Re: RE: Quebec shouldn't separate from Canada
s_lone said:
S-Ranger, say whatever you want about economy but get your facts straight on Quebec cultural issues... "Quebecoisness", as you call it, only started gaining strength in the 60's and it has grown stronger ever since.
A bit late on the reply.

I'm sure everyone missed me, dearly, but there's no need to throw any parades. :shock:
Say "whatever" about economics? Okay. Montreal has rubber wheels on its subways, more expensive to maintain but for less noise and a more comfortable ride. The TTC/Toronto Transit Commission has slashed and burned and fares are double what they are in Montreal for frequent users with monthly passes. It lost over a million people in ridership from 2001-2003 alone -- into cars to add to the gridlock and air pollution that kills over 5,000 Toronto residents a year and sends over 7,000 to emergency wards because they can't breathe. Including my wife who has to go to the hospital at least once a week to get the crap drained from her lungs from the air in this city. She's 35 not 80. She had mild asthma in Vancouver for 25 years. Her lungs were bleeding within a month after she moved to Toronto.
Toronto is selling off utility poles and street lights to try to make ends meet due to $12.6 billion disappearing from the City of Toronto proper, no GTA or municipal area, last year alone. And both the Ontario and confederate feds download their own expenses onto Toronto city hall. There's nothing left to sell off in this city due to tax pillaging (revenues collected and never seen again -- not here, they're easily seen all over the Ontarios and Canadas). The city could try to sell public schools off, has already sold off former school property and cut everything else to the bone, but most of them should have been condemned a decade ago and haven't seen a cent since. Nothing would buy them. Every province in the Canadas gets more money back per capita, from the feds, out of Ontario's taxes, than Ontario gets back itself per capita.
Ontario has a $23-billion fiscal "gap" ("imbalance"/
scam by the confederate feds) in what its businesses and citizens pay out in federal taxes and what it got back in all confederate expenditures to Ontario, last year alone, based on the per capita average that the other 9 provinces got back from the confederate feds per capita out of our taxes ("revenues" due to taxes that are called "premiums" and "plans" and such). The government of Newfoundland&Labrador gets over $2,000 more, per capita, from our revenues, to spend on its budgets/citizens, than the Ontario government gets to keep per capita out of our own revenues.
60% of newcomers to the Canadas decide to settle in pretty much the Toronto area: 40% (averages) in the municipality of Toronto proper.
Quebec gets over
$3,000 from the confederate feds per new immigrant, refugee (if it takes any with its "special" immigration laws) and even migrant. Ontario gets
$500 per newcomer, as always, a pittance of its own taxes back. Every province gets more per capita around absolutely everything than Ontario gets back out of its own taxes, every year. And it gets worse every year, not better.
Ontario is the one and only jurisdiction that has always paid more into this "federation" than it's taken out of it. It doesn't owe one cent of the federal debt but pays 50% of the costs of servicing it, so the President of the confederate Treasury Board says, not that he'd know, along with numbers I couldn't even keep up with because I didn't have a tape in the machine and he was rattling them off one after the other. And he's from Manitoba, not Ontario. He just wasn't in Manitoba, he was in Toronto on a local news program.
During the 2004 "equalization" (Ontario is the one and only province that has never collected equalization and of course not: someone has to pay for it all and it'd be rather difficult to pay more into the "federation" every year while collecting "equalization" from what in this country? Nothing could hope to "fund" Toronto let alone Ontario) welfare handout renewal, Reg Alcock, President of the confederate Treasury Board, got a lot of exercise.
Every jurisdiction but Ontario was bitching for more more, gimme gimme in handouts, Alcock stood up, "Ontario simply cannot afford more" and sat down. Next "question" gimmme gimmme, more more, Alcock stood up again, "Ontario simply cannot afford more" and sat down and might as well have just stuck the answer on a sign in his chair and left. Never once did he say "Quebec simply cannot afford more" or "British Columbia simply cannot afford more" or "Alberta simply cannot afford more." Just Ontario; and with good reason:
Real gross domestic product, expenditure-based, by province and territory
millions of chained (1997) dollars
Code:
__________________________________________
JURISDICTION 2004 % of GDP
__________________________________________
Ontario 470,026 42.02
Québec 234,445 20.96
British Columbia 139,205 12.45
Alberta 135,837 12.14
Manitoba 35,136 3.14
Saskatchewan 33,168 2.97
Nova Scotia 25,271 2.26
New Brunswick 20,867 1.87
Newfoundland & Labrador 15,248 1.36
Northwest Territories 3,833 0.34
Prince Edward Island 3,365 0.30
Yukon Territory 1,206 0.11
Nunavat Territory 862 0.08
__________________________________________
TOTAL 1,118,474 100.00
__________________________________________
SUMMARY 2004 % of GDP
__________________________________________
(ON+QC) Total 704,471 62.99
(ON+QC+BC) Total 843,676 75.43
Rest - (ON+QC) Total 414,003 37.01
Rest - (ON+QC+BC) Total 274,798 24.57
Prairie (AB+SK+MB) Totals 204,141 18.25
(SK+MB) Total ^ to AB 68,304 6.11
Atlantic Canadas Total 68,589 6.13
Territories 5,906 0.53
__________________________________________
* % of GDP is percent of TOTAL, which Statistics Canada doesn't even bother to provide, let alone percentages, let alone a summary. It makes everything far too clear.
Source: Statistics Canada
Date modified (by source): 2006-01-05
Last updated/checked (by me): 2006-01-12
______
Ontarians don't even know what "equalization" is. Can't afford
more? Who ever consulted the Ontario legislature or taxpayers to ask if they could afford to pay out one cent in "equalization" in the first place, let alone explaining it to everyone given that we've never received it so have no clue that it even EXISTS: Penizalize economic success to reward failure with zero accountability, less than zero common sense and disastrous results that speak for themselves just with "provincial" populations (lack of markets; other than in the Windsor-Quebec City<->Québec City Windsor corridor) and GDPs.
It doesn't take a degree in economics to see that there is nothing out there but more and more expenses for the successful economic regions of the Québec City-Windsor<->Windsor Quebec City corridor (and the Lower Mainland-south Vancouver Island, but there is no such thing as "federal recipts" from B.C.;
everything gets transfer payments from the confederates, namely the
Canada Health Transfer (CHT) and
Canada Social Transfer (CST) so it's never a matter of what is paid out, but what is paid out to the confederate feds and is not received back; and per capita around all of it because it's how the disastrous mess of "tranfers payments" work; blindly, not by need, not by real expenses but "per person" in gigantic things like the Ontarios and Québecs, BCs and Albertas.
All federal
disbursements received by whatever jurisdiction's ("province" or territory) dept. of finance have to be subtracted from all federal receipts from the jurisdition then divided by the Apri 1 (end of fiscal year) population estimates for every "province" and territory to even begin to figure out what is truly paying out what -- due to all of the
returns of revenues -- which is where the Ontarios get completely ripped off.
It's never worked and it never will. I'd rather send the money to Mexico to develop its markets. At least it has a population. Equalization was "formalized" in 1957 with rules that Alberta broke immediately, getting equalization welfare handouts from South Ontario taxpayers while 0% of the oil and natural gas revenues were taxed or even taken into account as income for the Alberta government to spend. It went on for
seven years. The rule is generous enough around natural resources. Only 75% of the 100% of provincial revenues generated from natural resources are counted as income to be applied to equalization welfare handouts.
It's exactly how equalization is supposed to work -- as welfare but for provinces that fall below the national average per capita provincial revenues. It doesn't work like that, it's been corrupted with side-deals to buy votes beyond belief and not particuarly around Québec -- much more particularly around the Atlantic Canadas, Manitoba and Saskatchewan.
Try that on real welfare, claiming that only 75% of your income should be deducted from your welfare check because you worked around natural resources, landscaping or something. Or try claiming that ZERO per cent of your income matters, as Alberta did from 1957 to 1964, while its provincial dept of finance raked in billions of dollars hand over fist in oil/gas royalties -- which Nova Scotia and Newfoundland have cited over and over again as their reason that 0% of the royalties and revenues their departments of finance get from our (federal jurisdiction and they would not have offshore rigs but not for the billions of dollars handed to them by the usual; the Québec City-Windsor corridor -- the economic regions in it that cause the transportation/communications corridors to exist in the first place).
It's all "equalization" is -- welfare. If someone makes $500 in a month with some temporary work, best of luck (in Ontario anyway) trying to claim that you were working around natural resources so only 75% of your real income should be deducted from your handout -- let alone 0% being deducted. And it's exactly what Newfoundland&Labrador and Nova Scotia cite around doing the same thing, because it's exactly what Alberta did.
It should never have been allowed to happen around Alberta in the first place but it set a precedent and now every jurisdiction (except Ontario of course) wants to keeep all provincial revenues generated by any natural resources (people are natural resources -- and they cost money after they stop generating revenues; in healthcare, possibly social services, pensions; no spent and abandoned mine/quarry or anything else around primary industries, empty fields, etc., end up costing us anything when they stop producing -- only people do and people are certainly natural resources) to be tax-free and with 0% of the (provincial government's) income applied against their welfare handouts paid for almost entirely by 'Ontario' (south) taxpayers.
But it goes on in the Ontarios as well. If the Ontario section of the Windsor-Quebec City corridor (Inner Canada, "Main Street") split into South Ontario, the rest, the mass bulk of the Ontarios, would be on equalization overnight and we could either pay for their law enforcement and healthcare and other handouts through the Ontario feds as it's done now, or via the confederate feds; with more expenses.
They'd have to move in RCMP law enforcement and then we'd have to pay the confederate feds for that, their healthcare and at a different rate per capita (higher) than South Ontario got, social services, post-secondary educations, they'd pay less into E.I. and get more as the Atlantic Canadas, Manitoba and Saskatchewan do, and South Ontario would have to pay for it all.
So the only solution is to get South Ontario out of this 'federation." Everything in the country hates it anyway and should throw parades when we invite the Quebec portion of the Windsor-Quebec City corridor (as we define it, not how the confederate feds define it -- no supply, just what's needed for the PRODUCTION of high value goods and services via tolerance, open-mindedness, quality of life, cooperation; because it is in our interests. We're stuck with what's south of and on the 401/Autoroute 20 and north in a few areas, like Ottawa-Hull/Gatineau and out/south from Quebec City to maintain jurisdicton over the St. Lawrence, and join us in an economic union.
Then more parades would be thrown in the Outer Canadas over hated "Quebec" being out of their hair. Then the Vancouver area, Lower Mainland-south Vancouver Island, also tolerant, open-minded, inclusive, etc., because it's
necessary around diverse economies/markets for maximum innovation/productivity and we three can take on the world. The rest can keep producing this crap:
Gross domestic product at basic prices primary industries
$ constant 1997 (millions) 2004
Code:
____________________________________________________________
% of
INDUSTRY 2004-05 All
____________________________________________________________
Agriculture forestry fishing and hunting
Crop production 9,998 0.95
Animal production 4,215 0.40
Forestry and logging 6,880 0.66
Fishing hunting and trapping 866 0.08
Support activities for agriculture
and forestry 1,242 0.12
Agriculture forestry fishing and hunting TOTAL 23,201 2.21
____________________________________________________________
Mining and oil and gas extraction
Oil and gas extraction 22,817 2.18
Mining (except oil and gas)
Coal mining 1,208 0.12
Metal ore mining 4,608 0.44
Non-metallic mineral mining and quarrying 4,730 0.45
Support activities for mining
and oil and gas extraction 5,336 0.51
___________________________________________________________
Mining (except oil and gas) TOTAL 10,546 1.01
____________________________________________________________
Mining and oil and gas extraction TOTAL 38,699 3.69
____________________________________________________________
PRIMARY INDUSTRY TOTAL (ALL) 61,900 5.90
____________________________________________________________
All industries TOTAL 1,048,266 100.00
____________________________________________________________
Source: Statistics Canada, Primary Industries
_____
A whole 5.9% of the total economic output; without subtracting subsidies and other confederate "expenditures". It's night and day and we are not economically or socio-economically/demographically compatible with the rest of the Canadas, but we are with each other -- once the mess "Great" Britain created is undone and you, we, us, our economies, over 70% of the economic output of the Canadas with the Lower Mainland-south Vancouver Island in "our" economic union, with a total re-write on a new union constitution that provides all of the benefits of being a republic without actually having to do it.
Windsor-Quebec City Corridor, 2001
Ontario Section
10,706,513 93% of Ontario's population
Quebec Section
6,327,354 87% of Quebec's population
Total Population
17,033,867 57% of Canada's population
Source: Statistics Canada 2001 Census
With separate governments and no need for any federal goverment, just union services we decide to keep in common instead of duplicating, like the Bank of Canada/currency, fiscal policies that would actually make sense to us and our investors for a change and much more stable dollar, no fake monarch, new curency has to be minted/printed, no royal or religious/ministerial titles allowed in government anything, "equal representation" is moot. You've got your government, we've got ours. We can create a new union constitution along with the economic charter for the rules of the economic union/trade, and whatever we agree upon goes into the union constitution, with a sane anemnding formula and things we don't agree upon go in our republic constitutions.
We're the only real trading partners in the Canadas, "Main Street," the above and the Greater Sudbury Area is included in it by the confederate feds but won't be included in it by us. It's supply and we want to pay less for supply and so does the U.S.
It makes economic sense, it makes socio-economic sense (rural Quebec outside the Quebec section of "Main Street" has been polled many times and they identify more with what they call "Western Canada"; the vast portion of Ontario outside "Main Street"; not the south and certainly not Toronto or Montréal, which is what they see "the south" as: mainly because it's true). The rest of the Québecs and Ontarios would be far happier with their own governments/representatives dealing with their issues; not the issues of the Québec City-Windsor corridor: and vice versa as long as the Québec section/"republic" runs its own show around everything we
don't need centralized union services for, which includes most of them, and ditto with the Ontario section. The Lower Mainland-south Vancouver Island isn't going to sit out with the rest of the Outer Canadas with their economies based almost entirely on the export of raw/semi-processed volatile commodities and will be a piece of cake to get into our economic union.
Of course we need supply but we import it from all over the world. Quebec has no bauxite, for example, but is the world's third largest producer of aluminum. Instead of exporting natural resources (and the jobs and spin-off jobs, expanded markets/economies/revenues bases) that go along with not just pawning off raw commodities, it imports bauxite from Australia, Guinea, Jamaica and Brazil. Aluminum isn't a manufactured product (as is) but it's worth more than bauxite is. Buy low, sell high and create jobs/new markets, etc. in the process instead of what the rest of the Outer Canadas does for the most part: export commodities (and the jobs, new markets, etc.) to wherever, mainly the U.S., then import finished goods for a lot more than the commodities were sold for: sell low, buy high. It's why they have such puny economies with no markets to speak of.
We don't pay Australia's state or federal debts, bills, provide their governments with handouts, supply their law enforcement and even TV/radio stations and they certainly don't get representation in our governments just because we happen to import supply from them. It's no different for the Outer Canadas.
And it doesn't mean that South Quebec (or South Ontario) give up jurisdiction over their current borders (which is all of the Canadas). We'll be able to subsidize
our own farmers by four to five times what they get now - to bring them up to the level of American farm subsidies. We'll still have to pay for their law enforcement, healthcare, infrastructure period. But we make sure we keep enough of our own revenues to keep our economies expanding in the south where it's a no-brainer. And the Quebec portion of the Windsor-Quebec City corridor/Inner Canada/Main Street, will be a hell of a lot better off in an economic union with the Ontario portion as opposed to getting its share of the federal debt dumped on it, having to buy out all the land in Quebec, other than in the south, exactly where it needs it, it's got land deeds for that. But nothing to the north and it'd have to buy out Indian Country.
I'm on Quebec's side, Montréal's side, and specifically the head offices in it and economics of the Windsor-Montreal corridor from this end. Québec City is a satellite of Montréal, much as Ottawa is of Toronto; on the business level. The political structural and systems levels of the Ontario and confederate feds are less than worthless garbage. Political systems don't function and can't function when the structure makes no sense at all, regardless of any systemic changes.
We cannot maintain an economic union with the Outer Canadas. We can't use the same central bank/fiscal policies/exchange rate. Their economies are based on volatile commodities. Our economies are knowledge-based, rely upon R&D to develop high value services, primarily, and high value specialty manufactured goods; not commodities/supply. We have the markets, which is called demand not supply. "Ontario" ... keeping the 2001 population numbers in mind, and I'll show you the metropolitan areas that make up what the feds think is the Ontario section of the Windsor-Quebec City corridor, which just means cutting out Sudbury, it's way the hell up north and is supply, is, well, you do know that the U.S. and "Canada" are the largest bilateral economic trading partners in the history of the planet? "Ontario" is the U.S.'s 2nd largest trading partner on the planet; in commerce, not bulk or tonnages of commodities at $40/weight or volume. As in 2nd behind only the other other 9 provinces and three territories of the Canadas.
And if the Quebec section of the Windsor-Quebec City is pulled from the equasion, we are the U.S.'s largest economic trading partners on the planet. Some 37 states sell more to us (markets and with money to spend) than to any other state in the U.S. or the entire EU and Japan combined and all kinds of crazy combinations.
One more time:
Windsor-Quebec City Corridor, 2001
Ontario Section
10,706,513 93% of Ontario's population
Quebec Section
6,327,354 87% of Quebec's population
Total Population
17,033,867 57% of Canada's population
Source: Statistics Canada 2001 Census
Now do you know what census metropolitan areas (CMAs) are? I don't either as far as figuring them out (has to have a population of 100,000 or more in the Canadas); but every country has them around cities. 100,000 people is a town as far as I'm concerned but I don't make up the rules. These are the CMAs of the Canadas as defined for the 2001 census and it's quite relevant to this Inner/Outer Canada thing, "Main Street", the Windsor-Quebec City corridor and the dysfunctional structure so systems in this 'federation':
Federation of Canadian Municipalities (FCM)
Bridging the Innovation Gap:
Count Cities In
August 2002
PDF. Unless you want it opening in your (whomever, if anyone is still awake

) browser, right click on the link and Save Link/Target As... or whatever wording your browser uses to download it to your "I hate Ontario and Quebec" folder (or I hate Toronto and/or Montreal inside the provinces).
Adobe Acrobat <--link is required to read PDFs and is free.
Or take my word for it and don't bother (whomever) finding out why Harper will do the best (inadvertent) favor this "federation" has ever had if "Ontario" is smart and votes "conservative" reform-alliance and Quebec is smart and sends in 75 Bloc MP's: start ripping this mess apart and fixing it. Not as Harper would like, he'll be out of a job with the rest of the freaks in Rideau Hall and on confederate mound. We've already got law firms bidding to buy out hopelessly worthless and quite expensive (more than the 'ad scam') office of the representative of the Prime Minister, claiming to be a rep of some Crown somewhere. If we're going to have a monarch then we get a castle and everyone gets to play worthless King or Queen for a day.
It's only 26 pages, including a page of the sources of information and some good links.
PDF: Bridging the Innovation Gap: Count Cities In
Census Metropolitan Area Populations, Growth Rates and Population Rank
Ontario
Code:
__________________________________________________________
CMA 2001 1996 %Change Rank
__________________________________________________________
Toronto *............. 4,682,897 4,263,759 9.8 1
Ottawa-Hull * (ON/QC). 1,063,664 998,718 6.5 4
Hamilton *............ 662,401 624,360 6.1 9
London *.............. 432,451 416,546 3.8 10
Kitchener *........... 414,284 382,940 8.2 11
St. Catharines-Niagara* 377,009 372,406 1.2 12
Windsor *............. 307,877 286,811 7.3 15
Oshawa *.............. 296,298 268,773 10.2 16
Greater Sudbury *..... 155,601 165,618 –6.0 20
Kingston *............ 146,838 144,528 1.6 24
Thunder Bay .......... 121,986 126,643 –3.7 27
__________________________________________________________
Québec
Code:
__________________________________________________________
CMA 2001 1996 %Change Rank
__________________________________________________________
Montréal *............ 3,426,350 3,326,447 3.0 2
Québec City *......... 682,757 671,889 1.6 7
Chicoutimi-Jonquière . 154,938 160,454 –3.4 21
Sherbrooke *.......... 153,811 149,569 2.8 22
Trois-Rivières *...... 137,507 139,956 –1.7 25
__________________________________________________________
* «Main Street» : Windsor-Québec City corridor
14 of Canada's 27 CMA's
British Columbia
Code:
__________________________________________________________
CMA 2001 1996 %Change Rank
__________________________________________________________
Vancouver ............ 1,986,965 1,831,665 8.5 3
Victoria ............. 311,902 304,287 2.5 14
Abbotsford ........... 147,370 136,480 8.0 23
__________________________________________________________
Alberta
Code:
__________________________________________________________
CMA 2001 1996 %Change Rank
__________________________________________________________
Calgary .............. 951,395 821,628 15.8 5
Edmonton ............. 937,845 862,597 8.7 6
__________________________________________________________
Manitoba
Code:
__________________________________________________________
CMA 2001 1996 %Change Rank
__________________________________________________________
Winnipeg ............. 671,274 667,093 0.6 8
__________________________________________________________
Saskatchewan
Code:
__________________________________________________________
CMA 2001 1996 %Change Rank
Saskatoon ............ 225,927 219,056 3.1 17
Regina ............... 192,800 193,652 –0.4 18
__________________________________________________________
Nova Scotia
Code:
__________________________________________________________
CMA 2001 1996 %Change Rank
__________________________________________________________
Halifax .............. 359,183 342,966 4.7 13
__________________________________________________________
Newfoundland and Labrador
Code:
__________________________________________________________
CMA 2001 1996 %Change Rank
__________________________________________________________
St. John's ........... 172,918 174,051 –0.7 19
__________________________________________________________
New Brunswick
Code:
__________________________________________________________
CMA 2001 1996 %Change Rank
__________________________________________________________
Saint John ........... 122,678 125,705 –2.4 26
__________________________________________________________
Prince Edward Island
Code:
None
__________________________________________________________
Source: CMA listings/maps:
http://www.statcan.ca/english/research/92F0138MIE/02001/cma2001.htm (
PDFs)
CMA populations:
PDF Metropolitan Change and Related Political Behaviour in Canadian Metropolises, Jean-Pierre Collin and Mélanie Robertson, INRS-Urbanisation, Culture et Société Groupe de recherche sur l’innovation municipale (GRIM), Montréal, 29 juin 2004, via Statistics Canada, 2001 Census of "Canada" (which one?) which does not address the Québec City-Windsor corridor to say the very least. It's too real for Canadiana to deal with.
The table in the document just lists them from largest to smallest populations. I separated them into provinces after sticking a number beside them all to show where they are in order of population.
The FCM (and Statistics Canada; it's where they got it from) identifies "The Big Four" regions of the Canadas as:
The extended Golden Horseshoe
Montreal and adjacent region
Lower Mainland and South Vancouver Island
Calgary-Edmonton corridor
The Calgary-Edmonton "corridor" had less than the population of the "municipality" of Toronto alone in 2001 and it's not gaining in real population on the real Toronto; because it has no population and percentages mean nothing in this mess. Between Toronto and Montréal it will be, already is (but will be much more clear) a fair game: not that city-regions (to-be city-states in a proper republic of close enough to republics) compete with one another other than around marketing for sporting events, tourism and such: businesses compete with one another and globally. Montréal is oriented to the U.S., given that it's where all the money/markets are, Toronto is oriented to the U.S. for the same reason and there is no singular "U.S." either; just city-regions (economic regions) and the head offices and other assets/connections in them; globally. The rest of the Canadas, other than the Vancouver region, hasn't come anywhere close to figuring that out yet. They will in 100 years or so; less in another economic union, which will make investing in them, but still around primary industries to plunder (up to them, always has been, always will be to use their brains and figure out what century it is and what's going on in this century as of now; not yesterday, let alone in pre-history, before the "U.S." (economic regions that matter) - Windsor-Quebec City corridor free trade agreement. They'll either figure "globalization" and knowledge-based economies out or they won't -- and it's not up to us to pay one cent more for them to demonstrate oh so clearly that they haven't the faintest clue where to begin; ever since "cyberspace" showed up a whole 10 years ago and they started to figure out which century this is and what has taken place over the last 100 years and how far behind they are).
The only mention of the Windsor-Quebec City corridor in a Google search is by far the most hits when looking for information: the air pollution levels are the highest in the country. I can't imagine why. And transportation/communications, due to what goes on in this region, are the most developed in the Canadas. And we pay to develop and maintain them
ourselves, while also paying the debts, expenses, handouts to the Outer Canadas.
The only CMA that makes no sense at all as part of Main Street is the Greater Sudbury area. So cut 155,601 from the 10,706,513 people in the Ontario section (in 2001; it's quite a lot higher now). Everything else is in the south and on or close enough to the 401/QEW and other 400-series highways in the "Ontario" section.
Metropolitan Change and Related Political Behaviour
in Canadian Metropolises
Paper presented to
International Metropolitan Observatory Meeting
Bordeaux, January 9-10, 2004
Paper presented to
International Metropolitan Observatory Meeting
Bordeaux, January 9-10, 2004
Jean-Pierre Collin and Mélanie Robertson
INRS-Urbanisation, Culture et Société
Groupe de recherche sur l’innovation municipale (GRIM)
Montréal, 23 décembre 2003
PDF http://www.vrm.ca/documents/IMO_Collin_Robertson.pdf
From pages 16-17
The Windsor-Quebec City corridor (aptly dubbed “Main Street” by Bunting and Filion 1991) is dominated by two metropolitan areas: Toronto and Montréal, which together contain 25% of Canada’s population and 67% of the population of the country’s major urban areas, with nearly 13 million people (Map 1, page 4 & Appendix 2). In central Canada, the combined population of the five CMAs of Toronto, Montréal, Ottawa-Hull, Quebec City and Hamilton is about 10 million people, or just over a third of the Canadian population. This is an exceptional degree of concentration at the national level, as these five cities contain 70% of the population of the country’s 10 major urban areas, or 55% of the population of the 27 CMAs (Appendix 2).
[graph of CMA's and population changes in the city compared to the rest of the CMA]
In the West, the second area of relative concentration is the “archipelago” consisting of the CMAs of Calgary, Edmonton and Vancouver, with a combined population of more than four million people. Winnipeg, isolated between these two large conurbations, is the only other important metropolitan area. In the Maritime Provinces, the major urban centres are relatively modest in size, covering limited territories and including only 844,000 inhabitants overall (Appendix 2 & Map 1, page 4).
I could go on (copying/pasting isn't difficult and I type 120 WPM; sorry about that) forever. And would have to, to get all of the facts out. Nothing really likes to discuss this Windsor-Quebec City corridor/Inner Canada (seems to be a label invented by Alberta)/Main Street thing because it shows an impassable chasm, two completely different countries (and two more within Main Street; but at least they're economically compatible) that can't have one central bank/fiscal policy/exchange rate. No matter what the Bank of Canada does, it's going to screw most of the Inner Canadas or most of the Outer Canadas or usually both.
When statistics come out of "Canada" they really come from the Windsor-Quebec City corridor because it has the majority of the population (and economy) of the country.
And now anyone from the Outer Canadas is annoyed but I stick to economic and not even demographic stats and information because it just is: it's nothing personal.
The Brits (of Yore, no need to bother wasting our time/money/energy with it today; we have far more important and urgent matters to attend to; like getting reality out via mass marketing so that both "you" and "we" as "us" know that absolutely nothing can stop us, united -- properly) "royally" screwed up, and if "The Lord" Durham (Durham, John George Lambton, 1st earl of) had had the foresight of the EU in 1837 to turn Lower Canada (nothing close to present-day Québec) into a republic with its own government, Upper Canada (Ontario) into the same with its own government, in an economic union with a common and sane union constitution, instead of forcing them together again as Canada West and Canada East, well, who knows or cares what would have happened yesterday let alone 170 years ago.
It was insane for Britannia to think that it could turn colonists from Flanders into British subjects: period. They haven't exactly gotten along well in their histories of killing each other at every opportunity and were at the end of another war with each other when the Brits took out the French on the Plains of Abraham; in less than 24 hours as a little side affair to the Seven Years War, which led to the Treaty of Paris, 1763, which gave Great Britain all of France’s mainland North American territory, save for Guadeloupe and the two islands off Newfoundland.
I have no problem with Quebec getting self-government, finally. I just think that everything else should get the same, to undo this British mess, with no offense to today's Britain: but it's really like some Monty Python skit gone afoul. Quebec has made as much of its culture as the Americans have of theirs, despite all of it. As Bud Estey said regarding Quebec and secession, before the
Clarity Act, 2000 made it impossible (unless the Windsor-Quebec City corridor get their heads on straight and team up; nothing can stop the real Canada from reforming the real Canada):
Can Quebec legally separate from Canada?
Willard (Bud) Estey's answer to this national dilemma was typical of any lawyer
-- maybe, maybe not, he said.
"I'm not here to discuss whether we're going to make it or not. I want to tell you how it can be done if we accept it, or reject it."
His resume is as long as a royal commission report. He's sat on three commissions himself and has served on the board of directors of at least six major corporations. [Not to mention a federal Supreme Court Justice.] And, before a lunch-hour crowd of about 60 people, the rail-thin, 77-year-old lounged against a podium and rattled off a lively, hour-long talk on the legalities of the Quebec separation question.
He carried no notes.
"There are no provisions for anyone to leave (Confederation)," he said, peering at the audience over the tops of his glasses.
"There are lots to take them in, but nobody gets out."
That means Canada can go the way of the U.S. and have a revolution or it can adopt the Czechoslovakian model and give Quebec consent to split.
"We hardly ever fight at home," noted Estey, a veteran of the Second World War. "We fight in Europe and, when we're tired, we come home."
It's unlike us to fight for something we believe in.
"We're low pressure. When anything serious crops up, we form a committee.
When we can't find the answers, we form a sub-committee. And, if they can't find an answer with that, they found a Crown corporation. When that becomes insolvent, the problem goes away."
The legalities of Quebec separation are buried in our history, he said. And history is something Canadians know little about.
"There's a law in Quebec that no Canadian history after 1929 can be taught. I don't know why they chose 1929.
"There's no law in the rest of the provinces; they just don't teach it."
So Estey gave his audience a quick history lesson.
Using a series of slides, he ran through the progression of provincial borders from 1667 to 1949.
The point was to demonstrate that, until 1912, Quebec's borders never extended into Cree land in the northern regions of the province.
"That was a country and we're not to monkey with it. Indeed, they helped us conquer this (New France/Lower Canada/Quebec).
"The royal proclamation did not cede that land to the colony of Quebec, nor did they cede it to Rupert's Land.
"And there it sits -- Indian country. Nothing has happened to deed this away."
In 1912, Parliament extended the boundaries of Quebec to their current status. "But they did not transfer, cede, deliver, quit claim or anything the land to the province of Quebec. It's a jurisdictional boundary which they got."
In the south, they were granted the land. In the North, well it's open to debate.
"At no time does the imperial Crown give up its land interest in Indian country.
They didn't give it to Canada. They didn't give it to Quebec."
Therein lie the seeds of a big legal battle.
And the Cree have many well-trained and high-priced lawyers to stand up to Quebec, he said.
Unlike other Canadians, they won't be bullied. "They lay it on the line with Quebec like we don't do."
That's the land dispute that has to be settled if separation is to go ahead, he said. But there's also a constitutional issue.
There is no mechanism to permit separation of a province. So all the provinces must agree to amend the Constitution.
"That amendment would have to set up the machinery for dividing the debt, and the assets.
"Or settling the subtle problem of what interest does Quebec have as a departing province in the federal assets outside Quebec.
And what interest does Ottawa have in federal assets inside Quebec, he asked.
[Hence the
Clarity Act.]
"Well, if they cancel out, that doesn't hurt anybody. But if there's an I.O.U. owed by one or the other, to settle the thing, ironically you'd probably have to pay the I.O.U. in U.S. dollars. "You couldn't pay it in Canadian dollars, Quebec hasn't got any. They wouldn't take Canadian, they have no place to park it."
But, if all those hurdles were jumped, would it be recognized internationally?
To get that recognition, there must be a large, identifiable group of people who want to leave, he said. And there can't be a significant group who does not want to, he added. "This is probably the third-ranking difficulty of Quebec. What do you do with about one million people living on the Isle of Montreal, discreet geographically and linguistically, who say no?"
And financially, Quebec could get hung up, too, because "you have to agree to take your share of the debt of the old country.
"But there's a problem. Quebec didn't sign any Canadian bonds, there's no covenant to repay it. They have no currency to repay it -- we won't let it use Canadian dollars.
[Hence the
Clarity Act.]
"And, of course, some of the debt is not repayable in Canadian dollars." But, if it doesn't take its share of the debt, then it sets a dangerous precedent -- the last province out the door has to pay the accumulated tab, he said.
[Hence the
Clarity Act.]
And, if Quebec doesn't act responsibly, New York financiers, who underwrote Canada's debt, won't bankroll the fledgling nation.
But the province does have some claims to separation, too.
"Quebec does have a discreet bond, a language. They do have a discreet geographical boundary, minus the Indian issue, in that they're cut off from the rest of the country." Then, breaking a vow to avoid the drama of politics, he darted into that realm briefly. "Quebec might get world recognition. France would undoubtedly recognize them. It's almost morally bound to do that. They've encouraged them and when there's a show of courage on the part of Quebec, you can't slap them down and say, ÁYou can't do that.'
"On the other hand, there's the U.S."
Clarity Act said:
(5) In considering the clarity of a referendum question, the House of Commons shall take into account the views of all political parties represented in the legislative assembly of the province whose government is proposing the referendum on secession, any formal statements or resolutions by the government or legislative assembly of any province or territory of Canada, any formal statements or resolutions by the Senate, any formal statements or resolutions by the representatives of the Aboriginal peoples of Canada, especially those in the province whose government is proposing the referendum on secession, and any other views it considers to be relevant.
[The U.S. is quite relevant.]
With so many Spanish-speaking Americans, it might be reluctant to recognize Quebec because it is leaving for linguistic reasons. This might set a bad precedent.
And then there are the trade pacts, which don't yet include a sovereign Quebec.
If Ottawa were smart, it [and the U.S.] would [will] threaten to block Quebec's entry into any international trade agreements, he said.
Without entry into them, Quebec couldn't trade with other nations and its economy would fall into the dumpster.
[Due to a study done by the Frasier Institute in 1991, Quebec's economy would be in the dumpster before it even got to trying to get the constitution changed; which would open the door for everything to leave this "federation" and Ontario would be out the door before Quebec.]
"We won't let them in if we have any brains because it's a bargaining chip, not because we're malevolent about Quebec."
But if Quebec decides to go, we may not be able to stop it, he concluded. "
They have a people conscious that the rest of us don't have. They have a language, cultural, geographic heritage that they have made as much out of as the Americans have of theirs.
"We have done very little in that direction. Our problem is going to be if it's another 52-48 vote. Should we try and carry on a business in which we have as a partner someone who does not want to carry on?
"Should we continue to make our nation work under that difficulty? That's going to be our moral dilemma.
[Hence the
Clarity Act.]
"It's not for me to answer that, that's not a legal problem. That's the benefit of being a lawyer -- anything you don't know the answer to, you say it's not legal."
You brought up so many issues (as statements), s_lone, and are so wrong that it requires books to address what you (seem to; I can't tell from one publication) think the truth is.
Economics, in a broad meaning, economic snapshots of various types are just the end-result of all marketing; political, commercial (includes the "newz media" selling stories to their target markets to sell ad space for as much money as possible), religious, word-of-mouth. It's nothing personal and Quebec has nothing to be embarrassed about or apologize for around economics, so I don't understand what seems to be your annoyance, as though we should throw our trump cards out and focus on cultural issues that have accomplished nothing for Quebec other than, particularly in the 1960's, an exodus of human capital and business mainly to the Toronto area.
The cultural issue has to be in there but as the main event, it won't fly - legally. The Clarity Act has to be bypassed and the only way to do that is to get the Ontario end of the Windsor-Quebec City corridor, which Toronto has been at (going slow; there's too much to digest) only for three years and it's difficult to mass market to so many people (in relation to the rest of the Canadas) that they've been
totally hosed by this "federation" even over the last decade is good enough, let alone going back to "confederation."
I just think it's presumptous to assume that Quebec is a singular entity that will make its own choices. It doesn't have that option. If South Ontario says it does, then it does. If not, Quebec is in for a world of pain, will accomplish nothing more than destabilizing its economy, again, sending more human capital and businesses to South Ontario or even the Calgary-Edmonton corridor or Lower Mainland-South Vancouver Island now.
GDP is total assets/income minus liabilities/expenses before taxes, across all industries (see North American Industry Classification System;
NAICS) in whatever jurisdiction over whatever period of time. Say a fiscal year and Quebec. If debt hits GDP, it's like your credit card balances amounting to your total salary. With the interest you have no hope of paying the bills off and will have to declare bankruptcy unless you can increase your income. But Quebec would decrease its GDP by separating from Canada (best of luck), the exodus of human capital and businesses in the 60's would look like a joke. And its debt would be over double its GDP -- in US$ with a former GDP in Canadian dollars that would turn into the Quebee or whatever currency Quebec came up with, after setting up its central bank, economic/financial system, with no trade agreements and feel free to look it up: Quebec is worth about 20 cents on every Canadian dollar. By separating, its economy would be compared (by financial markets, along with its debt; if it could even find a creditor to finance it other than the IMF ... and if you know anything about the IMF, you'd wish you were back in Canada).
So Quebec ends up with a $400 billion or so debt (1991) in US$ and has a currency worth 20 cents Canadian at best. What happens after that? A garage sale happens after that, we buy everything out at garage sale prices off the IMF and Quebec turns into supply and loses all high value ("value added") jobs because it'd be worse than Mexico. It can't even grow citrus so couldn't be a banana republic. [It's a joke.]
It has nothing to do with culture. It has nothing to do with discrimination or anything but reality.
You don't know the history of your own province, which isn't one history. It's entangled with the history of Ontario. You know nothing about law, nothing about the
Clarity Act, nothing about international law, nothing about Quebec's debts to this federation, namely South Ontario, and culture isn't going to cut it. Toronto can pull that and outdo Quebec or anything else with "uniqueness." Quebec, south, has no monopoly on being hated by this "federation" (other than by anyone with any economic sense in South Ontario and specifically Toronto) and Duceppe is defending Ontario in "the Commons" over the outrageous "fiscal imbalances" that the confederate feds impose on this jurisdiction, in all of its glorious obliviousness.
There comes a time. Every other jurisdiction in this mess bitches and moans, screams and cries for our tax revenues. And gets them. Lots of Canadians think that their taxes go into "funding" Quebec because of "say whatever you want about economics." It is mathematically impossible for anything but South Ontario, and specific parts of it, to have the revenues to fund Quebec. And it's not a problem for us, because Quebec actually makes money. It's a good investment and others look at totals around transfers and forget that they have no populations to speak of and that transfers from the confederate feds are paid out per capita. Quebec has a capita, it pays out the highest per capita taxes in the country and this is how it works out:
Equalization Entitlements in 2005-06 $ per person
(Per person is also called per capita; same thing, the total divided by the population of each province in this case, but the confederate Dept. of Finance (a.k.a. "Finance Canada") doesn't bother to list the population estimate(s) they're using, so either can I to make sure that they're not playing any more games than usual.)
Code:
_______________________________________
2005-06 % of
Province $ each Total
_______________________________________
Prince Edward Island 1,996 21.93
New Brunswick 1,793 19.70
Newfoundland & Labrador 1,668 18.33
Nova Scotia 1,432 15.73
Manitoba 1,359 14.93
Québec 632 6.94
British Columbia 139 1.53
Saskatchewan 83 0.91
Ontario 0 0.00
Alberta 0 0.00
_______________________________________
TOTAL 9,102 100.00
_______________________________________
2005-06 % of
SUMMARY $ each Total
_______________________________________
Atlantic Total 6,889 75.69
Prairie-B.C. Total 1,581 17.37
Québec Total 632 6.94
_______________________________________
TOTAL 9,102 100.00
_______________________________________
Figures reflect increases resulting from the new framework on Equalization announced by the Prime Minister following the October 2004 First Ministers' Meeting). These figures incorporate the protection provided to provinces against declines in Equalization. These figures do not include the additional $150 million in Equalization announced in Budget 2004.
[Or the 'Atlantic Accord' or 2.5% annual accelerator or plenty of other BS to buy votes at the expense of the Ontarios, as usual.]
Source: Department of Finance Canada -
Equalization Program
Date modified (by source): 2005-04-04
Last modified/checked (by me): 2006-01-25
_____
And if you (whomever) kept the 2004-05 data then you can do this:
Equalization Entitlements – (2004-05, 2005-06) per person
Sorted by 2005-06 per person ($ millions)
Code:
____________________________________________
2004 2005 $ +/-
Prince Edward Island 1,776 1,996 +220
New Brunswick 1,537 1,793 +256
Newfoundland & Labrador 1,398 1,668 +270
Nova Scotia 1,223 1,432 +209
Manitoba 1,147 1,359 +212
Quebec 500 632 +132
British Columbia 197 139 - 58
Saskatchewan 464 83 -381
Ontario 0 0 0
Alberta 0 0 0
____________________________________________
Figures reflect increases resulting from the new framework on Equalization announced by the Prime Minister following the October 2004 First Ministers' Meeting). These figures incorporate the protection provided to provinces against declines in Equalization. These figures do not include the additional $150 million in Equalization announced in Budget 2004. [Or the 'Atlantic Accord' or 2.5% annual accelerator or plenty of other BS to buy votes at the expense of the Ontarios, as usual.]
Source: Not Long For This World Finance "Canada" - Equalization Program
Date modified (by source): 2005-04-04
Last updated/checked (by me): 2005-01-25
_____
But slap on the CHT/CST, which already "equalize" making "the equalization transfer" nothing but equalization on equalization and take a look at the graph at the source above showing Alberta's own-source revenues, about 40% higher than Ontario's, but it gets all of $1 less per capita back in the major transfers:
MAJOR (nowhere near all) "Federal" Transfers
2004-05 and 2005-06 sorted from the highest, per person, to the lowest for 2005-06
$ Per person for fiscal 2004-05 and 2005-06 / the percentage the amount is of total government revenues but for the previous fiscal year. Confused? Welcome to the Canadas.
Code:
_____________________________________________________________
2004-05 2005-06 Change
Nunavat Territory $25,975 / 88% $28,061 / 91% UP 3%
Northwest Territories $16,633 / 78% $17,951 / 80% UP 2%
Yukon Territory $15,727 / 76% $16,818 / 78% UP 2%
Prince Edward Island $ 2,930 / 39% $3,291 / 42% UP 3%
New Brunswick $ 2,739 / 36% $3,111 / 39% UP 3%
Newfoundland & Labrador $ 2,449 / 32% $2,966 / 34% UP 2%*
Nova Scotia $ 2,455 / 39% $2,793 / 42% UP 3%
Manitoba $ 2,428 / 38% $2,717 / 40% UP 2%
Quebec $ 1,757 / 25% $2,052 / 26% UP 1%
British Columbia $ 1,383 / 18% $1,570 / 19% UP 1%
Saskatchewan $ 1,332 / 20% $1,487 / 28% UP 8%**
Ontario $ 1,322 / 21% $1,487 / 21% UP 0%
Alberta $ 1,321 / 16% $1,486 / 16% UP 0%
_____________________________________________________________
* NL Up one position over NS from 2004-05
**SK up the highest of every jurisdiction in percentage of provincial revenues
Source: Department of Finance Canada - Federal Transfers to Provinces and Territories (scroll down for all jurisdictions)
Date modified (by source): 2005-03-31
Last checked/modified (by me): 2006-01-25
_____
It's certainly not the whole story. They're pittances of tax returns to Ontario, Quebec and B.C. Alberta is getting about 40% too much back (per capita, it's how they're all mindlessly not worked out to mean anything) or Ontario is getting back 40% too little because own-source "provincial"/territorial revenues are supposed to offset these things; just like welfare is offset when people get jobs and have "own source" revenues, but welfare makes a lot more sense than the mess of "transfer systems" doesn't.
Quebec opted out of the CHST, now split in two, CHT/CST (Canada Health Transfer, Canada Social Transfer). Who knows what either of them even are? Look them up and tell me; then tell me why Quebec is still getting CHT/CST transfers from the confederates on top of "equalization"; which is all included above (and more) and you can see that Quebec is way, way below the real leeches of the Canadas and what else but "gimme gimme and gimme MORE!" :?: Up, up, up. If any of it had ever worked, none of these transfers would even exist today, but they keep going up and up, way over the rate of inflation and the "equalization" welfare handout transfer has an automatic 2.5% accelerator (2.5% guaranteed increase per fiscal year) ... while the ones paying for it have no such guarantees of economic growth (so revenue growth) to pay for it.
The above can shut a lot of people up around "Quebec" and it's alleged "special treatment" around things that people have no frikken clue what they're talking about, and are too lazy to even Google anything to find out: because their hatred/excuses based on outright lies are all they have.
I've been looking around for a web site that has one, two, maybe three people who know something and can discuss economics and not even socio-economics because populations (markets) are stark enough along with a few other factors, between Inner/Outer Canada, which lead to political priorities. Ontario and Quebec are the only jurisdictions in the federation that pay for their own law enforcement from top to bottom, bottom to top. The President of the Treasury Board (Alcock, Manitoba) is also the head of the "Canadian" Wheat Board. It's not "Canadian." It only provides subsidies to farmers in the four western provinces, so why are provincial subsidies called federal/Canadian? Ditto with RCMP law enforcement. There are four branches: the "FBI" end, the "SS" end (bodyguards for politicians/foriegn dignitaries even if they bring their own as they always do, they have to coordinate with that end of the RCMP), the decorative units for the tourists, though I've never seen one, other than on postcards, and Toronto gets more tourists/visitors than any other city in the Canadas per year, and the Alberta Federal Police, B.C. Federal Police, Newfoundland&Labrador Federal Police and on and on for every jurisdiction but Ontario and Quebec.
Hardly a day goes by now in Toronto where some other expense we had no clue we were paying is exposed; to the rest of the Ontarios via the Ontario feds or the rest of the Canadas via the confederate feds.
The Western Canadas have the "conservative" reform-alliance, Quebec has the Bloc, Ontario has nothing. It just sits back and smiles, while others piss in its face. And as people are gradually finding out about it, the confederate feds, Ontario's alleged representative, tried to deny it but there is no denying that the amount of tax (whatever they happen to be called) revenues paid out by "Ontario" (south; with all of 7% of the population outside the CMA's listed above; minus Sudbury, a few subway trains of people), is higher than what the Ontario feds came out with, in per capita tax returns, not "funding" back to the Ontario feds, as compared the handouts (minus Quebec and sometimes Alberta ... it depends on the price of commodities) other provincial governments get per capita and out of our own taxes.
It's like having enough food to feed your family with but others coming along with less, so offering them some and they take more food than you have to feed to your own family with. And Quebec is not in that position. Only South Ontario is. But it's some crime to even talk about it. "Say whatever you want about economics but..." But what? Are we supposed to die and starve to death so that others can burn our money? It's been over a hundred years since the industrial era hit North America, hundreds of billions of dollars in today's terms have been handed out to every jurisdiction and only South Quebec has managed to make anything out of itself.
s_lone said:
You tell me I'm retarted but it seems to me that all you said supports my point that if we don't change the nature of our Canadian federation, Quebec's seperatist movement will survive and perhaps eventually succeed.
I called you what? Where? I tend to stick to economic snapshots, before they're used as marketing, and populations, without even getting into demographic groups let alone personal anything. I'm sorry if something I published (I think I've made all of two posts) came across as personal. I pulled some quotes out and responded to them, but it's nothing personal against the publishers. I have no clue who you even are.