During the Bush administration, Democrats made huge gains in some important Republican areas. For example, on the question of which party would do a better job in handling the federal budget deficit, Democrats held a 19-point advantage in a November 2005 Journal poll, a 25-point advantage in July 2007, and a 22-point advantage in January 2008.
Now all that has changed. In the new poll, the results have completely turned around, and Republicans hold a six-point advantage. On the related issue of controlling government spending, in July 2009, Democrats held a 16-point advantage. In the new poll, Republicans hold a nine-point lead.
Also in the Bush years, Democrats erased the Republican advantage on the issue of taxes. In November 2009, Democrats held a 10-point advantage over Republicans on the tax issue. That lead diminished over the next few years, but Democrats still held a five-point advantage in January 2008. In the new poll, Republicans have a seven-point advantage.
In other key areas, the Democratic lead over Republicans has shrunk considerably. In January 2008, Democrats held an 18-point lead on the issue of which party would better deal with the economy. Now, the Democratic lead is six points. In January 2008, Democrats held a 28-point lead on the issue of energy. Now, that lead is 12 points. In January 2008, Democrats held a 45-point lead on the issue of global warming. Now, that lead is 27 points.
Perhaps most ominous news for Democrats at the moment is the issue of health care. In January 2008, the party had a 36-point lead on the issue. Now, it's 17 points.
The poll has other bad news for Democrats and President Obama. The percentage of people who believe the country is on the wrong track has risen nine points since March. The percentage of people who approve of the way Obama is handling the economy has dipped below 37 percent for the first time. The percentage of people who approve of his handling of the health care issue is 21 percent, with 79 percent disapproving. The percentage of people who have a positive opinion of Obama is down eighteen points since March. The percentage of people who say the president has strong leadership qualities, can be trusted to keep his word, will work with people of different viewpoints, is non-believable -- all those numbers are down.
In sum, the poll results are bad news across the board for the president and his party. But all indications are that there is big trouble ahead for Democrats.
-Byron Dork
Now all that has changed. In the new poll, the results have completely turned around, and Republicans hold a six-point advantage. On the related issue of controlling government spending, in July 2009, Democrats held a 16-point advantage. In the new poll, Republicans hold a nine-point lead.
Also in the Bush years, Democrats erased the Republican advantage on the issue of taxes. In November 2009, Democrats held a 10-point advantage over Republicans on the tax issue. That lead diminished over the next few years, but Democrats still held a five-point advantage in January 2008. In the new poll, Republicans have a seven-point advantage.
In other key areas, the Democratic lead over Republicans has shrunk considerably. In January 2008, Democrats held an 18-point lead on the issue of which party would better deal with the economy. Now, the Democratic lead is six points. In January 2008, Democrats held a 28-point lead on the issue of energy. Now, that lead is 12 points. In January 2008, Democrats held a 45-point lead on the issue of global warming. Now, that lead is 27 points.
Perhaps most ominous news for Democrats at the moment is the issue of health care. In January 2008, the party had a 36-point lead on the issue. Now, it's 17 points.
The poll has other bad news for Democrats and President Obama. The percentage of people who believe the country is on the wrong track has risen nine points since March. The percentage of people who approve of the way Obama is handling the economy has dipped below 37 percent for the first time. The percentage of people who approve of his handling of the health care issue is 21 percent, with 79 percent disapproving. The percentage of people who have a positive opinion of Obama is down eighteen points since March. The percentage of people who say the president has strong leadership qualities, can be trusted to keep his word, will work with people of different viewpoints, is non-believable -- all those numbers are down.
In sum, the poll results are bad news across the board for the president and his party. But all indications are that there is big trouble ahead for Democrats.
-Byron Dork