Makes you think that an annual or a semi annual statistic would offer a better model for what actual job numbers are rather than hair splitting, even with deductions of seasonal work it is sort of skewed when you break it down month to month. Would you agree not an exact science.
Even the raw data isn't exact or actual, it's based on surveys with some amount of error, not a true census. But yes, the moving average is not an exact science. No statistical model is, and all of the analysis we see that's reported goes through some sort of statistical model. Some are better than others, depends what you're interested in seeing. Personally, I prefer to see gains in employment that are due to business cycles and other economic indicators, rather than, it's spring, or fall, or Christmas shopping season.