The steps to belief (or disbelief)

Cannuck

Time Out
Feb 2, 2006
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Second:
If we observe some desolate land: where no plant is there in such area (and consequently no animal); then after the rain falls down, the vegetation starts to grow on this desert, then animals come to graze and other animals come to eat some of these animals, and man comes to take advantage of all this – to this no one may disagree.

The bold statement is false. I disagree. You say there are no plants and no animals and anybody with any understanding of desert ecosystems will disagree as well.

Desert Plant Survival - DesertUSA

Frog and Toad—
 

Scott Free

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May 9, 2007
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No argument from me...but of course, that statement doesn't refute god's existence.


Inductive reasoning is always probabilistic and just because something can't be proved deductively, i.e., with certainty, doesn't mean the thing is probable.

For example, you could win the 6\49 jackpot three times in a row but your not going to - I know that as fact! You could ask: but how do you know that! You can't say that with certainty! I could - it is possible.

And you'd be right, but your still not going to win it three times in a row and there is no god. ;-)

In fact, it's not just you that's never going to win the 6/49 three times in a row, no one is going to ever.

And there is no god.
 

Scott Free

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May 9, 2007
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...in your opinion.

Not so, there really is no god.

The probability is so small that claiming it is possible is, well, embarrassing. ;-)

It is like thinking your going to win the 6/49 jackpot three times in a row and that, I'm sure you can understand, is an absurd belief. Though I can't say with certainty that you won't, I know you won't and you would be a fool to say you could.

So, there is no god.
 

Scott Free

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May 9, 2007
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Lol, a mind is a terrible thing to waste Cannuck ;-)

Good luck with the lottery too - you'll need it :lol:
 

Spade

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Nov 18, 2008
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No argument from me...but of course, that statement doesn't refute god's existence.

Shouldn't you have written "gods'" instead of "god's." Christianity and Islam are both pantheons with a veneer of monotheism. Seems someone has bought into theological imperialism to me.
Bring back the Nordic and Slavic gods!
 

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
Nov 21, 2008
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For some reason this thread reminded of the time the smoke house burned down at the butcher shop and the valley smelled like sausage for days.
 

Dexter Sinister

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Oct 1, 2004
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...but of course, that statement doesn't refute god's existence.
Agreed, but that's not what I was up to. It's up to the people making the positive claim that he exists to demonstrate the truth of the claim. If all the arguments they can offer in support of god's existence apply equally well to other beings that they'd probably argue don't exist, then clearly the arguments are so lame as to be pointless and without meaning. The reasonable inductive conclusion is that god does not exist. Induction of course will never produce complete certainty, as some thinking person remarked earlier, at best we can get an estimate of probability. In this case, considering the evidence and arguments I've seen over the last 40 years or so, and the events I've seen in the real world, I believe that probability to be zero.

And just to tie up any possible loose ends, the way the OP lays out the steps to disbelief is completely wrong, it has nothing to do with how I got there.
 

Dexter Sinister

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Oct 1, 2004
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Really? So then any irrational claim, error of fact, logical fallacy, and so on, constitutes a legitimate argument? I don't see how we can discuss anything on that basis.
 

Spade

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Nov 18, 2008
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I like the Amerind notion that the Earth rests on the back of a giant turtle. And, as the old joke goes:
Q: "What's the turtle resting on?"
A: "Why, it's turtles all the way down!"
Answers a lot of things for me, such as "Why doesn't the Earth fall out of the sky", presuming of course that there are no visible ropes.