Some disagree. http://www.heartland.org/NewYork08/ConferenceProgram.pdfThousands of reputable scientists the world over versus a weatherman.
I'm not sure why one would feel that Oil Companies need their help, but honestly, mankind's contribution to global warming has been proven. We are reaping what we sow. I'm not going to list any sources just as I'm not going to try to convince you that the Earth revolves around the Sun. There's enough on the internet validating Global Warming. And then, of course, there's the few macho, renegade loudmouth skeptics
Global warming skeptics will hear one or two things, and then just to have an opinion, loudly and with much brashness utter those two things they've read just to bolster their ego.
If you care to step away from your partisanship, do some reading on the other side. Watch an "Inconvenient Truth" and "the Denial Machine"
The media has to maintain it's sense at best of maintaing balance. So, when some renegade weatherman wants a soundbite claiming that Global Warmingis a farce (and that he comes from the Planet Kludo), they'll give it to him.
But when thousands (literally) of scientists, the world over come to agree that
(i)we are causing, and can reverse global warming
(ii)the effects of global warming, understanding will be disastrous
Even you, my friend, I'm sure can be level headed enough to weigh the intellectual balance....
Thousands of reputable scientists the world over versus a weatherman
The term "geologic time scale" only means that we are referring to an immensely long time frame. Just because it isn't of a fixed duration doesn't mean it can't compare. After all, a human time scale is also not of a fixed length.No, a second and an hour are units of time. Geologic time scales of course are made up of units of time, but they aren't differentiated by set time periods, they are unequal in their distribution of time. They are separated by events, mostly the arrival of new fossil assemblages. The time scales are millions of years and more, and we haven't been here more than 200,000 years. Even less time as recorded history. Saying we live in a geologic scale is meaningless, as geologic scales create sedimentary rock, fossilize animals, create petroleum and other minerals. They aren't being replaced as we use them.
Yes, I know, you mentioned that before. I contend that there is such evidence. That's what we're discussing.Look, I'm not saying there will never be an ice age, I'm saying there is no evidence that we're on the cusp of anything close to what would be considered an ice age.
As would be expected until the next ice age actually begins. I didn't say that it was here, just that it was coming soon.The ice sheets and glaciers are still in retreat, some show signs of speeding up,
Really?8O They predicted it would grow? I always thought they said it would melt.the Antarctic sheet is behaving exactly as was predicted by some of the very first climate models back in 1981,
Due to unusual winds that moved it into currents that took it south. And not necessarily the smallest ever, they've only been measuring since 1978, the tail end of a 30 year cooling, so the decrease would be expected.and the multi-year ice in the Arctic was the smallest ever last summer.
And this winters sea ice cover is greater than any time since 1980, right close to the end of that 30 year cooling. And 20% thicker than last year as well. Not to mention that Antarctic sea ice cover last winter was greater than ever measured before.Of course it grows back in the winter, that's what happens, but it isn't replacing the thick multi-year ice.
Your mistake is in using current trends to extrapolate an event that may not arrive for 10, 100 or even 1000 years. You won't find them predictive until the actual event occurs. My contention is that based on past events and patterns, we're due.Species are progressing Northward in our hemisphere, not south.
No signs of an ice age on the horizon.
Why, that would be Tonington himself.:lol:[...] people who have an amazing ability to ignore overwhelming evidence.
Man, I've written pages about this already. So, I'll be quick.
Thousands of reputable scientists the world over versus a weatherman.
I'm not sure why one would feel that Oil Companies need their help, but honestly, mankind's contribution to global warming has been proven. We are reaping what we sow. I'm not going to list any sources just as I'm not going to try to convince you that the Earth revolves around the Sun. There's enough on the internet validating Global Warming. And then, of course, there's the few macho, renegade loudmouth skeptics
Global warming skeptics will hear one or two things, and then just to have an opinion, loudly and with much brashness utter those two things they've read just to bolster their ego.
If you care to step away from your partisanship, do some reading on the other side. Watch an "Inconvenient Truth" and "the Denial Machine"
The media has to maintain it's sense at best of maintaing balance. So, when some renegade weatherman wants a soundbite claiming that Global Warmingis a farce (and that he comes from the Planet Kludo), they'll give it to him.
But when thousands (literally) of scientists, the world over come to agree that
(i)we are causing, and can reverse global warming
(ii)the effects of global warming, understanding will be disastrous
Even you, my friend, I'm sure can be level headed enough to weigh the intellectual balance....
Thousands of reputable scientists the world over versus a weatherman
www.climatescienceinternational.orgMANHATTAN DECLARATION ON CLIMATE CHANGE
We, the scientists and researchers in climate and related fields, economists, policymakers, and business leaders, assembled at Times Square, New York City, participating in the 2008 International Conference on Climate Change,
Resolving that scientific questions should be evaluated solely by the scientific method;
Affirming that global climate has always changed and always will, independent of the actions of humans, and that carbon dioxide (CO2) is not a pollutant but rather a necessity for all life;
Recognising that the causes and extent of recently-observed climatic change are the subject of intense debates in the climate science community and that oft-repeated assertions of a supposed ‘consensus’ among climate experts are false;
Affirming that attempts by governments to legislate costly regulations on industry and individual citizens to encourage CO2 emission reduction will slow development while having no appreciable impact on the future trajectory of global climate change. Such policies will markedly diminish future prosperity and so reduce the ability of societies to adapt to inevitable climate change, thereby increasing, not decreasing human suffering;
Noting that warmer weather is generally less harmful to life on Earth than colder:
Hereby declare:
That current plans to restrict anthropogenic CO2 emissions are a dangerous misallocation of intellectual capital and resources that should be dedicated to solving humanity’s real and serious problems.
That there is no convincing evidence that CO2 emissions from modern industrial activity has in the past, is now, or will in the future cause catastrophic climate change.
That attempts by governments to inflict taxes and costly regulations on industry and individual citizens with the aim of reducing emissions of CO2 will pointlessly curtail the prosperity of the West and progress of developing nations without affecting climate.
That adaptation as needed is massively more cost-effective than any attempted mitigation, and that a focus on such mitigation will divert the attention and resources of governments away from addressing the real problems of their peoples.
That human-caused climate change is not a global crisis.
Now, therefore, we recommend –
That world leaders reject the views expressed by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change as well as popular, but misguided works such as “An Inconvenient Truth”.
That all taxes, regulations, and other interventions intended to reduce emissions of CO2 be abandoned forthwith.
Agreed at New York, 4 March 2008
ICSC
International Climate Science Coalition
The term "geologic time scale" only means that we are referring to an immensely long time frame. Just because it isn't of a fixed duration doesn't mean it can't compare. After all, a human time scale is also not of a fixed length.
It's not insignificant on our scales, which is the whole point.But you do have a point. Such geologic time scales are so extensive that the little blip that represents our existence is insignificant. Perhaps it's a matter of using the wrong semantics. After all, the topic at hand is the imminent return of an ice age which has a 100,000 yr. rotation, considerably less than the geologic time frames you mentioned.
So, again I'll ask for that evidence, as I have a few times already.Yes, I know, you mentioned that before. I contend that there is such evidence. That's what we're discussing.
That's a pretty brave assumption. Do you know what the forcing was that caused the shift from warming to ice age? Is it more or less than our anthropogenic forcing?As would be expected until the next ice age actually begins. I didn't say that it was here, just that it was coming soon.
Nope. That only enforces the idea if a lie is told often enough, people will accept it as truth. In 1980, Martin I. Hoffert, et al. found that more water, such as the Southern ocean, would delay the warming response by decades. Then in 1981, Stephen H. Schneider and S.L. Thompson found that the delay would be longer than initially thought, that if we only used simple equilibrium models, that we would still be mislead in this decade(2000-2010). Then in 1988, Kirk Bryan et al. showed that there would be a slight cooling for 50 years, even while the rest of the planet warms. The models since then have all found the same thing, though with some changes. The models have, for instance, predicted that the Western Antarctic peninsula would warm. It's actually the fastest warming location on the planet.Really?8O They predicted it would grow? I always thought they said it would melt.
So now changing winds aren't to be expected, even though climate is long term weather patterns? Funny, the predictions have mentioned changing wind patterns. Sea surface temperatures were also warmer that summer. But it does appear to be anomalous. That happens with seasonal weatherDue to unusual winds that moved it into currents that took it south. And not necessarily the smallest ever, they've only been measuring since 1978, the tail end of a 30 year cooling, so the decrease would be expected.
Again, two anomolies back to back. The overall trend is still one of decreasing Arctic ice, and increasing Antarctic ice.And this winters sea ice cover is greater than any time since 1980, right close to the end of that 30 year cooling. And 20% thicker than last year as well. Not to mention that Antarctic sea ice cover last winter was greater than ever measured before.
One thousand years away, could be even longer than that. Funny though how your ilk has suggested that current trends mean we're switching to a cooling phase, despite the long term trends.Your mistake is in using current trends to extrapolate an event that may not arrive for 10, 100 or even 1000 years. You won't find them predictive until the actual event occurs. My contention is that based on past events and patterns, we're due.
The models since then have all found the same thing, though with some changes. The models have, for instance, predicted that the Western Antarctic peninsula would warm. [/quote]Is there internet access to these models?