Nation Expected to Lose 30% of Jobs to Automation in 15 Years

B00Mer

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Nation Expected to Lose 30% of Jobs to Automation in 15 Years

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THE ROBOT REVOLUTION

Whether we like it or not, robots are making an impact in the job market. Experts predict that almost a million jobs will be replaced by robots in 2030, while companies like apple are justifying such predictions. This may also be a boon to governments that wish to cut costs, and almost 80 percent of administrative work will likely be automated in the course of the next 15 years.

We’re expected to see changes in sales, customer service, transportation, shipping and logistics, healthcare, and legal paraprofessionals. The consultancy firm PricewaterhouseCooper (PWC) took a look at the future of one of the world’s super-powers — the U.K.

In a few years even a developed country like Britain might lose a significant portion of its work force — about 30 percent — to automation, leaving 10 million workers without a job. Breaking the numbers down in terms of the sexes, this means that 35 percent of jobs currently held by men are at risk. Women are expected to fare slightly better, with only 26 percent of jobs currently held by women expected to be replaced by robots. While sectors such as wholesale and administrative work are most likely to get the replacement, the health care and social work industries might keep the automation at bay for now.

PWC’s chief economist, John Hawksworth, asserted in a PWC press release that this is because “manual and routine tasks are more susceptible to automation, while social skills are relatively less automatable.” In light of this prediction, the PWC’s team does offer several solutions, including increasing education, spreading potential gains from automation, and considering a form of Universal Basic Income (UBI).

HOW A SOCIETY WITHOUT JOBS COULD WORK

A UBI is gaining traction around the world as potential solution to global automation. While certain entrepreneurs dislike the notion or feel that we aren’t ready for it yet, countries like Finland, Canada, and even cities in the U.S. are experimenting with the system.



HOW A SOCIETY WITHOUT JOBS COULD WORK

A UBI is gaining traction around the world as potential solution to global automation. While certain entrepreneurs dislike the notion or feel that we aren’t ready for it yet, countries like Finland, Canada, and even cities in the U.S. are experimenting with the system.

A UBI guarantees every citizen a monthly income regardless of any additional salaries they may accrue. While some urge for a complete replacement of all social programs with UBI, others suggest just a partial consolidation. In order to pay for the program as a whole in the U.S., experts suggest possibly eliminating tax cuts that represent upwards of $540 billion for the wealthy or reducing the $853 billion budget on defense.

Will UBI provide as sustainable solution to living in an automated world? We might just have to wait 15 years to find out.

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Cliffy

Standing Member
Nov 19, 2008
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Since the 70s we have lost a lot more than 30% to automation. That is why people with degrees are flipping burgers. We also lost a lot of jobs to China, Mexico and India. But we have also gained a lot of jobs in the high tech sector. One thing I cannot understand is how downgrading jobs by outsourcing is supposed to improve the economy. Now most people can only afford the cheep crap from outsourced jobs. Fewer and fewer people can afford quality. What an utter screw up.
 

B00Mer

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damngrumpy

Executive Branch Member
Mar 16, 2005
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I do not agree and here is a quick history lesson as to why. The future is not a predictable
nor static entity. Here is a little history One hundred years ago 52% of Canadians were in
some way directly or indirectly employed in agriculture or an agricultural influenced job.
One hundred years later the number is 2% and more people are working than ever before.
What changed? Automation and invention mechanized the agriculture industry and the
focus of opportunity changed. Automation creates many more jobs in various field and the
job and career opportunities change and usually for the better.
We don't have a shortage of jobs in this country we have a shortage of trained people to do
the jobs that are going unfilled and that is a bigger problem trained people can be retrained
people without skills are job illiterate today and that is a serious problem for society at large
 

Curious Cdn

Hall of Fame Member
Feb 22, 2015
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A degree in welding?

Welding ... tool and die making ... anything to do with making the automation is pretty secure, for a while. Coding, ... no .. but A.I. expertise will be golden for a generation of so until the automation writhes their own AI algorithms and basically dispenses with us.
 

Murphy

Executive Branch Member
Apr 12, 2013
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The transition will be the hard part. Imagine a very small work force with the rest benefiting from automation?

No need for money. In some respects, we would be returning to the barter and a work exchange system. In order to maintain the machinery, a smaller work force working much shorter hours would be the work exchange system. How the change proceeds will be the major stumbling block. People expect to be compensated for their efforts, and the standard is money. It's hard to change that way of thinking.