Harper's words a gift for opponents

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
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He claims responsibility when the economy is performing well, but shirks responsibility when it is doing poorly.


Harper's words a gift for opponents - Winnipeg Free Press
Winnipeg Free Press - Breaking News, Sports, Manitoba, Canada

BRANDON -- Prime Minister Stephen Harper wants his government's management of Canada's economy to be the ballot-box issue in this October's federal election. He should be careful what he wishes for.

The PM argues his government deserves credit for the nation's economic performance over the past decade, and only he can be trusted to safely lead us through fiscal challenges that threaten the nation's finances. It is an assertion that helped carry him to victory in past elections, and there are those who contend recent economic instability will only strengthen his case in the coming campaign.

Perhaps, but that assumes Canadians will remain oblivious to the gaping flaw in Harper's argument.

Consider this. In less than a year, the price of oil has dropped by half, resulting in a significant cut in government revenues that forced the Conservative government to delay the delivery of its budget by several weeks.

In addition to causing thousands of job losses in the energy sector, the rapid decline in oil prices is the reason for the loonie's plunge in value against the U.S. dollar, making many products and services Canadians rely upon more expensive.

Canada has built up a whopping $13.6-billion trade deficit over the first five months of this year, with exports declining by 4.5 per cent since the end of 2014. The government had predicted a modest recovery in May but instead saw the second-highest monthly trade deficit in our history. The highest occurred in March.

Over the past two weeks, a number of institutions and economists have concluded Canada is in a recession, which is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative growth. Economists at both TD Bank and Bank of America Merrill Lynch say the economy shrunk by 0.6 per cent in the second quarter of 2015, following an identical contraction in the first quarter.

Statistics Canada revealed last week the Canadian economy lost another 6,400 jobs in June. Sadly, that figure was received as good news, as economists had predicted 10,000 jobs would be lost. Also last week, the International Monetary Fund cut its projection for Canada's economic growth in 2015 from 2.2 per cent to just 1.5 per cent.

On Wednesday, the loonie dropped by 1.2 cents U.S. to a post-recession low of 77.29 cents after the Bank of Canada cut its key interest rate to 0.5 per cent from 0.75 per cent.

In response to the cascade of troubling economic news, Harper told an audience in Pickering, Ont., last weekend "there has been a downturn and the reason for that has been the downturn in the global economy. It's really that simple... those things have obviously affected this country and in particular through oil prices and some commodity prices."

The prime minister's comments are a gift to NDP Leader Thomas Mulcair and Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau, who can now use Harper's own words to dismantle and discredit the core of his case for re-election.

They can point out the PM claims he alone can protect the nation's economy from the impact of external economic pressure, but admits he is powerless to protect us from the harm caused by collapsing oil prices.

They can credibly argue he claims to have a superior understanding of the world economy, but failed to anticipate how a rapid increase in the world's oil supply in mid-2014 would affect Canada a year later.

They can remind Canadians he takes credit for leading the country out of the 2008-09 economic downtown, but his government's economic stimulus program actually commenced after that recession had already passed.

They can accuse him of taking undeserved credit when the economy is performing well, but deflecting blame to others when it is not.

Moments after Wednesday's interest rate cut, Harper warned now is not the time to take "unnecessary risks" by electing an NDP or Liberal government in the coming election.

With the country mired in its second recession in less than a decade, job losses mounting and the dollar in free fall, however -- and a prime minister who now concedes he is largely impotent to do anything about it -- Trudeau and Mulcair are in a stronger position to suggest he isn't the solution to the situation, but rather the problem.

Deveryn Ross is a political commentator living in Brandon.

deverynrossletters@gmail.com Twitter: @deverynross

Harper's words a gift for opponents - Winnipeg Free Press
 

Tecumsehsbones

Hall of Fame Member
Mar 18, 2013
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Why, that bastard must be the first politician in HISTORY to claim credit for a good economy and dodge blame for a bad economy!

Diagnosis: HDS

Prognosis: May recover with extensive EST and complete abstinence from Kool-Aid.
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
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Please forgive me for pointing out my dear leader's significant error.

I recognize now that valid criticism is wrong.
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
39,817
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That his economic plan isn't working?

Where have you been the last 4 years?
 

taxslave

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 25, 2008
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Looks like the economic plan is working fairly well out here. But then we never suffered from a false case of Dutch Disease either.
 

55Mercury

rigid member
May 31, 2007
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you wouldn't know there was anything wrong with the economy if you went to any casino.

or at least, the casinos' economic plan appears to be working.

hey, here's a wild thought..

how about we let the casinos run the country for a while?
 

Tecumsehsbones

Hall of Fame Member
Mar 18, 2013
60,781
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Please forgive me for pointing out my dear leader's significant error.

I recognize now that valid criticism is wrong.
Got no problem with valid criticism. But it ain't valid criticism when you take what every politician since Ramses chief minister has done and suddenly decide it's



You got an issue to discuss? Discuss it. I'll listen.

But as far as your passive-aggressive "Please forgive me" all I gotta say is. . .

Canadian whiner
Get away from me
Canadian whiner
Just let me be
Stop clogging my internet
With your silly whines and frets
There's better things to be seen
Than you playing the dwama queen

--Apologies to The Guess Who
 
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55Mercury

rigid member
May 31, 2007
4,390
1,065
113
Got no problem with valid criticism. But it ain't valid criticism when you take what every politician since Ramses chief minister has done and suddenly decide it's the



You got an issue to discuss? Discuss it. I'll listen.

But as far as your passive-aggressive "Please forgive me" all I gotta say is. . .

♪♫Canadian whiner
Get away from me
Canadian whiner
Just let me be
Stop clogging my internet
With your silly whines and frets
There's better things to be seen
Than you playing the dwama queen ♪♫

♪bye-bye
so long
see ya later
alligator♫

--Apologies to The Guess Who
lol

and who knew they wrote that lyric with mentalfuss in mind?
 

Dixie Cup

Senate Member
Sep 16, 2006
6,392
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I don't believe it!! Harper and Harper alone is responsible for the drop in oil prices thus causing 1000's of job losses etc. Who knew!! This, of course, wouldn't have happened under Trudeau or Mulclair - huh!


JMO
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
39,817
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The Harper plan was to balance the budget last year.

They may not even balance it by the end of this year.


This is a valid criticism.


 

Walter

Hall of Fame Member
Jan 28, 2007
34,892
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That his economic plan isn't working?

Where have you been the last 4 years?
Working well in my neck of the woods in ON even though Orville's Redenbacher's twin sister tries to cut us down.

The Harper plan was to balance the budget last year.

They may not even balance it by the end of this year.


This is a valid criticism.http://vignette3.wikia.nocookie.net...t.jpg/revision/latest?cb=20130822031533[/IMG]
It's not valid cuz it's not true. Read your beloved Star.
Highlights of the 2015-16 federal budget | Toronto Star
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
39,817
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Did you actually expect me to believe your lie?

Your reputation is just as spurious as Harper's.


Feds dip in to rainy day fund to balance the books - National | Globalnews.ca
globalnews.ca

WATCH ABOVE: Fresh out of lockup, Global’s Jacques Bourbeau breaks down exactly what’s in the 2015 budget – and what was left out.

OTTAWA – It was no secret the Conservatives planned to balance the books. But how they did so came as a surprise.

Global News

Appropriating two-thirds of the federal emergency [contingency?] fund and half the cash from selling GM shares were among the few surprises in Tuesday’s budget, notable for being the last the Conservatives will present before the doors to the House of Commons are shuttered and the federal parties hit the campaign trail.

WATCH LIVE: Full coverage of 2015 Federal Budget

With this document, Stephen Harper’s Conservatives will seek to trumpet themselves as steering the country through harsh economic times and getting the federal books back in black, albeit barely. They can reap the political benefits of promising to (eventually) invest in infrastructure, helping dual-income Canadian families keep more cash for themselves and reining in sick public servants; and, if touting a fragile economy becomes unpalatable, they can wave a patriotic banner highlighting their dedication to fighting terror.

Here’s a look at some of what the government is proposing – and what’s missing – in this year’s budget:

Balanced Budget

They promised it, and here it is – though the$1.4 billion surplus doesn’t look exactly how the Conservatives had said it might.

For starters, last year’s budget projected a surplus of $6.4 billion for 2015-16 – a difference of $5 billion. Second, were it not for an accounting adjustment, this budget would actually project a $600-million deficit.

The Conservative government achieved a balanced budget by clawing back the federal emergency fund, a pool of money traditionally ignored in surplus and deficit calculations, to $1 billion from $3 billion, giving them an extra $2 billion.

WATCH: Finance Minister Joe Oliver announces balanced budget and $1.4 billion surplus


“They changed the risk adjustments and we’re in surplus,” said David Macdonald, an economist from the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives. “But we’re very tight to the balance line … It’s very possible that, if re-elected, this government would get caught up in its own balanced-budget laws.”

The surplus was also contingent on additional money coming from Employment Insurance, the sale of the government’s shares in General Motors this month and what’s anticipated to be record high levels of lapsed funding from a number of departments.

Infrastructure

Infrastructure spending was a big question mark ahead of the budget. The chapter devoted to infrastructure spending runs 20 pages, but there is little new material to digest; most of the ink is devoted to highlighting the pledges of past budgets, including the Building Canada Fund, New Building Canada Fund and the Federal Gas Tax Fund.

What new spending there is, won’t come down the pipes for at least a couple of years.

“This budget is not a stimulus budget. The surplus is far more important than infrastructure spending, which is explicitly backend loaded,” Macdonald said.

“The real infrastructure spending wont’ hit for five years – in fact, we’re not going to see any real infrastructure spending until 2020.”

In two years, the budget proposes a $750 million investment for a new public transit fund. The initial investment would be spread over two years, then jump to $1 billion per year going forward.

Although the funding is earmarked for 2017-18, there is a strong likelihood that federal funds will require partnerships with the private sector as well as a submission process, two impediments that could delaying money getting out the door and into municipal projects.

Families

There is an unmistakable consumer-friendly angle to this budget, which the Conservatives have been slowly disclosing over the past six months.

Commitments unveiled throughout that period, including boosting the Universal Childcare Benefit, doubling a tax credit for youth fitness and income splitting, were all included in Tuesday’s budget.

Those measures are among a short list promised to Canadians in 2011, when Prime Minister Stephen Harper campaigned on them, promising to implement then so long as the government was able to balance its books.

The budget has the Conservatives coming through on their pledge to increase the Tax Free Savings Account ceiling to $10,000 from $5,500.

The promised fitness tax credit for adults, however, still isn’t on the books; the government has only committed to pulling together a panel to discuss the potential benefits of the tax measure.

Trade

Throughout their time leading the government, the Conservatives have kept a steady eye on the trade file, wrapping up negotiations for the Canadian-European Union agreement, signing the Canada-Korea Free Trade Agreement and the Canada-China Foreign Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement.

This budget focuses inside the country’s borders, proposing measures intended to help Canadian businesses capitalize on opportunities at home and abroad.

In that vein, the Conservatives have proposed an investment of $18.1 million spread over two years beginning next year to help promote competition and trade opportunities for the country’s agriculture and agri-food sector.

On top of that, there’s a proposed investment of $12 million over two years beginning that same year to market Canadian agriculture and agri-foods around the world.

There is also a small investment proposal of $5.7 million over five years to help secure new market access for Canadian seal products, which have taken a hit in recent years.

Public Service

The prickly relationship between the Conservative government and the public service has been simmering for years, with steady cuts to the public service numbers and budgets.

Now, one measure in the 2015 budget aimed squarely at the civil servants sick and disability leave programs could easily result in a strike, said Lee.

The public service unions are on the record, over and over, saying they will strike if the government goes after their sick day benefits – a program the government says is currently too generous and too expensive.

Still, the budget document says, “The government will make every effort to reach an agreement with bargaining with agents … In the event that agreement cannot be reached, the government will take the steps required to implement a modernized disability and sick leave management system.”

To Lee, that excerpt clearly spells forcing the public services hand into a deal or giving the federal workforce little option but to strike.

Tax Cheats

The government is hoping to help pad its coffers by cracking down on tax cheats, proposing $118.2 million over five years for the Canada Revenue Agency’s underground economy investigation teams (primarily looking at individuals and companies dealing in cash only).

The plan also proposes a $25.3 million investment over five years to CRA to help target international tax evasion, and $58.2 million over five years to help fight “aggressive tax avoidance” within Canada’s borders.

What’s Missing

The budget seems to hold a little bit of something for everyone – except environmentalists.

The 518-page document makes no mention of “carbon tax,” “climate change,” or “global warming.”

“If anything, this is a pro-climate change budget,” Macdonald said, noting the only mentions of anything to do with climate change run against environmental protection – accelerated cost allowance for natural gas and new funding for pipelines, for example.

FEDERAL BUDGET OVERVIEW

© Shaw Media, 2015

Feds dip in to rainy day fund to balance the books - National | Globalnews.ca
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
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Pointing to another failure doesn't fix your own.

And that is exactly the kind of thinking that's putting Harper in this position.


If he took responsibility for his actions instead of pointing the finger at others, he would actually be earning more trust from Canadians.
 

IdRatherBeSkiing

Satelitte Radio Addict
May 28, 2007
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Pointing to another failure doesn't fix your own.

And that is exactly the kind of thinking that's putting Harper in this position.


If he took responsibility for his actions instead of pointing the finger at others, he would actually be earning more trust from Canadians.

Can you explain how Stephan Harper is responsible for the world price of oil?

The question is which of the 3 dogs & ponies would I want to manage the ups and downs of the economy understanding that not all factors will be at their control. I can tell you Justine ain't it. Not sure yet about Mulcair. Will study his platform more toward election day. I can say that I find Harper's economics to be acceptable and would be comfortable if he remained at the controls.
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
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First off no one made the claim that Harper is responsible for oil prices.

But he is responsible for not diversifying our economy and we are the only G7 country that is in a recession after oil prices dropped.
 

captain morgan

Hall of Fame Member
Mar 28, 2009
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A Mouse Once Bit My Sister
You got an issue to discuss? Discuss it. I'll listen.

But as far as your passive-aggressive "Please forgive me" all I gotta say is. . .

Canadian whiner
Get away from me
Canadian whiner
Just let me be
Stop clogging my internet
With your silly whines and frets
There's better things to be seen
Than you playing the dwama queen

--Apologies to The Guess Who

Fantastic... Laughed my butt off

Still, his plan is leap years ahead of Justine's. A carbon tax will really fix the economy. :roll: That is the only economic policy I have heard from him so it must be his cornerstone.

Gotta say.. At least the mfg sector that produces winter jackets will flourish, what with the many jackets that Justine pledges to send to the Middle East to deter ISIS