Latest Federal Polls

C

Cliffy

Standing Member
Nov 19, 2008
44,850
193
63
Nakusp, BC
 
Colpy

Colpy

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 5, 2005
21,887
848
113
70
Saint John, N.B.
Hoid said:
There is literally no chance that the conservatives will win enough seats to form a majority and there is no way that any other party will join forces with them.
Click to expand...


Seat projections


minority majority

CON 160
Low 116 High195



LIB141
Low 91 High 193



NDP 25
Low 9 High 51



BQ 10
Low 0 High 28



GRN 2
Low 1 High 7



PPC 0
Low 0 High 1







Probability of winning




28%

Probability of the Conservatives winning a majority




31%

Probability of the Conservatives winning the most seats but not a majority




22%

Probability of the Liberals winning the most seats but not a majority




18%

Probability of the Liberals winning a majority

https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/canada/



You are correct about the Conservatives having to win a majority to govern.


But a 28% chance is not "no way".


And two other things come into play: I expect Liberal poll numbers to continue to drop, and I expect some soft Liberal voters to stay home.


Reality.
 
H

Hoid

Hall of Fame Member
Oct 15, 2017
20,408
4
36
Reality

You said the same shit about the last election and you got WIPED OUT
 
JLM

JLM

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 27, 2008
75,301
548
113
Vernon, B.C.
Curious Cdn said:
So, you have a pink underbelly?
Click to expand...


I suppose it might have been interpreted that way when parties followed set platforms, but they don't anymore! There's more of an inclination to promise what the people want rather than what is fair, honest and ethical! :)
 
S

spilledthebeer

Executive Branch Member
Jan 26, 2017
9,296
4
36
Mowich said:
They also have a habit of putting people in the leadership role who are either totally unsuited for it - Stephan Dion; or are total eggheads with no understanding of politics or people - Michael Ignatieff or..........what we have now - an arrogant entitled brainless twit.
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Oh Mowich!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


You are missing the point!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!



LIE-berals already HAVE all the "understanding" they desire!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


There are ONLY TWO THINGS LIE-berals lack at this time.............................................


one is enough gravy to BUY another election............................................


and second is the ability to jail or KILL political opponents just like their Soviet idols Stalin, Castro, Pol Pot and Chairman Mao!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


So that LIE-berals will not have to waste time justifying their FAILED POLICIES and Fake News to DEAD PEASANTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!



LIE-berals made a modest start on jailing political opponents by trying to make their M 103 "anti Islamophobia" motion into law!!!!!!!!!!!


Fortunately Cdn democracy is still healthy enough to discourage that Soviet style atrocity.............................


FOR NOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


But God help us if Our idiot Boy wins another election!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!



I remind you that in summer 2017 - LIE-berals ARRESTED a Mississauga man for offering $1000 dollars to anybody who could provide VERIFIED proof of Hate Speech at a Cdn Mosque!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


In LIE-beral Canada it is now ILLEGAL to seek proof of criminal behaviour by LIE-beral SUPPORTERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


And yet in 2018....................................LIE-berals CANCELLED the charitable status of an Ottawa Mosque for engaging in hate speech and for supporting terrorist organizations!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


And should we not also be charging the LIE-beral party for promoting HATE?????????????????


Because LIE-berals have been sending Cdn AID to terror group HAMAS since 2015!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
S

spilledthebeer

Executive Branch Member
Jan 26, 2017
9,296
4
36
Hoid said:
There is literally no chance that the conservatives will win enough seats to form a majority and there is no way that any other party will join forces with them.
Click to expand...




Oh HOID!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Shouldnt you get out there and sell some electric TOY cars???????????????????????


You are going to NEED that income!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Because your job as LIE-beral propaganda meister JUST AINT WORKING OUT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1
 
TalkingTogheter

TalkingTogheter

Electoral Member
Dec 15, 2018
292
0
16
spilledthebeer said:
Oh HOID!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Shouldnt you get out there and sell some electric TOY cars???????????????????????


You are going to NEED that income!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Because your job as LIE-beral propaganda meister JUST AINT WORKING OUT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1
Click to expand...

Did you think old Soviet Union with communism is best choice but you wants pickup socialism as best choice of current world and you hate North Korea and China by Asian territory and you did love women and the US and Russia.
 
TalkingTogheter

TalkingTogheter

Electoral Member
Dec 15, 2018
292
0
16
spilledthebeer think Canada is worse than Russia and did wanted Putin as world best leader but mine thoughts are Russia is treaten the EU and bigger enemies by Brazil.

I'm hateful about Russian's.
 
Colpy

Colpy

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 5, 2005
21,887
848
113
70
Saint John, N.B.
The Conservatives must win a majority in October.
So close......so close.
Bernier supporters, think..........then vote for the Conservative candidate.
 
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