Head for the hills .Could 'Super El Nino' come storming into Canada this summer?
50/50 chance that Canada could experience strong El Nino events this summer, into fall: Report
Author of the article:Brian Towie
Published Mar 24, 2026 • 1 minute read
Conditions brought on by El Nino have been known to cause drought and wildfires.
Conditions brought on by El Nino have been known to cause drought and wildfires. Photo by Getty Images
Canadians could see a “super El Nino” in 2026, climate scientists say.
Kent Moore, a professor of atmospheric physics at the University of Toronto, told CTV that there’s a 50% chance Canada could experience strong El Nino events later on this summer and into the fall.
Super El Nino, El Nino and La Nina
An El Nino is identified by sea surface temperatures in the eastern and central Pacific Ocean. Those waters are warmer during an El Nino event and colder during a La Nina year.
A “super El Nino” happens when ocean temperatures reach 2 C or greater than average. A “super El Nino” would mean higher temperatures and a milder winter for Canada, experts say.
But that comes at a cost. David Phillips, a climatologist from Environment and Climate Change Canada, told CTV that such conditions could create less ice on the Great Lakes, which could mean more lake-effect storms.
The parts of the country that experience warmer winters would tend to see the most intense weather in such a case. Historically, El Nino means milder than normal temperatures for Western and Central Canada, according to Canada.ca.
Global impact
El Nino has a much more severe impact on other parts of the planet. It can impact food supplies, energy systems and infrastructure all over the world.
The 2015-16 El Nino event affected food security for more than 60 million people. Tropical regions such as Southeast Asia, Australia and central Africa experience drier conditions, which can mean drought and wildfires.
The Southeastern United States and parts of Mexico, however, have historically seen wetter conditions. During La Nina, the reverse is true.
http://openknowledge.fao.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/1794e261-d1b7-42fd-8939-1fb765b77571/content
What are El Niño and La Niña, and how do they change the weather?
Global temperatures and rain patterns are affected by a climate phenomenon known as El Niño/La Niña.bbc.com
Is Canada going to see a ‘super El Niño’ in 2026? Here’s everything you need to know
After being subjected to almost a year and a half of La Niña weather, Canadians could end up facing the possibility of a completely different weather system – a “super” El Niño – according to climate scientists.ctvnews.ca
Could 'Super El Nino' come storming into Canada this summer?
A weather expert said there is a 50% chance that Canada could see 'super El Nino' events later this year. Read more.torontosun.com
It's Climate Change I tell'ya!! IT'S CLIMATE CHANGE!!
- Thread starter B00Mer
- Start date
I’d be happy with just Head at this point.
With the price of poultry rising it must cost more for a chocked chicken .
Carbon tax increases will cost workers income, jobs and shrink economy: Study
The study says the economic impact of a $170 per tonne carbon price by 2030 would be most severe in Alberta
Author of the article:Lorrie Goldstein
Published Mar 26, 2026 • Last updated 16 hours ago • 2 minute read
Alberta Premier Danielle Smith and Prime Minister Mark Carney
Alberta Premier Danielle Smith and Prime Minister Mark Carney sign an MOU in Calgary on Nov. 27, 2025. Photo by Jeff McIntosh /THE CANADIAN PRESS
The federal government’s current plan to raise the national industrial carbon tax to $170 per tonne of greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 will cost the average Canadian worker $1,160 in lost annual income and result in 50,000 fewer jobs, according to a new study by the Fraser Institute.
The report by the fiscally conservative think tank says it would shrink the Canadian economy by 1.3% compared to a scenario in which the industrial carbon price is frozen at its current level of $95 per tonne of emissions.
It also predicts a $170 per tonne carbon price in 2030 would have a severe negative impact on capital earnings (interest, dividends, capital gains, etc.), resulting in reduced or cancelled investment plans, and “further long-run declines in Canadian living standards.”
Canada’s current carbon price of $95 per tonne of emissions is scheduled to increase by almost 16% to $110 on April 1, on the way to $170 per tonne in 2030.
Alberta would be hardest hit
“Policymakers — and all Canadians — need to understand the significant costs further carbon price increases would impose,” said Elmira Aliakbari, director of natural resource studies at the Fraser Institute and co-author of the report, Estimated Impacts of a $170 Industrial Carbon Price in Alberta and Canada.
The study says the economic impact of a $170 per tonne carbon price by 2030 would be most severe in Alberta — where the carbon price is currently frozen at $95 per tonne — costing workers $1,730 in lost income and resulting in 10,000 fewer jobs in that province alone.
The memorandum of understanding signed by Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith in November called for an agreement by April l to raise the carbon price in that province to $130 per tonne, although reports say the two governments may miss that deadline and continue negotiating.
The current effective carbon price in Alberta is actually much lower than $95 per tonne — around $20 — because of a surplus of carbon credits large emitters can buy to comply with carbon pricing.
lgoldstein@postmedia.com
torontosun.com
The study says the economic impact of a $170 per tonne carbon price by 2030 would be most severe in Alberta
Author of the article:Lorrie Goldstein
Published Mar 26, 2026 • Last updated 16 hours ago • 2 minute read
Alberta Premier Danielle Smith and Prime Minister Mark Carney
Alberta Premier Danielle Smith and Prime Minister Mark Carney sign an MOU in Calgary on Nov. 27, 2025. Photo by Jeff McIntosh /THE CANADIAN PRESS
The federal government’s current plan to raise the national industrial carbon tax to $170 per tonne of greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 will cost the average Canadian worker $1,160 in lost annual income and result in 50,000 fewer jobs, according to a new study by the Fraser Institute.
The report by the fiscally conservative think tank says it would shrink the Canadian economy by 1.3% compared to a scenario in which the industrial carbon price is frozen at its current level of $95 per tonne of emissions.
It also predicts a $170 per tonne carbon price in 2030 would have a severe negative impact on capital earnings (interest, dividends, capital gains, etc.), resulting in reduced or cancelled investment plans, and “further long-run declines in Canadian living standards.”
Canada’s current carbon price of $95 per tonne of emissions is scheduled to increase by almost 16% to $110 on April 1, on the way to $170 per tonne in 2030.
Alberta would be hardest hit
“Policymakers — and all Canadians — need to understand the significant costs further carbon price increases would impose,” said Elmira Aliakbari, director of natural resource studies at the Fraser Institute and co-author of the report, Estimated Impacts of a $170 Industrial Carbon Price in Alberta and Canada.
The study says the economic impact of a $170 per tonne carbon price by 2030 would be most severe in Alberta — where the carbon price is currently frozen at $95 per tonne — costing workers $1,730 in lost income and resulting in 10,000 fewer jobs in that province alone.
The memorandum of understanding signed by Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith in November called for an agreement by April l to raise the carbon price in that province to $130 per tonne, although reports say the two governments may miss that deadline and continue negotiating.
The current effective carbon price in Alberta is actually much lower than $95 per tonne — around $20 — because of a surplus of carbon credits large emitters can buy to comply with carbon pricing.
lgoldstein@postmedia.com
Carbon tax increases will cost workers income, jobs and shrink economy: Study
The study says the economic impact of a $170 per tonne carbon price by 2030 would be most severe in Alberta. Find out more.
