Inflation boom causing banks to consider raising interest rates

taxslave

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 25, 2008
36,362
4,342
113
Vancouver Island
Can't say I agree. The Ontario Public are even more sheepish than the BCers. They took a number of new tax incentives like the HST right in the behind and hardly batted an eye.

Unlike the fools here in BC that voted to remove the HST and go back to the expensive and unwieldy two tax system. Then to top it off every NIMBY and NOPE that could get to BC legally or otherwise is busy protesting jobs.
 

captain morgan

Hall of Fame Member
Mar 28, 2009
28,429
148
63
A Mouse Once Bit My Sister
They're both harmful, inflation more so since it also encourages people to borrow and spend before prices go up.

Add to that that if inflation were s tax, it would be a regressive one since the rich can hedge against it at least somewhat. The poor can't.

You have just described why deflation is more difficult... The cost of your products and services in today's market are often a function of a global dynamic.

As the dollar falls in value, it costs you more for imports AND there is pressure from the outside (foreign) to buy-up domestically produced goods at a cheaper rate using more valuable currencies.

Borrowing becomes less available domestically as the capital pools gravitate to the markets that offer a better return.

AT this point, raising taxes is off the table and Gvt's only solution is to raise interest rates thereby increasing the cost of living punishing all in hopes that the economy will grow, including wages that will (hopefully) catch-up to costs.

The rich vs poor argument is also a non-starter.... Tax increases is a gvt move that creates winners and losers... Capital is highly mobile and will move to those investments, regions, etc that provide the best returns and security possible... That is the easiest hedge going and if you promote or allow deflation to set in (as a gvt), everyone takes it in the butt

Can't say I agree. The Ontario Public are even more sheepish than the BCers. They took a number of new tax incentives like the HST right in the behind and hardly batted an eye.

I don't quite understand the HST fiasco so much. My belief was that it combined the PST+GST into one element... In theory, it should be a wash trade (ie a 0 increase/decrease)

That said, I do recall that when GST came in, the 'invisible taxes' were supposed to drop away and the cost of the product purchased was supposed to stay the same... Didn't happen.

Is this the kind of thing that you are referring to?
 

SLM

The Velvet Hammer
Mar 5, 2011
29,151
5
36
London, Ontario
I don't quite understand the HST fiasco so much. My belief was that it combined the PST+GST into one element... In theory, it should be a wash trade (ie a 0 increase/decrease)

That said, I do recall that when GST came in, the 'invisible taxes' were supposed to drop away and the cost of the product purchased was supposed to stay the same... Didn't happen.

Is this the kind of thing that you are referring to?

No, in Ontario, services were never subjected to PST, and now they are while at the same time items, such as insurance, that are exempt for GST purposes are still subjected to the Retail Sales Tax Act. So it was not a wash, it actually increased provincial government coffers significantly and cost the people of Ontario significantly. It's the main reason I felt strongly that the least they could have done is to reduce the provincial portion of the HST by at least a percentage or two.
 

captain morgan

Hall of Fame Member
Mar 28, 2009
28,429
148
63
A Mouse Once Bit My Sister
No, in Ontario, services were never subjected to PST, and now they are while at the same time items, such as insurance, that are exempt for GST purposes are still subjected to the Retail Sales Tax Act. So it was not a wash, it actually increased provincial government coffers significantly and cost the people of Ontario significantly. It's the main reason I felt strongly that the least they could have done is to reduce the provincial portion of the HST by at least a percentage or two.

We don't pay PST here in sunny AB... One of the reasons (I guess) that I do not really understand that whole deal
 

Retired_Can_Soldier

The End of the Dog is Coming!
Mar 19, 2006
12,609
1,507
113
61
Alberta
I don't quite understand the HST fiasco so much. My belief was that it combined the PST+GST into one element... In theory, it should be a wash trade (ie a 0 increase/decrease)

That said, I do recall that when GST came in, the 'invisible taxes' were supposed to drop away and the cost of the product purchased was supposed to stay the same... Didn't happen.

Is this the kind of thing that you are referring to?

The HST became a cash grab for any government willing to institute it. Some things that were not GST applicable suddenly became GST applicable. For instance: If you bought a used car in Ontario, you only payed 7% PST, but with the HST you now pay 12% because it`s harmonized and GST suddenly becomes applicable.

The public in BC revolted over the HST and it was recalled. While Ontarian`s just took it in the a$$. So, while I agree that both Provinces are essentially Nanny States now, the people in BC have showed a bit more spine.

Disclaimer: This is not to disparage those who openly railed against the taxes. There were some, myself included, just not enough of us.
 

taxslave

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 25, 2008
36,362
4,342
113
Vancouver Island
No, in Ontario, services were never subjected to PST, and now they are while at the same time items, such as insurance, that are exempt for GST purposes are still subjected to the Retail Sales Tax Act. So it was not a wash, it actually increased provincial government coffers significantly and cost the people of Ontario significantly. It's the main reason I felt strongly that the least they could have done is to reduce the provincial portion of the HST by at least a percentage or two.

That happened in BC too when the taxes were combined. Many things that previously had only GST now had PST as well. Kind of a provincial tax grab. BUt when it went back to a two tax system the PST didn't come off all the things not previously taxed. The HST is certainly a much simpler system.
Then again we have people here that are so stupid they want the taxes included in the sticker price so they won't have to see how bad the government is sticking it to them.
 

captain morgan

Hall of Fame Member
Mar 28, 2009
28,429
148
63
A Mouse Once Bit My Sister
The HST became a cash grab for any government willing to institute it. Some things that were not GST applicable suddenly became GST applicable. For instance: If you bought a used car in Ontario, you only payed 7% PST, but with the HST you now pay 12% because it`s harmonized and GST suddenly becomes applicable.

The public in BC revolted over the HST and it was recalled. While Ontarian`s just took it in the a$$. So, while I agree that both Provinces are essentially Nanny States now, the people in BC have showed a bit more spine.

Disclaimer: This is not to disparage those who openly railed against the taxes. There were some, myself included, just not enough of us.

Between you and SLM, I have a far better understanding of the angst on this subject.

I suppose that I naively presumed that it was a wash-transaction... Obviously I am terribly mistaken
 

whitedog

It''s our duty, vote.
Mar 13, 2006
128
0
16
Canada Inflation Exceeds All Forecasts on Gas and Clothes

Canada’s inflation rate accelerated faster than economists predicted in October, led by gasoline and clothing and suggesting the economy may be running hotter than the central bank had thought.

The consumer price index rose 2.4 percent compared with the same month a year earlier, Statistics Canada said from Ottawa. That’s faster than all 21 economists in a Bloomberg News survey predicted. The core rate that excludes eight volatile products accelerated to 2.3 percent, the strongest in almost three years.

Inflation has exceeded the Bank of Canada’s 2 percent target in five of the past six months, making it more difficult for Governor Stephen Poloz to argue temporary factors are driving price gains. Canada’s dollar rose the most in almost two months after today’s report as traders speculated the central bank may have to bring forward its timetable for raising borrowing costs.

“It’s getting to a situation to where the Bank should be contemplating taking rates higher,” said Paul Ferley, assistant chief economist at Royal Bank of Canada in Toronto. Higher interest rates slow inflation by reducing the amount of money in circulation.

Bank of Montreal Senior Economist Robert Kavcic said in a report today inflation momentum has “broadened” from a year ago, with 56 percent of the index’s 18 major price categories exceeding a 2 percent annual pace.

Lending Rate
The inflation report adds to evidence there may be less room for companies to expand without raising prices. Canada’s jobless rate dropped to the lowest in six years in October. Statistics Canada revisions on Nov. 5 showed the country’s economy grew more in the first half of this year than the agency previously reported.

Canada Inflation Exceeds All Forecasts on Gas and Clothes - Bloomberg
I think using the tax system to control money supply is probably the best solution there is. Raising interest rates in of itself is inflationary. After all, inflation is simply getting less with the same buck, if your mortgage rate went up because you were lucky enough to have to renew right after the "inflation controlling" hike, cost of owning the same home just went up. Interest rate hikes feed inflation, which in turn could lead to further increases.

The other part of this, with the taxes going up to slow things down, you can pay down some of the debt, which reduces the debt costs, allowing the government to do the same for less tax requirement. And if it reduced spending, which should happen in a heated economy (less social/corporate assistance), then the impact would be greater.

But if they must stick to the old doctrine, then how about the bank of Canada opening branches all across the land, and let them be the creators of money in this country, not the private banks. Then the billions in interest charges would go to the Bank of Canada, who in turn at the end of its fiscal year, passes its profits on to the Canadian Government. Just imagine if the Band of Canada lent the Govt of Canada funds, the Bank of Canada would have earned over 28 billion last year alone. And yeah, I know, OMGoodness, that's not possible. Why not, the charter banks lend money they don't have. They create it. They don't even have to hold any real money in reserve any more (GOC eliminated that need in 2006). But don't take my word on this, look it up, BofC explains the whole ponzi scheme on its site.

But back to this notion of using tax instead of interest rates to control the economy. Imagine, if you were a business, and were going to make an investment, you would have a good idea what the interest rate would be over a long period of time. Also, to get foreign investment, the country would be forced to manage its affairs better, making the country a country of choice for foreign investment; higher interest rates only garner temporary investment which shifts to the next country offering a better rate. Keeping the dollar volatile.

One thing is for sure, interest rate manipulation is not the answer, it is flawed, just ask the US who only this year ended quantitative easing (printing money to increase supply) because interest rate manipulation did not increase money supply. Whether anyone supports the tax system as a control point or not, the present system is ineffective, and too imprecise.

And finally, why, if we want to take money out of the economy, should the banks get it, why not the government?
 

SLM

The Velvet Hammer
Mar 5, 2011
29,151
5
36
London, Ontario
That happened in BC too when the taxes were combined. Many things that previously had only GST now had PST as well. Kind of a provincial tax grab. BUt when it went back to a two tax system the PST didn't come off all the things not previously taxed. The HST is certainly a much simpler system.
Then again we have people here that are so stupid they want the taxes included in the sticker price so they won't have to see how bad the government is sticking it to them.

It is a simpler system, no doubt about it, and there are many reasonable arguments for harmonizing the system. It streamlines the process for one thing, you don't have two separate and distinct tax agencies collecting. I'm actually not opposed to it in the end. However, they needed to give a little something for what they were getting is my belief and knocking the provincial portion of the tax down from 8% to 7% or even 6% would have gone a long way to reducing the hurt on the pocket book.
 

SLM

The Velvet Hammer
Mar 5, 2011
29,151
5
36
London, Ontario
The HST became a cash grab for any government willing to institute it. Some things that were not GST applicable suddenly became GST applicable. For instance: If you bought a used car in Ontario, you only payed 7% PST, but with the HST you now pay 12% because it`s harmonized and GST suddenly becomes applicable.


Actually, not to nit pick, but there is no GST on used car sales in Ontario but instead the rate of RST on used car sales is 13%, up from 8%.

Retail Sales Tax

Just another way they screwed us over though.
 

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
Nov 21, 2008
120,205
14,854
113
Low Earth Orbit
Nope. Stagnancy is the cornerstone of every successful nation.

Stagnant labour is how this country was built.
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
39,817
471
83
Yes, just look at us in 20 years because we were behind the curve on climate change.