Canada's Liberals headed for third-place finish
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5gr8ZugeSfOjClJdLIqhDHhtX93_A
OTTAWA (AFP) — Canada's once-mighty Liberals risk finishing in third place in a hotly ideological election, behind the ruling Conservatives and the leftist New Democrats, according to the latest poll Tuesday.
The Liberals ruled Canada for most of the past century but were relegated to the role of official opposition in 2006.
In the first weeks of this campaign, support for the Liberal Party dropped to 23 percent while the lesser New Democrats saw a revival at 19 percent, said polling firm Ekos.
Prime Minister Stephen Harper's Conservatives meanwhile are now daring to dream of their first majority in Parliament, leading far ahead in public opinion with 38 percent.
The latest tracking "shows a dramatic tightening in the race for second spot, with the New Democrats now within striking distance of overtaking the Liberals," said Ekos president Frank Graves.
"Although it is clear that the Liberals retain a small edge, on some days the difference is within the margin of error," he said.
In other surveys, the Liberal Party scored better, but in all polling their leader Stephane Dion trailed New Democrat Party leader Jack Layton by a few points and far behind Harper in respondents' choice for prime minister.
"These trends only need to continue another few days for the NDP to pass the Liberals," commented Graves.
Such would be a humiliating defeat for the Liberals trying desperately to rebuild following a devastating scandal that ended 12 consecutive years in power and helped elect Harper's minority Conservatives in January 2006.
"If the alarm bells are not ringing already at Liberal headquarters, they should now," said Graves. "Jack Layton is simply connecting better with voters than Stephane Dion at this stage of the campaign."
Indeed, Dion has struggled to sell voters on his key election plank -- an environmental plan to introduce a carbon tax that Harper claims would add undue stress on a shaky economy.
Lacking charisma and handicapped by his troubles speaking in English, Dion, whose first language is French, has also been unable to alter the Conservatives' portrayal of him as a feeble and indecisive leader.
An academic and former environment minister, his come-from-behind win at the 2006 Liberal leadership convention surprised all.
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BOOMer, you are full of it. If the election were held right now, the PCs would get 38 percent of the seats, the Liberals 31, the NDP 17, I can see the Liberals making this a much closer race. But, as someone said, "The only true poll is on election day".