election day

spaminator

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NDP's nationwide collapse key factor in federal election results, pundits say
Singh New Democrats lost seven seats to Carney Liberals on Monday, plus 10 to Poilievre Conservatives

Author of the article:Bryan Passifiume
Published Apr 30, 2025 • 2 minute read

NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh tries to regain his composure.
NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh tries to regain his composure while speaking to his supporters at the NDP headquarters in Burnaby, B.C., Monday, April, 28, 2025.
OTTAWA — Aside from the Liberals’ narrow victory on Monday, the pundits agree: The NDP meltdown was the big story of the night.


Liberal strategist Sharan Kaur said the impact of the NDP collapse could especially be felt in certain GTA and downtown Toronto ridings where the NDP normally do well.

“In Toronto Centre, for example, it’s usually been a race between the Liberals and NDP,” she said.

“The NDP came in third place, which is wild considering the Conservative candidate was nowhere to be seen.”


Evan Solomon easily won Toronto Centre for the Liberals, but NDP candidate Samantha Green placed a distant third, trailing Conservative Luis Ibarra by nearly 5,000 votes.

In all, the NDP lost seven seats to the Liberals on Monday, plus 10 to the Tories.

Another notable loss for the NDP was Hamilton Centre, where Matthew Green came third behind Liberal Aslam Rana and Tory Hayden Lawrence.



Stephen Taylor, a partner at Shift Media, said the NDP’s collapse was a curveball few pundits foresaw.

“Conservative strategy has always depended on a stronger NDP to split the vote with the Liberals,” Taylor said.

“But now that the NDP looks to be on the brink of extinction, it certainly behooves the Conservatives to imagine a world without the NDP and understand how they might need to adjust.”


Flourish logoA Flourish chart
The NDP’s fall, Kaur said, had a lot to do with outgoing party leader Jagmeet Singh losing favour not only with Canadians, but NDP voters as well.

“He doesn’t exactly bring something to the table that gives people confidence,” she said.

“He’s a great guy, he’s a fun guy, I’m sure a lot of people really like him, but being a leader of a party shouldn’t just be a popularity contest. You have to bring something to the table.”


Pre-election polling spelled this out quite clearly.

When NDP supporters were asked which leader was running the best campaign, Singh ranked third behind Liberal Leader Mark Carney and “I don’t know.”


Inheriting the same minority government problems faced by his predecessor, prime minister-elect Carney needs to ensure unity across the aisle as what promises to be a chaotic House session prepares to commence.

“It’s going to be maximum chaos,” she said.

“Maximum chaos for the NDP, it’s going to be maximum chaos for the Conservatives.”

The Tories, she said, are going to have to regroup and rebuild, particularly facing a session with a seat-less leader.

The Liberals being held to a minority, Taylor said, gives him hope the Conservatives will still have a voice in policy.

“We’ll see what kind of shape (Carney’s) government takes in the coming days and what picks he makes for cabinet and whether or not he will make a clean break from Justin Trudeau’s cast of characters or whether he’s got enough new talent to strike a path in a new direction,” he said.

bpassifiume@postmedia.com
X: @bryanpassifiume
 

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
Nov 21, 2008
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"We’ll see what kind of shape (Carney’s) government takes in the coming days and what picks he makes for cabinet and whether or not he will make a clean break from Justin Trudeau’s cast of characters or whether he’s got enough new talent to strike a path in a new direction,” he said.
Y'all gonna shit yo pants that's what'll ya first hear. then feel, then smell then alas see when you're when youre in a transgender transit washroom that has no toilet paper.
 
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spaminator

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Oct 26, 2009
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Three quarters of Canadians say misinformation affected the federal election: Poll
Author of the article:Canadian Press
Canadian Press
Catherine Morrison
Published May 03, 2025 • Last updated 13 hours ago • 4 minute read

OTTAWA — More than three quarters of Canadians believe misinformation had an impact on the outcome of the federal election, a new poll suggests.


The Leger poll, which sampled more than 1,500 Canadian adults from April 29 to May 1, suggests that 19 per cent of people think false information or misinformation had a major impact on the election.

Almost a third (32 per cent) said it had a moderate impact, while 26 per cent said it had a minor impact on the election’s outcome.

Only nine per cent of Canadians said misinformation had no impact on the election at all.

The poll, which was conducted online and can’t be assigned a margin of error, suggests that people in Alberta were the most likely to think misinformation affected the election, at 86 per cent.

Seventy-nine per cent of people in Quebec, 76 per cent of people in Ontario and 73 per cent of people in B.C. said misinformation had an impact.

While 80 per cent of men said misinformation played a role, 74 per cent of women said the same.



Voters aged 18 to 34 were most likely to think misinformation affected the election, at 81 per cent, compared to 77 per cent of people aged 35 to 54 and 74 per cent of people aged 55 and older.

Liberal supporters were the least likely to think misinformation had a role in the election, at 74 per cent, compared to 83 per cent of Conservative voters and 87 per cent of NDP voters.

Andrew Enns, Leger’s executive vice-president for Central Canada, said there has been lots of talk over the last few years about foreign interference in Canadian politics and the issue may be in the back of voters’ minds.

During the election campaign, Canadian security officials said they spotted a foreign online operation targeting a federal Conservative candidate opposed to Chinese government policies. The Security and Intelligence Threats to Elections Task Force also said it spotted an online information operation linked to the Chinese government that focused on Prime Minister Mark Carney.


Laurie-Anne Kempton, assistant secretary to the cabinet for communications, said in late April that Canadians could head to the polls with full confidence in the integrity and security of the system.

Federal officials also said that voters should be on the lookout for online disinformation tied to the election debates.

Enns said that “misinformation” is a large umbrella term and that poll respondents may have cited things like rumours and claims about candidates while filling out the Leger survey.

“I think it could be sort of a catch-all,” he said. “Canadians tend to not like negative campaigns and negative campaign ads, for example, and so sometimes I wonder … does that get lumped into sort of that misinformation as well?”

The poll also suggests that just under two-thirds of Canadians (65 per cent) trust that the election results were accurate.


Thirty-six per cent said they trust the results “a great deal,” while 29 per cent said they trust them “a lot.”

However, 16 per cent said they trust the results only “a little” and 13 per cent said they don’t trust them “at all.”

People in Quebec were most likely to trust the results, at 77 per cent, compared to 70 per cent in B.C., 62 per cent in Ontario and 53 per cent in Alberta.

More people aged 55 and older said they had trust in the results, at 72 per cent, compared to 61 per cent of people aged 18 to 34 and 59 per cent of those aged 35 to 54.

Liberals were the most likely to trust the results, at 96 per cent, compared to 74 per cent of NDP voters and only 44 per cent of Conservatives.

Enns said the results point to an unfortunate but “very real” deterioration in people’s faith in institutions.

“There’s a party break in the trust where the Conservative supporters are less trusting, unfortunately,” he said, adding that mistrust could be due to people hearing about interference or being exposed to conspiracy theories.


Enns said Leger did not ask Canadians about misinformation or trust in results after the 2021 election.

The Elections Canada website says that about half (52 per cent) of people who responded to a National Electors Study thought the spread of false information online was a problem during the 2021 election — 50 per cent said the same thing about the 2019 election.

The study found that a quarter of respondents thought foreign countries or groups trying to interfere with the election or the political opinions of Canadians had been a problem in the 2021 election, compared with 31 per cent in 2019.

Elections Canada says close to one in 10 respondents thought false information had a major impact on the outcome of the 2021 election, and 20 per cent thought it had a moderate impact. Eighteen per cent of respondents said it had only a minor impact on the outcome, while only two per cent said it had no impact. The agency says those results were similar to those obtained after the 2019 election.

Elections Canada says four per cent thought that problems of foreign interference had a major impact on the outcome of the 2021 election, nine per cent thought it had a moderate impact, 10 per cent thought it had a minor impact and one per cent said it had no impact.

The polling industry’s professional body, the Canadian Research Insights Council, says online surveys cannot be assigned a margin of error because they do not randomly sample the population.

— With files from Jim Bronskill
 
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Taxslave2

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I find it worrying that apparently a quarter of Canadians think elections are truthful and honest.
Honest, as in no hanky panky at the polls? Probably true. Were mistakes made? Of course there was. Shit happens in a project this size with a largely inexperienced staff.
Prior to voting, there was a lot of lying by both politicians and external groups, both home grown and foreign.
 

spaminator

Hall of Fame Member
Oct 26, 2009
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Recount sees Liberals take Quebec riding of Terrebonne by single vote
Author of the article:Canadian Press
Canadian Press
Cassidy McMackon
Published May 10, 2025 • Last updated 20 hours ago • 2 minute read

Tatiana Auguste, the Liberal candidate for Terrebonne in last month's federal election, won a judicial recount by one vote over incumbent Bloc Quebecois MP Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagne, Elections Canada announced Saturday, May 10, 2025.
Tatiana Auguste, the Liberal candidate for Terrebonne in last month's federal election, won a judicial recount by one vote over incumbent Bloc Quebecois MP Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagne, Elections Canada announced Saturday, May 10, 2025.
TORONTO — The Liberals inched another seat closer to a majority government on Saturday, after a judicial recount left their candidate as the winner in the Quebec riding of Terrebone, by a margin of just one vote.


An official with Elections Canada confirmed to The Canadian Press that Liberal Tatiana Auguste will finish ahead of incumbent Bloc Quebecois candidate Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagne.

It brings the Liberals to 170 seats in the House of Commons, two shy of the 172 needed for a majority government. The Bloc seat count falls to 22.

Auguste was initially projected to win the riding by 35 votes after the April 28 election, but on May 1, following the required postelection validation process, Sinclair-Desgagne, who was first elected in 2021, moved ahead by 44 votes.

The win was returned to Auguste following the judicial recount, with Auguste receiving 23,352 votes and Sinclair-Desgagne receiving 23,351.

A judicial recount is automatic when the number of votes cast for the candidate with the most votes and the number of votes cast for any other candidate is less than 0.1 per cent of the valid votes cast. That was true in this case.


The recount was to begin on Thursday and was completed Saturday. Elections Canada said last week that the recount would be overseen by Superior Court of Quebec Justice Danielle Turcotte.

A validation process is done by the returning officer, who reviews the cumulative addition of votes in a riding from every poll, based on the counts determined at every polling station in the presence of party scrutineers and election officers. It does not recount the ballots, or review ballots that were deemed to be invalid.


A judicial recount looks at all the ballots again, verifying the ones that were initially accepted and reconsidering ballots that were rejected. It takes place in the presence of a judge from a Superior Court in the affected province or territory.

The recount in Terrebonne added 74 votes to the total number of valid votes and increased the vote count of four of the six candidates. Auguste gained 56 votes, and Sinclair-Desgagne gained 11. The Conservative candidate, Adrienne Charles gained five votes, and the NDP candidate Maxime Beaudoin, gained four.


The Green candidate saw their vote total reduced by two, while the People’s Party candidate total stayed the same.

Terrebonne is located north of Montreal.

There are three more judicial recounts planned, one in Newfoundland and Labrador and two in Ontario. In all three the Liberals are currently ahead.

In Newfoundland’s Terra Nova_The Peninsulas riding, the difference between leading Liberal candidate Anthony Germain and Conservative party candidate Jonathan Rowe was 12 votes. The recount there is automatic and is to begin Monday.

In the Ontario riding of Milton East_Halton Hills South Liberal Kristina Tesser Derksen is ahead of Conservative Parm Gill by 29 votes. The recount there is also automatic and will begin Tuesday, May 13.

In Windsor-Tecumseh-Lakeshore, a judicial recount was granted after Liberal incumbent Irek Kusmierczyk argued several ballots were “wrongly rejected” after the validation process showed he lost to his Conservative challenger Kathy Borrelli by 77 votes.
 

spaminator

Hall of Fame Member
Oct 26, 2009
38,445
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Recount sees Liberals take Quebec riding of Terrebonne by single vote
Author of the article:Canadian Press
Canadian Press
Cassidy McMackon
Published May 10, 2025 • Last updated 20 hours ago • 2 minute read

Tatiana Auguste, the Liberal candidate for Terrebonne in last month's federal election, won a judicial recount by one vote over incumbent Bloc Quebecois MP Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagne, Elections Canada announced Saturday, May 10, 2025.
Tatiana Auguste, the Liberal candidate for Terrebonne in last month's federal election, won a judicial recount by one vote over incumbent Bloc Quebecois MP Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagne, Elections Canada announced Saturday, May 10, 2025.
TORONTO — The Liberals inched another seat closer to a majority government on Saturday, after a judicial recount left their candidate as the winner in the Quebec riding of Terrebone, by a margin of just one vote.


An official with Elections Canada confirmed to The Canadian Press that Liberal Tatiana Auguste will finish ahead of incumbent Bloc Quebecois candidate Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagne.

It brings the Liberals to 170 seats in the House of Commons, two shy of the 172 needed for a majority government. The Bloc seat count falls to 22.

Auguste was initially projected to win the riding by 35 votes after the April 28 election, but on May 1, following the required postelection validation process, Sinclair-Desgagne, who was first elected in 2021, moved ahead by 44 votes.

The win was returned to Auguste following the judicial recount, with Auguste receiving 23,352 votes and Sinclair-Desgagne receiving 23,351.

A judicial recount is automatic when the number of votes cast for the candidate with the most votes and the number of votes cast for any other candidate is less than 0.1 per cent of the valid votes cast. That was true in this case.


The recount was to begin on Thursday and was completed Saturday. Elections Canada said last week that the recount would be overseen by Superior Court of Quebec Justice Danielle Turcotte.

A validation process is done by the returning officer, who reviews the cumulative addition of votes in a riding from every poll, based on the counts determined at every polling station in the presence of party scrutineers and election officers. It does not recount the ballots, or review ballots that were deemed to be invalid.


A judicial recount looks at all the ballots again, verifying the ones that were initially accepted and reconsidering ballots that were rejected. It takes place in the presence of a judge from a Superior Court in the affected province or territory.

The recount in Terrebonne added 74 votes to the total number of valid votes and increased the vote count of four of the six candidates. Auguste gained 56 votes, and Sinclair-Desgagne gained 11. The Conservative candidate, Adrienne Charles gained five votes, and the NDP candidate Maxime Beaudoin, gained four.


The Green candidate saw their vote total reduced by two, while the People’s Party candidate total stayed the same.

Terrebonne is located north of Montreal.

There are three more judicial recounts planned, one in Newfoundland and Labrador and two in Ontario. In all three the Liberals are currently ahead.

In Newfoundland’s Terra Nova_The Peninsulas riding, the difference between leading Liberal candidate Anthony Germain and Conservative party candidate Jonathan Rowe was 12 votes. The recount there is automatic and is to begin Monday.

In the Ontario riding of Milton East_Halton Hills South Liberal Kristina Tesser Derksen is ahead of Conservative Parm Gill by 29 votes. The recount there is also automatic and will begin Tuesday, May 13.

In Windsor-Tecumseh-Lakeshore, a judicial recount was granted after Liberal incumbent Irek Kusmierczyk argued several ballots were “wrongly rejected” after the validation process showed he lost to his Conservative challenger Kathy Borrelli by 77 votes.
i guess china was being more discreet. ;)