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  1. Tonington

    Global Warming ‘Greatest Scam in History’

    How can it be cherry picking? A cherry pick is when you exclude available data so as to fit your hypothesis. What method, if you were a denier, would you use to determine a trend for the dataset? In any case, the linear regression is the best fit of that data for a trend analysis. Least squares...
  2. Tonington

    Global Warming ‘Greatest Scam in History’

    Why on Earth would he put a graph on his page that stops at 1997, when there are 11 full years, and 3/4 of another afterwards in the same database? Because it makes it look like there has been no warming. If you go for the full database, and compute trend, this is what you get: What dumbass...
  3. Tonington

    Our cooling world

    I made a simple spreadsheet, with a chart. Walter's hypothesis, the globe is cooling, and has been since 1998 or something similar to other science illiterate internet memes. Decadal averages of GISS surface temperature anomalies show that this present decade is by far the warmest decade in the...
  4. Tonington

    The Expanding Earth

    237 watts per square meter- the amount of energy hitting the Earth's surface from the sun. The geothermal flux on active ocean crustal zones like mid-ocean ridges is 0.2 watts per square meter. Air to ocean fluxes are about 100 watts per square meter. The anthropogenic greenhouse effects...
  5. Tonington

    Our cooling world

    UAH is the outlier by the way, which is pretty well known. You can see it visually with this graph. UAH is markedly different from the other three data products, and RSS actually uses the same satellite data that UAH does. And, UAH still is showing warming.
  6. Tonington

    Our cooling world

    October 2009, 0.28°C above long term global average for UAH TLT satellite measurement, which measures the temperature of the lower troposphere, all the way up to a pressure of 300 mb (about 30,000 feet), not the surface only. Still above average, and still within the envelope of what them...
  7. Tonington

    Our cooling world

    Not everyone is smart. Not just forum posters, but also the bloggers and journalists they quote. Consider this, have you ever gone to a mechanic for your dental work? Probably not. Yet on blogs and some serious journalists' columns, they don't appear to be encumbered by their shortfalls in...
  8. Tonington

    Republican Health care reform

    Here's the GOP plan: Yup, that's the plan. They have lots of ideas, they just haven't had time in all these months since the Dems have been throwing stuff together to make their own plan yet. They have to know what the majority plan is...
  9. Tonington

    Death knell for AGW

    Almost forgot another big one. Soil depletion.
  10. Tonington

    Death knell for AGW

    Ocean acidification? Ozone depletion?
  11. Tonington

    Death knell for AGW

    There is nothing arrogant about that. Changing hydrology and thus flood severity, creating oceanic dead zones, diverting whole rivers...there is a very long list. It's ignorant to say that we can't change the actions of mother nature.
  12. Tonington

    Death knell for AGW

    More on the climate auditor...will the media discuss the response like they did with the original implications of bias and fraud? So far, notta. What follows is a response from Keith Briffa and colleagues, to Steve McIntyre's postings at Climate Audit on their supposed smashing of another hockey...
  13. Tonington

    How the GW myth is perpetuated

    Not necessarily a constructive role though. Should scientists spend their precious time responding to the whims of every contrarian, with reams of data, and explanations of why said contrarian is wrong? Do they respond to all the contrarians claiming vaccines are causing autism? Or is it better...
  14. Tonington

    Global Warming ‘Greatest Scam in History’

    Absolutely. More insolation means more thermal expansion, and fewer thermal niches for polar poikilotherms and many other megafauna in the Arctic. Somewhat off topic, I read an interesting article in the Chronicle Herald that was talking about 2012. Not some abstract numerology or Mayan...
  15. Tonington

    Global Warming ‘Greatest Scam in History’

    This has been the standard lore, but a Professor at St. Mary's University in Halifax wrote a paper recently on a topic that no oceanagraphers or other geoscientists had thought of, except for one Robert Grumbine. Grumbine has an interesting project, a blog trying to make education of climate...
  16. Tonington

    Global Warming ‘Greatest Scam in History’

    So many people forget/dump on/abuse the global ocean. Way more heat stored there than the atmosphere.
  17. Tonington

    Global Warming ‘Greatest Scam in History’

    Clouds are understood. What you should have said is the cloud feedback from warmer temperatures is uncertain. Whether high level clouds which reflect radiation back to space are the dominant mode, or low level clouds which retain radiation are the dominant mode, or if it is a wash, remains to be...
  18. Tonington

    Conservatives carving up the pork

    Earlier this year, a Conservative candidate claimed that his party could get stimulus money out faster, and more effectively. This past weekend, I heard one of the campaign workers for the Conservative candidate in this riding make pretty much the same claim to an employee in Tim Horton's. It...
  19. Tonington

    Global Warming ‘Greatest Scam in History’

    Umm, not right. Not even wrong. You have no idea what you're talking about. No models are right. Some are useful. A climate model without clouds is useless, which is why no climate model excludes cloud effects. Here is what the WG1 chapter has to say on the cloud section. Hardly an exclusion of...
  20. Tonington

    Global Warming ‘Greatest Scam in History’

    You're right it doesn't fit. A model is supposed to be an approximation of reality. A kettle is not a very good model for Earth. I mean if it was, we wouldn't need to use models to see how the forcings we're imposing interact with Earth's systems, we could just impose them on your kettle...