Summer to rank among Canada's warmest on record;
typical temperatures predicted for Metro Vancouver
Southwestern British Columbia should expect typical summer temperatures this year, although the southern interior will see more heat than usual.
That’s the prediction of meteorologists at AccuWeather.com, which said in its summer outlook Monday that Canadians in general will experience hot spells interspersed with cooler periods.
However, it will be more of the same in Metro Vancouver and Victoria.
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“Temperatures will be fairly close to normal right along Vancouver and the surrounding suburbs and Vancouver Island,” said AccuWeather.com senior meteorologist Jack Boston of their forecast for June, July and August.
“But it will be hotter temperatures in Kamloops and further east.”
Boston said he doesn’t expect there will be a strong offshore flow of air from the mainland to the Pacific Ocean, with the dominant flow of air instead coming in off the Pacific Ocean.
“(Southwestern B.C.) will get a cooling effect from the Pacific, but in the interior it will be warmer and drier.”
He noted that typical summer temperatures for Vancouver are highs in June of 18 to 20 degrees, 21 to 22 in July and 20 to 21 in August; and lows for the same three months of 11, 12 and 12 respectively.
Total rainfall, he added, should also be in the typical range for the three-month period of between 85 and 90 millimetres.
Despite the AccuWeather.com prediction, Global B.C. senior meteorologist Mark Madryga said long-term forecasts shouldn’t be taken too seriously.
“We could have the coldest June on record, the hottest July on record and an average August. And that would smooth out to a typical pattern (over a three-month period), for sure.
“But it really isn’t that much information,” added Madryga, who believes shorter-term forecasts are more detailed and accurate. “I’ve seen the charts and they’re suggesting the overall summer will be near-average temperatures, which is good. But when you group it as a seasonal forecast, it doesn’t really give much detail over the (entire) summer. I wouldn’t bet your farm on it.”
According to AccuWeather.com, Canada as a whole will experience more typical summer weather in 2013 compared to the record-setting, warm summer of 2012.
“However, we still expect the summer of 2013 to end up ranking in the top 10 warmest summers as the far north continues to experience well above-normal temperatures,” AccuWeather.com said.
“The biggest take-away from this forecast is it’s not going to resemble last year’s summer, which was the warmest summer on record for Canada,” Brett Anderson, lead forecaster for Canada, added.
“We’re going to see much more changeable weather. Yes, we will have spells of heat, we will have spells of very dry weather but we do not expect patterns where it’s going to lock in for weeks on end of hot dry weather.”
Meanwhile, the weather in southern Ontario is expected to be pleasant, with hot periods broken up by what’s expected to be cooler days, although some thunderstorms are expected earlier in the season.
“Overall the humidity, the temperature, is going to be fairly pleasant across much of southern Ontario this summer,” Anderson said.
Areas of the northern coast of British Columbia are also expected to get a fair amount of rainfall this summer.
Anderson noted that Canadian summers in general have been getting hotter over time.
“Overall, Canadian summers are getting warmer. We’ve seen an increase of 1.4 Celsius since records began in 1948,” he said. “Canadian summers are also getting a little bit wetter ... part of that reason is also the warming of the far North.”
typical temperatures predicted for Metro Vancouver
Southwestern British Columbia should expect typical summer temperatures this year, although the southern interior will see more heat than usual.
That’s the prediction of meteorologists at AccuWeather.com, which said in its summer outlook Monday that Canadians in general will experience hot spells interspersed with cooler periods.
However, it will be more of the same in Metro Vancouver and Victoria.
CLICK HERE TO VIEW MORE WARM WEATHER PHOTOS
“Temperatures will be fairly close to normal right along Vancouver and the surrounding suburbs and Vancouver Island,” said AccuWeather.com senior meteorologist Jack Boston of their forecast for June, July and August.
“But it will be hotter temperatures in Kamloops and further east.”
Boston said he doesn’t expect there will be a strong offshore flow of air from the mainland to the Pacific Ocean, with the dominant flow of air instead coming in off the Pacific Ocean.
“(Southwestern B.C.) will get a cooling effect from the Pacific, but in the interior it will be warmer and drier.”
He noted that typical summer temperatures for Vancouver are highs in June of 18 to 20 degrees, 21 to 22 in July and 20 to 21 in August; and lows for the same three months of 11, 12 and 12 respectively.
Total rainfall, he added, should also be in the typical range for the three-month period of between 85 and 90 millimetres.
Despite the AccuWeather.com prediction, Global B.C. senior meteorologist Mark Madryga said long-term forecasts shouldn’t be taken too seriously.
“We could have the coldest June on record, the hottest July on record and an average August. And that would smooth out to a typical pattern (over a three-month period), for sure.
“But it really isn’t that much information,” added Madryga, who believes shorter-term forecasts are more detailed and accurate. “I’ve seen the charts and they’re suggesting the overall summer will be near-average temperatures, which is good. But when you group it as a seasonal forecast, it doesn’t really give much detail over the (entire) summer. I wouldn’t bet your farm on it.”
According to AccuWeather.com, Canada as a whole will experience more typical summer weather in 2013 compared to the record-setting, warm summer of 2012.
“However, we still expect the summer of 2013 to end up ranking in the top 10 warmest summers as the far north continues to experience well above-normal temperatures,” AccuWeather.com said.
“The biggest take-away from this forecast is it’s not going to resemble last year’s summer, which was the warmest summer on record for Canada,” Brett Anderson, lead forecaster for Canada, added.
“We’re going to see much more changeable weather. Yes, we will have spells of heat, we will have spells of very dry weather but we do not expect patterns where it’s going to lock in for weeks on end of hot dry weather.”
Meanwhile, the weather in southern Ontario is expected to be pleasant, with hot periods broken up by what’s expected to be cooler days, although some thunderstorms are expected earlier in the season.
“Overall the humidity, the temperature, is going to be fairly pleasant across much of southern Ontario this summer,” Anderson said.
Areas of the northern coast of British Columbia are also expected to get a fair amount of rainfall this summer.
Anderson noted that Canadian summers in general have been getting hotter over time.
“Overall, Canadian summers are getting warmer. We’ve seen an increase of 1.4 Celsius since records began in 1948,” he said. “Canadian summers are also getting a little bit wetter ... part of that reason is also the warming of the far North.”
