Mark Carney’s “Greta” Finance Model
                                                                             
                                                                            Depending on the part of the world you’re in, the mention of  economist, Mark Carney, will elicit different responses. In Canada,  Carney is widely credited with steering the country through the rocky  waters of the 2008 financial crisis, but in the United Kingdom he is  often labeled a political activist disguised as an economist.
                                                                            
                                                                            I have previously written about Carney’s time as Governor of the Bank  of England, a role he will leave on January 31. Through analysis of  predictions made by the Bank of England relating to the impact of the  Brexit vote, I argued that Carney had made a radical shift from  economist and strategist to political activist with a clear agenda.  Following the election of Boris Johnson as Prime Minister, and the  realisation that Brexit is actually going to happen, the Bank of England  wasforced to peddle back some of its predictions of impending economic  crisis and now it seems that Carney has found a fresh cause to campaign  for. In December 2019, United Nations Secretary General Antonio Guterres  announced that Carney would lead a new push to ensure the financial  sector embraces “climate emergency” issues, and will serve as the U.N.  special envoy on climate action. It is a natural fit for Carney, who has  been warning how climate change could “cause a new crash” since 2015.
                                                                            
                                                                            In a statement, Carney said that the disclosures of climate risk  “must become comprehensive” and that “investing for a net-zero world  must go mainstream” —an assertion that demonstrates Carney’s willingness  to advocate a political position while, at the same time, warning  businesses that if they refuse to adapt to his vision then they could  face severe financial penalty. Carney isn’t afraid to throw his weight  around either. As the chief of the Financial Stability Board he directed  companies to disclose potential risks they face as a result of climate  change, despite bankers and finance professionals not identifying any  imminent threat. The direction was widely criticised as little more than  a vanity project.
                                                                            
                                                                            In October 2019, Carney said that transition to net zero carbon  emissions would change the value of every asset and raise the risk of  shocks to the financial system. He is right. The value of assets in the  fossil fuel industry will change, coal-fired plants are closing in major  economies like the United States—but global energy demands are enormous  and growing. President Donald Trump has demonstrated his commitment to  protecting the coal industry and has proposed relaxing environmental  regulation to make it easier to establish new oil drilling sites and  coal mines. As it stands, renewable energy cannot meet the global  economy’s growing demands for energy. The United States still relies on  fossil fuels for 80 percent of its energy needs. In Canada, fossil fuels  account for almost 90 percent of domestic energy production. In 2018,  BloombergNEF’s annual survey of over 100 developing markets found that  investments in solar, wind, and other renewable energy projects fell to  $133B, down $33B from the year previous. Clean energy investments in  India are declining as the nation struggles to keep up with its growing  energy demands, and China is relying on more coal than ever before.
                                                                            
                                                                            However well-intentioned it may be, the renewable energy industry  isn’t ready for primetime yet, and the movement behind it has a tendency  of attracting extreme-left, progressive ideologues. It is simply true  that current renewable energy technology cannot satisfy demand and the  costs are often prohibitive. Fossil fuel is not going away any time soon  and Carney’s warnings, when put into the context of his tales of a  Brexit economic doomsday, resemble threats more than honest analysis.
                                                                            
                                                                            It is hard to ignore the political and professional affiliations of  his wife too. Diana Carney is an environmental activist who was  previously the Vice President of Research at progressive think tank  Canada2020 and is an ambassador for the WWF. As Executive Director of Pi  Capital, her work focused on “climate and energy issues” and  “identifying pathways for more sustainable capitalism.” She supports  green economy initiatives and is recognized globally as a leading  campaigner for radical policy to address what she identifies as a  climate emergency.
                                                                            
                                                                            The parallels between Diana Carney’s work and Mark Carney’s recent  interventions in finance have not gone unnoticed. It is an issue that  has been long-discussed, and the couple even insisted in April 2013 that  they are separate people with separate opinions. Events since then  appear to suggest otherwise.
                                                                            
                                                                            In fact, Carney’s vanity projects and haughty attempts to ensure  businesses abide by rules dictated by his and his wife’s worldview pose  two questions. The first is, why should we trust Mark Carney in the  first place? Why should businesses believe the words of a man who showed  disdain for the Brexit decision made by the British people, and who  willingly incorporates the political agenda of his wife into his work as  a leading global economist?
                                                                            
                                                                            Secondly, it raises the question of whether he is suited to being a  leading voice on such a divisive political issue. If consensus, or even  compromise, is ever to be reached on the topic of climate change and  renewable technology, is Mark Carney really the man to do it, or, is he  another ideologue that represents establishment scorn for regular  people?
                                                                            
                                                                            Carney is quickly turning into the Greta Thunberg of finance, only it’s his wife pulling the strings and not his parents.
                                                                            
                                                                        
fcpp.org/2020/01/28/mark-carneys-greta-finance-model/