Justin Trudeau would lose if an election were held tomorrow - IPSOS

Murphy

Executive Branch Member
Apr 12, 2013
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We gotta wait until October, 2019.

But think of the two months of ads that precede it! I hope the weather is especially mild going into the fall so most people will be less inclined to park themselves in front of the television.
 
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Curious Cdn

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Feb 22, 2015
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And a year is an infinity. The Conservatives need to make sure they're ready to take this knucklehead on.

When it's the Tories turn to suck up to the Sikh voters, please do it a more dignified manner. The Sikhs themselves might just appreciate that. Justin in turning them into a caricature.
 

pgs

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Nov 29, 2008
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When it's the Tories turn to suck up to the Sikh voters, please do it a more dignified manner. The Sikhs themselves might just appreciate that. Justin in turning them into a caricature.
Are there any female Sikhs in caucus ? Are they ministers ?
 

Murphy

Executive Branch Member
Apr 12, 2013
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There should be.

By today's standards, whites aren't qualified for much, and are responsible for all the evil in the world. :lol:

Google should provide an answer.
 

JLM

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And a year is an infinity. The Conservatives need to make sure they're ready to take this knucklehead on.

A lot depends on the shape of the economy on election day. It SEEMS to be pretty good right now which is probably an (undeserved) feather in Justin's cap!
 

Curious Cdn

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Feb 22, 2015
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A lot depends on the shape of the economy on election day. It SEEMS to be pretty good right now which is probably an (undeserved) feather in Justin's cap!

We're probably about it enter a trade war that will put all of North America in recession. The timing is such that we may very well be in a downturn come the next election and sunny ways ain't going to cut it in that scenerio. That said, the Conservative party is horribly awful at marketing themselves and it is for the Liberals to lose, this time.
 

JLM

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We're probably about it enter a trade war that will put all of North America in recession. The timing is such that we may very well be in a downturn come the next election and sunny ways ain't going to cut it in that scenerio. That said, the Conservative party is horribly awful at marketing themselves and it is for the Liberals to lose, this time.

"Sunny ways" is an idiotic phrase with no meaning contrived by an idiot! Maybe he meant to say "Sonny's Way". :)
 

Twin_Moose

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Apr 17, 2017
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Has Trudeau reached a tipping point? A new poll shows his support slipping.

Justin Trudeau returned from India with some new investment agreements, an embarrassing diplomatic incident to sort out, and according to a new poll, less support from voters.
In the latest edition of Abacus Data’s regular survey, 36 per cent of committed voters said they’d mark the box beside by their local Liberal candidate if e-day were tomorrow, down three percentage points from January. And the prime minister’s personal popularity has fallen even further, with his positive and negative ratings within the margin of error for the first time since the 2015 election that swept him into office.
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Abacaus CEO David Coletto says this marks a turn for Trudeau, who has been the Liberals’ strongest asset for two-and-a-half years. “He’s been almost, in a way, Teflon,” Coletto said. “Many events that pundits have said would bring him down hadn’t hurt him.”
What does appear to have scuffed Trudeau’s image in Canada is the recent visit to India. While there, he met with several prominent industrialists and announced $250 million in new investments by Indian companies in Canada. But the trip drew negative attention due to the presence of convicted would-be assassin Jaspal Atwal at an official event, the enthusiastically local outfits of the prime minister and his family, and the impression that Indian leaders were not extending a particularly warm welcome.
RELATED: Justin Trudeau in the real world
The perception that Trudeau was being a good ambassador for Canada on the world stage was previously “one of his strongest points,” said Coletto, noting that even some of those who didn’t vote for him said he was doing a good job of foreign affairs.
But Abacus’ data suggests it’s the India expedition, and not say the recently released federal budget, which has respondents questioning Trudeau. The set of those who said his international representation of Canada was “poor” jumped from 21 per cent in October 2017 to 37 per cent in today’s poll. The assessment of the prime minister’s efforts on the economy, debt and deficits, and the use of taxpayers’ money, by contrast, remained largely unchanged.
RELATED: Full coverage of the 2018 federal budget
Abacus surveyed 4,023 respondents between Feb. 23 and Mar. 4, 2018.
It’s results put the Conservatives three points behind the ruling Liberals, following a trend in which a number of polling firms have the Tories drawing close to or ahead of their main opponents.
Coletto says the Liberals losses are self-inflicted. “The more competitive race is not because people woke up over the last few days [that] we were polling them and said, ‘I love Andrew Scheer and I’m going to vote Conservative,’” he said, pointing to the largely unchanged numbers of the Tory leader and the NDP’s Jagmeet Singh, whose party was at 18 per cent support. A large number of respondents still express no positive or negative opinion of either leader.
The Liberals have lost ground in most of the more populous provinces, barring Quebec. But Coletto says the bigger concern for the party is not where their support is dropping, but among whom.
“One assumption would be that the turn in the prime minister’s numbers were Conservatives and right-wingers getting more mad than they already were,” he said. But the Liberals lost ground among those who had previously voted for them as well as the NDP, and in the partly-overlapping set of those who put themselves on the left of the political spectrum.
 

White_Unifier

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Feb 21, 2017
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Is the selfie king's irresponsible, childish behaviour destroying the Liberals?
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Justin Trudeau would lose if an election were held tomorrow, India trip a symptom of shift in mood: Ipsos poll

- Amanda Connolly

A new poll conducted exclusively for Global News suggests Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Liberals would lose to the Conservatives if an election were held tomorrow.

A new poll conducted exclusively for Global News suggests Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and the Liberals would lose to the Conservatives if an election were held tomorrow.

If a federal election were held tomorrow, the Conservatives would win.

According to a new Ipsos poll conducted exclusively for Global News, public reaction to a recent troubled trip by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to India two weeks ago might be a symptom of a growing problem.

Liberals would win 33 per cent of the national popular decided vote if Canadians went to the polls this weekend, while Andrew Scheer and the Conservatives would receive 38 per cent of the same vote and win the election.

COMMENTARY: Trudeau’s not so excellent adventure to India

That’s a drop of five points since December for the Liberals and a jump of seven points since the same time for the Conservatives.

The NDP would get 21 per cent support, while the Green Party would get five per cent of the vote.

Darrell Bricker, CEO of Ipsos Global Public Affairs, said the declining fortunes for Trudeau and the Liberals are likely due to self-inflicted wounds.

“It’s the first time we’ve shown, since before the election, any time the Liberals have been behind. They’ve been consistently four or five points ahead of their nearest competitor; sometimes more than that for the last two years and a bit,” Bricker said.

“The remarkable thing about it is very little of it has to do with any of the qualities of the opposition parties. This is really people evaluating the government on its own terms and the Liberal Party on its own terms.”

The poll also found a five-point drop in the approval rating of the government.

The rest here:

https://globalnews.ca/news/4058984/justin-trudeau-india-trip-ipsos-poll/

But who would win? Even Harper expanded the debt.

I'd considered the Libertarian Party, but even it would probably lower taxes so low that it would grow the debt too.

Find me a party that will balance the books. Combine NDP taxation and Libertarian-Party spending reductions, then we might be onto something.
 

Corduroy

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Hoid

Hall of Fame Member
Oct 15, 2017
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Nobody would win. The Conservatives with 38% could not form a goverment.

Which is why the twit list is saying nothing about these numbers.

While Trudeau may indeed be losing there is nobody else actually winning
 

Twin_Moose

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Justin Trudeau keeps saying science minister is a Nobel Prize winner; she’s not

For the second time in two days, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau touted the credentials of Science Minister Kirsty Duncan by saying she is a "Nobel Prize-winning scientist."
There's just one problem — she is not.
Duncan has taught health studies as an associate professor at the University of Toronto, holds a doctorate in geography from the University of Edinburgh and has lectured around the world on issues including pandemic preparedness and climate change.
She describes herself as a medical geographer who has focused on the connections between environmental change, pandemic influenza and human health.
In November 2015, Duncan was named Minister of Science and she subsequently became Minister for Sports and People with Disabilities as well, after Liberal MP Kent Hehr resigned from cabinet following sexual misconduct allegations earlier this year.
READ MORE: Statement from IPCC on 2007 Nobel Prize
During her time as science minister, Duncan has been a vocal advocate for getting more women and girls into science, technology, engineering and math (STEM) and has led a portfolio largely free of the controversies and critiques that have plagued some other members of the Trudeau cabinet.
According to her official biography on the Government of Canada website, she also "served on the Nobel Prize-winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change."
READ MORE: Reality check: What Harjit Sajjan said about Operation Medusa vs. what really happened
That is how the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) says individuals who worked on its prize-winning research should be attributed.
But during a panel discussion on science and innovation with American TV host Bill Nye "The Science Guy" on Tuesday, and again during a panel on women's leadership on Wednesday, Trudeau said something entirely different.
"Our Minister for Science, Kirsty Duncan, is a Nobel Prize-winning scientist," said Trudeau on Tuesday, while touting the role women who come from scientific fields have in his caucus.
WATCH BELOW: Trudeau gives basic explanation for how 'we're born scientists'
Again on Wednesday, Trudeau made the same claim while discussing his decision to build a gender-balanced cabinet, the criticism of which largely disappeared once people saw the credentials of the individuals named to it.
"Nobody made those criticisms any more. The backgrounds, the experience, the CVs — a Nobel Prize-winning scientist happens to be the woman in charge of the ministry of science," he said.
This is not the first time the issue of how to attribute individuals who worked on the IPCC's prize-winning research has come up.
The organization won the Nobel Peace Prize jointly with Al Gore in 2007 for its efforts "to build up and disseminate greater knowledge about man-made climate change and to lay the foundations for the measures that are needed to counteract such change."
The Nobel Prize committee pointed to the dozens of reports the IPCC had produced over roughly two decades as the basis for that decision.
However, individuals who had worked on a variety of those reports and research projects quickly began calling themselves Nobel laureates.
That led the IPCC to issue a statement in 2012 warning individuals to stop.
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"The prize was awarded to the IPCC as an organization and not to any individual associated with the IPCC," the organization said. "Thus it is incorrect to refer to any IPCC official or scientist who worked on IPCC reports as a Nobel laureate or Nobel Prize winner."
The proper way to reference an individual associated with work done by the IPCC, the organization said, is exactly how Duncan is described in her official biography: someone who "contributed to the reports of the IPCC, which was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 2007."
Global News has contacted the Prime Minister's Office to ask why Trudeau continues to describe Duncan as such and is awaiting a response.
It's not the first time members of the Trudeau cabinet have run into issues with how their credentials are described.
READ MORE: #SajjanBattles mocks defence minister for inflating his role fighting the Taliban
Last year, Defence Minister Harjit Sajjan came under fire after he described himself as the "architect" of Operation Medusa, which was one of the most successful operations by Canada during the Afghanistan War.
Sajjan, who played an intelligence role in that war, was accused of inflating his responsibilities and diminishing the role of the military leadership and other soldiers during the conflict.
He later retracted that comment and apologized on the floor of the House of Commons for the description.