Stock up on the popcorn and adult beverages! The Republicans are ready to rumble Thursday
Stock up on the popcorn and adult beverages! The Republicans are ready to rumble Thursday
In the most anticipated political event of the year, the 17 Republican candidates for president will debate Thursday. Well, ten of them yet to be determined will really debate. The other seven will be in kind of a JV, kid's table debate that no one is really going to watch. This weekend, Donald Trump gave a taste of what we might expect.
“I wish good luck to all the Republican candidates that traveled to California to beg for money etc. from the Koch Brothers,” said Mr. Trump, who wasn’t invited to the Koch meeting, in a Sunday tweet. “Puppets?”
Classic. The question is, will Trump being Trump work in a debate? And if he is, will that turn off Republican voters as much as Republican operatives clearly and dearly hope it will?
“I’d be very surprised if Donald Trump was a candidate on the ballot come Iowa and New Hampshire,” said Stuart Stevens, a GOP strategist who helped guide Mitt Romney’s 2012 campaign.
But for candidates nervously waiting out the summer of Trump, it’s impossible to look beyond Thursday night. The first debate isn’t determinative, but the stakes are enormous: Aside from the opportunity to make a positive first impression with a broad national audience, it’s a moment to assuage nervous donors — or perhaps win over new ones with a lights-out performance.
“You’re not going to win the nomination in the first debate, but you could lose it if you make a mistake,” Black said. “You can lose it on any given day, but especially in a debate — just ask Rick Perry.”
So maybe it's good news for Rick Perry that he's on the cusp of making the main stage. Maybe he doesn't want to be in the spotlight again. All the rest of them are going to have to figure out how to grab the attention from Trump in a way that makes them look more serious and statesmanlike, while at the same time getting their message across. Since there will be ten of them on that stage, even getting a few minutes of time to introduce their vision and show how they're the non-Trump will be a challenge. Trump himself has nothing to lose. He doesn't need to worry about donors and he doesn't need to worry about making nice to the GOP. An independent run will always be an option for him. Which means Thursday night could be a blast.
Daily Kos Elections is keeping track of the polls as the debate cutoff date approaches, so you can have the latest and best guess as to who's in and who's out.
those debates are gonna be fun