Canadian Federal Election Outcome October 20th (or 27th?), 2025.

Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,273
9,618
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
The man has said enough about his policies , you just refuse to listen . Axe the tax , he doesn’t need to say more . You should know when the conservatives set out their policies prior to elections the Liberals just incorporate any that gain traction .
So, do you want to take a crack at a guess, as to the outcome & seat distribution for Canada’s next federal election?

Conservatives: ?
Liberals: ?
Bloc: ?
NDP: ?
Greens (plural assumably): ?
——————————-
343 total seats (338 + 5)
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Jinentonix

Hall of Fame Member
Sep 6, 2015
11,253
5,879
113
Olympus Mons
Trudeau still has a year to let his islamo-nazi buddies rampage in Canada. Before the next election he'll use their actions to invoke the Emergencies Act once again so he can finally become the dictator he always wanted to be.
 

Tecumsehsbones

Hall of Fame Member
Mar 18, 2013
58,097
8,349
113
Washington DC
Trudeau still has a year to let his islamo-nazi buddies rampage in Canada. Before the next election he'll use their actions to invoke the Emergencies Act once again so he can finally become the dictator he always wanted to be.
Have no fear. The Men of Westernesse will fight to the last truck to defeat his nefarious scheme.
 
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Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,273
9,618
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
I’m still sticking with my prediction:

Conservatives 240
Liberals. 47 assuming Trudeau stays
Bloc. 32
NDP. 22
Greens (plural) 2
——————————-
343 total seats (338 + 5)
…& nobody else wants to throw their hat in a ring with a wild ass guesstimate of where things will land once the dust settles Oct 20th, 2025 (Or maybe sooner? Or maybe Oct 27th)???
Conservatives: ?
Liberals: ?
Bloc: ?
NDP: ?
Greens (plural assumably): ?
——————————-
343 total seats (338 + 5)
Here’s this weeks Canada338 polls:
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Just as we’ve seen over the course of the last week or two, anything can happen from any direction, from wars in foreign lands to scandals domestically both sexual and financial, etc…so it’s really just a crapshoot guessing the outcome a year away potentially. Anybody can shoot themselves in the foot at any time on the federal Canadian parliamentary front, & any misstep or shitty quote Or advertising campaign can greatly affect the outcome.
 

Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,273
9,618
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
I predicted the Conservatives winning with 240 Seats in Oct 2025 a while back & I’m sticking with that prediction. The number just sounds right.

Conservatives 240
Liberals. 47 assuming Trudeau stays
Bloc. 32
NDP. 22
Greens (plural) 2
——————————-
343 total seats (338 + 5)
1726462743156.jpeg
Here’s the movement in the last week:
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There are two by-elections tomorrow, & in theory, the NDP should probably get the one in Winnipeg, and it’s a three-way tossup for the one in Montreal between the Libs, NDP & Bloc…& I’m assuming (& it’s just an assumption) the Bloc might take that one.
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Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,273
9,618
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
Well….Bill C-65…“the pension protection bill.”

The bill proposes moving the fixed election date of the 45th Canadian federal electionfrom October 20, 2025, to October 27, 2025. According to the federal government the election date move is intended to avoid the federal election coinciding with Diwali, and the 2025 Alberta municipal elections.
One impact of this change is on Member of Parliament pensions.

MPs need at least six years of service to qualify for the Member of Parliament pension plan. The one-week delay in the election date means that 80 MPs first elected in the 2019 Canadian federal election, held on October 21, 2019, will reach this six-year mark, qualifying for a pension, on the new proposed election day of October 27, 2025.

The change is expected to primarily benefit Conservative MPs, followed by Liberal, NDP, and Bloc Québécois MPs elected in 2019. BUT Conservatives voted against this Bill.
1731932548176.jpeg
Last week, MPs debated Bill C-65 in committee, in what Conservatives have dubbed “the pension protection bill.” Moving forward the date of the election ensures that 22 Liberal and six NDP MPs, whose pensions vest after the Oct. 20 date, get their full pensions of about $78,000 a year.
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(Members of Parliament qualify for full pensions after six years of service. Those elected in 2019 will only qualify for full pensions a few days after the Oct. 20 date, but “Shhhhhhh….!!!)
1731933782228.jpegThe below video is from Seven Months Ago already…& this is like back page news?:
Section 50 of the Constitution Act, 1867, and section 4 of the Charter of Rights and Freedoms limit the maximum life of a federal parliament to five years following the return of the writs of election from the previous general election.
1731933730457.jpegThe 39th Canadian Parliament passed An Act to Amend the Canada Elections Act, which received royal assent on May 3, 2007.[3] It requires that each general election take place on the third Monday in October, in the fourth calendar year after the previous poll, starting on October 19, 2009.
1731933668721.jpegDuring the legislative process, the Liberal-dominated Senate added an amendment listing conditions under which an election date could be modified, in order to avoid clashes with religious holidays, municipal elections, and referenda; but, the House of Commons, led by Prime Minister Stephen Harper's Conservatives, rejected the amendment and the Senate did not pursue it.
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Assuming that a government does not fall on a non-confidence vote and that the prime minister or premier does not request an early election, the fixed election date legislation requires the next election for each jurisdiction to be held on the following dates:
1731933518890.jpeg
 
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Tecumsehsbones

Hall of Fame Member
Mar 18, 2013
58,097
8,349
113
Washington DC
With apologies to Richard and Robert Sherman. . .

A politician feathering his nest
Has very little time to rest
While gathering his bits of tax and fee
But I assure you very soon
You'll hear his steady tune
It's only right if it befefits me!
 

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
Nov 21, 2008
113,368
12,825
113
Low Earth Orbit


Not saying Trudeau should be in leadership of course.

But... take your dictator claims and shove em.
IPA guy is as dumb as a stump. It explains why he teaches primary school. According to him dictators have never been democratically elected.

I can think of about a dozen off the top of my head.

You?

A dictator is a person who has absolute power in a government, making decisions without constitutional limitations and with no accountability for their actions.

Dictators often rule in a cruel or oppressive way, and can limit citizens' rights and freedoms.

Here are some characteristics of dictatorships:
Total control: Dictators have complete control over the country, including the armed forces, and destroy any political opposition.

No checks or balances: There are no mechanisms to prevent the dictator from abusing their power.

Emergency powers: Dictatorships can sometimes begin when a duly elected leader seizes emergency powers during a time of crisis.
 

Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,273
9,618
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
1733070188168.jpeg
—————————————————————
Does anybody else wanna throw their hat in the ring (?) with their best guess, or gut feeling, or whatever prognostication you decide upon to predict the outcome more than a year away for the next Canadian federal election???

(I think it might be funny in hindsight, to see how poorly we all manage in our guess work, myself included)
—————————————————————
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{The Liberals (this week anyway) are still the odds on favourites for being the official opposition…still}
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Taxslave2

House Member
Aug 13, 2022
3,716
2,214
113
Because - and I never thought I'd say this - Harper was smart enough to know not to push too much for stuff. But a lot of the members of the party who are now against a lot of the 'social things' also never said it out loud/admitted it openly.

And his term you might as well have called it a different time all together.

Now it's part of the "Cool team" to deny women's rights, abortion, GLBTQIA+, etc and more of the party are open to it or are finally saying the stuff they kept quiet, out loud.
More fearmongering by intolerant radical leftards. Other people are entitled to their opinions, and vote for representatives that endorse their opinions. There are far more pressing things to deal with than what bathroom people with mental health problems get to use. The stuff you are always whining about don't even make the top 100 issues in most people's lives.
 
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Tecumsehsbones

Hall of Fame Member
Mar 18, 2013
58,097
8,349
113
Washington DC
More fearmongering by intolerant radical leftards. Other people are entitled to their opinions, and vote for representatives that endorse their opinions. There are far more pressing things to deal with than what bathroom people with mental health problems get to use. The stuff you are always whining about don't even make the top 100 issues in most people's lives.
Hmm. . . That's an idea! Lets have "Pretty Normal" washrooms and "Bat-Shit Crazy" washrooms!
 
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Taxslave2

House Member
Aug 13, 2022
3,716
2,214
113
Well….Bill C-65…“the pension protection bill.”

The bill proposes moving the fixed election date of the 45th Canadian federal electionfrom October 20, 2025, to October 27, 2025. According to the federal government the election date move is intended to avoid the federal election coinciding with Diwali, and the 2025 Alberta municipal elections.
One impact of this change is on Member of Parliament pensions.

MPs need at least six years of service to qualify for the Member of Parliament pension plan. The one-week delay in the election date means that 80 MPs first elected in the 2019 Canadian federal election, held on October 21, 2019, will reach this six-year mark, qualifying for a pension, on the new proposed election day of October 27, 2025.

The change is expected to primarily benefit Conservative MPs, followed by Liberal, NDP, and Bloc Québécois MPs elected in 2019. BUT Conservatives voted against this Bill.
View attachment 25776
Last week, MPs debated Bill C-65 in committee, in what Conservatives have dubbed “the pension protection bill.” Moving forward the date of the election ensures that 22 Liberal and six NDP MPs, whose pensions vest after the Oct. 20 date, get their full pensions of about $78,000 a year.
View attachment 25782
(Members of Parliament qualify for full pensions after six years of service. Those elected in 2019 will only qualify for full pensions a few days after the Oct. 20 date, but “Shhhhhhh….!!!)
View attachment 25781The below video is from Seven Months Ago already…& this is like back page news?:
Section 50 of the Constitution Act, 1867, and section 4 of the Charter of Rights and Freedoms limit the maximum life of a federal parliament to five years following the return of the writs of election from the previous general election.
View attachment 25780The 39th Canadian Parliament passed An Act to Amend the Canada Elections Act, which received royal assent on May 3, 2007.[3] It requires that each general election take place on the third Monday in October, in the fourth calendar year after the previous poll, starting on October 19, 2009.
View attachment 25779During the legislative process, the Liberal-dominated Senate added an amendment listing conditions under which an election date could be modified, in order to avoid clashes with religious holidays, municipal elections, and referenda; but, the House of Commons, led by Prime Minister Stephen Harper's Conservatives, rejected the amendment and the Senate did not pursue it.
View attachment 25777
Assuming that a government does not fall on a non-confidence vote and that the prime minister or premier does not request an early election, the fixed election date legislation requires the next election for each jurisdiction to be held on the following dates:
View attachment 25778
Sure with the liberals had the same concern about my pension. The increase in pension for MPs is about double what the average taxpayer is expected to live on for the entire year.