Re: Donald Trump has worst poll results in 15 years
Yes... Libertarian and I have posted about him here before on CC.
Yes... Libertarian and I have posted about him here before on CC.
The 'Official' Quit Picking On Trump Thread
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Re: Donald Trump has worst poll results in 15 years
Hillary Clinton’s lead in the polls may be larger than it seems. Here’s why.
In 2012, national polls in October suggested the presidential race was a virtual tie. The Real Clear Politics polling average gave Barack Obama a slight 0.7 point lead over Mitt Romney, but he actually won by almost 4 points. Of the final 11 national polls released in 2012, as reported on Real Clear Politics, 7 were a tie or had Romney ahead, while only 4 had Obama ahead.
Why were so many of the polls wrong? In part, because they failed to capture how minorities would vote. Unfortunately, some pollsters may be making the same mistakes in 2016 — and thereby underestimating Hillary Clinton’s lead in the polls.
In 2012, many polls underestimated how many minorities would vote and how many would vote for Obama. For example, a Politico poll released the morning of Election Day said the race was tied at 47 percent each for Obama and Romney. The poll said that 62 percent of Latinos supported Obama, while the exit polls reported 71 percent, and Latino Decisions reported 75 percent. Among the “another race” category, which is mostly comprised of Asian Americans, Politico reported that 47 percent supported Obama, while the exit polls reported 73 percent, and an Asian American Decisions exit poll reported 72 percent.
And Politico was not alone. A Monmouth/Survey USA poll, which had Romney leading by 3 points, suggested that Obama would barely win Latinos, 48 percent to 42 percent.
This problem was known before election day. In the fall of 2012, Mark Blumenthal asked “Is The Gallup Poll Favoring Mitt Romney By Undersampling Minority Voters?” which came after a series of blog posts by Alan Abramowitz, one of which asked “Is Gallup Heading for Another Big Miss?” As Nate Cohn has recently pointed out, it is difficult to know the “correct” percent of voters that are white vs. non-white. Nevertheless, many 2012 polls underestimated Obama’s share of the vote by under-representing minorities’ share of the electorate and underestimating their support for Obama.
Now, in 2016, it looks like many pollsters didn’t learn much from 2012.
Hillary Clinton’s lead in the polls may be larger than it seems. Here’s why.
Hillary Clinton’s lead in the polls may be larger than it seems. Here’s why.
In 2012, national polls in October suggested the presidential race was a virtual tie. The Real Clear Politics polling average gave Barack Obama a slight 0.7 point lead over Mitt Romney, but he actually won by almost 4 points. Of the final 11 national polls released in 2012, as reported on Real Clear Politics, 7 were a tie or had Romney ahead, while only 4 had Obama ahead.
Why were so many of the polls wrong? In part, because they failed to capture how minorities would vote. Unfortunately, some pollsters may be making the same mistakes in 2016 — and thereby underestimating Hillary Clinton’s lead in the polls.
In 2012, many polls underestimated how many minorities would vote and how many would vote for Obama. For example, a Politico poll released the morning of Election Day said the race was tied at 47 percent each for Obama and Romney. The poll said that 62 percent of Latinos supported Obama, while the exit polls reported 71 percent, and Latino Decisions reported 75 percent. Among the “another race” category, which is mostly comprised of Asian Americans, Politico reported that 47 percent supported Obama, while the exit polls reported 73 percent, and an Asian American Decisions exit poll reported 72 percent.
And Politico was not alone. A Monmouth/Survey USA poll, which had Romney leading by 3 points, suggested that Obama would barely win Latinos, 48 percent to 42 percent.
This problem was known before election day. In the fall of 2012, Mark Blumenthal asked “Is The Gallup Poll Favoring Mitt Romney By Undersampling Minority Voters?” which came after a series of blog posts by Alan Abramowitz, one of which asked “Is Gallup Heading for Another Big Miss?” As Nate Cohn has recently pointed out, it is difficult to know the “correct” percent of voters that are white vs. non-white. Nevertheless, many 2012 polls underestimated Obama’s share of the vote by under-representing minorities’ share of the electorate and underestimating their support for Obama.
Now, in 2016, it looks like many pollsters didn’t learn much from 2012.
Hillary Clinton’s lead in the polls may be larger than it seems. Here’s why.
Re: Donald Trump has worst poll results in 15 years
Whichever of these two psychopaths wins, there will probably civil war. Then the military can step in and declare martial law. I'm not sure what would be the worst case scenario of the 3. It doesn't look promising for anyone in the US and the repercussions will certainly have an adverse effect of Canada and possibly the rest pf the world. Let us pray for divine or alien intervention.
Whichever of these two psychopaths wins, there will probably civil war. Then the military can step in and declare martial law. I'm not sure what would be the worst case scenario of the 3. It doesn't look promising for anyone in the US and the repercussions will certainly have an adverse effect of Canada and possibly the rest pf the world. Let us pray for divine or alien intervention.
Re: Donald Trump has worst poll results in 15 years
In case you haven't noticed, the US has had a black president for the last 8 years with no civil war.
It will not have one now.
In case you haven't noticed, the US has had a black president for the last 8 years with no civil war.
It will not have one now.
Re: Donald Trump has worst poll results in 15 years
Prophecy Says Obama Will Be the Last American President
...or Trump win and the Narcissistic Racist becomes a dictator.
Prophecy Says Obama Will Be the Last American President
...or Trump win and the Narcissistic Racist becomes a dictator.
Re: Donald Trump has worst poll results in 15 years
Is he a black President or a white president?
There's a strange mentality out there- people are raving about Hillary's gender because they think it makes her eligible to be President while they are raving about Obama's skin colour because they think it makes him ineligible to be President!
Is he a black President or a white president?
There's a strange mentality out there- people are raving about Hillary's gender because they think it makes her eligible to be President while they are raving about Obama's skin colour because they think it makes him ineligible to be President!
Re: Donald Trump has worst poll results in 15 years
The crazy is strong in the US.Is he a black President or a white president?
There's a strange mentality out there- people are raving about Hillary's gender because they think it makes her eligible to be President while they are raving about Obama's skin colour because they think it makes him ineligible to be President!
Re: Donald Trump has worst poll results in 15 years
He's a Kenyan Muslim Socialist.
Is he a black President or a white president?
There's a strange mentality out there- people are raving about Hillary's gender because they think it makes her eligible to be President while they are raving about Obama's skin colour because they think it makes him ineligible to be President!
He's a Kenyan Muslim Socialist.
There is a certain Schadenfreude in watching all our "allies" (read: client states) sh*t themselves in terror.
In the country where the one with the most money wins.....
Trump's woeful $1.3m campaign war chest dwarfed by Clinton's $42.5m
Trump's woeful $1.3m campaign war chest dwarfed by Clinton's $42.5m
he is basically not a politician. He'll say something like 'we shouldn't export our jobs, for products that we need' and the opposition will eat him alive explaining why he is wrong, then they draw conclusions and call him every name in the book.