Latest Federal Polls

[spaminator]

Race for vote remains tight as election day nears
Brian Lilley
Published:
October 19, 2019
Updated:
October 19, 2019 6:13 PM EDT
Canadian Prime Minister and Liberal leader Justin Trudeau responds to a question during the Federal Leaders Debate in Gatineau, Quebec on October 7, 2019. (Photo by Sean KILPATRICK / POOL / AFP) (Photo by SEAN KILPATRICK/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)
Voting day is Monday but as of now the federal election remains too close to call, according to polling firm Campaign Research.
The company released a poll of 2,000 Canadians on Friday and with an additional 1,500 people surveyed, the race remains a tie between the Liberals and Conservatives nationally.
“This election has yet to break in favour of either party,” said Nick Kouvalis, principal of Campaign Research.
As of Saturday night the two main parties were tied at 31% a piece while the NDP sits at 17%, the Greens at 7% and People’s Party at 3%.
WARMINGTON: Hurricane Hazel blows off Trudeau
BONOKOSKI: Who else but Trudeau finds a new low in honouring Persons Day?
“Over the last 3 days, on the national level, support for the parties has remained very stable,” Kouvalis said.
That means the election comes down to geography and voter turnout.
“In Ontario, the Liberals have opened up their lead over the Conservatives taking 37% support to 32% support. This is a critical measurement as the path to victory for the Liberals comes through Ontario. In the 905 though, it still seems that the Conservatives have a small lead,” Kouvalis said.
In Quebec, the Liberals have 34% voters support while the Bloc Quebecois sits at 28%, the Conservatives at 17%.
The Liberals also lead in Atlantic Canada, the Conservatives lead from Ontario to the B.C. coast where a three-way race continues.
The Liberals hold a lead among voters aged 18-34 and Conservatives lead among voters aged 35 and over. Conservatives hold a lead among men while Liberals lead among women.
This study was conducted by Campaign Research between Oct. 16 and 19, 2019, through an online survey of 3,541 randomly selected Canadian adults and has an estimated margin of error of +/- 1.6%, 19 times out of 20.
jwarmington@postmedia.com
http://campaignresearch.ca/single-post/Too-Close-To-Call-Both-Parties-in-deadlock
http://torontosun.com/news/national/race-for-vote-remains-tight-as-election-day-nears

 

[Walter]

Race for vote remains tight as election day nears
Brian Lilley
Published:
October 19, 2019
Updated:
October 19, 2019 6:13 PM EDT
Canadian Prime Minister and Liberal leader Justin Trudeau responds to a question during the Federal Leaders Debate in Gatineau, Quebec on October 7, 2019. (Photo by Sean KILPATRICK / POOL / AFP) (Photo by SEAN KILPATRICK/POOL/AFP via Getty Images)
Voting day is Monday but as of now the federal election remains too close to call, according to polling firm Campaign Research.
The company released a poll of 2,000 Canadians on Friday and with an additional 1,500 people surveyed, the race remains a tie between the Liberals and Conservatives nationally.
“This election has yet to break in favour of either party,” said Nick Kouvalis, principal of Campaign Research.
As of Saturday night the two main parties were tied at 31% a piece while the NDP sits at 17%, the Greens at 7% and People’s Party at 3%.
WARMINGTON: Hurricane Hazel blows off Trudeau
BONOKOSKI: Who else but Trudeau finds a new low in honouring Persons Day?
“Over the last 3 days, on the national level, support for the parties has remained very stable,” Kouvalis said.
That means the election comes down to geography and voter turnout.
“In Ontario, the Liberals have opened up their lead over the Conservatives taking 37% support to 32% support. This is a critical measurement as the path to victory for the Liberals comes through Ontario. In the 905 though, it still seems that the Conservatives have a small lead,” Kouvalis said.
In Quebec, the Liberals have 34% voters support while the Bloc Quebecois sits at 28%, the Conservatives at 17%.
The Liberals also lead in Atlantic Canada, the Conservatives lead from Ontario to the B.C. coast where a three-way race continues.
The Liberals hold a lead among voters aged 18-34 and Conservatives lead among voters aged 35 and over. Conservatives hold a lead among men while Liberals lead among women.
This study was conducted by Campaign Research between Oct. 16 and 19, 2019, through an online survey of 3,541 randomly selected Canadian adults and has an estimated margin of error of +/- 1.6%, 19 times out of 20.
jwarmington@postmedia.com
http://campaignresearch.ca/single-post/Too-Close-To-Call-Both-Parties-in-deadlock
http://torontosun.com/news/national/race-for-vote-remains-tight-as-election-day-nears

And Mrs. Clinton is POTUS.

 

[spaminator]

LILLEY: Final poll shows a tight race with lots of possibilities
Brian Lilley
Published:
October 20, 2019
Updated:
October 20, 2019 6:52 PM EDT
The Leader of Canada's Conservatives Andrew Scheer campaigns in Vancouver on Sunday. Carlos Osorio / Reuters
It’s tied nationally, but across the country it is a series of regional races that either see one party well ahead or a dog fight to the finish.
Bottom line is that in key battlegrounds like Ontario, Quebec and British Columbia the winner will be decided by who shows up.
The latest national numbers from Campaign Research show the Liberals and Conservatives tied at 31%, the NDP at 18%, the Greens at 9% and the People’s Party at 3%.
“It is impossible to predict who will win the most votes, the most seats and ultimately form a government,” said pollster Nick Kouvalis of Campaign Research.
“The electorate seems to be locked in with their choices and there doesn’t seem to be any movement between the parties over the last 4 days.’
It is a cliche in political races that GOTV, otherwise known as ‘get-out-the-vote’ really matters, but it this race it will decide who has the most seats, who has the best shot at forming government.
“As many as 40 ridings, or more, across the country will be won or lost by 1,000 votes or less. I don’t think the winner will be clear until many hours after the polls close,” said Kouvalis.
LILLEY: Biggest poll of campaign shows tight race but trouble for Liberals
LILLEY: Another poll signals a trend as Liberals fall and NDP rise
POLL: Only 25% think Trudeau should get a second term
LILLEY: Trudeau drops, Singh bounces as voters turn from Liberals
So how do things look beyond the national numbers?
In Atlantic Canada, the Liberals retain a strong lead at 34% across the region compared to 21% for the Conservatives and 19% for the NDP. That is still far lower than 2015 when the Liberals swept every seat and won most areas with close to 60% of the vote.
Expect the Liberals to lose seats but retain the majority of the 32 up for grabs in the region.
Across the Prairies the Conservatives hold a strong lead. The NDP holds 5 seats and should walk away with that many, the Liberals could lose several of the 12 seats they won in 2015 meaning pickups for the Conservatives.
That leaves Ontario, Quebec and BC and there isn’t a region where the Liberals won’t lose seats — the question is how many they will lose and to which party.
British Columbia was very good to the Liberals in the last election but now the party is in a three way race with the Conservatives and NDP and the only demographic they hold a lead among is women 55 and over.
In Quebec all the other parties will be losing seats to a resurgent Bloc Quebecois harming the election strategy of the Liberals and Conservatives – both parties had banked heavily in winning more seats in Quebec.
As for Ontario, the Liberals hold a lead over the Conservatives – 37% to 34% – but those province wide numbers are skewed by heavy support in Toronto where the Liberals already hold all the seats and by support in the 40% range with voters aged 18-34, one of the least reliable groups of voters.
And this is why the party that can deliver their voters to the polling stations will matter. Both parties have a shot at taking the most seats but depending on who shows up, where those voters show up and how vote splits break down, this tight race has the potential to break wide open for one side or another come Monday.
This study was conducted by Campaign Research between October 16th and 19th, 2019 through an online survey of 5039 randomly selected Canadian adults and has an estimated margin of error of +/- 1.4%, 19 times out of 20.
http://campaignresearch.ca/single-post/Canadians-will-choose-a-Minority-Government
http://torontosun.com/opinion/colum...shows-a-tight-race-with-lots-of-possibilities

 

[spaminator]

 

[JLM]

WELL GOSH.......................................


THAT IS A GOOD POINT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


About two LIE-berals who were THROWN OUT OF THE PARTY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


FOR BEING HONEST!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


As fro other LIE-berals who may be essentially honest....................................


we have a phrase to describe such people:::::::::::


"powerless back benchers"!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


NO INFLUENCE - means no ability to make trouble!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I think setting a good example trumps making trouble! Pun not intended!

 

[JLM]

LILLEY: Final poll shows a tight race with lots of possibilities
Brian Lilley
Published:
October 20, 2019
Updated:
October 20, 2019 6:52 PM EDT
The Leader of Canada's Conservatives Andrew Scheer campaigns in Vancouver on Sunday. Carlos Osorio / Reuters
It’s tied nationally, but across the country it is a series of regional races that either see one party well ahead or a dog fight to the finish.
Bottom line is that in key battlegrounds like Ontario, Quebec and British Columbia the winner will be decided by who shows up.
The latest national numbers from Campaign Research show the Liberals and Conservatives tied at 31%, the NDP at 18%, the Greens at 9% and the People’s Party at 3%.

Watch the indigenous vote! That might just tell the story. Vancouver Granville is another omen.

 

[Twin_Moose]

One last push to prop up the Libs. $650+ Million reasons to do so since it is pretty much linked to this election

The final 338Canada projection: The most uncertain federal election in decades

 

[Hoid]

Scheer

Heh Heh Heh.

for once Clompy nails it.

Scheer heh heh heh indeed.

 

[MHz]

I've just received word that Hoof will not be on this site until his shift is over at Labour Ready. I hope Money Mart cashes his cheque.

When is your shift over or are you 'shiftless' like my last 3 cars and 5 girlfriends??

Having said that, I noticed that Opiumproduction dropped dramatically in 2001. I did some research, and the Taliban put out an edict in late 2000 stating that Opium production would be punished by death. Apparently,it did not jibe with their strict version of Sharia Law

Just get you bill for the last year or the next year?? They have the same 'law' in Laos, all it means is the Government is the only dealer allowed and 'free-lancers' will die for their troubles, when caught rather than 'if caught'. The dip was in the Golden Triangle production as Afghan was just ramping up production.

FYI, the thugs the US left in charge after the USSR folded in 1990 became the Taliban, you know the ones brought to Texas by Bush before 9/11.

Libya seems to have been able to set up a huge social program while remaining Muslim. The Jews are a lot more socialists than Muslims and they seem to be doing okay in the money dept. Course that would change drastically if they had to stop their criminal ways. (while Muslims would have to start)

Luckily for the addicts of the World, 9/11 happened, and that ended the War on Drugs in Afghanistan, as it is hard to enforce when the World's most powerful country is bombing the shit out of you.

How odd that the US is also the country that saw the biggest rise in low level addicts. You forgot to mention that 'white collar professionals' use 98% of the heroin produced all by themselves.
Egypt started out and that is how the EU Royals and Rich got hooked. They needed the help of the RCC to get it out of the hands of the general public and make it a black market only item.


That is when the story really takes off in that the smarter it made them the more insane their actions became. Was that the heroin or being a chronic liar that caused that flaw?

 

[Colpy]

for once Clompy nails it.

Scheer heh heh heh indeed.

Well, according to the Rules According to Hoid, Trudeau should resign and let the other parties form gov't, as the Liberal Party is no longer a "national party"


Remember that chat? When you said the Conservatives should never form gov't because they had no seats in the Maritimes? And only 11 in Quebec?


Well, the Liberals hold no seats between the Manitoba/Saskatchewan border and the west side of the Rockies............


NOT a national party.

 

[Walter]

Nary a werd from the progs who said Mrs. Clinton should be POTUS cuz she won the most votes. The Conservative won the most votes so, according to the progs, the Conservatives should be the party in power.

 

[Cannuck]

Sniff...

 

[Tecumsehsbones]

Nary a werd from the progs who said Mrs. Clinton should be POTUS cuz she won the most votes. The Conservative won the most votes so, according to the progs, the Conservatives should be the party in power.

Neither of them would be President under our system, you imbecile.

If nobody gets 50%+1, it goes to the House of Representatives.

I'd suggest you limit yourself to talking about what you know something about, but that would make you even more limited.

 

[Hoid]

Well, according to the Rules According to Hoid, Trudeau should resign and let the other parties form gov't, as the Liberal Party is no longer a "national party"


Remember that chat? When you said the Conservatives should never form gov't because they had no seats in the Maritimes? And only 11 in Quebec?


Well, the Liberals hold no seats between the Manitoba/Saskatchewan border and the west side of the Rockies............


NOT a national party.

heh heh heh

losers always have all the answers

 

[Colpy]

heh heh heh

losers always have all the answers

LOL


66.9% of the people voted to fire Trudeau.


The Conservatives gained 26 seats, Trudeau lost 20 seats.


The Conservatives beat the Liberals by 1.3% in the popular vote.



Obviously, Trudeau did not win because the people love him.



He can't go 6 months without a major SNAFU.


I'm not thrilled at the result, but it ain't bad.


And before anyone goes there, the result is the result. It is how our system works. Fully legitimate, Trudeau is PM........but the Liberals have some real problems on the horizon.

 

[Curious Cdn]

LOL
66.9% of the people voted to fire Trudeau.
The Conservatives gained 26 seats, Trudeau lost 20 seats.
The Conservatives beat the Liberals by 1.3% in the popular vote.
Obviously, Trudeau did not win because the people love him.
He can't go 6 months without a major SNAFU.
I'm not thrilled at the result, but it ain't bad.
And before anyone goes there, the result is the result. It is how our system works. Fully legitimate, Trudeau is PM........but the Liberals have some real problems on the horizon.

The Liberals Achilles heel is the western Pipeline. They will have to force it through BC. (They do have the power to do so) in a somewhat similar way that MacDonald had to jam the CPR through at the beginning of the Federation.

The NDP and Greens will almost certainly oppose it. The Conservatives COULD support the Liberals to get 'er done or they may recognise the strategic advantage that they hold and bring the government down.

 

[Colpy]

The Liberals Achilles heel is the western Pipeline. They will have to force it through BC. (They do have the power to do so) in a somewhat similar way that MacDonald had to jam the CPR through at the beginning of the Federation.

The NDP and Greens will almost certainly oppose it. The Conservatives COULD support the Liberals to get 'er done or they may recognise the strategic advantage that they hold and bring the government down.

Absolutely correct, except for one small detail....the Conservatives WILL support the pipeline, even if it means voting with the Liberals.


They have to, or they will die in Alberta and Saskatchewan.

 

[JLM]

LOL


66.9% of the people voted to fire Trudeau.


The Conservatives gained 26 seats, Trudeau lost 20 seats.


The Conservatives beat the Liberals by 1.3% in the popular vote.



Obviously, Trudeau did not win because the people love him.



He can't go 6 months without a major SNAFU.


I'm not thrilled at the result, but it ain't bad.


And before anyone goes there, the result is the result. It is how our system works. Fully legitimate, Trudeau is PM........but the Liberals have some real problems on the horizon.

Good to see some wisdom on here once in awhile. There was one bright spot in the whole charade yesterday. Jody Wilson - Raybould reclaimed her seat and now for four years she gets to sit within spitting distance of Justin so that every time he looks up he gets to see her face just to remind him what a jerk he's been!

 

[Hoid]

Absolutely correct, except for one small detail....the Conservatives WILL support the pipeline, even if it means voting with the Liberals.


They have to, or they will die in Alberta and Saskatchewan.

they have no seats in Alberta or Sask. now do they?

 

[JLM]

heh heh heh

losers always have all the answers

You've demonstrated that well many times!