Surprise U.S.-China climate deal reverberates north and south

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
Nov 21, 2008
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Tecumseh, I am assuming you agree that humans are the main driver of climate change but you disagree with the scope or degree of damage that is purported to be caused by us.


Is this a fair assumption of where you stand right now?

He's 97% of 33% in belief.

Remember that oops Flawsy?
 

grainfedpraiboy

Electoral Member
Mar 15, 2009
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Forget it, petros. These. . . people think counting opinions is science.

Do you realise what an idiotic statement the above is?

If you see a doctor and he tells you you're ****ed without some operation and to get a second opinion and that second doctor says the same thing you count the opinions and get the operation or Darwin claims you.

Just about everything in our society is based on the consensus of opinions of experts from vehicle, food and product safety to the movies that get produced or songs that get played.

When professional organizations from geologists to surveyors make decisions for their bodies it is done solely by scientific consensus.

I could go on but I doubt it would sway you.
 

EagleSmack

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I guess I'm as serious... as you agreeing with me.

Yes I am as you seem to think China is a lovable as a Panda.




obviously... and there are agreements made by countries to apply sanctions, to refuse to trade, etc.. See a significant world government response to Russia's actions in Crimea and the Ukraine.

Russia is not China.

In that same vein, I don't expect China wants to build up negative world perception (or more negative than some already hold of it).

They could careless. World negative perception bounces off them quite easily.

You can choose to declare China's actions as those of internal self-interest... but again, why would they go through the motions of this latest U.S.-China agreement?

Because the agreement is worthless and holds China to nothing. We have to check back in with them in 2030!

Perhaps they're wily and know the U.S. won't ratify it internally... then who looks like the 'bad guy' to a world looking in? Yes? As if the U.S. needs any help in that regard!

Oh no! The U.S will be the bad guy! Cry me a river!
 

Zipperfish

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Apr 12, 2013
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Umm. . . yeah, it is.


We have partial, conflicting data and models that have thus far completely failed to accurately predict events.

To quote the immortal Heinlein, "Before acting, think. Before thinking, gather data."

There's been plenty of data collected. The radiation model has actually been pretty accurate to date.
 

grainfedpraiboy

Electoral Member
Mar 15, 2009
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I can't believe some people still believe the 97% fallicy. We really are doomed if it's that easy to confuse an alarmist.

There are climate scientists who question the accuracy of the IPCC projections, there are climate scientists that are arguing that climate change is occurring principally through natural means, and there are climate scientists arguing that the cause of climate change is not yet known. These generally constitute the 3% and in some isolated cases may have something to bring to the table given that overall the science improves every year with new research and understanding.

What you won't find amongst climate scientists in anything statistically significant that you do amongst the climate change skeptics is the belief climate change is not currently occurring or is currently having an impact on the planet.
 

Zipperfish

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Nooooooooo 97% of 33% who wrote AGW papers are in consensus. The other 66% climate change IPCC authors take no AGW stance.

The author's papers took no stance.

The fact is that every single significant scientific body internationally has taken a stance that humans are contributing to the warming we have seen over the last 150 years. The other little known fact is most of the so-called "sceptic scientists" including Spencer and Lindzen readily admit a human role in recent warming.
 

Zipperfish

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Yeah, counting up opinions is science.

Counting opinions is not science (unless the counting is a part of some hypothesis being tested). However, if I had some undiagnosed illness, and I asked 100 physicians to give me their opinion and 100 random people to give me their opinion, I know which group I would roll with.
 

grainfedpraiboy

Electoral Member
Mar 15, 2009
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Oh, I have no doubt you will.

You do realise that in the 1970s, there was overwhelming "scientific consensus" the planet was cooling, right?

Turned out to be non-scientific, and based on a short-term trend in temperatures. Sound familiar?

And in the 1970s most people went to church and prayed before each meal. 200 years earlier they burned ndns at the stake in a beautiful act of perceived selfless penance so the souls of the savage were released and could go to heaven. Society is supposed to get smarter not dumber.

And for clarification, there was not an "overwhelming" scientific consensus the planet was cooling. Another easily debunked made up on the spot Tecumsehfact

Global cooling - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Global cooling was a conjecture during the 1970s of imminent cooling of the Earth's surface and atmosphere culminating in a period of extensive glaciation. This hypothesis had little support in the scientific community, but gained temporary popular attention due to a combination of a slight downward trend of temperatures from the 1940s to the early 1970s and press reports that did not accurately reflect the full scope of the scientific climate literature, i.e., a larger and faster-growing body of literature projecting future warming due to greenhouse gas emissions. The current scientific opinion on climate change is that the Earth has not durably cooled, but underwent global warming throughout the 20th century.[1]



 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
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Oh, I have no doubt you will.

You do realise that in the 1970s, there was overwhelming "scientific consensus" the planet was cooling, right?

Turned out to be non-scientific, and based on a short-term trend in temperatures. Sound familiar?

There wasn't a concensus on scientific cooling.

In any case, I thought you supported AGW but not the degree of resulting 'damage' from our actions.

What is your stance?
 

Tecumsehsbones

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Mar 18, 2013
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And in the 1970s most people went to church and prayed before each meal. 200 years earlier they burned ndns at the stake in a beautiful act of perceived selfless penance so the souls of the savage were released and could go to heaven. Society is supposed to get smarter not dumber.


Yes, and now you attend the Church of AGW.

See, gonorrheafilledprairieboy, before you came back, at one point I outlined some notions for compromise between AGW True Believers and sceptics. Pretty quick I found out nobody's interested in seeking solutions, only in screaming their extremist opinions. So now I just lampoon the alleged thought processes they employ.
 

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
Nov 21, 2008
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The author's papers took no stance.

The fact is that every single significant scientific body internationally has taken a stance that humans are contributing to the warming we have seen over the last 150 years. The other little known fact is most of the so-called "sceptic scientists" including Spencer and Lindzen readily admit a human role in recent warming.

When the authors of those 33% were asked if they still believe 97% said yes. It has nothing to do with AGW as a scientific whole. Just those authors of the 33% of 14000 papers are in consensus.
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
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Tecumseh, you do know that you can support the idea of AGW without thinking there is any need to do anything about it right?

It could be that we are the main driver, but there is no significant harm resulting from our actions.

Just sayin

Someone who believes in AGW could theoretically still support every C02 based project.
 

Tecumsehsbones

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Tecumseh, you do know that you can support the idea of AGW without thinking there is any need to do anything about it right?

It could be that we are the main driver, but there is no significant harm resulting from our actions.
Mentalfloss, you know that there are measures that can be taken that will ameliorate global warming, if it exists, and also have near-term pollution reduction benefits, right?

Or are you too busy boarding up your windows for the 1,246 Class VIII hurricanes we're going to get next year (according to the model)?