The Collapse of Globalism, JR Saul, Book Review

Sassylassie

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Jan 31, 2006
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WC your snitty was five minutes before I could post a snitty. Five you can be a Alpha Female if you promise not to paint anything pink. WC have you noticed that women rarely sink to the level of degragration and insults that the Y group does?
 

BitWhys

what green dots?
Apr 5, 2006
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that sort of observation would all depend on one's definition of "up"
 

Curiosity

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Sassylassie said:
WC your snitty was five minutes before I could post a snitty. Five you can be a Alpha Female if you promise not to paint anything pink. WC have you noticed that women rarely sink to the level of degragration and insults that the Y group does?

Sassy .... a confession

I have had to learn the hard way - die hard dislike for three people I have met on forums. Will never repair nor do I want to. Didn't enhance my worth or esteem at all at all...therefore a waste of my time and didn't care if their time was wasted or not.

Now I take a break to vacuum my head!
 

Toro

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May 24, 2005
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Re: RE: The Collapse of Globa

BitWhys said:
Toro said:
There's a difference between not "great" and "depression", isn't there? No serious person can make the comparison to what has happened since 1970 to what happened from 1929-1933.

I don't recall JRS saying anything about things being of either the same magnitude or complexion as the great depression.

From Voltaire's Bastards, published 1992

p10 "As they turned, the second crisis struck, in the form of economic failure. That depression has been with us nineteen years. ...

This depression, of proportions as great if not greater than that of the 1930s, still engulfs us. None of our governments appear to have any idea of how to end it."

And that was the first reference to the word "depression" in the index.

Should I go on?
 

Toro

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May 24, 2005
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Re: RE: The Collapse of Globalism, JR Saul, Book Review

BitWhys said:
interpolating, not extrapolating and you could have said so in the first place without piling on a bunch of crap from the balance sheet when I'm talking income statement.

Except that you brought up the balance sheet by comparing it to the income statement, or at least that's what I think you were doing when you wrote this.

BitWhys said:
the world's largest economy used smoke, mirrors and profiligate spending to announce economic growth of 3.5% for 2005. from the difference between 2004 and 2005 GDP, take out the public debt incurred to achieve that "growth" and whats left is a startling $4.1B dollars, a sum readily attributable to the seigniorage of international reserve hegemony.

You cannot look at the right hand side of any balance sheet without looking at the left hand side to understand the context.

BitWhys said:
its entirely valid, just not common. without the current deficit spending frenzy in the US, the demand for that last several hundred billion would be absent, the unpurchased product would have had no value and the GDP would be directly effected.

You have no issue with me saying that growth would have been slower without deficit spending. I have always felt that we borrowed from the future to pay for the present. But it is invalid to subtract debt from from GDP and say that GDP would have been GDP minus debt. For example, the economy began to turn in 2003 during the month of Bush's big tax cut. The Right has always used that as validation for the tax cuts, except that the effects of tax cuts are lagged. So the economy was turning before the tax cuts took effect.

There's no question that government spending has increased the GDP. But deficit spending is what you want in a recession, right? Isn't that what the Left tells us? Isn't that what Keynes taught us all?

And BTW, government spending grew at a 3.5% annualized pace from 1945-1975 compared to 2.5% since.

BitWhys said:
I never said recession. Please spare me the straw men.

You did not, and I stand corrected.
 

Toro

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May 24, 2005
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BitWhys said:
tries to bury the point in a pile of technocratic nonsense (JRS told me I'd meet people like this) is more like it.

Of couse he did.

And name dropping.

Hey, I can play that game too.

I've had a few conversations with one of the people beaver quoted.

BitWhys said:
let me guess.

another MBA who enjoys playing with his pencil in public

You betcha.
 

darkbeaver

the universe is electric
Jan 26, 2006
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Wednesday's Child said:
Sassylassie said:
WC your snitty was five minutes before I could post a snitty. Five you can be a Alpha Female if you promise not to paint anything pink. WC have you noticed that women rarely sink to the level of degragration and insults that the Y group does?

Sassy .... a confession

I have had to learn the hard way - die hard dislike for three people I have met on forums. Will never repair nor do I want to. Didn't enhance my worth or esteem at all at all...therefore a waste of my time and didn't care if their time was wasted or not.

Now I take a break to vacuum my head!

Do you use a hoover?
 

BitWhys

what green dots?
Apr 5, 2006
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Re: RE: The Collapse of Globalism, JR Saul, Book Review

BitWhys said:
Toro said:
take out the public debt incurred to achieve that "growth"
But it is invalid to subtract debt from from GDP and say that GDP would have been GDP minus debt.

but I don't. the public debt incurred represents the given year's deficit SPENDING. Income statement. expenses.
 

BitWhys

what green dots?
Apr 5, 2006
3,157
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Re: RE: The Collapse of Globalism, JR Saul, Book Review

Toro said:
There's no question that government spending has increased the GDP. But deficit spending is what you want in a recession, right? Isn't that what the Left tells us? Isn't that what Keynes taught us all?

mmm

not really. not when employment isn't the problem. that's why the it didn't work during the oil price driven stagnation of the 70s. the US wasn't the only one to figure that one out too late. Trudeau was banging the drum big time, too.

however, perhaps its timely now. I used to get frustrated but now I just get amused when all the "good news" rolls out but no one in charge mentions the tab. or its influence.
 

Curiosity

Senate Member
Jul 30, 2005
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Sassy/Beav

Not enough up there for a Dirt Devil even Sassy.....I use a Roomba
- just lie down and let it sweep over the head....it's fun to watch creeping around the chairs and carpeting....I think it has more brains than I do! :p
 

BitWhys

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Apr 5, 2006
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Toro said:
Of couse he did.

And name dropping.

Hey, I can play that game too.

I've had a few conversations with one of the people beaver quoted.

well actually I didn't mean he told me personally. he wrote it. In Voltaire's Bastards. I was assuming you'd catch the reference. Kind of. tell you the truth I was assuming you'd miss that point which is unfortunate since its much closer to what the book was really about.

Toro said:
BitWhys said:
let me guess.

another MBA who enjoys playing with his pencil in public

You betcha.

heh

figures
 

BitWhys

what green dots?
Apr 5, 2006
3,157
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Re: RE: The Collapse of Globa

Toro said:
From Voltaire's Bastards, published 1992

p10 "As they turned, the second crisis struck, in the form of economic failure. That depression has been with us nineteen years. ...

This depression, of proportions as great if not greater than that of the 1930s, still engulfs us. None of our governments appear to have any idea of how to end it."

And that was the first reference to the word "depression" in the index.

Should I go on?

nah that's alright. you saw my list. I forgot to mention Nixon floating the dollar because they were out of gold and when JRS wrote that the US was once again using its one tried and true method of turning the economy around.

Kuwait.

maybe it was overstated, but I don't. don't forget he was speaking in global terms, not just the Western economy and even that wasn't anything to brag about. It was one downturn after another.
 

BitWhys

what green dots?
Apr 5, 2006
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RE: The Collapse of Globa

btw, thanks for the quote. friend of mine has my copy.
 

BitWhys

what green dots?
Apr 5, 2006
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RE: The Collapse of Globa

but if I recall properly I seem to recall he justifies calling it a depression by demonstrating that even though the high level numbers look good, a lot of that was paper (eg. Asian Bubble) and a lot of that was bled out of the middle class.