Huck said:
Toro, i dont seem able to validate your facts abour half oil selling in euros.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Petroeuro
perhaps can you assist me?
There is a difference between a "trade" and a "transaction"
All trades are done in dollars. Transactions are not, however.
What is the difference?
Let me give you an example. If an Italian oil company is selling to a Swiss gas marketing company, the reference point for the trade will be in dollars, i.e. buying 100,000 barrels @ US$60. However, when the actual transaction takes place, the mechanics of it will be to swap swiss francs for euros, not swiss francs for dollars for euros. The refrence point will be the dollar but then the actual transaction will have nothing to do with dollars. Why? Because there is a cost for transacting currencies. When you transact currencies, you pay a broker and you also pay a spread. That costs money. It is a cost companies want to avoid (and one reason why the EU adopted the euro in the first place). So why would a company want to do it twice if it can be avoided? If a Swiss and an Italian company are transacting, why would they want the added cost of trading in dollars when it is completely unnecessary?
Of course, when companies sell into the futures markets, they are transacting in dollars, but the net effect of it is small. If this same transaction occurred in the futures market, there is a corresponding buy and sell transaction. No actual dollars change hands. However, it does make the US dollar slightly more liquid, so there is a benefit to the US dollar.
Finally, msot commodities are referenced in dollars - oil, gas, nickel, zinc, copper, gold, silver, sugar, cofffee, etc. Its convenient to do so. Its difficult enough when you have different futures contracts on the same product, ie. March wheat, June wheat, August wheat, etc. Trading it in a bunch of other currencies gets more confusing.
I hope that helps.