In a Friday press release headlined simply “Canada’s Housing Plan,” the Prime Minister’s Office laid out a plan to “unlock 3.87 million new homes by 2031.”
“Canada can and will solve the housing crisis,”
read an attached quote by Housing Minister Sean Fraser.
In the media, it was mostly treated as yet another Liberal housing pledge, similar to the week before when the PMO had
launched a new “rental protection fund.”
“Federal government launches new housing strategy,” read
CBC’s headline on the plan.
But what Ottawa has just pitched as a pre-budget bauble is one of the most mammoth promises ever issued by a Canadian federal government.
In terms of cost, effort and raw logistics, building 3.9 million homes in just seven years would easily rank as one of the most awesome expenditures of national effort outside of the world wars.
To be fair, Friday’s plan only promises 2 million “net new homes.” Under current forecasts, about 1.87 million homes will be “built anyway by 2031,” according to a backgrounder on the plan…with the Liberal/NDP government out the door with their pensions in 18 months…
Still, that’s 287,714 “net new homes” each year until 2031. Or, 783 extra homes per day. Or, one “net new home” every two minutes for the next seven years.
If, as a result of the Canada Housing Plan, Canada somehow managed to build an entire second Alberta, it still wouldn’t be enough to reach the target.
Across 119 years of recurring homebuilding booms, Alberta still has a total of just 1,633,220 “occupied private dwellings” as per the 2021 census.
So to meet the 2 million “net new homes” figure by 2031, Canada would also need to build a second Saskatchewan. That province had a combined total of 449,585 occupied private dwellings as of 2021.
It's one new home every two minutes ... for seven consecutive years
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Once upon a time, Canada’s corporate tax rate stood at 28%, but in 2000, then-prime minister Jean Chretien began lowering it down to 22%. When Stephen Harper took office in 2006, he lowered it to the current 15%.
While critics claimed this would make the government poor, the opposite happened, revenue from corporate income tax stayed steady or went up each year. A study by the Montreal Economic Institute in 2018 detailed corporate tax revenues using inflation adjusted 2017 dollars and found no significant decrease other than in years when recessions were taking place.
The reason is that a lower tax rate makes Canada a more attractive place to do business. More companies investing in equipment and jobs here means more economic activity and more revenue for the government.
Driven by demands from the NDP and Trudeau’s junior coalition partner, Jagmeet Singh, we are going to see tax increases on high-income earners and corporations.
Singh, who seems to be running the government rather than Trudeau these days — dictating key policy decisions — has been calling for an “excess profits tax” for some time. It’s unclear what such a tax would look like in practice, but New Democrats were boasting this week to Radio Canada, CBC’s French division, about looming corporate tax hikes.
This is why Rad Can wrote what we will see on Tuesday will be “A budget written in orange ink.” It’s a great line, especially when you consider that the Trudeau Liberals are taking tax advice from the economically illiterate Singh NDP. The Left trying to out-Left the Left.
A lower tax rate makes Canada a more attractive place for foreign investment. Pushing the corporate tax rate up to 22%, as the NDP would prefer, would put Canada’s corporate tax rate higher than the United States.
For more than a century, Liberal and Conservative governments have maintained a lower corporate tax rate in Canada as a key economic policy to attract investment. Oh well…
If he increases taxes on high-income earners, they will have fewer meals out, hurting the cooks, the waiters and restaurant owners. They will cut back on what they order in, hurting Canadians trying to keep a side hustle going, delivering food as a second job.
They may cut back on the household services provided by small businesses, from landscaping to security services.
The same holds for businesses facing higher tax pressures.
Hiring will freeze, capital spending on equipment and productivity will slow down. New investment from outside firms will hit pause or be directed elsewhere.
Trudeau is pitching his budget as something to cure what ails us. Instead, he’s likely to make things much, much worse.
Portrayed as making the rich pay their fair share, the NDP plans Trudeau is embracing will only kill jobs.
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The verdict is already in when it comes to the release of the Trudeau government’s annual budget on Tuesday — we simply can’t afford the Liberals any longer. After almost nine years in power, they haven’t come close to balancing a single federal budget, which won’t change when Finance Minister...
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