heavier crude from the oil sands, something the Burnaby Refinery isn't well equipped to handle. Oil companies could far more readily add capacity in Washington State or Edmonton and shutdown the Burnaby plant for good. But there's no reason why Vancouver can't grow their refining sector. The old Petro-Canada, Imperial and Shell sites still exist, tank farms still in service. Perhaps it's time to consider building a modern, state-of-the-art, environmentally friendly refinery, taking advantage of abundant hydroelectric power on the west coast.

Once again, Canada gets left behind in the race to supply oil and final products to new markets. All levels of government have become obsessed with being perceived as world leaders in the fight against climate change, even if it costs this country thousands of jobs and billions in tax revenues. Since it's unlikely Vancouverites will give up their BMW's anytime soon, maybe it's time we start envisioning a Canada where oil refineries and organic juice bars can function side-by-side.
 

taxslave

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Nov 25, 2008
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He's an economist you tool.

No he isn't. He is a fraud like Suzuki. Read his OP-ED. Long on dogma and maybees, short on facts.

It makes less and less sense as pipeline debates continue to delay projects.


Kinder morgan should just pull out.

There is no debate, just ignorant pissants paid by US oil interests to harm Canadian production. Note that US oil interests are not necessarily the big energy companies but the people that own what is in the ground. Just like their timber Barron's are doing to our logging.
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
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He's an economist.

Take the drill out of your rectum and get over it already.
 

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
Nov 21, 2008
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Yeah, well that's like, just his opinion man.

Is losing $100M a day good for the economy?

Is importing oil good for the economy?

Is overpriced energy good for the economy?
 

captain morgan

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Yeah, well that's like, just his opinion man.

Is losing $100M a day good for the economy?

Is importing oil good for the economy?

Is overpriced energy good for the economy?

I'm soooo looking forward to Flossy's comments on this... After all, he IS in finance

I hope they do. I like the idea of it being a Crown Corporation.

There is no stopping a Crown Corporation.

That would be so cherry if that happened.

 

mentalfloss

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Jun 28, 2010
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Oh yea, a Liberal governed entity that does not participate in the free market is exactly what you guys want. :lol:


Well, maybe it is, considering the pipeline project isn't profitable any more.