Liberal stronghold riding in Toronto up for grabs today!!!

Taxslave2

House Member
Aug 13, 2022
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I am more convinced that the Liberals will do a change. They have made leaders fall on swords for less. If they don't, I have to assume that Justin has some sort of blackmail material on most of them. I am thinking this fall or winter or maybe even next spring. Give the voters little time to assess the new leader and he/she would campaign on the "I am not Trudeau" banner.
CHINA
 

Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,140
9,550
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
Oh Climate Barbie…not you too??
Being a woman, and ‘cuz it’s 2015-ish, I wonder if there’s a bus in her past that she was thrown under by Trudeau?
 
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Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,140
9,550
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
As time runs out for the prime minister to announce a date for a federal byelection in suburban Montreal, an ongoing — and record-breaking — election protest is ready to once again elongate the contest’s ballot as a protest against the government’s broken promise on electoral reform.

Under Canadian election law, the prime minister must announce the date to fill the vacant seat in LaSalle—Émard—Verdun between Feb. 12 and July 30. With that deadline just two weeks away, members of the Longest Ballot Committee — an activist group protesting Prime Minister Justin Trudeau breaking his 2015 election promise to enact electoral reform — are eager to once again snarl election night by stacking the ballot with a ridiculously long list of candidates.

“We see the voting system is rigged for the winner, and the winners write the rules,” said Sébastien CoRhino Corriveau, leader of the Rhinoceros party and a regular participant in the election protests and lead organizer for the ballot stunt in the upcoming byelection.

LaSalle—Émard—Verdun byelection in suburban Montreal, by July 30 latest the prime minister must announce the date to fill the vacant seat.
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LaSalle–Émard–Verdun has been held since 2015 by former justice minister David Lametti, who announced his departure from politics earlier this year.

Lametti replaced former justice minister Jody Wilson-Raybould after she was booted from caucus by Trudeau for defying the Prime Minister’s Office during the SNC-Lavalin scandal. The PMO declined to comment Monday on when the date for the LaSalle—Émard—Verdun byelection will be announced.

(Byelection dates also have yet to be announced to fill three other vacancies: Elmwood—Transcona, after the March resignation of NDP MP Daniel Blaikie in Manitoba; Cloverdale—Langley City in B.C., to replace outgoing Liberal MP John Aldag; and the Nova Scotia riding of Halifax, after Liberal MP Andy Fillmore announced he is resigning so he could run to become the city’s next mayor)
 

Taxslave2

House Member
Aug 13, 2022
3,666
2,195
113
As time runs out for the prime minister to announce a date for a federal byelection in suburban Montreal, an ongoing — and record-breaking — election protest is ready to once again elongate the contest’s ballot as a protest against the government’s broken promise on electoral reform.

Under Canadian election law, the prime minister must announce the date to fill the vacant seat in LaSalle—Émard—Verdun between Feb. 12 and July 30. With that deadline just two weeks away, members of the Longest Ballot Committee — an activist group protesting Prime Minister Justin Trudeau breaking his 2015 election promise to enact electoral reform — are eager to once again snarl election night by stacking the ballot with a ridiculously long list of candidates.

“We see the voting system is rigged for the winner, and the winners write the rules,” said Sébastien CoRhino Corriveau, leader of the Rhinoceros party and a regular participant in the election protests and lead organizer for the ballot stunt in the upcoming byelection.

LaSalle—Émard—Verdun byelection in suburban Montreal, by July 30 latest the prime minister must announce the date to fill the vacant seat.
View attachment 23345
LaSalle–Émard–Verdun has been held since 2015 by former justice minister David Lametti, who announced his departure from politics earlier this year.

Lametti replaced former justice minister Jody Wilson-Raybould after she was booted from caucus by Trudeau for defying the Prime Minister’s Office during the SNC-Lavalin scandal. The PMO declined to comment Monday on when the date for the LaSalle—Émard—Verdun byelection will be announced.

(Byelection dates also have yet to be announced to fill three other vacancies: Elmwood—Transcona, after the March resignation of NDP MP Daniel Blaikie in Manitoba; Cloverdale—Langley City in B.C., to replace outgoing Liberal MP John Aldag; and the Nova Scotia riding of Halifax, after Liberal MP Andy Fillmore announced he is resigning so he could run to become the city’s next mayor)
Four vacancies now represent four seats that cannot vote against turdOWE.
 

Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,140
9,550
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
Oh Climate Barbie…not you too??
Being a woman, and ‘cuz it’s 2015-ish, I wonder if there’s a bus in her past that she was thrown under by Trudeau?
Three weeks ago, the political pressure was on Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. Would he quit after the Liberals lost the ultra-safe seat of Toronto-St. Paul’s? Former Liberal ministers openly called for new leadership as did one current backbencher, Wayne Long.
What is needed in these circumstances is a distraction to take the heat off the prime minister. And nothing says distraction better than the possibility of a minister — the deputy prime minister, say — being thrown under a bus (a note for the unimaginative: that’s a figure of speech and not a call for homicide by public transport.)
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Earlier this month, the Globe and Mail reported that within the Prime Minister’s Office (PMO), there were worries that Freeland was not selling the government’s economic policies as well as she should. Trudeau had also acknowledged courting former Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney to get him to join the government.

The implications were clear: Freeland was on the way out and Carney on the way in.

However, such feverish and uninformed speculation must have been laid to rest last week when the prime minister gave Freeland a full-throated endorsement: “I have full confidence in her abilities, and the work we’re going to be doing together,” he said.
Indeed, when rumours swirled in August 2020 about the fate of the last finance minister, Bill Morneau, Trudeau was equally assured in his conviction.
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“The prime minister has full confidence in Minister Morneau and any statement to the contrary is false,” Trudeau’s communications director said at the time.

Less than a week later, Morneau resigned because of irreconcilable differences with Trudeau.

A 2015-ish coincidence ‘cuz it was 2020? Perhaps.

In February 2019, as the SNC-Lavalin scandal reared its head and questions were raised about the integrity and ethics of the prime minister, Trudeau gave a strong backing to Jody Wilson-Raybould, then the veterans affairs minister and formerly the attorney general.

“I continue to have full confidence in Jody,” he told a press conference.
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(When Trudeau expresses full confidence in a minister, rest assured the PMO is checking the bus timetables)

Morneau and Garneau were very capable ministers, but that didn’t matter. Once Trudeau had tired of them, or once scapegoats were needed, they were out. Freeland has been a loyal bobble-head to Trudeau, but she serves at the pleasure of the prime minister. When he is displeased, careers tend to implode.

On Tuesday, Freeland was in Markham, Ont. talking about low-carbon energy networks, but the press conference was dominated by questions about whether she still had a future as finance minister and deputy prime minister. Had Trudeau raised concerns about her, she was asked. Better ask the prime minister, she replied.
Pushed again, she replied, “To serve as minister in a cabinet, you do need the support and confidence of the prime minister…. I do have to feel that I have that confidence.”
There we have it, Freeland is confident that she has the confidence of the prime minister.

Meanwhile, the no. 32 to Parliament Hill will be along any moment.
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Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,140
9,550
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
The Trudeau Liberals have done some deep thinking about why they lost the Toronto-St. Paul’s bye-byelection and have decided it was Leslie Church’s fault. Forget the fact that the Liberals have been trailing badly in the polls for the last year, forget that the prime minister is unpopular, let’s blame the local candidate.
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That’s what Liberal MP Karina Gould is doing.

The Ontario co-chair for the next election, the person in charge of finding new candidates, is showing gratitude to Church by blaming her. Good luck with that recruitment for the next election!
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“I think the lesson here is that she was nominated a week or two before the by-election was called,” Gould told Canadian Press in an interview.

“And so she needed more time to be able to get out there and get known in the riding.”
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The way Gould and CP tell the story, the Conservatives had the advantage because they nominated their candidate earlier and so he could campaign and get to know voters in the riding. Meanwhile, says Gould, Church couldn’t campaign because she wasn’t nominated until May 1, a little more than two weeks before the bye-byelection was called.

That’s a nice piece of fiction, a story to explain away a bad loss, but here is what really happened.
Carolyn Bennett, who had held the seat since 1997, announced in July of last year that she would not run in the next election but would stay on as an MP. By December, she had resigned her seat and in January was appointed Canada’s ambassador to Denmark.

Meanwhile, Church, who had been Chrystia Freeland’s chief of staff, resigned from her job in October 2023 and moved back to Toronto to try to secure the nomination.
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Despite being a loyal soldier as a party volunteer and high-level staffer for years, despite visiting Bennett to try to kiss the ring and get the retiring MP’s endorsement, some in the party didn’t want Church. The party delayed the nomination hoping in vain for a star candidate, they didn’t get one and, in the meantime, Church was working the riding hard to secure the nomination.
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The Liberals could have held the nomination meeting at any point, they chose to delay. They also chose to hold the vote on June 24, the day before the capital gains tax changes took effect.
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It was the Liberals who controlled every aspect surrounding the timing of this bye-byelection and they completely screwed it up. Now, faced with a bad loss in a riding the Conservatives should never have won, the Liberals are blaming the local candidate. Something something thrown under a bus ‘cuz it’s 2015-ish, etc…
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There are calls from inside the Liberal fold for the PM to hold a caucus meeting to discuss the bye-byelection loss, but Gould doesn’t support that idea.
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“I think what’s important is that caucus members are really engaging their community, really hearing what’s on people’s minds,” she told CP.
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Well, in Toronto-St. Paul’s, the local candidate and her volunteers just spent weeks knocking on doors and talking to residents to hear what is on their minds and one recurring theme is Justin Trudeau has to go.
1721279443115.jpegThere were past Liberal voters telling Church’s team that while they liked her, they couldn’t vote for her while Trudeau was leading the party.
 

Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,140
9,550
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has announced two federal byelections to be held on Sept. 16, according to a government release Sunday morning.

The byelections will be held in the ridings of Elmwood-Transcona in Winnipeg and LaSalle—Émard—Verdun in Montreal.

NDP MP Daniel Blaikie resigned from his seat in Elmwood-Transcona to work more closely with Premier Wab Kinew, leaving federal politics after nearly a decade of service.

The federal Liberals named Ian MacIntyre as their candidate for the ballot.

"I'm so honoured to be your Team Trudeau candidate for the upcoming by-election in Elmwood-Transcona! Together, we can build more homes, strengthen our public health care, and build a better future for all Manitobans," MacIntyre wrote in a Facebook post.
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Hmmm..not Liberal, or Liberal/NDP, but “Team Trudeau” candidate. Interesting.
Montreal's LaSalle—Emard—Verdun seat has been empty since the January resignation of former justice minister David Lametti, who tendered his resignation after being ejected from Trudeau's cabinet last July.

Trudeau hand-picked Montreal city Coun. Laura Palestini as the party's candidate – a move that denounced as "anti-democratic" by one of the three other aspiring candidates for the riding, Lori Morrison.

After going door-to-door to sign up memberships, the local school commissioner said she couldn't believe the Liberals would abandon its plans for a nomination meeting. Liberal campaign co-chair Soraya Martinez Ferrada said it was, ultimately, Trudeau's decision to prevent party members from choosing the candidate. So truly another “Team Trudeau” candidate then.
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Palestini won't be the only municipal councillor on the ballot. She will face NDP's Craig Suave, who represents the city's Sud-Ouest borough. The Conservatives named Louis Ialenti as its candidate, describing him as a "common-sense small business owner." The Bloc Quebecois has not yet announced a candidate.

So basically, as of today anyway, one each of these byelections go to the Liberals or NDP. One is a Lib Safe-Seat that’s predicted to remain a Liberal Seat, & same with the NDP Seat in MB. Bloc hasn’t even announced a candidate yet. Be interesting to see if they’re both very wrong on the outcome in the next 6-7 weeks.
 

Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,140
9,550
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
For some reason…when I hear the terms “ foreign interference” & “Liberals” in the same sentence…it doesn’t inspire confidence or believability for me.

Anyway, the Liberal government says measures to monitor and assess foreign interference threats will be part of all future federal byelections, not just general elections.

Public Safety Minister Dominic LeBlanc said Monday the Security and Intelligence Threats to Elections Task Force will be watching for signs of meddling in two September byelections, one in Quebec, the other in Manitoba.
The federal body, established in 2019 (& did a bang-up job in both 2019 & 2021!!!) to protect the electoral process, includes representatives of CSIS, the RCMP, Global Affairs Canada and the Communications Security Establishment, Canada’s cyberspy agency.

The SITE task force already has some experience monitoring federal byelections this year and in 2023.
Public Safety Minister Dominic LeBlanc said Monday the Security and Intelligence Threats to Elections Task Force will be watching for signs of meddling in two September byelections, one in Quebec, the other in Manitoba.
 

Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,140
9,550
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
Now the Liberals are gearing up for another pair of byelections, in the Quebec riding of LaSalle—Emard—Verdun and the Manitoba riding of Elmwood—Transcona, both to be held Sept. 16.

The first contest appears to be a three-way split between the Liberals, the Bloc Québécois and the NDP, while the second pits the NDP against the Tories. The results could thus be pivotal not only for the Liberals, but for the opposition parties as well.

Let’s start with LaSalle—Verdun—Emard. Until January, the riding was represented by former justice minister David Lametti, who last won by 20 points in 2021. But a Mainstreet poll published on July 9 showed the Liberals at 29 per cent, the Bloc at 26, the NDP at 25, and the Conservatives at 14.

The poll was taken before the naming of municipal councillor Laura Palestini as the Liberal candidate, a move that caused considerable controversy in the local riding association after she was hand-picked by Trudeau without a nomination contest. The NDP is running Craig Sauvé, a councillor and musician, while the Bloc is fielding political staffer Louis-Philippe Sauvé (no relation).

The fact the Liberals were willing to short-circuit the democratic process paradoxically underscores the importance they ascribe to the race. They know the other parties will throw everything they have at LaSalle—Emard—Verdun: NDP leader Jagmeet Singh is already there campaigning with Sauvé.

The Liberals can’t afford to lose, because the riding is a double-referendum on Trudeau: both as leader and as a Quebecer. If he can’t pull off a win in his home province, on the island of Montreal where Liberals won every seat but one in 2019 and 2021, then all bets are off for 2025.

But the NDP and Conservatives have a lot on the line as well. If the NDP pulls off an upset in Quebec, they will be seen as giant killers. However, they need to also defend Elmwood—Transcona to deflect a blue wave that threatens to eat into their blue-collar base in Manitoba and across the country.

Leader Pierre Poilievre held a 1,000-person rally there over the weekend and the party is dubbing the byelection “a mini-carbon tax referendum,” keeping the focus on the unpopular Liberals. The Tories are taking aim at the NDP’s supply-and-confidence deal that has kept the government in power, which according to Conservative candidate Colin Reynolds, “does not represent union workers like me.”

If the Tories don’t win Elmwood—Transcona, it won’t be the end of the world.

If the Liberals fail to capture LaSalle—Emard—Verdun, the consequences will be severe. Caucus morale will plummet and more Liberal MPs will choose not to run again. The cumulative effect will make the Liberal leadership a poisoned chalice, scaring off candidates who could revitalize the party, and condemning it to third party status or worse.
 

Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,140
9,550
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
No matter what the NDP says, who they put in place, or who campaigns in that riding….They have been propping up the liberals federally no matter what for so long now….They carry the same stench. Any failing on the part of the liberal/NDP is also a failing on the part of the NDP/Liberals.
 
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Taxslave2

House Member
Aug 13, 2022
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113
Should make for some interesting all candidates meetings. The best the NDP candidate will be able to come up with is "we are better than the party we have been propping up for the past 9 years. Vote for me and get bad government and high taxes without the middleman."
 
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Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,140
9,550
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
Four days after the Liberals finish their meetings in Nanaimo, byelections will be held in the Manitoba riding of Elmwood-Transcona and the Montreal riding of LaSalle—Émard—Verdun — the latter a Liberal stronghold that might now be in danger.
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If the Liberals lose the Montreal seat, the consternation that marked the start of the Liberal Party's summer could come rushing back.
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Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,140
9,550
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
It’s considered a Liberal fortress, but these days it feels like the ramparts of Lasalle—Émard—Verdun are shaking. Who knows? Maybe the byelection here on Sept. 16 could send the Trudeau Liberals to the dungeons.

In a recent poll, Mainstreet Research put the Bloc in the lead with 32 per cent, followed by the Liberals with 23 per cent and the NDP with 19 per cent. The Conservatives have virtually no chance of winning the riding, which was left vacant when former attorney general David Lametti quit politics in February.

Former prime minister Paul Martin also represented the area in the House of Commons. Except for the 2011 election, when Quebec briefly swooned for the NDP, Liberals have consistently taken this riding, or its predecessor LaSalle—Émard, by comfortable margins going back to the 1980s.

Poll aggregator 338Canada has the Liberals and the Bloc Québécois in a toss up, with both parties respectively at 29 and 28 per cent, followed by the NDP at 24.
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So, winning over undecided voters like Wisemen is crucial for these political parties. And as early voting began last week, many voters were still having trouble making up their minds.

“I used to vote for the Liberals all the time, really. But you know, they’re not the same group anymore. Nobody has my allegiance. They have to show that they can do the job,” said Carolyn Didyk, a Verdun resident.

At her door, Louis-Philippe Sauvé is fighting hard to convince this English-speaking Quebecer to vote for him. A former political staffer in Ottawa, Sauvé is running as the Bloc Québécois candidate.

“Listen, the Conservatives have no chance of winning here. The NDP is basically affiliated with the Liberals who have taken this riding for granted for years. I am asking you for a one-year probation period. Send me to Ottawa and fire me in a year (in the general election) if you don’t like me,” he bargained with her.

Didyk seemed intrigued. “Is your website available in English?” she asked. “Yes, I think so,” he replied. It is not. She says she doesn’t think she’ll vote for him. But she says she won’t be voting for the Trudeau Liberals.
The NDP/Liberals campaign says it has more than 200 volunteers and plans to spend well over $100,000 to win this election. The limit is $122,207. The Bloc boasts that it has more than 300 volunteers and the Liberal/NDP’s claim about 400. The Conservative Party of Canada did not respond to a request for an interview, and Liberal candidate Laura Palestini declined an interview. The Greens are still a thing that exists.