How Many Seats???
- Thread starter Goober
- Start date
I will post here as well, I have been talking to a number of news guys getting ready for
tomorrow night, and they are looking at late polling results and breaking them down
EKOS had a poll result late this afternoon, showing that the NDP and Conservatives
are within 3% of each other. In Quebec news people are saying the whole bloody
Province is going orange. The Atlantic Region, is in a dog fight with NDP and Tories.
Ontario is a battle ground for votes and vote splitting. Across the Prairie, shows the
NDP doing well in Manitoba. Saskatchewan and Alberta are still Tory blue for the most
part and in BC, the polls now show the New Democrats and conservative locked in a
battle that could see most of the Liberal seats wiped out.
EKOS said if the regional splits and the adjustments for women and youth votes it could
be a twenty seat difference. It will be historic if it plays out right.
tomorrow night, and they are looking at late polling results and breaking them down
EKOS had a poll result late this afternoon, showing that the NDP and Conservatives
are within 3% of each other. In Quebec news people are saying the whole bloody
Province is going orange. The Atlantic Region, is in a dog fight with NDP and Tories.
Ontario is a battle ground for votes and vote splitting. Across the Prairie, shows the
NDP doing well in Manitoba. Saskatchewan and Alberta are still Tory blue for the most
part and in BC, the polls now show the New Democrats and conservative locked in a
battle that could see most of the Liberal seats wiped out.
EKOS said if the regional splits and the adjustments for women and youth votes it could
be a twenty seat difference. It will be historic if it plays out right.
To put the cons so high !! Is that your dream Harper??
We shall see how it turns, people are fed up of his antics!!
The fear has many leary but i think voter turn out will have him knocked down some!!
And to say no to green, well have to see as youth vote is coming out and they are dam tired of same ol so may just see some changes!
All I can say is think gonna be a close race cons- Ndp- Lib and will be few independant and hope a green of two
We shall see how it turns, people are fed up of his antics!!
The fear has many leary but i think voter turn out will have him knocked down some!!
And to say no to green, well have to see as youth vote is coming out and they are dam tired of same ol so may just see some changes!
All I can say is think gonna be a close race cons- Ndp- Lib and will be few independant and hope a green of two
I think there is the potential for a lot of NDP-Liberal vote splitting, allowing the Conservatives to take seats that they may not have won otherwise (the Chretien formula of the 90s when Reform and the PCs split).
Conservatives - 162
NDP - 48
Liberals - 60
Bloc - 36
Indepent/Greens -2
I think the popular vote numbers may swing more the NDP's way but I also believe a lot of people will have second thoughts in the voting booth.
Conservatives - 162
NDP - 48
Liberals - 60
Bloc - 36
Indepent/Greens -2
I think the popular vote numbers may swing more the NDP's way but I also believe a lot of people will have second thoughts in the voting booth.
Grump you have some kind of optimism, lol
This surge will make the NDP the best second place vote in Canadian history. Unfortunately, that won't mean much in seats.
For the record, electionprediction.org has a much rosier picture of the NDP outlook than before..
[SIZE=+1]Conservative Party
Parti Conservateur[/SIZE][SIZE=+3] 146[/SIZE]
[SIZE=+1]N.D.P.
N.P.D.[/SIZE][SIZE=+3] 65[/SIZE]
[SIZE=+1]Liberal Party
Parti Liberal[/SIZE][SIZE=+3] 63[/SIZE]
[SIZE=+1]Bloc Quebecois[/SIZE][SIZE=+3] 33[/SIZE]
[SIZE=+1]Independent[/SIZE][SIZE=+3] 1
http://www.electionprediction.org/2009_fed/index.php
[/SIZE]
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You'd be close, Wulfie, perhaps the N.D.P. a little more Cons a bit fewer.
I think there is a bit of a problem when you see predictions like 111 seats for the N.D.P. and that problem may be that the media is partly instrumental in "making" the news! :lol:
One of numerous polls I checked two or three days ago gave an est. for the N.D.P. of 108- 111 seats. I'm going to see if I can refind it.
Oooooooooooh this is even better using the regional method (at the top right) they are predicting 115 seats for the N.D.P. (I'm predicting who's paying for this ain't gonna be happy.
Canada Election 2011**•**Election Almanac**•**Canadian Federal Election 2011
I do believe the vote split in Ontartio will go the way it should. Young people coming out
to vote is not good for the Liberals or the Conservatives. Watch what happens in Quebec
it will be solid orange. This is one of those elections where Quebecers want change.
In the west the NDP will give the conservatives a bad time over all. It does depend on the
vote split in Ontario.
to vote is not good for the Liberals or the Conservatives. Watch what happens in Quebec
it will be solid orange. This is one of those elections where Quebecers want change.
In the west the NDP will give the conservatives a bad time over all. It does depend on the
vote split in Ontario.
Harper is pinning his hopes on Ontario - Seats that could go NDP where the voters remember Rae days that they may go from Liberal to Conservative.
NDP left a lasting image in Ontario with many older voters, and the older voters are the ones that vote in higher number.
Youth vote is also critical. Like the old saying - if you are not a Socialist at 20, you have no heart, if you are not a Conservative at 40, you have no brains - Or words to that effect.
I voted for King Iggy.Not that it matters as i am in Con Country. A yellow dog or a corpse could get elected in most ridings.
Don't be surprised if the Cons pick up 10 seats on the west side of Montreal! :smile:
Here's a solid prediction for you all.
Independant - 1
Idiots who will vote the party line no matter what their constituency wants - 307
And therin lies the problem with our political system.
Independant - 1
Idiots who will vote the party line no matter what their constituency wants - 307
And therin lies the problem with our political system.
So what would the public think if Harper formed a Coalition????
Harper only has to last about 18 months and the GG has no choice, based upon Trudeau minority Govt. but to send us back to the polls.
Not sure if anyone brought this up.
They are all willing to cut deals with the Devil. As they only dealing with similar types. The Devil wears different Platforms, no not shoes.