‘Bout the same. Trotsky was already in exile again…. and if they didn’t get in with an ice pick in 1940, they would’ve got him a few months after that, or a few months after that, or a few months after that….What would Russia be like today had Trotsky not had his head caved in by an icepick in 1940?
What Russia has always been. Tsar, Commissar, or President, makes no difference.What would Russia be like today had Trotsky not had his head caved in by an icepick in 1940?
Just like Ukrainians, dozens of smaller ethnic groups were forced into economic and language ties. Descent is growing rapidly in Asia.I dont' think we're seeing a 'collapse'. But - we could be seeing a period of restructure - in the sense that they may be rethinking or retooling how they do things
But overall i wouldn't expect change. Russians LIKE being part of a big country. There's an old saying that russians will have food without empire or empire without food but they won't go without both. They will suffer a lot for the idea of a great nation.
But we could see differences in structure emerge, i would THINK they're going to be reconsidering their rather horrible military model of conscription rather than a professional standing army and their idea that "quantity has a quality all it's own", they may focus for a time on economic growth rather than military dominance, and they may try to move towards more power in a committee rather than a single figure.
We'll see. But i don't think we'll see any kind of collapse.
Not impossible, that's for sure. But - I don't think a collapse is likely. You may see a little bit of chipping at the edges but not much, and i think actual breakaways will be few and far between.Just like Ukrainians, dozens of smaller ethnic groups were forced into economic and language ties. Descent is growing rapidly in Asia.
Kazakhs and the other "Stans" are breaking ties with Moscow. The small ethnic groups will drop out shortly.
Russians may like it this way, but the various small serfdoms under the Russian paw may not feel the same way.I dont' think we're seeing a 'collapse'. But - we could be seeing a period of restructure - in the sense that they may be rethinking or retooling how they do things
But overall i wouldn't expect change. Russians LIKE being part of a big country. There's an old saying that russians will have food without empire or empire without food but they won't go without both. They will suffer a lot for the idea of a great nation.
But we could see differences in structure emerge, i would THINK they're going to be reconsidering their rather horrible military model of conscription rather than a professional standing army and their idea that "quantity has a quality all it's own", they may focus for a time on economic growth rather than military dominance, and they may try to move towards more power in a committee rather than a single figure.
We'll see. But i don't think we'll see any kind of collapse.
It's hard to say. I see very little evidence of widespread unrest in that respect. And even with ukraine a significant part of the population wanted to maintain ties with russia. Still - who knows what lurks in the hearts of men. We'll see, it could be that you're right and the dissatisfaction with 'empire' is growing and may come to a head.Russians may like it this way, but the various small serfdoms under the Russian paw may not feel the same way.
Putin has been leasing massive tracts of Siberian land to China and Chinese inventment into Siberia is on the "Wow" scale. Do you think China will leave when leases end? If China takes Siberia its over for Russia.Not impossible, that's for sure. But - I don't think a collapse is likely. You may see a little bit of chipping at the edges but not much, and i think actual breakaways will be few and far between.
Having said that, if they're going to do it now's probably the time.
It's one of those things that's a little hard to say of course. We're still 40 years away from finding out. the obvious path for the chinese is to fill the area and surrouding areas with their population as much as possible and then when the time comes have them vote to 'seceed' and have china annex them, much like what happened with the Crimea. Which is of course exaclty what russia would do and why they're scared of it.Putin has been leasing massive tracts of Siberian land to China and Chinese inventment into Siberia is on the "Wow" scale. Do you think China will leave when leases end? If China takes Siberia its over for Russia.
Well the lease was in 2015 for like 45 years wasn't it? (i may be remembering that wrong). So they will probably want to take a while to get their people well established there and there's no need to 'steal' what they already have posession of legally at the moment i would think? Who can say with the chinese tho, they play a pretty good game of chessI dont think it will be 40 years down the road. More like 10 or even 5. Its been a slow quest for China for 30 years already.