Donald Trump’s tariff ultimatums move around a lot, earning him the hated nickname
TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out). His latest deadline is to reach trade "deals" (actually, non-binding memoranda, not conventional treaties) with
more than 100 countries, including Canada, by Aug. 1.
Canadians avoiding travel to the United States and banning American alcohol a
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Any agreement that preserves Trump’s illegal tariffs would lock Canada into a subservient role for many years to come. And there’s no assurance that Trump would even live up to his end (given
his regular violations of more comprehensive binding deals, like the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement).
Carney is joining the provincial and territorial premiers during their summer gathering in Muskoka, Ont., with most of the meeting set to be held in private
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Of course, lower higher tariffs are better than higher tariffs, and the federal government may try to convince Canadians to accept an imperfect deal on this basis. It’s possible the average tariff on Canadian products under an Aug. 1 deal would be incrementally lower than those being paid by other countries — including those that have already reached "deals," like China (47 per cent), Indonesia (19 per cent), or the U.K. (10 per cent).
The reasons Trump might have wanted to derail the negotiations — and what other surprises he might have in store
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This glass-half-full logic is dangerous, however. It’s not just the average tariff rate that determines how much damage will result from Trump’s attacks. The size and composition of trade also matters.
Any agreement that preserves Trump’s illegal tariffs would lock Canada into a subservient role for many years to come. And there’s no assurance that Trump would even live up to his end.
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After all, the very structure of our economy has been shaped by a generation of tariff-free trade within North America. As a result, Canada is more dependent on exports to the U.S. than almost any other economy. Our U.S.-bound exports equal more than 25 per cent of total GDP. That means even a seemingly lower effective tariff rate will cause far more damage to Canada than faced by almost any other country. (Only Mexico is in the same boat.)