Welcome to the forum raymond peters.
No one has absolute numbers regarding the death toll for this conflict.
I stand corrected regarding the IBC. Before they record a death, they require corroboration from multiple sources and the news media is just one possible source.
But IBC doesn't claim their numbers represent the total number of violent deaths in Iraq attributable to US led invasion of Iraq. They claim each death they list is verifiable. That means their information while accurate, it does not represent the actual number of violent deaths attributable to the US led invasion of Iraq. In fact IBC admits they believe the actual number is likely twice as high as their published numbers.
But you seem to take IBC's estimates of the final number as a more reliable than ORB's number. Perhaps you can explain to me the science behind IBC's belief that they have underestimated the number of deaths by only 50% and don't accept that they may have underestimated by a greater factor? What scientifically accepted method did they use to come up with their estimate of their underestimation???
Also IBC only counts civilian deaths. I count soldiers who serve their country and insurgents fighting a foreign occupation among the people who might be alive today if the US hadn't invaded Iraq.
ORB's survey used scientific methods to calculate their estimate. I agree they weren't published in a scientific journal, but that hardly means this information can be discounted. Their estimate is more or less consistent with a previous 2006 Lancet estimate which was peer reviewed and printed in academic journals:
Since July 2006 Lancet survey, the total number of casualties in Iraq has gone up, not down.
IBC is a good reference in that they can verify every death, but its not accurate and by IBC's admission an underestimate.
Even if the ORB's numbers aren't the most accurate, they are the most recent.
RP, I believe the actual current number is somewhere around a million. You obviously don't. Fine, let's agree to disagree.
OK ES, give me a number you believe...
"You just don't have the facts on your side but since when did your kind ever use facts?"
What kind exactly is "your kind" I wonder?
Perhaps but we did neither of the two. We did not shoot from the hip nor did we kill a million people.
We do know... and it isn't a million.
Off topic:
The post Iraq invasion search for WMDs revealed that Iraq hadn't possessed a WMD capability since before 1997 or even 1995. Back in 1998, UNSCOM and the UNSC including the US knew Iraq no longer posed a WMD threat and had met the conditions for lifting economic sanctions. The US as a veto member of the UNSC, prevented the rest of the council from lifting sanctions between 1998 and 2003. That makes the US responsible for all those deaths too.
After it became apparent in 2004 that Iraq hadn't possessed WMDs since at least 1997, Americans and the news media failed to ask two obvious questions.
If Iraq hadn't possessed WMDs since at least 1997, why was Iraq bombed in 1998?
How likely is it that Iraq wasn't cooperating with UN weapon inspections in 1998 when they no longer had anything to hide?
The truth is, in 1998, Iraq finally came clean in a effort to get the sanctions lifted. The US used its veto to keep the sanctions in place and also infiltrated UNSCOM with spies. When Iraq figured out the sanctions would not be lifted even if they met the requirements and that UNSCOM had become a spy mission, they stopped cooperating.
Also Iraq never tossed UNSCOM out back in 1998. They were advised to leave by the Clinton administration, just before they bombed Iraq from one end to the other based on intel collected illegally by their agents in UNSCOM. By 1998, UNSCOM had stopped looking for WMDs because they knew Iraq didn't have anything left to find.
Considering the UNSCOM's abuses and a zero chance that inspections would ever result in lifting economic sanctions, Iraq was completely justified in refusing to allow these people back in to Iraq.
References:
BBC News | Middle East | Unscom 'infiltrated by spies'
Iraqi Sanctions: Myth and Fact
Off topic:
If you add up all the deaths above and add to them those who died from malnutrition and disease, including those resulting from economic sanctions imposed on Iraq before the invasion, long after Iraq no longer possessed WMDs and met the conditions for lifting the sanctions, the final number easily exceeds a million people.
I guess we'll have to wait for the trials to get an acceptable number then.
I am with the IBC's number which is most likely higer than the govt's number AND verifiable.
IBC's view that the current death toll could be around twice the numbers recorded by IBC isn't even an estimate based on scientific methods. Its a guess unsupported by any scientific method or a margin of error....IBC has not recorded all deaths, therefore its total is an undercount.
...Our own view is that the current death toll could be around twice the numbers recorded by IBC and the various official sources in Iraq...
The state of knowledge on civilian casualties in Iraq :: Iraq Body Count
The American government has a proven record of lying, especially when it comes to Iraq. Or do you still believe their claims about Iraq's WMD stockpiles and links to al Queda?
You have misinterpreted what IBC's numbers mean. They do not claim to list all recorded deaths. They claim their number is a verifiable absolute minimum, and not intended to be an estimate of the actual number.
From IBC
IBC's view that the current death toll could be around twice the numbers recorded by IBC isn't even an estimate based on scientific methods. Its a guess unsupported by any scientific method or a margin of error.
IBC's current total is about 100,000. Twice 100,000 is 200,000.
Regardless, Americans have a lot of Iraqi blood on their hands.
If Americans are so concerned about freedom and justice as they claim, then why aren't Americans demanding former US presidents be held to the same level of accountability as Hussein?
What should be the punishment for starting a war based on false justifications and lies which have killed hundreds of thousands of innocent people?
A verifiable minimum doesn't disprove higher estimates, but it does disprove lower estimates. (like ones published by the American government.)
A couple thousand dead here and there means nothing as long as it isn't you? Yet.
I wish your attitude was an exception ES, but I believe most Americans share your apathy.
Americans don't care that every justification their leaders made for starting this unprovoked war has been proven false. They don't care that as a result the Iraqi people have suffered an estimated equivalent of 300 9/11's. Or going with IBC's verifiable minimum, at least the equivalent of 30 9/11's.