2016 Presidential Campaign

hillary rodham clinton vs donald john trump who will win?

  • hillary rodham clinton

    Votes: 12 40.0%
  • donald john trump

    Votes: 18 60.0%

  • Total voters
    30

Corduroy

Senate Member
Feb 9, 2011
6,670
2
36
Vancouver, BC
It's not literally blasphemy, which is defined as taking or appealing to the Lord's name in vain, but i appreciate the 'word' anyway.

You sure about that? If you're wrong, you insulted God by calling Trump His candidate, and even if you are right, you couldn't possibly know it and so your incredible arrogance at claiming to know the mind of God is bad enough. Don't bother arguing with me about it. You know in your heart the blasphemous liberties you've taken here.
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
39,785
460
83
Looks like Hitler's not gonna make it.

 

Cliffy

Standing Member
Nov 19, 2008
44,850
192
63
Nakusp, BC
I'm kinda hoping Trumpet gets in. He would be the least effectual prez ever. Not even the republicans would allow his stupid stuff through. Hillary, well, she would make Thatcher look like a school girl. She is pro oil, pro war, pro Big Pharma and is indepted to the banksters and Wall street criminals. Besides, most of Trumpet's platform is anti-establishment and that would get him JFK'd.
 

Corduroy

Senate Member
Feb 9, 2011
6,670
2
36
Vancouver, BC
I'm having trouble buying the progressive argument that Trump would be better than Clinton. The two reasons usually given are

1. Congress wouldn't let him do the awful things he says he'll do and,
2. He'll be so bad there'll be major shift to the left and the next president will be a super progressive.

For #2, I feel like it's a gamble and the cost is too high. The kind of damage Trump could do to the social fabric of the United States and peace in the world is too much to risk.

My problem with #1 is that I don't believe it. A Republican congress will fall in line. The string of Republicans denouncing then endorsing then unendorsing and then re-endorsing Trump this year proves that Republicans have no principles. They changed their stance on Trump gambling that it would win them votes and flipped back to Trump when their base revolted. They don't care about what Trump stands for. They want to keep their jobs, and they are all craven closeted fascists. They will jump at the chance to line up behind a racist demagogue.
 

JLM

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 27, 2008
75,301
547
113
Vernon, B.C.
Trump is the biggest liar on the planet. He needs an intervention.


I would think he's about neck and neck with all other politicians. Lying is the sin..........................does it matter how much? Who trusts them after they are caught lying once. Is lying worse than making stupid promises?

Apparently there's some interest in him being President of Britain.


Has Black Loaf been mouthing off again? :) :)
 

TenPenny

Hall of Fame Member
Jun 9, 2004
17,466
138
63
Location, Location
So it comes down to this.. a referendum on whether or not to carry on the disastrous economic agenda (Global Free Market Capitalism) and moral decay of the last 45 years.
...

Trump, with all of his flaws, is essentially independent of ideology and subservience to this global economic and philosophical tyranny. And he has the moral force to respond to the dangers of our age.





The moral force? You mean, he has the experience of being involved in what you call 'the moral decay'.
 

JLM

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 27, 2008
75,301
547
113
Vernon, B.C.
I'm having trouble buying the progressive argument that Trump would be better than Clinton. The two reasons usually given are

1. Congress wouldn't let him do the awful things he says he'll do and,
2. He'll be so bad there'll be major shift to the left and the next president will be a super progressive.

For #2, I feel like it's a gamble and the cost is too high. The kind of damage Trump could do to the social fabric of the United States and peace in the world is too much to risk.

My problem with #1 is that I don't believe it. A Republican congress will fall in line. The string of Republicans denouncing then endorsing then unendorsing and then re-endorsing Trump this year proves that Republicans have no principles. They changed their stance on Trump gambling that it would win them votes and flipped back to Trump when their base revolted. They don't care about what Trump stands for. They want to keep their jobs, and they are all craven closeted fascists. They will jump at the chance to line up behind a racist demagogue.


I like to keep things simple, basically I think Trump will do what he says while Clinton will likely do nothing!

Yes, remember Truman and be reminded of Trump's attitude towards nuclear weapons.


I was pretty young when it happened but basically Truman put an end to W.W. 2 - the last bomb was dropped on Aug. 9 and the Armistace was signed Aug. 15! :)
 

TenPenny

Hall of Fame Member
Jun 9, 2004
17,466
138
63
Location, Location
I like what David Frum said about those who are voting for Trump to protest Hilary: If you have high blood pressure, you don't solve it by slitting your throat.
 

Corduroy

Senate Member
Feb 9, 2011
6,670
2
36
Vancouver, BC
The moral force? You mean, he has the experience of being involved in what you call 'the moral decay'.

Coldstream doesn't have the moral courage to address Donald Trump's immorality. He turns a blind eye to it because he's a hypocrite.

I like to keep things simple, basically I think Trump will do what he says while Clinton will likely do nothing!

That's an argument against Trump.





2016 Presidential Election Interactive Map

If you look at the electoral college possibilities, if states go as they've been polling, the tossups are going to be Nevada, Florida or North Carolina. Give Trump Ohio and Iowa which were considered possible swings but have consistently polled for Trump for weeks. Give Trump New Hampshire as a benefit of the doubt and one vote in Maine, which splits votes. Give Colorado and New Mexico to Clinton, though they may be close and Michigan and Virginia to Clinton, though they have the potential to be upsets. This, I think, is a likely scenario giving Trump some advantages. With all this, Clinton needs to win just one of the states I mentioned (Nevada, Florida or North Carolina).

So consider the possibilities with those three states:

Nevada is small so if that's all she gets, it's a squeaker, and she could lose if Trump upsets her in a big state like Michigan, Virginia or Pennsylvania, which are possibilities, or New Mexico or Colorado which aren't sure things either.

If Clinton takes Florida and none of those other states, it's pretty much game over. Clinton could lose Colorado and New Mexico and still win. Then Trump would have to upset her somewhere with over 13 electoral college votes (Virginia has 13). Michigan and Pennsylvania are the only high vote states with a chance of going to Trump that would beat a Clinton taking Florida.

If Clinton takes North Carolina and loses Nevada and Florida, Trump would have to take New Mexico and Colorado for a tie or upset Clinton somewhere with more than 14 electoral college votes.

In order to win, Trump has to win all three of those states or pull off an upset like I described above, taking a state he's not expected to win but could win like Virginia, Michigan or Pennsylvania.

I'm not sure which is the most likely scenario. Probably the won that ends in the tie because it doesn't rely on upsets, but the Nevada scenario also relies on New Mexico and Colorado going to Clinton, which are the states I gave to Clinton least likely to go to her. States aren't voting in a vacuum, so a major shift somewhere (like an upset in a state Clinton seems to have lock on) will be reflected in changes elsewhere. So I suppose the most likely scenario, given the high level of uncertainty in this election, polls swinging wildly throughout, traditional red and blue states toying with purple and so many people undecided, is that some places aren't as predictable as polls say.
 
Last edited:

JLM

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 27, 2008
75,301
547
113
Vernon, B.C.
Coldstream doesn't have the moral courage to address Donald Trump's immorality. He turns a blind eye to it because he's a hypocrite.



That's an argument against Trump.





2016 Presidential Election Interactive Map

If you look at the electoral college possibilities, if states go as they've been polling, the tossups are going to be Nevada, Florida or North Carolina. Give Trump Ohio and Iowa which were considered possible swings but have consistently polled for Trump for weeks. Give Trump New Hampshire as a benefit of the doubt and one vote in Maine, which splits votes. Give Colorado and New Mexico to Clinton, though they may be close and Michigan and Virginia to Clinton, though they have the potential to be upsets.


That's all well and good but what happens if there's one major surprise like California, N.Y. or Texas? Remember Truman 1948!

Coldstream doesn't have the moral courage to address Donald Trump's immorality. He turns a blind eye to it because he's a hypocrite.


Politicians are all immoral so it's a mute point. :) :) If one is going to concern him/her self with immorality it's just a recipe for a cerebral hemmorhage