Scheer leads Trudeau nationally, trails in Ontario
Brian Lilley
Published:
September 13, 2019
Updated:
September 13, 2019 7:07 PM EDT
Green Party leader Elizabeth May, Conservative leader Andrew Scheer and New Democratic Party (NDP) leader Jagmeet Singh pose at the start of the Maclean's/Citytv National Leaders Debate on the second day of the election campaign in Toronto, Ontario, Canada September 12, 2019. Frank Gunn/Pool via REUTERS ORG XMIT: TOR519POOL / REUTERS
The Conservatives hold the lead nationally but are facing an uphill battle when it comes to winning the biggest prize in this election: Ontario.
A poll of 1,517 Canadian voters conducted September 11, the day the election was called, found that the Conservatives hold the support of 35% of voters nationally, the Liberals 32% support, the NDP 15% and the Greens 8%.
While those numbers should provide cheer to Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer as he seeks to unseat Justin Trudeau, it is the regional breakdowns that should give him pause.
The Conservatives hold a significant lead across the prairies and a slight lead in British Columbia but they trail the Liberals from Ontario east.
The Liberals have sat at 40% support among Ontario voters in the the DART & Maru/Blue Voice Canada Poll since late June.
The Conservatives meanwhile have just 33% in Ontario, down 7 points from the last DART poll in mid-August.
Pollster John Wright, partner at DART, said that the solid lead in Ontario is partly due to the weeks following the Ethics Commissioner’s report that found Trudeau broke the conflict of interest law in his handling of the SNC-Lavalin affair.
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“In the wake of that report, Mr. Trudeau and his cabinet ministers fanned out across the country and literally ‘money-bombed’ key areas of the country that the Liberals hope to either hold or resuscitate their vote,” Wright said.
A review of government spending announcements by the Canadian Press found that over the summer the Liberals announced $10 billion in new funding at 1,000 different announcements and that 75% of the announcements happened in Liberal held seats.
The Liberals hold 32% of the vote in Quebec with the Conservatives just behind at 28% and the Bloc at 23%. Wright said the NDP have fallen well back.
“What once was the ‘orange crush’ in Quebec for the NDP is a mere shadow now with the NDP holding just 7% of the deciding vote,” Wright said.
British Columbia is a bright spot for the NDP where the party hold 27% support ahead of the Liberals at 25% but behind the Conservatives at 31% support.
http://torontosun.com/news/national/scheer-leads-trudeau-nationally-trails-in-ontario
Brian Lilley
Published:
September 13, 2019
Updated:
September 13, 2019 7:07 PM EDT
Green Party leader Elizabeth May, Conservative leader Andrew Scheer and New Democratic Party (NDP) leader Jagmeet Singh pose at the start of the Maclean's/Citytv National Leaders Debate on the second day of the election campaign in Toronto, Ontario, Canada September 12, 2019. Frank Gunn/Pool via REUTERS ORG XMIT: TOR519POOL / REUTERS
The Conservatives hold the lead nationally but are facing an uphill battle when it comes to winning the biggest prize in this election: Ontario.
A poll of 1,517 Canadian voters conducted September 11, the day the election was called, found that the Conservatives hold the support of 35% of voters nationally, the Liberals 32% support, the NDP 15% and the Greens 8%.
While those numbers should provide cheer to Conservative Leader Andrew Scheer as he seeks to unseat Justin Trudeau, it is the regional breakdowns that should give him pause.
The Conservatives hold a significant lead across the prairies and a slight lead in British Columbia but they trail the Liberals from Ontario east.
The Liberals have sat at 40% support among Ontario voters in the the DART & Maru/Blue Voice Canada Poll since late June.
The Conservatives meanwhile have just 33% in Ontario, down 7 points from the last DART poll in mid-August.
Pollster John Wright, partner at DART, said that the solid lead in Ontario is partly due to the weeks following the Ethics Commissioner’s report that found Trudeau broke the conflict of interest law in his handling of the SNC-Lavalin affair.
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“In the wake of that report, Mr. Trudeau and his cabinet ministers fanned out across the country and literally ‘money-bombed’ key areas of the country that the Liberals hope to either hold or resuscitate their vote,” Wright said.
A review of government spending announcements by the Canadian Press found that over the summer the Liberals announced $10 billion in new funding at 1,000 different announcements and that 75% of the announcements happened in Liberal held seats.
The Liberals hold 32% of the vote in Quebec with the Conservatives just behind at 28% and the Bloc at 23%. Wright said the NDP have fallen well back.
“What once was the ‘orange crush’ in Quebec for the NDP is a mere shadow now with the NDP holding just 7% of the deciding vote,” Wright said.
British Columbia is a bright spot for the NDP where the party hold 27% support ahead of the Liberals at 25% but behind the Conservatives at 31% support.
http://torontosun.com/news/national/scheer-leads-trudeau-nationally-trails-in-ontario