Canada's Federal Election Polls
- Thread starter Liberalman
- Start date
I met a woman like that once. She was an abrasive french Canadian department-manager, built like a rhinoceros.
I've been able to work things out with the biggest bear type guys who could pinch my head off between their thumb and forefinger, but I could *not* work things out with her.
I have associates in Chicago telling me that sometimes career women there will use testosterone patches to up their aggression, and that gives me the willies... female mentality combined with male aggression... *shiver*
Huh?
They're not going to take over.
They just want to do a "so long and thanks for all the fish" stunt.
They'll pay whatever it costs, which they can afford because they have all the money.
The question is: Do you want the profits of what they pay to go to Wall stree Plutocrats, or do you want those profits spread out among the people living in the country the minerals are being extracted from?
Their trick is they've kept the government Communist, which means no single personal or corporate entity can take control of key "foundational" aspects of the economy, but all the rest is allowed to run absolutely wild with Free Enterprise.
For some reason people in north America have a confused idea that Capitalism and Free Enterprise are the same thing, when they're not.
We've been living under a Capitalist system which feeds on Free Enterprise, i.e. Free Enterprisers take all the risks, and then the Capitalists zoom in to cherry pick and buy up to own those operations which succeeded, in order to get the ongoing profits...
And it was tolerable as long as there were unions, as long as it was regulated, and as long as the re-investment stayed in the country.
But now they're busting unions, they're busting regulations, and most importantly, they're *not* re-investing in the place they made their profits from, such that not even the trickle-down effect is happening...
And like zombies or gutted straw-man pumpkin heads, Harper's supporters cannot see that.
Ever notice how you'll *never* hear Harper talk about improving education?
That's because his Harper's handlers knows that if his supporters got educated they'd run away.
April 18
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 18th (n=1,200; committed voters only n=1,012). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).
Canada (n=1,018 committed voters)
Conservative 39.1% (-0.7)
Liberal 28.4% (-1.8
NDP 19.8% (+2.5)
Bloc Quebecois 7.7% (-0.9)
Green 3.9% (+0.8
*Undecided 15.2% (-0.5)
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 18th (n=1,200; committed voters only n=1,012). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).
Canada (n=1,018 committed voters)
Conservative 39.1% (-0.7)
Liberal 28.4% (-1.8
NDP 19.8% (+2.5)
Bloc Quebecois 7.7% (-0.9)
Green 3.9% (+0.8
*Undecided 15.2% (-0.5)
Just wondering if these stats are going anywhere- up one day, down the next. Since March 31, the biggest change for any party has been 3.8% and the number of undecideds has shrank by 2.9% :smile:
April 19
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 19th (n=1,200; committed voters only n=1,018. *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).
Canada (n=1,015 committed voters)
Conservative 39.0% (-0.1)
Liberal 26.7% (-1.7)
NDP 22.1% (+2.3)
Bloc Quebecois 7.5% (-0.2)
Green 3.4% (-0.5)
*Undecided 15.4% (+0.2)
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 19th (n=1,200; committed voters only n=1,018. *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).
Canada (n=1,015 committed voters)
Conservative 39.0% (-0.1)
Liberal 26.7% (-1.7)
NDP 22.1% (+2.3)
Bloc Quebecois 7.5% (-0.2)
Green 3.4% (-0.5)
*Undecided 15.4% (+0.2)
Looks like the Liberals could come in third on election day. It's mostly Ignatieff's holier than thou attitude- he should layoff what Harper has done and say what he is going to and HOW he's going to do it. If he has a tree somewhere that grows money, let us know.
Switzerland is the only country with true democracy. Everything is decided there by referendum. But they're picky about immigrants. Good luck!
His endless attacks on Harper show his obsession with winning at any cost. I think people see through it and they're sick of his vitriol.
Layton is doing well because he's concentrating on what his party offers, NOT on what Harper does or doesn't do.
April 20
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average
of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 20th (n=1,200; committed voters
only n=1,015). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters
(n=1,200).
Canada (n=995 committed voters)
Conservative 37.8% (-1.2)
Liberal 26.1% (-0.6)
NDP 23.7% (+1.6)
Bloc Quebecois 7.4% (-0.1)
Green 3.5% (+0.1)
*Undecided 17.0% (+1.6)
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average
of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 20th (n=1,200; committed voters
only n=1,015). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters
(n=1,200).
Canada (n=995 committed voters)
Conservative 37.8% (-1.2)
Liberal 26.1% (-0.6)
NDP 23.7% (+1.6)
Bloc Quebecois 7.4% (-0.1)
Green 3.5% (+0.1)
*Undecided 17.0% (+1.6)
April 21
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 21st (n=1,200; committed voters only n=995). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).
Canada (n=989 committed voters)
Conservative 38.6% (+0.8
Liberal 25.9% (-0.2)
NDP 23.2% (-0.5)
Bloc Quebecois 7.2% (-0.2)
Green 3.7% (+0.2)
*Undecided 17.5% (+0.5)
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 21st (n=1,200; committed voters only n=995). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).
Canada (n=989 committed voters)
Conservative 38.6% (+0.8
Liberal 25.9% (-0.2)
NDP 23.2% (-0.5)
Bloc Quebecois 7.2% (-0.2)
Green 3.7% (+0.2)
*Undecided 17.5% (+0.5)
Seems there are still enough undecided voters to turn these numbers around at any moment. Not that I expect the Bloc or Greens to be affected but the top three sure could see some serious movement.
The poll tracking is showing that Layton is surging ahead still and the other parties are waking
up to the fact that Jack struck a chord with people. No one in their right mind will wait for a
promise for nearly four years, we can't trust these guys for four weeks.
Secondly polls depend a lot on the question and how it is asked and there in lies how you want
to slant the poll. In most cases the pollsters are polling for a vested interest or have a vent of
their own. The problem for most of them is two fold, one they are looking for the strength of the
Tories and wondering if the vote will hold, Secondly no matter how they ask the question more
and more people are going with Jack Layton and no matter how much they attack him it seems
to make no difference. In fact the polling is looking for weak spots in the NDP presentation so
they can build new attack ads.
Two things are happening right now, the Conservatives have not started to dip yet and I mean yet.
It happens in every election. Harper should be at about 45 or 46% so when the dip comes he is
still in majority range. The problem is no matter how hard they try, they can't get more than 41 to
43% and that is not good. On the other hand the Liberals are in danger of voter collapse. If they
do not improve their fortunes by Tuesday, their campaign is over. The NDP on the other hand
will rise somewhat and pass the Liberals. Conservative strength will dip in the week ahead as one
of the opposition parties picks up speed and I think that will be Layton.
Here is some possible Divine Justice. Iggy could be forced to form an alliance with Layton and
play second fiddle to the NDP and Harper could well come just short of his majority, this could
be interesting times, and the polls are showing a slight snapshot in time where we are. Polls of
Wednesday and Thursday are the scene setters for the ending of who finishes where.
up to the fact that Jack struck a chord with people. No one in their right mind will wait for a
promise for nearly four years, we can't trust these guys for four weeks.
Secondly polls depend a lot on the question and how it is asked and there in lies how you want
to slant the poll. In most cases the pollsters are polling for a vested interest or have a vent of
their own. The problem for most of them is two fold, one they are looking for the strength of the
Tories and wondering if the vote will hold, Secondly no matter how they ask the question more
and more people are going with Jack Layton and no matter how much they attack him it seems
to make no difference. In fact the polling is looking for weak spots in the NDP presentation so
they can build new attack ads.
Two things are happening right now, the Conservatives have not started to dip yet and I mean yet.
It happens in every election. Harper should be at about 45 or 46% so when the dip comes he is
still in majority range. The problem is no matter how hard they try, they can't get more than 41 to
43% and that is not good. On the other hand the Liberals are in danger of voter collapse. If they
do not improve their fortunes by Tuesday, their campaign is over. The NDP on the other hand
will rise somewhat and pass the Liberals. Conservative strength will dip in the week ahead as one
of the opposition parties picks up speed and I think that will be Layton.
Here is some possible Divine Justice. Iggy could be forced to form an alliance with Layton and
play second fiddle to the NDP and Harper could well come just short of his majority, this could
be interesting times, and the polls are showing a slight snapshot in time where we are. Polls of
Wednesday and Thursday are the scene setters for the ending of who finishes where.
April 23
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 23rd (n=1,200; committed voters only n=989). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).
Canada (n=1023 committed voters)
Conservative 39.2% (+0.6)
Liberal 25.6% (-0.3)
NDP 23.6% (+0.4)
Bloc Quebecois 6.5% (-0.7)
Green 3.6% (-0.1)
*Undecided 14.7% (-2.8
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 23rd (n=1,200; committed voters only n=989). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).
Canada (n=1023 committed voters)
Conservative 39.2% (+0.6)
Liberal 25.6% (-0.3)
NDP 23.6% (+0.4)
Bloc Quebecois 6.5% (-0.7)
Green 3.6% (-0.1)
*Undecided 14.7% (-2.8
I gotta call bull**** on these polls. It is obviously a regional sampling if they included le Bloc.
April 24
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 24th (n=1,200; committed voters only n=1023). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).
Canada (n=1020 committed voters)
Conservative 37.8% (-1.4)
Liberal 22.9% (-2.7)
NDP 27.8% (+4.2)
Bloc Quebecois 5.8% (-0.7)
Green 4.7% (+1.1)
*Undecided 14.9% (+0.2)
The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 24th (n=1,200; committed voters only n=1023). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).
Canada (n=1020 committed voters)
Conservative 37.8% (-1.4)
Liberal 22.9% (-2.7)
NDP 27.8% (+4.2)
Bloc Quebecois 5.8% (-0.7)
Green 4.7% (+1.1)
*Undecided 14.9% (+0.2)