Boris prorogues Parliament and visits the Queen to kickstart election campaign

Blackleaf

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Remainers defeated again, this time at the High Court:

General Election 2019: Lib Dems and SNP lose ITV debate legal challenge

The Lib Dems and SNP have lost their legal challenge to be included in an ITV head-to-head debate ahead of the general election on 12 December.

The channel is due to air a face-off between Tory leader Boris Johnson and Labour's Jeremy Corbyn on Tuesday.

The Lib Dems said they wanted their pro-Remain stance to be represented, while the SNP also wanted the issue of Scottish independence to be raised.

But judges ruled there was "no arguable breach of the Broadcasting Code".

In the High Court in London, Lord Justice Davis and Mr Justice Warby said the case was not suitable for judicial review as ITV was not carrying out a "public function" in law by holding the debate.

However, the parties had the right to complain to Ofcom about the programme after it had been broadcast, they said.

Lord Justice Davis said: "The clear conclusion of both members of this court is that, viewed overall, these claims are not realistically arguable."

But Lib Dem education spokeswoman Layla Moran tweeted "the fight must continue", adding: "It is outrageous that the Remain voice is missing from the ITV debate.

"It's simply wrong of broadcasters to present a binary choice and pre-empt the decision of the people in a general election."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2019-50463816
 

Blackleaf

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One man, an ordinary member of the public, made a grave mistake during this General Election campaign this week. It was enough to warrant anger from the left-wing media. What was it that he did that was so wrong? He vented his anger at Jeremy Corbyn on national television!

Why they really hate ‘shouty man’


The fury against the 80k Question Time audience member is really weird.




Brendan O'Neill
Editor

Spiked
22nd November 2019



It was the speed with which ‘shouty man’ became the No1 hate figure for Corbynistas that was most striking. No sooner had the now infamous audience member on last night’s Question Time queried whether he is really in the top five per cent of earners than the middle-class left was mocking him and ridiculing him and branding him greedy, thick and, of course, a ‘gammon’. It had an Emmanuel Goldstein vibe to it. The discovery of a despicable figure that decent people could unite in rage against. Before long, it wasn’t the shouty man that was a worrying sight – it was the rage against him; the dogpile culture; the Two Minutes Hate visited upon him for saying something dumb on telly.

And he did say something dumb. He revealed that he earns more than £80,000 a year (some people online have questioned this claim because… well, in their snobby, classist eyes, he doesn’t look particularly wealthy). And then he insisted that this doesn’t put him in the top five per cent of earners, who will be taxed more if Jeremy Corbyn becomes PM. He even questioned the idea that he is in the top 50 per cent of earners. So he thinks half the people in this country earn £80,000 a year. If only. As gleeful fact-checkers, including the Beeb’s own Reality Check, swiftly pointed out, this man is in the top five per cent of earners. Everyone who earns more than £80,000 is. So he made a mistake. He was wrong. He should have held his fire.

Soon, the kind of people who will denounce you as a racist and misogynist if you dare to query Diane Abbott’s dodgy maths were having a field day with this man’s dodgy maths. The press got involved. The Mirror slammed his ‘bizarre rant’. This was a ‘very wrong rant’, said a bad writer at the HuffPost. The man was widely denounced for being pig-ignorant and selfish. Doesn’t he want to give more of his money to help the poor, outraged Guardianistas asked, putting their own 80k pay packets to good use by tweeting about someone who said an incorrect thing on a TV show. He was crowned the king of the gammons, that dehumanising and classist epithet that bourgeois leftists use to denounce what they view as the ill-informed lower middle classes and the aspirational working classes who don’t like Corbyn and do like Brexit.

Think about how odd all of this is. Since when have audience members on TV shows been fair game for widespread media fury? This is unusual, no? Picking apart what politicians and professional commentators say on panel shows is one thing, but partaking in an hours-long rage over the comments of a member of the public seems to me to be over the top and a little out of order. ‘He’s wrong’, they could have said, instead of ‘He’s scum, he’s gammon, he doesn’t care about the poor’, which is essentially what people are saying. And that is what this is all about: the reason ‘shouty man’ has gone so viral is that he symbolises the public as viewed by woke elitists. In their mind, he is the end result of a political climate in which right-wing papers are warping the little people’s minds and making them thick as shit. Their rage against him is really a rage against all ordinary people who read tabloids, like Boris, and don’t think Corbyn will save the world.

It wasn’t ‘shouty man’ who behaved shamefully. It was his ridiculers, these comfortably off, middle-class members of a commentariat who now seem to have nothing better to do than look down their noses at ‘gammon’. The heavily privately educated staff of the Guardian claiming this bloke who earns 80k is typical of rich people’s contempt for the poor – I’ve heard it all now.

https://www.spiked-online.com/2019/11/22/why-they-really-hate-shouty-man/
 

Blackleaf

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Northern heartlands desert Jeremy Corbyn: Brexit revolt in traditional Labour seats could hand victory to Boris Johnson as poll shows PM is on course to breach 'Red Wall'



The Tories are on course to win about 30 seats in Labour's English heartlands on December 12 thanks to a dramatic swing against Mr Corbyn's party since the 2017 election, according to a Daily Mail poll, left. Prime Minister Boris Johnson, right, could triumph in traditional working class areas such as Bishop Auckland, Great Grimsby, Rother Valley, Stoke-on-Trent North, Workington and Bassetlaw. Across the north and midlands, Labour's support has fallen to 37 per cent, behind the Tories who are sitting on 40 per cent.
 

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Dominic Raab equates Jeremy Corbyn's Labour with the BNP in heated clash over anti-semitism after Question Time debate



Former Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab (left) faced up to Shadow Transport Secretary Andy McDonald (right) after the pair conducted a short interview with Sky News about the leaders' Question Time debate. The pair point fingers at each other in an animated manner as Mr McDonald reprimands Mr Raab about the Conservatives' failure to hold an inquiry into Islamophobia while Mr Raab chastises him about anti-Semitism in Labour. The pair spoke to each other for close to a minute in front of shocked onlookers, before the visibly frustrated Mr Raab walked away.
 

Blackleaf

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'Your reckless Socialist ideas are terrifying': Jeremy Corbyn is slammed by Question Time audience member before telling him he 'can't understand everything going on in your head'



Jeremy Corbyn gulped the response after the audience member accused him of touting 'reckless socialist ideas' and said his plan would endanger freedom across the UK. In response, Mr Corbyn said: 'Well, I can't understand what everything that is going on in your mind that makes you say that. Maybe we can talk about it later, you never know.' He was the first politician to speak on a special BBC Question Time episode in Sheffield, ahead of Nicola Sturgeon.
 

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ROD LIDDLE Boris Johnson’s ‘oven ready’ tripe minimises Brexit – he must ditch it to win election

COMMENT
Rod Liddle
21 Nov 2019
The Sun

WHAT the hell is an “oven-ready” Brexit deal? Makes the most important thing this country has done in 70 years sound like an Aldi vegetable moussaka.

Oven pre-heated to 200 degrees, take off the cellophane and allow to stand for two minutes before serving. Try it with our crunchy garlic bread.


Boris Johnson kept banging on about his 'oven-ready' Brexit deal during the debate Credit: ITV

Boris Johnson kept using the phrase in that awful debate he had with Old Man Steptoe the other night. Steptoe was worse, mind, but only marginally. You look at the two of them and think: “Christ, is this the best we can do?”

This is the most important election of our lifetimes. Not just because it will deliver Brexit or kill it for good. But because of what awaits us if the Tories don’t win.

Corbyn and the Trots, backed up by the monomaniacal Scottish Nationalists and the Lib Dems’ ghastly Jo Swinson.

If you work hard for a living and are sick of the whining hierarchies of victim politics, good luck to you if that lot win.

The latest accusation is that Corbyn’s going to pull us out of Nato, having called for it to disband in the past. I look forward to our new military alliance with Iran, Venezuela and North Korea. The man is genuinely berserk.

Until the past week, I’ve been very pessimistic about Bojo’s chances. Labour does not have to do very much to make it the largest party in a lefty-remainer coalition.

But for the past seven days I’ve been travelling the country — and I think things have changed, decisively.

From Jarrow in the North, down through the Midlands to Essex, voters are turning away from Labour. They may not always much like the Tories. But, by God, they can’t stand Corbyn’s Marxists.


Old Man Steptoe was worse than Bojo, mind, but only marginally Credit: ITV

This is especially true in my home area, Teesside. Absolutely solid Labour area — until very rec*ent*ly. At the last election the Tories nicked a seat from Labour. Since then things have picked up pace.

Incredibly, Teesside elected itself a Conservative mayor, Ben Houchen. And now — even more incredibly — Labour has been ousted from power in Middlesbrough. The independents have taken over. And Middles*brough’s MP Andy McDonald, a bad-tempered Corbynista, faces a challenge from a very popular independent, Antony High.

This is the thing. In northern and Midlands working-class areas, the Tory vote is picking up rapidly. The Labour vote is crumbling.

And in areas where Tories cannot win, independents or other parties — including the Brexit Party — are poised to take crucial votes from Labour.

So, in Leeds, my party, the Social Democrats, are challenging Labour’s awful stranglehold on the city. The same thing in Warrington, where Kevin Hickson is standing for the SDP and may take enough votes to give the seat to the Tories.

Everywhere I went there was disillusion with Corbyn — among the working class. There’s still a bit of support for him among the middle classes, for sure. And among the bloody hipsters.

LABOUR NO LONGER PARTY OF THE WORKING CLASS

And this is the point. It shows that Labour has ceased to be the party that represents ordinary, working-class people. It has become a party of the metropolitan middle class. If you wear a beanie, have a beard and run a café selling Rice Krispies for ten quid a bowl to merchant bankers, you’ll be for Corbyn. Nobody else is.

My guess is Bojo will pick up a good ton of seats in the Midlands and the North East. Especially if he stops using stupid phrases like “oven-ready” Brexit deal.

For the first time in a very long while I can see a clear path to a Tory majority and Brexit. Thank the lord for that. And once Boris has won, let’s replace the Labour Party with an opposition that truly cares about the working class.

Labour's new slogan

WELL done to the Labour Party for sticking to its guns.

Its latest poster begging you to vote for the Marxist rabble features a party member who has been censured for making vile anti-Semitic remarks.

At least you know where you stand with Labour.

They are not remotely sorry about the awful anti-Semitism in the party. All they need do now is slightly alter their campaign slogan by one letter. So it reads: “For the Many, not the Jew!”

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/10389...ises-brexit-he-must-ditch-it-to-win-election/
 

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Boris Johnson 'is on course to win a 48 seat majority': Pollsters predict a big win for PM after Labour manifesto 'falls flat' while another poll gives the Conservatives a huge 19 point lead



Boris Johnson is on course to win a 48 seat majority at the general election on December 12, a major new poll shows, as the Prime Minister prepares to launch the Tory manifesto today. Mr Johnson will unveil his blueprint for Britain at an event in Telford this afternoon and he will do so with his Conservative Party riding high in the opinion polls. A massive new analysis by Datapraxis of 270,000 voter interviews conducted by YouGov predicts the Tories will win 349 seats when the nation goes to the ballot box in less than three weeks. But the polling is brutal for Labour, with Mr Corbyn's party set to lose 30 seats and potentially end up with just 213 MPs - that would only be marginally better than when the party was trounced in 1983 when it was led by Michael Foot.
 

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DAVID STARKEY: Boris Johnson could be the reincarnation of Benjamin Disraeli who was a genius at party politics, building electoral coalitions and winning votes

By David Starkey For The Mail On Sunday
24 November 2019

The most revealing moment at the launch of the Labour manifesto last week had nothing to do with the document itself. Instead it came in the subsequent question and answer session, when Jeremy Corbyn was asked if he was patriotic.

What an extraordinary question to put to someone who is in with a fighting chance of being the next Prime Minister.

After all, it amounts to asking: 'Do you love, or at least claim to like, the country which you are campaigning to govern?' Even more extraordinary was the fact that the question was posed by a friend – a Labour-supporting journalist – and not an enemy.

The reason it was asked of course is that there are real, insistent and well-founded doubts about Corbyn's patriotism and that those doubts are starting to affect voting intentions, perhaps dramatically.


Like Boris Johnson (pictured), Benjamin Disraeli - leader of the Tory Party and Prime Minister in 1868 and again from 1874 to 1880 - was exotic and an outsider, writes David Starkey


'Doorstep canvassers', Labour sources report, 'regularly bring up Mr Corbyn's alleged lack of pride in the nation [and] fear the party could lose support from its traditional voters – especially white working-class men – in some of its heartlands in the Midlands, the North, and South Wales.'

Actually, according to the most recent and authoritative opinion poll, the 'loss of support' among traditional Labour voters amounts to a haemorrhage, with the Tories – that's right, the Tories – enjoying a 20 per cent lead among the working class. If – and it is a big if – this really happens on polling day, Boris Johnson will have a majority, perhaps a thumping one, and the electoral map of Britain will be redrawn. And with it the very structure of politics and political parties themselves will change, almost beyond recognition.

Labour will lose its working-class roots and become instead an unstable coalition, consisting, on the one hand, of the woke, educated, virtue-signalling elite, who, like the intelligentsia throughout the ages, are deeply uncomfortable with being British. And, on the other hand, those immigrants who, for the opposite and least woke reasons, are most unwilling to integrate into Britain.

The Tories, meanwhile, could turn into a broad-based popular, patriotic party that's at ease with the our history and proud of our values.

You never know, the Conservatives might even rename themselves the National Party, as Stanley Baldwin, Tory leader and Prime Minister between the wars, ardently wished.

Far-fetched? Impossible? Actually, it's all happened before, in circumstances strikingly similar to the present and under a Tory leader who bears more than a passing resemblance to Boris.

No, not Winston Churchill, with whom Boris is a little too eager to identify. For Churchill was good at winning the Second World War but hopeless in managing the following 1945 Election, which he lost to Labour by a landslide.

There remains a risk that Boris, having channelled his inner Churchill and broken the Brexit deadlock, will do the same.

Which is why he must turn instead to Benjamin Disraeli, who never fought a war but was a genius at party politics and the dark arts of building electoral coalitions and winning votes.


Pictured: Benjamin Disraeli, former leader of the Tory Party, photographed in July 1878

Like Boris, Disraeli – leader of the Tory Party and Prime Minister in 1868 and again from 1874 to 1880 – was exotic and an outsider: the blond, tousle-haired Boris is the descendant of Albino Turks. Disraeli, even more unusually for Victorian England, was the flamboyant son of a converted Jew.

Disraeli also began badly in the Commons but, like Boris, he had bounce and when his maiden speech was howled down in derisive laughter, he boldly told his fellow MPs: 'Though I sit down now, the time will come when you will hear me'.

Finally, both were writers and phrase-makers before they were politicians – Boris, as a newspaper columnist, Disraeli, as a novelist – and both used their writings to hone their subsequent political ideas.

Even their political journey was the same. Both began on the Left of the Tory Party and moved to the Right. Both came to power by splitting the party and overthrowing the existing Establishment Prime Minister – Sir Robert Peel in the case of Disraeli, David Cameron in the case of Boris Johnson.

And both defined themselves by their response to a great political crisis – Boris with Brexit, Disraeli with the Corn Laws – that had its roots in a broader, economic dislocation. In the 1840s, the first great tremor of the Industrial Revolution had crashed upon the world with its epicentre in England. In the 2000s, we are dealing with globalisation, the bigger international offspring of industrialisation, which works in very similar ways but has proved if anything to be even more brutally disruptive.

The two crises have shown remarkably similar symptoms. In the 2010s as in the 1840s, a gulf has opened between the 'two nations' of the rich and the poor, which Disraeli identified in his 1845 novel Sybil, or the Two Nations.

There has been apparently unstoppable pressure for free trade. And a new, educated, urban elite has arisen that is Left-liberal in its political sympathies, international in outlook and indifferent if not hostile to history and the traditional way of doing things.

All of which threatened – and threatens – to render the Tory Party as extinct as the dinosaurs.

Peel and Cameron reacted by going with the flow. In 1846, Peel repealed the Corn Laws which threw British agriculture to the wolves of international competition. In the 2016 Referendum, Cameron campaigned to keep Britain in the EU. He had also tried to 'modernise' the Tory Party by making, with gay marriage and the like, the Tories the party of choice for readers of The Guardian.


Pictured: Boris Johnson during the BBC's Question Time 'Leader's Special' in Sheffield


Unsurprisingly, it never worked very well.

Boris and Disraeli chose the opposite. Disraeli opposed the repeal of the Corn Laws; Boris championed Brexit. But Disraeli had a brilliant plan to turn his stance into a winning electoral coalition.

Does Boris?

Disraeli identified a natural sympathy between 'the Conservative party and the radical masses' and, confident that 'the working classes of England are proud of belonging to a great country', he gave them the vote in the Reform Act of 1867-8.

His instinct proved right and it was the votes of the Tory working man and later working woman that made the Conservatives the natural party of government in the later 19th Century and beyond – working men like my intensely patriotic, cotton-spinner maternal grandfather, who voted to make Winston Churchill Conservative MP for Oldham in 1900 and volunteered in the First World War despite the fact, since he was married and in his late 30s with children, he was exempt from military service.

And what my grandfather practised, Disraeli preached: 'The Tory Party, unless it is a national party, is nothing', he stated repeatedly.

And he was an unashamed populist too: 'The Tory Party is only in its proper position when it represents popular principles', he declared in 1863. 'Then it is truly irresistible.'

Boris's instincts are surely the same. Like Disraeli, he is a natural populist. He loves applause and knows how to milk it. He has the same easy sympathy and the same generosity of temperament. Or at least he appears to have, which is all that matters here.

He also has a natural common touch, a man as happy eating fish and chips as he is citing authors from the ancient world. But does he have the same acute, strategic sense, which turned Disraeli from just another clever politician into a statesman who remade the political world?

Corbyn's perceived lack of patriotism and the consequent disenchantment of many traditional Labour voters offers Boris a unique opportunity, not only to win the Election but, Disraeli-like, to remake the political system and, by similarly reclaiming the working class vote, to reinvent the Tory Party as once again the natural party of government.

It is the opportunity of a lifetime. If Boris fails to take it, he will never forgive himself and he will never be forgiven.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7718951/Boris-Johnson-reincarnation-Benjamin-Disraeli.html
 

Danbones

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Tony Blair ( Iraq could hit London in 40 minutes) was far worse than hitler.
;)
I bet Every last person who is dead because of his Globalist dishonesty wishes him dead too.
 

Blackleaf

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Tony Blair ( Iraq could hit London in 40 minutes) was far worse than hitler.
;)
I bet Every last person who is dead because of his Globalist dishonesty wishes him dead too.

The 2002 Iraqi dodgy dossier which said that Iraq could use WMD within 45 minutes after an order to use them was cooked up by Blair's spindoctor Alistair Campbell, who now is another arch-Remoaner.
 

Blackleaf

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General Election and Brexit news



Boris Johnson to unveil Tory manifesto to “get Brexit done”



Boris Johnson will today unveil his “early Christmas present” for Britain when he reveals the Conservative election manifesto to “unleash the country’s potential”. Ahead of the manifesto launch, Mr Johnson appealed to voters to “not let Corbyn steal your Christmas” by winning with Scottish Nationalist Party support on December 12. He said: “Imagine the Friday 13th horror show if the Corbyn-Sturgeon coalition of chaos is triumphant – more dither and delay, two more divisive referendums and economic ruin. We cannot let this nightmare before Christmas come to pass.” He said: “As families sit down to carve up their turkeys this Christmas, I want them to enjoy their festive-season free from the seemingly unending Brexit box-set drama. “That’s why my early Christmas present to the nation will be to bring the Brexit bill back before the festive break, and get parliament working for the people. “The Conservative manifesto, which I’m proud to launch today, will get Brexit done and allow us to move on and unleash the potential of the whole country.” Emphasising the importance of getting his Brexit deal passed after the Remainer Parliament forced the election by blocking it, he said: “Imagine the relief the whole nation will feel if we do this – if a Conservative majority is returned on 12 December so we can get Brexit done. Uncertainty ended, investment unlocked, a nation moving forward once again.” – Sunday Express

Jeremy Corbyn defends neutral Brexit referendum stance



Jeremy Corbyn has defended his promise to stay neutral in a second EU referendum, saying the stance is a sign of “strength and maturity”. The Labour leader has drawn some criticism for saying he would not take sides in his proposed public vote on a new Brexit deal he would negotiate if he becomes prime minister. The Conservatives accused Mr Corbyn of “deciding to be indecisive” on the biggest issue facing the country, while Lib Dem leader Jo Swinson accused him of an “absence of leadership”. Asked about his stance on an election campaign stop in Sheffield, the Labour leader said he was offering a “sensible way forward” which can unite the country. “I think being an honest broker and listening to everyone is actually a sign of strength and a sign of maturity,” he said. “My role as the Labour prime minister would be to ensure that is carried out in a fair way, that the offers put are fair, and that I will carry out the result of that referendum. I think this is actually a sensible way forward that actually can bring people together.” – Sky News

…as Nigel Farage blasts his stance


Mr Farage was speaking about Jeremy Corbyn's decision to remain 'neutral' in a mooted second EU referendum as he visited Hartlepool

Brexit Party leader Nigel Farage has said the Labour election campaign is ‘bombing’, as polls show his new party is stripping Labour of votes in key battlegrounds. Mr Farage was speaking about Jeremy Corbyn’s decision to remain ‘neutral’ in a mooted second EU referendum as he visited market stallholders in Hartlepool today. He said the Labour leader’s stance, which he revealed on BBC’s Question Time on Friday, showed a ‘failure of leadership’. Speaking as he stopped for a drink, Mr Farage said: ‘Brexit is the defining issue of our day and the leader of the Labour Party is going to abstain from that. ‘I find that astonishing. It’s a failure of leadership. It’s also a reflection that he knows his own parliamentary party are Remainers… so he’s still trying to stay on that fence and it’s not working. ‘And I think, frankly, people would say just come down on one side or the other and I think my feeling is the Labour campaign is bombing and that last night made it worse.’ – Daily Mail

Farage reveals Brexit Party rebrand plan…



Nigel Farage has revealed plans to rebrand the Brexit Party as the Reform Party with an agenda of “draining the swamp” of Westminster politics. The Brexit Party leader has warned the political establishment that getting Brexit done is just the beginning and that his party’s long term future will be about reforming Britain’s broken political system. But in the short term, the veteran anti-Brussels campaigner has not ruled out taking on a role as an EU commissioner if asked by Boris Johnson. Asked whether he would take on the role he laughed but added: “They haven’t joked. Shame I know Brussels well.” Mr Farage was speaking to the Sunday Express on a visit to the key battleground seat of Dagenham and Rainham traditionally held by Labour but now a target for both the Brexit Party and Tories. But Mr Farage sees parallels between his party and where Labour was in 1900 when it emerged as a new party and eventually was in government by 1924. He said: “We might need to rebrand as the Reform Party. Definitely our appetite is for political reform. This country wants political reform. It’s sick of the whole bloody system. Sick the whole lot. We talk about [Washington as] the swamp and we are beginning to talk about Westminster in the same way.” – Sunday Express

…and hints at resignation if Brexit Party fails at polls

Nigel Farage has hinted that he could stand down as leader of the Brexit Party if it wins no seats at the election. As he unveiled manifesto pledges designed to reverse a recent slump in the polls Mr Farage said that he would continue to campaign for Brexit in “whatever role” he had. Asked if he would stay on as leader if the party failed to return any MPs to Westminster, he said that he was “absolutely committed to the complete reform of our political system . . . and whatever role it is in I’m going to go on campaigning for years to come for many of the things that are in that document [the manifesto].” – The Times (£)

Opinium poll gives Conservatives 19-point lead with 47% vote share…



The Conservatives have taken a commanding 19-point lead over Labour with less than three weeks to go before voters head to the polls, according to the latest Opinium poll for the Observer. The news comes as Boris Johnson launches the Tory election manifesto on Sunday, a moment seen by many Conservative MPs as the most dangerous of the campaign. It was Theresa May’s botched manifesto in 2017, which included an unpopular social care policy dubbed the “dementia tax”, that played a major part in the collapse in her poll ratings. The Tory share of the vote now stands at 47%, with Labour on 28% and the Lib Dems falling back to 12%. Also struggling is the Brexit party, which has collapsed to 3%. Underlying the Tory lead is the party’s success in attracting support from Leave voters: three-quarters of them say they would vote Conservative. The results suggest that the first week of televised debates between the party leaders has not made an immediate impact on the race. The Tory lead stood at 16 points last week, three points lower than now. However, Opinium is now taking into account the fact that some parties – primarily the Brexit party, which has pulled its candidates from Tory-held constituencies – are not running in every seat. Opinium also asked voters who they would back if all parties were running in their seat, which gave the Tories a 16-point lead – the same as last week’s poll. – Observer

…and a Deltapoll survey shows Tories on 43% and Labour on 30%…

With 19 days until polling day, there is still no sign of the Labour surge which started at this point in the 2017 Election and wiped out Theresa May’s majority. Today’s Mail on Sunday Deltapoll gives Boris Johnson a 13-point lead, with the Tories on 43 per cent and Labour on 30 per cent, at the end of a week in which Jeremy Corbyn has set out his manifesto policies. Mr Johnson’s lead has shrunk by two per cent, but he will be heartened by the continuing collapse in Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party – now down to just three points and posing a much lower risk of splitting the Tory vote in their target marginals. Jo Swinson’s Liberal Democrats have rallied from 11 per cent to 16 per cent, but Tory strategists will not be too concerned as long as the party continues to vie with Labour for pro-Remain voters in marginal seats. What might alarm them is the narrowing in the leadership ratings: Mr Johnson is now only 24 points ahead of the Labour leader, down from 45 points at the start of the campaign, with a rating of minus ten. But voters are clear who they would rather spend Christmas with – 47 per cent say Mr Johnson, with just 27 per cent plumping for Mr Corbyn. – Mail on Sunday

…as Electoral Calculus “poll of polls” suggests PM set to win a 64 seat majority

Boris Johnson is on course for a 64-seat majority having successfully “squeezed” the Brexit party, new analysis claims. The Conservatives are currently polling at 42.8 per cent support, which looks set to deliver the party 357 seats. The poll of polls by Electoral Calculus found that the election seems to be split down Leave and Remain lines, taking in research from five different surveys from Nov 14 to 19, polling over 7,500 people. Martin Baxter, managing director of the political forecasting website, said: “On the Leave side, the Conservatives have successfully squeezed the Brexit party, notably after the stand-down of Brexit candidates in Conservative-held seats.” However, the research seems to suggest that Labour are “finding the going a bit harder on the Remain side”. Jeremy Corbyn’s party are currently polling at 30 per cent support, 11 points down from the 2017 election, losing them a predicted 55 seats. The Brexit Party are polling at just four per cent, and are not expected to pick up any seats according to the analysis. Meanwhile, the research shows the Liberal Democrats have doubled their support since the last election, when they secured 7.6 per cent of the vote. They are now polling at 14.8 per cent and look set to gain seven seats, taking their Commons total to 19. – Sunday Telegraph (£)

Matthew Elliott: Leaving the EU is still the safer choice – and Boris is the man to make it happen

Framed at home, I have a chunk of wall from the Vote Leave war-room, which will be familiar to anyone who watched Benedict Cumberbatch’s tour de force, Brexit: The Uncivil War. It is the piece of plasterboard where Dominic Cummings scrawled our key messages: “Europe Yes, EU No”, “Our money, our priorities”, “Take control” and “Safer choice”. Our campaign successfully argued that, in a vote with no status quo on the ballot paper, Leave was the safest of the two future paths. This general election also presents voters with only two realistic options. The first is a hung Parliament where Labour re-enters government with the support of the SNP, who will want a referendum on Scottish independence. The second is a Conservative majority and a mandate for the PM to ratify his deal and progress to the future trade talks and his domestic agenda. A Leave vote overturned via a second referendum, under the first of these scenarios, would massively prolong the uncertainty. The EU is markedly different from the bloc we campaigned to leave over three years ago. Without the UK at the table, the new European Commission, under Ursula von der Leyen, will pursue faster integration – including revisiting its long-desired aim of tax harmonisation and the phasing out of national vetoes to all EU tax policies. Brussels has previously attempted introducing a common consolidated tax base, standardisation of VAT, a levy on financial services and a new digital tax. Emboldened by Angela Merkel’s dwindling influence, Emmanuel Macron now favours a joint eurozone budget, the creation of a new EU finance minister role, and a body with oversight of EU-wide economic policy. And the EU’s increasingly protectionist tendencies were highlighted last month, when the US won the largest arbitration award in World Trade Organisation history against the EU, for illegal subsidies to Airbus. This is the EU we would remain trapped inside with a minority Labour/SNP government. Whereas a Tory majority would enable Parliament to approve the PM’s deal speedily, allowing our trade negotiators to begin formal trade talks with major economies. Progressing to phase two will give firms the signal they have been waiting for to release the investment they have had to withhold during this political impasse. – Matthew Elliott for the Sunday Telegraph (£)

Daniel Hannan: Without the unbelievable modesty of one man, Brexit would have been impossible



If you had been in St Margaret’s, Westminster, on Thursday, you’d have seen what looked like a quintessentially Establishment rite. The ancient church was full of Conservative MPs pausing their election campaigns to attend a memorial service for Lord Spicer. The drum corps from Spicer’s old school, Wellington, rapped out a sombre salute. His grandson sounded the Last Post. This, you’d have thought, is what it looks like when the Tory tribe masses to honour one of its chieftains. On paper, Michael Spicer was the most traditional of Conservatives: public school, Cambridge, a minister, Chairman of the 1922 Committee, a knight, a Privy Counsellor and a peer of the realm. But the bare facts of a man’s CV can be misleading. Under those well-cut grey suits breathed a fierce radical, a serial disrupter.
When he was at Wellington, Spicer took so strongly against one of his headmaster’s decisions that he organised a prefects’ strike, forcing the man to back down. At Cambridge, he founded Pressure for Economic and Social Toryism (Pest), which stood for what were then considered highly liberal positions on social policy, though they are nowadays pretty mainstream. He went on to create the world’s first economics modelling consultancy. Always the innovator, he was the only Conservative MP whose ministerial career began when Margaret Thatcher became prime minister and ended on the day she left office. As much as anyone, Spicer made Brexit happen. He led the Eurosceptic movement from the early Nineties until the 2005 general election, founding the European Research Group in 1993. You didn’t know that? I’m not surprised. The characteristic of his career was an almost unbelievable modesty. – Daniel Hannan MEP for the Sunday Telegraph (£)

https://brexitcentral.com/today/brexit-news-for-sunday-24-november/
 

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British Voters Slam BBC For being Biased And Pro Remain.

BBC Question Time Special hosted a leaders debate for the 2019 general election with Jeremy Corbyn, Boris Johnson, Nicola Sturgeon and Jo Swinson. The audience were supposed to be picked in a balanced way but the crowd were very much leaning towards Remain with one audience member being Kate Rutter who was an actress on I Daniel Blake. The biased BBC have shown their true face by not selecting the audience in the right way.

 

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'Corbyn-neutral by Christmas!' Boris Johnson reveals Tory manifesto vowing to get Brexit done and open a 'new chapter' for UK including £33.9bn for NHS and 50,000 more nurses - while freezing taxes for FIVE YEARS



Boris Johnson lashed Jeremy Corbyn for 'sneering' at working people today as he unveiled the Tory manifesto - vowing to recruit 50,000 extra nurses and create 50 million more GP appointments. Mr Johnson launched the platform in the key swing seat of Telford, Shropshire, vowing to 'get Brexit done' and open a 'new chapter' for the country. Mr Johnson warned that Labour would keep the country in the 'same rut' by prolonging the Brexit process. 'The stakes have never been higher and the choice has never been starker,' he said. Painting the Conservatives as the party of small business, Mr Johnson said: 'When people get up at the crack of dawn to prepare their family business, when they risk everything on a new product or try to find a new market... we don't sneer at them. We cheer for them. That is the choice between out-and-out retrograde Socialism and sensible One Nation Conservatism.



https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...hnson-vows-Brexit-unveils-Tory-manifesto.html
 
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Boris Johnson and the Tories are forecast to win sweeping 68-seat majority in election - as the ONLY polling model that correctly predicted 2017 result says party will get 359 seats to 211 for Labour






Sweeping 68-seat majority is forecast for Boris Johnson's Tories
The YouGov 'MRP' analysis released this evening showed Boris Johnson's Conservative Party could win 359 seats out of 650, up from 317 in the 2017 general election. They would also take 43 per cent of the vote, a result that would make it the party's best performance since 1987. The Labour Party looks on track to secure 211 seats, down from 262, which would be its worst performance since 1983. The modelling also reveals they would not win any new seats. The Remainer Liberal Democrats on 13 seats are only up one from the last election, despite a predicted increase in vote share from 8 per cent in 2017 to 14 per cent. In Scotland, the SNP are set to get 43 seats, an increase of 8, but vitally for Mr Johnson only two come from his party. If the election was held on Thursday, Wales's nationalist Plaid Cymru and the Green Party would remain static with four seats and one seat respectively. The findings will be a significant boost to Mr Johnson's campaign, but with only weeks to go until polling day, will be highly concerning for Labour election strategists.


https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...-majority-forecast-Boris-Johnsons-Tories.html