About four hundred posts back here, this came up.
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How quickly can Japan replace all of China’s bulk ships? Anyway, as currently drafted, the new rules would have a devastating impact not just on China, but would harm almost
all companies and and anlmost
all countries that rely on marine transportation to ship essential cargo.
Canadian companies such as CSL, which operate on short-sea shipping routes, rely on Chinese-built vessels as key assets in their fleets to transport goods along coastlines or in the Great Lakes. The U.S.’s proposed regulations would severely disrupt the shipping operations that rely on these vessels on both sides of the border.
How & what are the unintended consequences of Trumps non-surgical hammer this time and how long until he “temporarily” rolls this one back? This is Trumps non-butterfly effect. Keep in mind that Chinese shipbuilders received about 3/4’s of all bulk ships last year globally, so there’s a lot of Chinese ships currently owned by countries other than China. Who will this affect? How many American companies & citizens will this affect?
That means that if the U.S.’s projected port fees were to come into effect, shipping vital commodities on vessels across key trading routes from Chicago to Montreal, Thunder Bay to Detroit, Victoria to Long Beach, and Baltimore to Halifax, are now under serious threat. And this is a problem you should be worried about, whether you live in Canada or in the United States.
Why is the world so dependent on Chinese ships? In Canada, this is partly the result of the National Shipbuilding Strategy, launched about 15 years ago to refurbish the government’s fleet of military vessels, icebreakers and ferryboats. This policy encouraged commercial shipowners to acquire vessels abroad so that Canadian shipbuilders could respond to the government’s needs.

Now we’re being encouraged to increase military funding to a minimum of 2% (& now preferably 5%) of our GDP.
If left unchecked, the Trump administration’s port fees will not only adversely affect the viability of our fleets, they will drive up the cost of doing business across key industries such as energy, manufacturing and agriculture.
The Canadian government, whomever that happens to be in about two weeks, needs to treat this proposal as a direct threat to Canada’s economy – because that is exactly what it is. If Trump pumps this idea again between now and April 28th, that might guarantee a Carney government.
Yes, Japan is currently an ally of the US this week, and America hasn’t dropped nuclear weapons (plural) on them in 3-4 generations, but Canada and others are also American Allies until it’s decided that they aren’t depending on Trumps mood any given day.
History has repeatedly shown that blunt trade measures, such as tariffs or port fees, rarely achieve their intended goals without causing significant collateral damage. Rather than repeating past mistakes, the U.S. should recalibrate its approach to ensure that allies such as Canada (at this point, I think) are not inadvertently caught in the crossfire of its economic disputes with China, unless that’s the intention.