Conservative majority if federal election held today: Poll
Liz Braun
Published:
October 17, 2018
Updated:
October 17, 2018 7:34 AM EDT
Conservative Party of Canada Leader Andrew Scheer delivers remarks at the party's national policy convention in Halifax on Friday, Aug. 24, 2018.Andrew Vaughan / The Canadian Press
A new Forum poll says the federal Conservatives would win a majority government if an election were held today.
Some 1,226 Canadian voters were asked for whom they’d vote if an election were being held immediately. From that sample, the Conservative party would allegedly win support from 41% while the Liberals would take only 32% of the vote.
Another 15% would vote NDP, with 7% voting for the Green Party, and 4% would cast a vote for the BQ.
Statistically, nearly half of those more likely to vote Conservative are middle-aged (35 to 54), richer (45%) males (49%) predominantly from Alberta (69%.)
Those likely to vote Liberal are older (54+), 34% female, wealthiest (40%) and living in Ontario, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Atlantic Canada or Quebec (all around 34%)
According to this poll, If the election were held today, the projected results would see a Tory majority with 184 seats.
The Liberals would serve as opposition with 113 seats, and the NDP would serve as third party with 33 seats.
The BQ would win seven seats, while the Green Party would win one.
Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research, states “the Conservatives have a strong lead over the Liberals right now. The expected bump from the successful renegotiation of the free trade agreement seems not to have materialized for Trudeau’s Liberals.
“One question that’s worth asking about one year away from an election: right now, are prospective voters supporting the Conservatives or turning away from the Liberals?”
The poll was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an interactive voice response telephone survey of 1,226 randomly selected Canadian Voters between Oct. 7 to 10. Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 3%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample results will be less accurate.
Full information on the results can be found here:
http://poll.forumresearch.com/post/2881/federal-horserace-october-2018
http://torontosun.com/news/national/tory-majority-if-federal-election-held-today-poll-says
Liz Braun
Published:
October 17, 2018
Updated:
October 17, 2018 7:34 AM EDT
Conservative Party of Canada Leader Andrew Scheer delivers remarks at the party's national policy convention in Halifax on Friday, Aug. 24, 2018.Andrew Vaughan / The Canadian Press
A new Forum poll says the federal Conservatives would win a majority government if an election were held today.
Some 1,226 Canadian voters were asked for whom they’d vote if an election were being held immediately. From that sample, the Conservative party would allegedly win support from 41% while the Liberals would take only 32% of the vote.
Another 15% would vote NDP, with 7% voting for the Green Party, and 4% would cast a vote for the BQ.
Statistically, nearly half of those more likely to vote Conservative are middle-aged (35 to 54), richer (45%) males (49%) predominantly from Alberta (69%.)
Those likely to vote Liberal are older (54+), 34% female, wealthiest (40%) and living in Ontario, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Atlantic Canada or Quebec (all around 34%)
According to this poll, If the election were held today, the projected results would see a Tory majority with 184 seats.
The Liberals would serve as opposition with 113 seats, and the NDP would serve as third party with 33 seats.
The BQ would win seven seats, while the Green Party would win one.
Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research, states “the Conservatives have a strong lead over the Liberals right now. The expected bump from the successful renegotiation of the free trade agreement seems not to have materialized for Trudeau’s Liberals.
“One question that’s worth asking about one year away from an election: right now, are prospective voters supporting the Conservatives or turning away from the Liberals?”
The poll was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an interactive voice response telephone survey of 1,226 randomly selected Canadian Voters between Oct. 7 to 10. Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 3%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample results will be less accurate.
Full information on the results can be found here:
http://poll.forumresearch.com/post/2881/federal-horserace-october-2018
http://torontosun.com/news/national/tory-majority-if-federal-election-held-today-poll-says
