It's Climate Change I tell'ya!! IT'S CLIMATE CHANGE!!
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Scientists link La Niña climate cycle to increased diarrhea
Charles Rotter / 1 min ago January 1, 2020
Columbia University’s Mailman School of Public Health
A study in Botswana by Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health scientists finds that spikes in cases of life-threatening diarrhea in young children are associated with La Niña climate conditions. The findings published in the journal Nature Communications could provide the basis for an early-warning system that would allow public health officials to prepare for periods of increased diarrhea cases as long as seven months ahead of time.
In low- and middle-income countries, diarrhea is the second leading cause of death in children younger than five years of age, with 72 percent of deaths occurring in the first two years of life. Rates of under-5 diarrhea in Africa are particularly high, with an estimated incidence of 3.3 episodes of diarrhea per child each year and one-quarter of all child deaths caused by diarrhea.
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a coupled ocean-atmosphere system spanning the equatorial Pacific Ocean that oscillates in a 3-to-7-year cycle between two extremes, El Niño (warmer ocean temperatures) and La Niña (cooler ocean temperatures). The ENSO cycle affects local weather patterns around the world, including temperatures, winds, and precipitation.
Researchers analyzed associations between ENSO and climate conditions and cases of under-5 diarrhea in the Chobe region in northeastern Botswana. They found that La Niña is associated with cooler temperatures, increased rainfall, and higher flooding during the rainy season. In turn, La Niña conditions lagged 0-7 months are associated with about a 30-percent increase in incidence of under-5 diarrhea in the early rainy season from December through February
“These findings demonstrate the potential use of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation as a long-lead prediction tool for childhood diarrhea in southern Africa,” says first author Alexandra K. Heaney, a former doctoral student in environmental health sciences at Columbia Mailman and now a postdoc at University of California, Berkeley. “Advanced stockpiling of medical supplies, preparation of hospital beds, and organization of healthcare workers could dramatically improve the ability of health facilities to manage high diarrheal disease incidence.”
Previously, El Niño events have been linked to diarrhea outbreaks in Peru, Bangladesh, China, and Japan, but until now studies of the effects of ENSO on diarrheal disease in Africa have been limited to cholera–a pathogen responsible for only a small fraction of diarrheal cases in Africa.
Charles Rotter / 1 min ago January 1, 2020
Columbia University’s Mailman School of Public Health
A study in Botswana by Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health scientists finds that spikes in cases of life-threatening diarrhea in young children are associated with La Niña climate conditions. The findings published in the journal Nature Communications could provide the basis for an early-warning system that would allow public health officials to prepare for periods of increased diarrhea cases as long as seven months ahead of time.
In low- and middle-income countries, diarrhea is the second leading cause of death in children younger than five years of age, with 72 percent of deaths occurring in the first two years of life. Rates of under-5 diarrhea in Africa are particularly high, with an estimated incidence of 3.3 episodes of diarrhea per child each year and one-quarter of all child deaths caused by diarrhea.
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a coupled ocean-atmosphere system spanning the equatorial Pacific Ocean that oscillates in a 3-to-7-year cycle between two extremes, El Niño (warmer ocean temperatures) and La Niña (cooler ocean temperatures). The ENSO cycle affects local weather patterns around the world, including temperatures, winds, and precipitation.
Researchers analyzed associations between ENSO and climate conditions and cases of under-5 diarrhea in the Chobe region in northeastern Botswana. They found that La Niña is associated with cooler temperatures, increased rainfall, and higher flooding during the rainy season. In turn, La Niña conditions lagged 0-7 months are associated with about a 30-percent increase in incidence of under-5 diarrhea in the early rainy season from December through February
“These findings demonstrate the potential use of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation as a long-lead prediction tool for childhood diarrhea in southern Africa,” says first author Alexandra K. Heaney, a former doctoral student in environmental health sciences at Columbia Mailman and now a postdoc at University of California, Berkeley. “Advanced stockpiling of medical supplies, preparation of hospital beds, and organization of healthcare workers could dramatically improve the ability of health facilities to manage high diarrheal disease incidence.”
Previously, El Niño events have been linked to diarrhea outbreaks in Peru, Bangladesh, China, and Japan, but until now studies of the effects of ENSO on diarrheal disease in Africa have been limited to cholera–a pathogen responsible for only a small fraction of diarrheal cases in Africa.
I have put out more chimney fires than you have ever seen. Without fail every single one was caused by someone that was too stupid to clean the chimney.
Chimney fires are a lot like guns. Not a single one ever started itself on fire.
What B.S. Total lies all of them. They don't have a clue what the weather is going to be 1 week from now much less 1, 2 or 3 years from now. Total nonsense!
I think this should have said nobody knows what the weather will be like; which is true.
That nobody has a clue about it would be quite untrue. I believe there are lots of clues. People read them differently and cherry-pick the ones they want to hang their hat on; some on the basis of science, some on faith/hope, some on fear-based denial, no doubt some just to get attention, etc, etc.
Personally I believe broadly in both the precautionary principle and the value of scientific investigation. The consequences if the predictions about negative effects of climate change are correct but ignored, could be literally apocalyptic. So I think preaching such ignorance is moral irresponsibility of a very high order.
Do you think giving government more of your tax dollars will change anything other then making you poorer ?
Thank you oh foolish one!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
YOU MAKE MY POINT FOR ME!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
In a building with multiple units and multiple chimenies...........................
and a pack of DESPERATELY POOR PEOPLE........................
what are the odds that maintenance GOT SLOPPY....................................
ONCE IN A WHILE????????????????
And those OLD CITIES HAD NO FIRE DEPT worthy of the name!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
NOR COULD THEY AFFORD FIRE WALLS AND SUCH ..........................
to make it easier to limit a conflagration!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
how many multi family buildings do you know of that have fireplaces? And how many poor people can afford to buy firewood?
Who, me? I don't know enough about 'multi family buildings' to comment on them.
I do know about the affordability of firewood, at least in this area. We ourselves are 'poor' enough to be quite frugal so we mostly burn wood which costs about half as much as running the oil furnace.
This year's figures:
3 cords wood $600 - will heat our small house (excluding bedrooms) all year.
1/2 tank oil $640 - we'd need at least 2 of those to give same heat.
Of course I don't know your definitions of 'poor' or 'afford' but I guess anyone who couldn't buy firewood would automatically qualify as poor (unless of course it's because they live in a multi family building without fireplaces.)
The temperature of North Atlantic surface water is the main control on Europe’s climate, says David Archibald.
Unfortunately, that temperature has been dropping.
North Atlantic cooling trend
And how has Europe’s climate responded to the drop?
“This summer is not only behaving like fall, but even like winter,” says meteorologist Domink Jung.
Here’s a sampling:
• Snow down to 2,000 meters in August in Germany this year.
• Snow down to 1500 meters in July in Germany.
• Record cold in Norway.
• Record cold in The Netherlands.
This appears to be the result of the rapid decline in solar activity, says Archibald.
“If this trend continues, we may see the Sun heading towards a “Maunder” type of solar activity minimum – an extensive period of reduced levels of solar activity.”
Unfortunately, that temperature has been dropping.
North Atlantic cooling trend
And how has Europe’s climate responded to the drop?
“This summer is not only behaving like fall, but even like winter,” says meteorologist Domink Jung.
Here’s a sampling:
• Snow down to 2,000 meters in August in Germany this year.
• Snow down to 1500 meters in July in Germany.
• Record cold in Norway.
• Record cold in The Netherlands.
This appears to be the result of the rapid decline in solar activity, says Archibald.
“If this trend continues, we may see the Sun heading towards a “Maunder” type of solar activity minimum – an extensive period of reduced levels of solar activity.”
I would agree with you, especially the last para, but I fear that scientific investigation has been "bought" and paid for by those who want to be in full control of the populations, especially since there is so much money at stake. It seems that any conversation challenging those so-called "beliefs" in the gods of climate change is verboten and that is why I suspect there is more to the whole thing than climate. Someone wants our money to line their pockets and that's all it's about - that and power! I have yet to be convinced otherwise. In the meantime, I will continue to drive a "fossil fueled" car that gets exceptional gas mileage, ensure that my car is tuned and running as efficiently as possible and that I act responsibly insofar as the environment is concerned. That will do more for the environment than taxing the hell out of me, that's for sure!
Just sayin'
No that was for spilly. He seems to think poor people are stacked in multistory buildings with a wood stove in every apartment.
Because we live close to a wood supply firewood is still relatively inexpensive on the island outside of Victoria. About 50% more there if you are allowed to burn it. If you are spending that much money on oil you need to look at updating your heating system. THink about a heat pump with propane backup or at least a minisplit.