The Tarriff Hype.

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Mark Carney's odds of being Time magazine's person of the year surges after European trip: Betting site
Prime minister's odds surged to 19% after overseas jaunt, only trailing NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani, says Covers.com

Author of the article:Ling Hui
Published Sep 22, 2026 • 2 minute read
Prime Minister Mark Carney (centre) attends the 81st United Nations General Assembly at the United Nations Headquarters in New York, on Sept. 22, 2026.
Prime Minister Mark Carney (centre) attends the 81st United Nations General Assembly at the United Nations Headquarters in New York, on Sept. 22, 2026. Photo by ANGELA WEISS /AFP via Getty Images

Prime Minister Mark Carney’s chances of being Time magazine’s 2026 Person of the Year got a huge boost thanks to his firm stance during trade talks with U.S. President Donald Trump and his push to strengthen ties with the European Union, according to Covers.com.


The online sports betting platform, which tracked prediction-market odds, said Carney’s is now the second favourite pick for the news magazine’s iconic year-end cover.

Covers said the prime minister’s odds got a boost after Sept. 14 — the eve of his European trip — going from 4% to 19% after his three-day visit, putting him in second place behind New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani, whose odds sit at 27%.

Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump and Pope Leo XIV are both tied at 9%, Covers said in a news release.

Carney’s chances continued to surge following his trip overseas, during which European Union Commission President Ursula von der Leyen offered to make Canada the EU’s first “associate member.”


A day later, the prime minister welcomed the invitation in a speech to the European Parliament in Strasbourg, France, signalling his desire for more cooperation between Canada and Europe amid the nation’s strained ties with the U.S.


PM among leaders featured in magazine top 100 list
Carney is a likely choice for Time, having recently been named by the magazine in its 100 Most Influential People of 2026 list.

In the annual list published in April, European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde referred to Carney’s nickname as the “George Clooney of finance” and hailed him as a “rock-star central-bank governor” who is now “turning heads as a prime minister.”

Carney was among 24 people selected in the leaders category, which included Trump, Mamdani, the Pope, and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Previous person of the year picks
Last year, Time picked the “Architects of AI” as its person of the year, with one of its covers depicting eight leaders in the tech industry, including OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg and Tesla CEO Elon Musk, sitting on a steel beam high in the sky.

Every year since 1928, the magazine’s editors select the person of the year by choosing someone or idea who most affected the news for better or for worse.

Trump was given the distinction twice — once in 2016 and again in 2024.
 

Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
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Regina, Saskatchewan
The United States isn’t rushing to strike a deal that would end a costly trade war with Canada, Washington’s point man on negotiations said Friday, noting the U.S. is still receiving the potash and energy it needs from this country?

United States Trade Representative Jamieson Greer was asked during an interview with CNBC about relations with Canada, given the damaging trade war that has escalated in recent weeks after Ottawa walked away from negotiations in August.

“We’re still getting what we need from them in terms of oil, gas, potash, all of these things,” Mr. Greer said. “We’re shipping [agricultural products] back and forth across the border, so there’s still a lot of strong trade between the two countries.” Hmmm…

A Canadian government official said there are continuing communications with Washington, but no formal negotiations right now. The Globe and Mail is not identifying the source because they are not authorized to speak publicly on the matter.
(YouTube & ‘Trump is in trouble in his own country’: Mulcair on how economic policies may impact midterms)

Mr. Greer said there are sporadic conversations with Canada but stopped short of suggesting there are active negotiations taking place to resolve the dispute. “There’s no urgency on our side, I would say.”
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Speaking about the curtailed trade talks in August, Mr. Greer said “we gave them a deal. They left.” Reports from the August 2026 breakdown highlight that while U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer had successfully hammered out a framework that President Donald Trump initially celebrated and paused tariffs for, Lutnick and pro-tariff trade adviser Peter Navarro stepped in to fiercely oppose the terms and torpedo that trade agreement. While President Trump initially praised the preliminary framework, Lutnick didn't act as a rogue agent.
U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick’s 11th-hour intervention to derail the U.S.–Canada trade agreement was driven by his own aggressive view that the deal was too soft on Canada, though he acted with the structural backing of the Trump administration.
Lutnick serves as a primary economic disrupter within the administration. He judged Greer's framework as structurally weak for American metal and auto industries. Once Lutnick and Navarro presented their hardline objections, Trump aligned with their aggressive approach. Trump ultimately backed Lutnick's move by ending the negotiations and immediately slapping 50% tariffs on approximately $20 billion to $28 billion of Canadian goods.